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Valuation of Bonds

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ABSTRACT
The purpose of this research is to attempt to understand to what degree accounting information can serve as a valid predictor of future financial performance. It is understood and often disputed that predicting financial performance beyond a time horizon of four years, using accounting analysis is not as reliable as initially determined. Based on both academic research studies and reviews alongside nonacademic reviews, it seems plausible to a certain comfortable level that it is possible to incorporate targeted and focused accounting information and ratios in conjunction with additional industry/market based variables within statistical models to be successful in predicting future performance beyond the short run. Financial ratios, together with other analyses, are widely used as critical indicators in evaluating a firm’s performance. One question constantly arises, which financial ratios are informative among the hundred ratios available? Material below will identify and support particular ratios of focus. Research also suggests that in order to accurately forecast future financial performance, accounting information needs to work alongside other variables (i.e. firm size, economic trends, and industry specific ratios). Beyond the microeconomics of the company, analysis should also consider relevant macroeconomics that can have a direct correlation on a firm’s success. Based on all findings included, there has been no distinct criticism of using accounting information beyond the time horizon of four years as a mechanism to predict longer term horizon performance. But a more succinct and focused modeling approach of evaluating accounting and non accounting data over an extended time period for the sole purpose of understanding preemptive trends on firms that have been successful and those that have failed.
INTRODUCTION
We understand that financial

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