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The Shale Gas Revolution in the U.S.

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The Shale Gas Revolution in the U.S.
- Aspect of Domestic Market -

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Microeconomics

May 6, 2014

"The all-of-the-above energy strategy I announced a few years ago is working, and today, America is closer to energy independence than we’ve been in decades," Obama said during his fifth State of the Union speech on January 2014. In a fact sheet accompanying the speech, the White House called on Congress to establish "sustainable shale gas growth zones."

As mentioned by the U.S. president Obama, “The Shale Gas Revolution” is hot topic in the energy industry recently. Previously, the U.S. has imported large amounts of natural gas from other countries, but now it is expected to be an exporter of natural gas because of shale gas production.

(Reference: Annual Energy Outlook 2011, May, 2011)

Exporting shale gas would bring economic benefits. Gross Domestic Product can be increased, employment on LNG supply chain would be increased, and there will be no import of LNG anymore. Nevertheless, there is some limitation which will not favor to domestic LNG market. For exporting the shale gas, there are many researches to determine the associated costs. The price U.S. LNG exporters can afford to charge can be separated into the following components.

Price = Wellhead price + Pipeline + Liquefaction + Shipping + Regasification

Based on the above formula, experts’ estimate that the minimum price the U.S. and afford to export LNG to Asia, mainly Japan and Korea for is $9.03/MMbtu. However, domestic price of LNG can be affected by the amount of export. According to the graph researched by Cohen (2013), LNG exports would increase the domestic price of natural gas by roughly 29 to 45%.

The higher equilibrium with more export will lead higher price of LNG in domestic. Then, users can move to the substitutes such as renewable resource, wind, solar, or

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