...The Socialist Party grabs another chance Last March 9th 2008 elections in Spain ended with Zapatero´s triumph again. Never before have two candidates been so equalized in an election campaign according to opinion polls given by Spanish media. However, voters renewed their confidence in the PSOE and they kept their 16 seat cushion over their rivals. Little did PSOE politicians think that results would be so favourable for them. The current Prime Minister Jose Luis Rodríguez Zapatero started in politics in 1986 as a Deputy. In 2000, he became the president of the party, succeeding to outgoing Joaquin Almunia, with the mission to improve the public image of the party which was really damaged after last episodes of corruption and the lack of leadership within the party. Rarely had a rather unknown politician had the responsibility to rebuild a party in such a critical moment. Furthermore, not only did he have to fight against distinguished members of his party but also with his opponents to obtain the government. Between the most important are People´s Party led by Mariano Rajoy and United Left whose president, Gaspar Llamazares resigned on the same night of the elections after the failure suffered by this party. In spite of his success, Zapatero did not win the absolute majority so desired, therefore he must now seek backing from nationalist parties if he is to govern. Convergencia i Unió, Basque Nationalist Party and Galician Nationalist Bloc may be their partners next four...
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...1) No, he is not committing Gambler’s Fallacy. Because the black cards are not replaced when they are drawn, the chance of drawing a black card next decreases with each black card drawn. Therefore, after drawing 5 black cards in a row, the chances of drawing another black severely decrease and Achilles is correct in betting that a red card will be drawn next. 2) a. Pr(A&R)= 1/3 * 1/4 = 1/12, Pr~(A&R) = 11/12 b. Pr(A&Y)= 1/3 * 3/4= 1/4; Pr(B&R)= 2/3 * 3/5= 2/5; Pr((A&Y)v(B&R))= 2/5 + 1/4= 13/20 c. Pr(R)= Pr(A)Pr(R|A) + Pr(B)Pr(R|B)= 1/12 + 2/5 = 29/60 d. Pr(B|R)= (Pr(B)Pr(R|B))/Pr(R) = 24/29 3) e. 1/13 f. 1/13 * 3/51 =3/663 = 1/221 g. Pr(A|D1)vPr(A|D2)= 4/52 + 4/52 – 1/221 = 33/221 h. Only if we assume that the four spades drawn were the first four cards to be drawn, the answer would be 9/48 4) i. Pr(R1&B1)= 1/36 j. Pr(R1vB1)= 1/3 – 1/36 = 11/36 k. Pr((R1vR2)&(B1vB2)) = 1/9 l. Pr(~(R1vB1))= 1- Pr((R1vB1))= 1- 1/3- 1/36= 25/36 m. Pr((R1&R2)v(B1&B2)= 0 n. Pr(R1|(R1vR2vR3))= 1/3 5) Pr(P)= Pr(S)Pr(P|S) + Pr(~S)Pr(P|~S) = (3/5)(4/5) + (2/5)(1/5) = 14/25 6) Pr(A)= 1 (Tautology) Pr(B|A)= (Pr(B)Pr(A|B))/Pr(A)= Pr(B) (Bayes Theorem) Pr(A|B)= 1 Pr(B|A)=...
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...smh.com.au - The Sydney Morning Herald NEWS | JOBS | REAL ESTATE | CARS | FINANCE | MOBILE | DATING | TRAVEL | WEATHER network map | member centre Help Quick Search | Advanced Search | Browse Archives Print Entire Page Fairfax photo sales The best photography from The Age and The Sydney Morning Herald. more photos Need Help? Outrageous fortune Author: MALCOLM KNOX Date: 24/03/2012 Words: 1886 Source: SMH Publication: Sydney Morning Herald Section: News Review Page: 22 Can't find what you are looking for? Check out our Search Tips for the best ways to find Fairfax Articles. For back editions of newspapers older than the previous two weeks, please contact Paper World on 1800 811 755 or visit www.paperworld.com.au or your state library. In Sydney, back editions of The Sydney Morning Herald, The Age and The Australian Financial Review can be purchased at Shop 15, Pavilion Plaza, 580 George Street, Sydney, 2000, phone: (02) 9261 8310. If you have a technical or account inquiry about News Store, please click here The modern tendency to deny the existence of luck leads logically to blaming the victim. Since Samuel Smiles invented an industry with his 1859 book Self-Help, it has been a project of the capitalist age to abolish the idea of luck. Smiles, who outsold Charles Darwin and John Stuart Mill that year, opened with a line that said it all: "Heaven helps those who help themselves." The dogmas of self-help have remained religiously rigid. Since 2006, more than 21...
