...12 months Jul-27-2013 | Cisco | | in millions | | Total Assets | 101,191.00 | Total Liabilities | 42,063.00 | Goodwill | 21,919.00 | Other Intangible assets | 3,403.00 | Book value | 33,806.00 | | | Total outstanding shares | 5,351 | Book value/outstanding shares | 6.32 | | | Total Revenue | 48,816.00 | | TEV/ LTM REVENUE | | | | | Total revenue (in millions) | | Estimated TEV | HPQ | 0.49x | 0.49 | High | 1.8 | 48,816.00 | | 87868.8 | JNPR | 1.80x | 1.8 | Average | 1.09 | 48,816.00 | | 53209.4 | ALU | 0.55x | 0.55 | Low | 0.49 | 48,816.00 | | 23919.8 | BRCD | 1.52x | 1.52 | | | | | | FFIV | 4.18x | 4.18 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | Estimated TEV | Debt | | Equity value | | outstanding shares | | estimated P | 87868.8 | 16211 | | 71657.8 | | 5380 | | 13.31929368 | 53209.4 | 16211 | | 36998.4 | | 5380 | | 6.877033457 | 23919.8 | 16211 | | 7708.84 | | 5380 | | 1.432869888 | | | | | | | | | EV/EBITDA | | | | | EBITDA | | estimated EV | HPQ | 3.82 | | High | 9.26 | 14161.00 | | 131130.86 | JNPR | 9.26 | | Average | 6.61 | 14161.00 | | 93533.405 | ALU | 7.22 | | Low | 3.82 | 14161.00 | | 54095.02 | BRCD | 6.12 | | | | | | | FFIV | 13.19 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | estimated EV | Debt | | Equity value | | outstanding shares | | estimated P | 131130.86 | 16211 | | 114920 | | 5380 | | 21.36056877 | 93533.405 | 16211 | |...
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...strengths and weaknesses of decision. Out of the nine comparable companies given for DSH's relative valuation, five have been selected to be in the analysis for relative valuation for their similarities in business operations and risk profiles. These five companies are JB Hi-Fi Limited (JBH), Harvey Norman Holdings Ltd. (HVN), GOME Electrical Appliances Holding Limited (GMELY), Dixons Retail PLC (DXNS) and Hikari Tsushin, Inc. Strengths of decision Business operations: Only companies which operates its business relatively similar to DSH's have been taken selected in this relative valuation. DSH is a major retailer of consumer electronics for offices, mobility and entertainment products. Out of nine comparable companies given, only Myer Holdings Limited (MYR) and Game Stop Corp. (GME) were identified not to be similar to DSH, GME primarily sells products related to electronic games and MYR retails a wide range of merchandise including apparels, cosmetics, electronics and furniture. This suggests that MYR and GME would not be ideal as DSH's comparable companies on the basis that they are exposed to different operating risks from DSH. Furthermore, all 5 selected firms operate on omni-channels of distribution and have very similar products and services with essentially the same target market in their countries of operation, making it ideal to be used in this relative valuation of DSH. Weaknesses of decision Market Capitalisation: The main weakness is having the size of selected...
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...Introduction to Valuation Multiples Table 1 op yo A multiple is a market price per unit, which, when multiplied by the number of units, gives the value of those units. We use multiples regularly in our everyday lives without even realizing it. For example, to determine the value of a bag of fish, we multiply the price of fish per pound (the multiple) by the weight of fish in the bag (the number of units). Below are some more examples of multiples you may have used. Everyday Multiples Quantity X Pounds of fish Bushels of apples Gallons of gasoline Number of square feet X X X X Multiple $ per pound $ per bushel $ per gallon $ per square foot = Value = = = = Cost of fish Value of apples Price of tank of gas Value of property No tC In real estate transactions, realtors often make a first estimate of the value of a property based on the number of square feet times the prevailing price per square foot in the locality. For example, if the average price per square foot in your neighborhood is $500, you might think you got a good deal if you acquired a 1000-square-foot apartment for less than $500,000. Although multiples present an efficient way to value an item, they also pose risks. Not all 1000-square-foot apartments in a particular neighborhood sell for the same price. Other factors, such as supply, condition, and location of the apartments, may affect the price as well. The risks in applying one multiple ($500/square...
