...CHAPTER 9 – CHARACTERIZING RISK AND RETURN Questions LG1 1. Why is the percentage return a more useful measure than the dollar return? The dollar return is most important relative to the amount invested. Thus, a $100 return is more impressive from a $1,000 investment than a $5,000 investment. The percentage return incorporates both the dollar return and the amount invested. Therefore, it is easier to compare percentage return across different investments. LG2 2. Characterize the historical return, risk, and risk-return relationship of the stock, bond and cash markets. Examining Table 9.2, it is clear that the stock market has earned about double the return since 1950 than bonds. Bonds have earned about 50% higher return than the cash markets. The risk in the stock market is also higher than the bond and cash markets according to the standard deviation measurement (Table 9.4). Another illustration of the high risk is that the stock market frequently losses money and sometimes does not earn more than the bond and cash markets over short periods of time (Table 9.2). The risk-return relationship tells us that we should expect higher returns for the riskier market. We do see higher realized returns over the long term to the higher risk asset classes. LG3 3. How do we define risk in this chapter and how do we measure it? Risk is defined as the volatility of an asset’s returns over time. Specifically, the standard deviation of returns is used to measure...
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...CHAPTER 9 – CHARACTERIZING RISK AND RETURN Questions LG1 1. Why is the percentage return a more useful measure than the dollar return? The dollar return is most important relative to the amount invested. Thus, a $100 return is more impressive from a $1,000 investment than a $5,000 investment. The percentage return incorporates both the dollar return and the amount invested. Therefore, it is easier to compare percentage return across different investments. LG2 2. Characterize the historical return, risk, and risk-return relationship of the stock, bond and cash markets. Examining Table 9.2, it is clear that the stock market has earned about double the return since 1950 than bonds. Bonds have earned about 50% higher return than the cash markets. The risk in the stock market is also higher than the bond and cash markets according to the standard deviation measurement (Table 9.4). Another illustration of the high risk is that the stock market frequently losses money and sometimes does not earn more than the bond and cash markets over short periods of time (Table 9.2). The risk-return relationship tells us that we should expect higher returns for the riskier market. We do see higher realized returns over the long term to the higher risk asset classes. LG3 3. How do we define risk in this chapter and how do we measure it? Risk is defined as the volatility of an asset’s returns over time. Specifically, the standard deviation of returns is used to measure...
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...accounting fraud and auditor legal liability c a S eS inc lu de d in t hiS Se ction 4 89 99 4.1 Enron Corporation and Andersen, LLP Analyzing the Fall of Two Giants . . . . . . . . . . . 4.2 Comptronix Corporation 4.3 Cendant Corporation . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . Identifying Inherent Risk and Control Risk Factors . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 111 119 127 137 Assessing the Control Environment and Evaluating Risk of Financial Statement Fraud . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 4.4 Waste Management, Inc. 4.5 Xerox Corporation 4.6 Phar-Mor, Inc. Manipulating Accounting Estimates . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . Evaluating Risk of Financial Statement Fraud . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . Accounting Fraud, Litigation, and Auditor Liability instructor resource Manual — do not coPy or redistribute instructor resource Manual — do not coPy or redistribute enron corporation and andersen, llP analyzing the fall of two giants inS tr uc t ional o b je c t ive S [1] c a s e 4.1 Mark S. Beasley · Frank A. Buckless · Steven M. Glover · Douglas F. Prawitt [2] [3] To help students understand what happened at Enron Corporation and how Andersen’s involvement with Enron led to the accounting firm’s downfall. To enhance students’ appreciation of the importance of understanding an audit client’s core business strategies. To develop students’...