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...remember how I got to this part of Interstate 270, when I started off on the East Side of Columbus. I slowly hobbled to the front of my car to survey the damage. Fighting to keep my footing, I noticed my hands were violently shaking. Never in my life had I flipped a car before, but during those rolls my heart skipped many beats as my SUV searched for steady ground before coming to a rest. Finally, stumbling to the front after grabbing ahold of the hanging bumper to stabilize my steps, I noticed the extreme amount of damage. My truck was totaled, no question. How could I put my life and those around me in jeopardy without so much as a second thought? Earlier that night, I hopped out of the shower eager to go out and celebrate the end of another work week. After ironing the clothes I picked out earlier that day, putting on some cologne, and admiring myself in the mirror, I darted out the door and threw the car in reverse. Drinking was always on the agenda, but I had the motto that the more I drank, the better driver I became. I decided to make a quick stop at a bar before proceeding onto a nightclub for the night. I pulled into the parking lot approximately seven o’clock and immediately began to catch up with my friends that arrived earlier. Two hours later, I was still about two shots back, but I figured I would make up for that when I made it to the nightclub. Searching for an exit, I definitely knew I was feeling quite buzzed. My eyes shifted back and forth struggling to find...
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...education, to keep food on the table for her kids, and because Wes' father has been out of the picture for several years now, there is no other source of income for the poor family. Wes tries to stay strong despite all the bad things in his life, and pushes through days looking for the light at the end of the tunnel to solve all his problem. When Wes heads off to private school years later, he is at first passing classes and learning at a steady pace. However, when his life at home becomes too much to handle along with school, Wes takes a fall and fails out of private school. Wes doesn't want to go on living in poverty, so he decides that he is going to get an education one way, or another. He decides to join a military school and enlist in the countries' armed forces, in hopes that he will have one more chance at getting a wonderful education to turn his life around. At first, he didn't seem cut out for the military, but with time came acceptance, and Wes toughened up and contributed to the war in his own way. After his time in the...
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...Luck or Opportunity "Luck is a matter of preparation meeting opportunity” is a quote from Oprah Winfrey, a famous American talk show host. The speaker is trying to tell people that good preparation for opportunity is the key to be successful, not luck. Luck is really being ready for something, perhaps unconsciously, so that you recognize it when you see it. When whatever it is comes along, it will seem to be a stroke of luck, but in reality it is not luck at all. It is something you have strived and worked towards, maybe without even knowing it, so that when it presents itself it seems second nature. I agree with Winfrey because I believe that preparation is more important. My agreement is based on the following reasons. The first reason is that opportunity is very transient and rare, so we must grab it whenever we meet it. In my opinion, grabbing opportunity means to get ready and be well-prepared. Take Oprah Winfrey for example. Before she became a well-known national TV host, she worked in a local station for many years and had gone to uncountable interviews. Without her experiences, she could not have gotten the interview for national TV host and become successful. Second, preparation is always advantageous and never harmful to us. Preparation requires motivation, activity and carefulness. Those who most frequently experience outcomes viewed by society as unlucky live lives which exhibit little evidence of motivation, activity and care. When preparing for something...
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...tips can be shared as under:- • Place the sofa in the corner which is farthest from the door and windows and make sure the sofa is clearly visible and provides a clear view of the door. • Do not allow space in between the wall and sofa. Wall is essential for providing security & protection to the members in the Feng Shui house. Don't place the sofa in front of a window or directly opposite the door. Since energy flows between the door & window, it would restrict the path of your guests. • Make sure you do not have lights or beams directly above the sofa as this would release the flow of negative energy. • Use of screens & partitions to influence the energy flow is highly recommended. This way the flow of energy can be directed to another part of the room. • While watching TV in your Feng Shui living room, try to sit on the red colour sofas as it promotes harmony and health for everyone living under one's roof. The colour red is considered to be very auspicious colour for all the family members who promote good overall health for everyone. • Put a dragon tortoise in the northern side of your living room for...