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...Session 2 Week 2 - FNCE 90062 Capstone Studies in Finance Session 2 Comparator Analysis “Comps” An opinion of value • A valuation is a well-founded opinion of value. It should be based on market evidence, but it is not a market result itself. • In some cases, the asset is not traded in an active market or exchange. e.g., privately held companies, real estate. Here, the concept of value may be different, depending on the type of valuation. (e.g., valuation for tax vs valuation for listing) • In other cases, the asset is traded in an active market or exchange. Here, you must provide a reason why the market value does to represent the ‘correct value’ for the purchaser. e.g., listed companies Valuation methods Method Comparable Companies DCF Cash Flows Accounting Risk Adjustment Prevailing market evidence Expected CFs Expected CFs RADR Separate RADR for different classes of CFs Separate RADR for different risk classes of CFs Risk free Complexity Adjusted DCF Sum of the Parts Expected CFs Certainty Equivalence Risk adjusted Use Steps in Comparable Company Analysis 1. Select Universe of Comparable Companies 2. Locate Necessary Financial Information 3. Determine Key Statistics, Ratios and Trading Multiples 4. Benchmark the Comparable Companies 5. Determine Valuations Step 1: Select Universe of Comparable Companies • What is a comparable company? You are looking for a company that similar to the company being...
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...Journal of Financial Economics 53 (1999) 409 }437 Valuing IPOs Moonchul Kim , Jay R. Ritter * Department of Accounting, KyungHee University, C1 Hoegie-Dong, Dongdaemun-Ku, Seoul 130-701, South Korea Department of Finance, School of Business Administration, University of Florida, Gainesville, FL 32611-7168, USA Received 3 June 1997; received in revised form 18 August 1998 Abstract The use of accounting information in conjunction with comparable "rm multiples is widely recommended for valuing initial public o!erings (IPOs). We "nd that the price}earnings (P/E), market-to-book, and price-to-sales multiples of comparable "rms have only modest predictive ability without further adjustments. This is largely due to the wide variation of these ratios for young "rms within an industry. P/E multiples using forecasted earnings result in much more accurate valuations than multiples using trailing 1999 Elsevier Science S.A. All rights reserved. earnings. JEL classixcation: G24 Keywords: Initial public o!erings; Valuation; Comparable "rms * Corresponding author. Tel.: #1-352-846-2837; fax: #1-352-392-0301. E-mail addresses: kimc@nms.kyunghee.ac.kr (M. Kim), jritter@dale.cba.u#.edu (J.R. Ritter) This paper is based on Moonchul Kim's University of Illinois Ph.D. dissertation. We would like to thank seminar participants at Boston, Emory, Georgetown, Humboldt (Berlin), and Vanderbilt Universities, the Universities of Miami and Texas, the Stockholm School of Economics, the Chinese University...
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...Journal of Financial Economics 53 (1999) 409 }437 Valuing IPOs Moonchul Kim , Jay R. Ritter * Department of Accounting, KyungHee University, C1 Hoegie-Dong, Dongdaemun-Ku, Seoul 130-701, South Korea Department of Finance, School of Business Administration, University of Florida, Gainesville, FL 32611-7168, USA Received 3 June 1997; received in revised form 18 August 1998 Abstract The use of accounting information in conjunction with comparable "rm multiples is widely recommended for valuing initial public o!erings (IPOs). We "nd that the price}earnings (P/E), market-to-book, and price-to-sales multiples of comparable "rms have only modest predictive ability without further adjustments. This is largely due to the wide variation of these ratios for young "rms within an industry. P/E multiples using forecasted earnings result in much more accurate valuations than multiples using trailing 1999 Elsevier Science S.A. All rights reserved. earnings. JEL classixcation: G24 Keywords: Initial public o!erings; Valuation; Comparable "rms * Corresponding author. Tel.: #1-352-846-2837; fax: #1-352-392-0301. E-mail addresses: kimc@nms.kyunghee.ac.kr (M. Kim), jritter@dale.cba.u#.edu (J.R. Ritter) This paper is based on Moonchul Kim's University of Illinois Ph.D. dissertation. We would like to thank seminar participants at Boston, Emory, Georgetown, Humboldt (Berlin), and Vanderbilt Universities, the Universities of Miami and Texas, the Stockholm School of Economics, the Chinese University...