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...MORGAN NORTH STANLEY RESEARCH AMERICA Morgan Stanley & Co. LLC Adam S. Parker, Ph.D Adam.Parker@morganstanley.com +1 212 761 1755 Brian T. Hayes, Ph.D Brian.T.Hayes@morganstanley.com Antonio Ortega Antonio.Ortega@morganstanley.com November 26, 2012 Adam J. Gould, CFA Adam.Gould@morganstanley.com US Equity Strategy The 2013 Playbook We are launching our 2013 US equity outlook today. We have been cautious on US equities for much of the last two years. Our concerns around US deficit / debt and the obvious borrowing from the future that occurs from unconventional policy, the European sovereign crisis, and slower growth in emerging markets generally remain, but the acuteness of these issues appears for now to be less sharp. Our 2013 year-end target calls for low-to-mid single digit upside (Exhibit 1) predicated on our view that 2014 corporate earnings are likely to modestly recover from our 2013 forecasted level, perhaps with profits troughing during the April 2013 earnings season. Our year-end 2013 S&P500 price target is 1434, and our bull and bear targets are 1733 and 1135 (Exhibit 1). Our EPS outlook for 2014 is $110.21, up from our 2013 forecast of $98.71, both well below consensus. Improving Michigan Confidence and tightening corporate spreads drive the relative improvement in our earnings outlook. Please see our Interactive Model: S&P500: 2013 Year-End Forecast, also published today, to play with key assumptions and change assumptions for EPS...
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...Strategy Template.dot Strategy INDIA INDIA June 28, 2010 BSE-30:17,575 The 100 Billion Dollar Club. We analyze Indian companies and their attributes such as (1) IPR (brand and technology), (2) financial and industrial assets and (3) natural resources that can propel them to US$100 bn market capitalization over a period of time. We also look at global experience to draw conclusions for India; every decade throws up new and interesting names. Finally, we assess operating factors that are required to achieve and sustain US$100 bn market capitalization. Asset-based companies: A few banks can and will get there Other than financial services companies, we are skeptical of any other asset-based company entering the US$100 bn league from India. Asset-based companies require constant reinvestment to grow and return on invested capital is not high enough in ‘mature’ businesses to create meaningful value. Most will trade at and around book value. IPR-based companies: A rarity in India and will likely remain so Infosys and TCS can make it to the US$100 bn league on a 15-16% CAGR in earnings up to FY2021E and 14-15X P/E multiple. However, their headcount-led services business could face issues of (1) scalability, (2) manpower and (3) margin pressure. We don’t see circumstances changing meaningfully in India for creation of large IPR-based companies. Resource-based companies: Few candidates but right policies critical RIL and ONGC are obvious candidates to get to US$100 bn market...
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...Company Profile History Key Dates: 1976: With $1,300, Steve Jobs and Steve Wozniak found Apple Computer, Inc. 1980: Apple converts to public ownership. 1982: Apple becomes the first personal computer company to reach $1 billion in annual sales. 1985: John Sculley assumes the helm after a management shakeup that causes the departure of Jobs and several other Apple executives. 1991: PowerBook line of notebook computers is released. 1994: Power Macintosh line is released. 1996: Acquisition of NeXT brings Steve Jobs back to Apple as a special advisor. 1997: Steve Jobs is named interim chief executive officer. 1998: The all-in-one iMac is released. 2000: Jobs, now firmly in command as CEO, oversees a leaner, more tightly focused Apple. Apple Computer, Inc. is largely responsible for the enormous growth of the personal computer industry in the 20th century. The introduction of the Macintosh line of personal computers in 1984 established the company as an innovator in industrial design whose products became renowned for their intuitive ease of use. Though battered by bad decision-making during the 1990s, Apple continues to exude the same enviable characteristics in the 21st century that catapulted the company toward fame during the 1980s. The company designs, manufactures, and markets personal computers, software, and peripherals, concentrating on lower-cost, uniquely designed...
