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The Global Financial Crisis

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The Global Financial Crisis:
Impact on Bangladesh
A.K.M. Atiqur Rahman
Professor
Department of Economics
North South University

Overview
I.

Introduction:
Genesis and Spread of the Crisis.
II. Global Recession and LDCs
III. Impact on Bangladesh
IV. Recession and Export from Bangladesh
V. Exchange Rate Movement
VI. Remittance
VII. Import and Tax Revenue
VIII. Overall Impact
IX. Policy Implications

I. Introduction: Genesis and Spread of the Crisis.
• Root: Mispricing in the Massive Credit Default
Swap Market
• Sub prime Mortgage: Bank transferred credit risk to third party through the process of securitization ( MDS, CDO)
• Reckless growth of sub prime mortgage-lower yield in risky mortgage
• Arbitrage drove the yields on all bonds & loans down • Expansion of consumer credit, housing price bubble Intriduction continued
• Unsustainability of Credit default swap and subprime mortgages exposed
• Housing bubble burst → mortgage default → foreclosures→ bank and insurance failure→ credit freeze
• Spillover of financial crisis to real economy through virulent credit crunch →depressed aggregate demand
• Sub prime mortgage default led to spillover effects around the world (Europe and emerging economies) via an elaborate network of derivatives Continued .
Global consequence of the crisis includes:
• Sharp rise in Unemployment in the US, Job loss in few other countries
• Sharp fall in the stock market price around the globe, current stock prices are unable to explain the value of the companies
• Panic also spread around to reduce property prices in some other countries
• Extra caution in lending even with excess liquidity, depressed consumer demand

II. Global Recession and Low Income
Countries
• Channels
- Although some countries with sufficient foreign equity capital experienced capital flight, spillover

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