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...JETBLUE AIRWAYS IPO VALUATION Teaching Note This case examines the April 2002, decision of JetBlue management to price the initial public offering of JetBlue stock during one of the worst periods in airline history. The case outlines JetBlue’s innovative strategy and the associated strong financial performance over its initial two years. Students are invited to value the stock and take a position on whether the current $25–$26 per share filing range is appropriate. The case is designed to showcase corporate valuation using discounted cash flow and peer-company market multiples. The epilogue details the 67 percent first-day rise in JetBlue stock from the $27 offer price. With such a backdrop, students are exposed to one of the well-known finance anomalies—the IPO underpricing phenomenon—and are invited to critically discuss various proposed explanations. The case provides opportunities for the instructor to develop any of the following teaching objectives, • Review the institutional aspects of the equity issuance transaction. • Explore the costs and benefits associated with public share offerings. • Develop an appreciation for the challenges of valuing unseasoned firms. • Hone corporate valuation skills, particularly using market multiples. • Evaluate the received explanations of various finance anomalies, such as the IPO underpricing phenomenon. Study Questions 1. What are the advantages and disadvantages...
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...PLEKHANOV RUSSIAN UNIVERSITY OF ECONOMICS INTERNATIONAL BUSINESS SCHOOL COURSE WORK « Business Valuation on the basis of Damodaran model » Corporate Finance Student: Pavel Terefera Supervisor: Irina Sokolnikova Moscow 2015 Contents Introduction _____________________________________________ 3 Chapter 1. Valuation______________________________________ 4 1.1 Valuation in portfolio management_________________________ 7 1.2 Valuation in acquisition__________________________________ 10 1.3 Valuation in corporate finance_____________________________ 10 Chapter 2. Approaches to Valuation___________________________ 11 2.1 Profitable Approach_____________________________________ 12 2.1.2 Income capitalization approach __________________________ 12 2.1.3Method of discounted cash flows__________________________ 14 2.1.4 Discounted Cash Flow Valuation on example of JSC NLMK____ 20 2.2 Relative Valuation Approach______________________________ 23 Conclusion _______________________________________________ 28 Bibliography ______________________________________________ 29 Introduction. Knowing the value of an asset may not be a guarantee for success for investor, but it does help us make more informed judgments. A postulate of sound investing is that an investor does not pay more for an asset than its worth. In conditions of market economy when all transactions are made "on fear and risk" their participants, both seller...
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...Chapter 7: Prospective Analysis: Valuation Theory and Concepts Copyright (c) 2008 Thomson South-Western, a part of the Thomson Corporation. Thomson, the Star logo, and South-Western are trademarks used herein under license. Chapter 7: Prospective Analysis: Valuation Theory and Concepts Palepu & Healy Key Concepts in Chapter 7 • Forecasts (Ch. 6) are converted into estimates of value. • Discounted future dividends, cash flows, and abnormal earnings may be used to estimate value. • Price-based multiples may also be used as value estimates. • No method by itself dominates any of the others. Copyright (c) 2008 Thomson South-Western, a part of the Thomson Corporation. Thomson, the Star logo, and South-Western are trademarks used herein under license. Chapter 7: Prospective Analysis: Valuation Theory and Concepts Palepu & Healy Discounted Dividends Valuation • The present value of future cash flows to shareholders is the basis of the discounted dividends method. • This method is the basis for most theoretical approaches to stock valuation, including the other methods discussed in this chapter. Where re is the cost of equity capital Copyright (c) 2008 Thomson South-Western, a part of the Thomson Corporation. Thomson, the Star logo, and South-Western are trademarks used herein under license. Chapter 7: Prospective Analysis: Valuation Theory and Concepts Palepu & Healy Discounted Abnormal Earnings • Abnormal earnings are...