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...Auditing Cases An Interactive Learning Approach FIFTH M F S D E D ITIO N S. B A. B M. G F. P Boston Columbus Indianapolis New York San Francisco Upper Saddle River Amsterdam Cape Town Dubai London Madrid Milan Munich Paris Montreal Toronto Delhi Mexico City Sao Paulo Sydney Hong Kong Seoul Singapore Taipei Tokyo Editor in Chief: Donna Battista Acquisitions Editor: Stephanie Wall Editorial Project Manager: Christina Rumbaugh Senior Managing Editor: Cynthia Zonneveld Production Project Manager: Carol O'Rourke Senior Operations Supervisor: Diane Peirano Printer/Binder: BindRite Graphics, Robbinsville Credits and acknowledgments borrowed from other sources and reproduced, with permission, in this textbook appear on the appropriate page within text. Copyright © 2012, 2009, 2006, 2003, 2000 by Pearson Education, Inc., publishing Prentice Hall. All rights reserved. Manufactured in the United States of America. This publication is protected by Copyright, and permission should be obtained from the publisher prior to any prohibited reproduction, storage in a retrieval system, or transmission in any form or by any means, electronic, mechanical, photocopying, recording, or likewise. To obtain permission(s) to use material from this work, please submit a written request to Pearson Education, Inc., Permissions Department, One Lake Street, Upper Saddle River, New Jersey 07458, or you may fax your request to 201-236-3290. Many of the designations by manufacturers and sellers to distinguish...
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...9-300-001 REV: JULY 25, 2001 CHRISTOPOHER A. BARTLETT Microsoft: Competing on Talent (A) In the summer of 1999, a front page Wall Street Journal article was attracting attention on the Redmond campus. Under the headline “As Microsoft Matures, Some Top Talent Chooses to Go Off Line,” the article reported: “Tired of grueling deadlines, frustrated by the bureaucracy that has accompanied Microsoft’s explosive growth, or lured away by the boom in high-tech start-ups, dozens i of the company’s most capable leaders, all around 40, have opted out—at least temporarily . . .” (See Exhibit 1 for the article’s list of senior level departures.) Steve Ballmer, the company’s recently appointed president and COO, was quoted as saying that some of the departures were voluntary and some were not, opening opportunities for fresher, smarter replacements. “We have a bench that is very deep,” he said. “We have people who are fired ii Yet despite the positive outlook, Ballmer clearly up—driven—to lead the next generation.” recognized that Microsoft had to change or adapt some of the human resource practices that had allowed it to assemble and retain what CEO Bill Gates proudly called “the best team of software professionals the world has ever seen.” Just six weeks before the WSJ article was published, Ballmer had announced a package of changes that sweetened salaries, allowed more frequent promotions, and softened some of the pressures that had long been part of the ”hard-core” Microsoft culture....
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...iWatch'Situation'Analysis'Articles' ' ! Readings!for!Week!3!Class! ! ! You!are!asked!to!READ!ALL!of!the!articles!included!in!this!attachment!prior!to!coming!to!class!in!week! 3.!!Please!bring!a!copy!with!you!to!class!in!week!3.! ! Assume&the¤t&timeframe&is&before&the&launch&of&the&apple&watch.& ! There!have!been!many!rumors!that!Apple!may!be!considering!the!launch!of!a!wearable!device!such! as!an!iWatch.!!Wearable!computing!appears!to!be!the!latest!trend,!as!many!devices!have!exploded!in! popularity!as!they!look!to!change!the!way!we!stay!connected.!!Numerous!competitors!have!entered! the!game,!such!as!Samsung,!Sony,!i’m!Watch,!Pebble!and!others.! ! One!of!“The!latest!forecasts!suggest!that!the!demand!for!the!wristKworn!devices!known!as! "smartwatches"!will!increase!by!900!per!cent!over!the!next!12!months.!!According!to!Canalys’s! forecasts,!this!incredible!jump!KK!the!company!believes!that!over!5!million!smart!watches!will!be! shipped!by!the!end!of!2014!KK!will!be!created!by!new!products”!!Read!more!by!clicking!on!this!link:! http://www.ctvnews.ca/sciKtech/smartwatchKmarketKcouldKjumpKbyK900KinKtheKnextKyearKforecastK 1.1370745#ixzz2ZJrVlDaI!! ! Using'ONLY'the'information'contained'in'the'articles'that'follow,'conduct'a'situation'analysis'to' determine'whether'Apple'should'or'should'not'launch'a'wrist'wearable'smart'watch'(ignore'the' fact'that'they'have'launch'a'watch).''Be'sure'that'your'SWOT'analysis'supports'the' recommendation'you'make...
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...Introduction to Centaur Partners SaaS Market Overview Centaur Partners Mergers & Acquisitions, Private Placement Advisory, and Transaction Consulting May 2015 CONFIDENTIAL – NOT FOR DISTRIBUTION © 2015, Centaur Partners │Confidential | Technology Market Overview IT Storage IT Infrastructure NASDAQ Composite IT Security BigData 160 SaaS Internet Digital Media 150 140 130 120 12% 110 100 90 80 5/7 6/7 7/7 8/7 9/7 10/7 11/7 12/7 1/7 2/7 3/7 4/7 IT Security SaaS Internet/Digital Media NASDAQ Big Data IT Infrastructure 43% 31% 25% 23% 6% 5/7 4% Source: CapIQ 5/4/15 IT Security Index: AVG, SYMC, CHKP, FTNT, PANW, FIRE, IMPV, VDSI, PFPT, FEYE, QLYS SaaS Index: CRM, N, ATHN, ULTI, JCOM, TRAK, BCOV, DWRE, GWRE, LOGM, CTCT, CSOD, LPSN, MKTG, VOCS, IL, TNGO, SPSC, SQI, ZIXI, ELLI, NOW, WDAY, MDSO, LOCK, FLTX, QLYS, RALY, MKTO, MRIN, MODN Big Data Index: EMC, TDC, INFA, MSTR, SPLK, DWCH, ATTUF, NTAP, SPLK, DATA, FIO, FALC Internet & Digital Media: 66 companies IT Infrastructure Index: VMW, CTXS, NTAP, CA, RHT, SWI, INFA, OTEX, CVLT, CPWR, QLIK, PEGA, MVSN, PRGS, JIVE, NTCT, BLOX, GUID, MGIC, FALC, FIO, GIMO, SSNI, CYNI, RALY © 2015, Centaur Partners │Confidential │ 2 Technology M&A Trends Key M&A Statistics Technology M&A – Transactions Since 2006 Number of Transactions 2,400 2,000 $165 1,600 1,441 $166 $150 1,281 1,216 1...
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...Auditing Cases instructor resource Manual f our th e d itio n Mark S. Beasley Frank A. Buckless Steven M. Glover Douglas F. Prawitt do not coPy or redistribute Prentice hall Upper Saddle River, New Jersey ta b l e s e ct ion o f co n t e n t s 1 2 client acceptance . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . S o l u tionS inc lu de d in t h iS Section 1.1 Ocean Manufacturing, Inc. 3 The New Client Acceptance Decision s e ct ion Understanding the Client’s Business and assessing risk . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 13 S o l u tionS inc lu de d in t h iS Section 2.1 Your1040Return.com Evaluating eBusiness Revenue Recognition, Information Privacy, and Electronic Evidence Issues . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 25 2.2 2.3 2.4 Dell Computer Corporation Evaluation of Client Business Risk Flash Technologies, Inc. Asher Farms Inc. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 39 Risk Analysis and Resolution of Client Issues . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 49 Understanding of Client’s Business Environment s e ct ion 3 Professional and ethical issues . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 59 S o l u tio nS inc lu de d in t h iS Section 3.1 3.2 3.3 3.4 3.5 A Day in the Life of Brent Dorsey Staff Auditor Professional Pressures Nathan Johnson’s Rental Car Reimbursement Solving Ethical Dilemmas–Should...