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...Valuation Fundamentals Table of Contents www.finaticsonline.com Table of Contents > > > > > Introduction – Concept of Fair Value – Who uses Valuation? Valuation & Wealth Maximization Valuation Approaches Valuation Methods Is there a ‘Best’ method? > > Which method is best suited ? – Public vs Private Company – By Scenario – By Sector Valuation FAQs – General – DCF – Comparables Press Alt, W, F for maximizing viewing area Equity Valuation Fundamentals Introduction – Concept of Fair Value www.finaticsonline.com At Finatics, we define Equity Valuation as “A process that involves determining „Fair Value‟ of a company‟s equity in order to assist buy/sell decisions for the purpose of Financial or Strategic Investment ” So what is Fair Value of an investment? How should the worth of an Investment be determined ? …(Contd) Put Simply, Fair Value is the price at which, one will get the desired rate of return when the investment is sold to a willing & able buyer. The worth of an investment is determined by whether it is meant for long term use to generate returns (i.e. Strategic Investment) or for resale when the „right price‟ or „fair value‟ is achieved (Financial Investment). The purpose of Valuation is to determine a fair value range of an investment (or capital asset) using one or more of several available techniques As discussed, investment related demand will be driven by expected return resulting...
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...performance. Students are invited to value the stock and take a position on whether the current $15 to $17 per share filing range is appropriate. The case is designed to showcase corporate valuation using discounted cash flow and peer-company market multiples. The epilogue details the 40% first-day rise in Rosetta Stone stock from the $18 offer price. With this backdrop, students are exposed to a well-known finance anomaly—the IPO underpricing phenomenon—and are invited to critically discuss various proposed explanations. The case provides opportunities for the instructor to develop any of the following teaching objectives: * Review the institutional aspects of the equity issuance transaction. * Explore the costs and benefits associated with public share offerings. * Develop an appreciation for the challenges of valuing unseasoned firms. * Hone corporate valuation skills, particularly using market multiples. * Evaluate the received explanations of various finance anomalies, such as the IPO underpricing phenomenon. Study Questions 1. What are the advantages and disadvantages of Rosetta Stone going public? 2. What do you think the current market price is for Rosetta Stone shares? Justify your valuation on a discounted-cash-flow basis and a market multiples basis. 3. At what price would you recommend that Rosetta Stone shares be sold? Supplementary Material Although the context of the discussion is mergers, the Darden technical note...
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...which comparable peers are good matches and use them to perform a multiples analysis, calculating and defending an estimate of Crocs value. Soln: Comparable companies analysis – Done to determine appropriate valuation multiple for Crocs, Inc. • • Selected peer group based on industry, business and financial characteristics Included explosive growth stocks such as Lulelemon & Under Armour having similar prospects for growth and ROIC as Crocs, Inc. and some mature, stabilized businesses with stable industry growth rates – Nike, Deckers & Timberland. This mix will help us provide valuation from an aggressive sales growth and maturing sales context. Some characteristics used in selection include – o Primary or at least significant portion of business revenue comes from footwear & apparel – analogous to Crocs primary business o Has product appeal to large group of customers o Has distinct product attributes (innovative/creative) and differentiation from competition o Has wide range of distribution channels o CAGR Sales growth, COGS to Sales & Significantly less debt exposure on their balance sheets o Have characteristics of high octane growth and show signs of maturity and stabilizing long-term growth similar to well established footwear brands. • Valuation Multiples The objective was to compare operating metrics and valuation multiples in a peer group to that of Crocs, Inc. for equity valuation. The market multiple model is based on the idea that on average, a company, over time...
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...What is an IPO and why is it such a big deal? Is this a good idea for JetBlue? Explain. When a privately held company makes its stock available to the general public for the first time on a securities exchange, this is known as the company’s Initial Public Offering (IPO). The IPO can consist of an initial issue of either debt or equity. The IPO process is also referred to as a private company “going public”. There are numerous benefits associated with going public. IPO benefits include enlarging and diversifying a company’s equity base, allowing cheaper access to capital, improving public image, attracting better management and employees through stock options, enabling transfer of company ownership through mergers/acquisitions, and providing increased financing opportunities (through equity, convertible debt, bank loans, etc.). IPO Process Executing an IPO is an extensive, time-consuming, and complicated process for the senior management team of a company. The main steps of the process are outlined below: • Hire an investment bank as an underwriter—the underwriters’ purpose is to negotiate ways to raise capital (by either debt or equity) and interface with the public. (In JetBlue’s case, the underwriter was Morgan Stanley.) • Begin to negotiate with the underwriters about all the required information that will be contained in the underwriting agreement. This information includes the amount of capital the company wants to raise, types of securities that will be issued...
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...CASE A CSX ACQUISITION OF CONSOLIDATED RAIL CORPORATION CSX has put up a bid of $8.3 B in order to horizontally integrate with Conrail in order to increase the combined profitability based on perceived improvement in Synergies. A) Lower Cost Structure: Railroad is capital intensive industry with very high fixed cost. CSX-Conrail merger will lower company’s cost-structure by creating increasing economies of scale. Operating ratio of Conrail is 87.63% and CSX’s operating ratio is 81.99% (Exhibit 1). According to American Investment research report (Exhibit 10), proposed merger will bring operating ratio to 65 % (an 18.75% decrease). Both CSX and Conrail have low ROA (2.33% and 4.11%) compared to Norfolk’s ROA of 5.06 % (Table 6). If CSX and Conrail will achieve its projected revenue growth and cost-savings, CSX-Conrail will become more efficient than Norfolk. B) Gain Market Power : Based on revenue data from 1995 (Exhibit 1), CSK control 38.5%, Conrail controls 29.4% and Norfolk controls 32.1% of Northeast rail freight market. The proposed merger will allow CSX to control major share (~70 %) of the lucrative North Eastern rail market and enable them to take advantage of synergies in the space. In addition, CSX – Conrail can further improve on its market position by limiting Norfolk’s access to long-haul routes either from south or Midwest. MECHANICS OF THE CSX – CONRAIL DEAL CSX has offered a two-tiered offer for the stocks of Conrail. For the first 40% of the shares...
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...10/04/2012 FINA 6273 Section 10 Table of Contents VALUATION OF ORRSTOWN BANK 4 EQUITY FORECAST 6 ORRSTOWN SEPTA ASSESSMENT 9 [This page intentionally left blank] VALUATION OF ORRSTOWN BANK To consider valuing any enterprise an analyst must make several assumptions based on their understanding of the firm. In considering the valuation of Orrstown Bank there are several difficult aspects to cover and consider. In this report, Orrstown bank is valuated in two ways. A valuation based on discounted cash flows, in this case Net Income. And a valuation based on market multiples. Both of these multipliers suffer in an examination of Orrstown and its unique problems. This will be covered in the conclusion. Valuation based on discounted Cash flows: This valuation is basically considering the future of the firm as a project that can be discounted back to the present using the standard NPV formula: NPV = ∑ CFn/(1+r)n Forecasted Net Income is considered the future cash flows, the period (n) is five years. As Orrstown is forecasted to go bankrupt in 2015 a longer time scale did not seem necessary. The chosen discount rate is the Weighted Average Cost of Capital (WACC). In calculating NPV the discount rate is essential. WACC is a standard in determining the cost of financing (debt and equity) future cash flows and appeared most appropriate in this case. The WACC for Orrstown bank is a paltry .92%. This number is markedly below the...
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