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...Industry Analysis: Soft Drinks Meghan Deichert, Meghan Ellenbecker, Emily Klehr, Leslie Pesarchick, & Kelly Ziegler Strategic Management in a Global Context February 22, 2006 Industry Analysis: Soft Drinks Barbara Murray (2006c) explained the soft drink industry by stating, “For years the story in the nonalcoholic sector centered on the power struggle between…Coke and Pepsi. But as the pop fight has topped out, the industry's giants have begun relying on new product flavors…and looking to noncarbonated beverages for growth.” In order to fully understand the soft drink industry, the following should be considered: the dominant economic factors, five competitive sources, industry trends, and the industry’s key factors. Based on the analyses of the industry, specific recommendations for competitors can then be created. Dominant Economic Factors Market size, growth rate and overall profitability are three economic indicators that can be used to evaluate the soft drink industry. The market size of this industry has been changing. Soft drink consumption has a market share of 46.8% within the non-alcoholic drink industry, illustrated in Table 1. Datamonitor (2005) also found that the total market value of soft drinks reached $307.2 billion in 2004 with a market value forecast of $367.1 billion in 2009. Further, the 2004 soft drink volume was 325,367.2 million liters (see Table 2). Clearly, the soft drink industry is lucrative with a potential for high profits, but there are several...
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...Harvard Business School 9-799-158 June 6, 1999 D Matching Dell O N Between 1994 and 1998, the revenue of Dell Computer Corporation rose from $3.5 billion to $18.2 billion, and profits increased from $149 million to $1.5 billion. The company’s stock price rose by 5,600%. During the same period, Dell grew twice as fast as its major rivals in the personal computer market and tripled its market share. In the first half of 1998, Dell reported operating earnings that were greater than the personal computer earnings of Compaq, Gateway, Hewlett1 Packard, and IBM combined. On Forbes magazine’s list of the richest Americans, Michael Dell, the 33-year-old founder of Dell Computer, ranked fourth with an estimated worth of $13 billion. He trailed only Bill Gates, Warren Buffett, and Paul Allen on the list and was worth more than Gates had 2 been at the same age. O Dell Computer had pioneered the widely publicized “Direct Model” in the personal computer (PC) industry. While competitors sold primarily through distributors, resellers, and retail sites, Dell took orders directly from customers, especially corporate customers. Once it received an order, Dell rapidly built computers to customer specifications and shipped machines directly to the customer. T The success of the Direct Model attracted the intense scrutiny of Dell’s competitors. By 1997, headlines such as “Now Everyone in PCs Wants to Be Like Mike,” “Compaq Reengineers the Channel: Will...
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...Industry Analysis: Soft Drinks Meghan Deichert, Meghan Ellenbecker, Emily Klehr, Leslie Pesarchick, & Kelly Ziegler Strategic Management in a Global Context February 22, 2006 Industry Analysis: Soft Drinks Barbara Murray (2006c) explained the soft drink industry by stating, “For years the story in the nonalcoholic sector centered on the power struggle between…Coke and Pepsi. But as the pop fight has topped out, the industry's giants have begun relying on new product flavors…and looking to noncarbonated beverages for growth.” In order to fully understand the soft drink industry, the following should be considered: the dominant economic factors, five competitive sources, industry trends, and the industry’s key factors. Based on the analyses of the industry, specific recommendations for competitors can then be created. Dominant Economic Factors Market size, growth rate and overall profitability are three economic indicators that can be used to evaluate the soft drink industry. The market size of this industry has been changing. Soft drink consumption has a market share of 46.8% within the non-alcoholic drink industry, illustrated in Table 1. Datamonitor (2005) also found that the total market value of soft drinks reached $307.2 billion in 2004 with a market value forecast of $367.1 billion in 2009. Further, the 2004 soft drink volume was 325,367.2 million liters (see Table 2). Clearly, the soft drink industry is lucrative with a potential for high profits, but there are several...
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