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...COMES CLOSEST TO REFLECTING YOUR OPINION ABOUT IT. Disagree very much Disagree moderately Disagree slightly Agree slightly Agree moderately Agree very much 1 I feel I am being paid a fair amount for the work I do. 1 2 3 4 5 6 2 There is really too little chance for promotion on my job. 1 2 3 4 5 6 3 My supervisor is quite competent in doing his/her job. 1 2 3 4 5 6 4 I am not satisfied with the benefits I receive. 1 2 3 4 5 6 5 When I do a good job, I receive the recognition for it that I should receive. 1 2 3 4 5 6 6 Many of our rules and procedures make doing a good job difficult. 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 I like the people I work with. 1 2 3 4 5 6 8 I sometimes feel my job is meaningless. 1 2 3 4 5 6 9 Communications seem good within this organization. 1 2 3 4 5 6 10 Raises are too few and far between. 1 2 3 4 5 6 11 Those who do well on the job stand a fair chance of being promoted. 1 2 3 4 5 6 12 My supervisor is unfair to me. 1 2 3 4 5 6 13 The benefits we receive are as good as most other organizations offer. 1 2 3 4 5 6 14 I do not feel that the work I do is appreciated...
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...As a Forensic Anthropologist, I don’t get lucky very often, but since I have become a Forensic Anthropologist, the concept of luck has changed drastically. For example, when my dog found a dead body, I felt like the luckiest person in the world. The first thing I did after consulting another Forensic Anthropologist, was lay out and examine the bones. This was in order to develop a profile for the victim. After laying them out, I was able to look at certain features of the bones. In cases where the victim is older, the vertebrae appears worn out. This victims vertebrae wasn’t worn out, and it was also shorter than the average adult. This tells us that our victim was young. Next, we looked at the many features of the skull, which would help us determine more about the victim’s race and age. The...
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...and just in general, really. There is another idea that is very prominent in the book which is the idea of chance or luck. Kosinski does a lovely and humorously plain and straightforward way of narrating the book. The narration really helps the book to reach its full potential. Chance is an ordinary gardener; he is a bit slower than most. He has always lived in an old man’s house, where he’s tended to the garden, ever since he can remember. But one day, the old man dies, causing Chance to leave all he’s ever known and step foot into a world he’s literally never seen before. In the afternoon of his departure, of his only home, he says goodbye to the garden and to the only place he’s ever been in/ to and wanders out on to the street of New York City. But shortly after his leaving, he gets hit by a limo. This is where one of the themes, chance/ luck, begins. A woman, Eve Rand, exits the limo and talks to Chance. He doesn’t really know what’s going on, but his left leg is injured so he goes with Eve to her home where his new life begins. Chance, or Chauncey, enters the home from medical treatment, but both Eve and Ben deeply admire him once they begin to talk to him. This is where the next theme, “too artsy”/ over-analyzing appears. This theme carries throughout the book, unlike luck. Throughout the book, Chance is put in situations that he is lucky to do well in. It shows that anyone’s life can change in a blink of an eye. When Chance was hit by the limo, unlucky luck, he...
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...working-life expectancy as a chance both for themselves and for society who will become the leaders and the models. Bill Gates once said, “As we look ahead into the next century, leaders will be those who empower others.” But one does not simply become a success person. It took years to become one. There is one requirement for managing the second life of one’s life which is to begin creating it long before one enters it. Other than to become leaders and models, we need to think on what to do with our second half of lives because we cannot put hope that we will still be working in the same organization in twenty years from now. As the saying goes, “Failure to prepare is preparing to fail.” We were taught in class the graph of life; as we are getting older, the options that are available to us are getting smaller, but the responsibilities are getting bigger. So at this young age, we need to grab any chances for the benefit of our future. As the professor said in class, “Don’t get old, alone and broke.” If we did, we might have nothing at all; even family. We do not want to be a burden to ourselves and people around us. Life is about drawing circles. If we have a great life, we will draw a perfect round circle. If we slipped somewhere, the circles drawn might not look like a circle. There are three ways to spend the second half of life. The first is to start a second and different career which is moving from one kind of organization to another. They may stay in the same kind...
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...Luck is Very Important for Success Luck can be regarded as what happens to a person beyond his control, and it can be interpreted in various ways as according to a rationalist luck includes the function of the system of probability and an ignorance of unscientific beliefs. Another face of the luck refers to a series of spiritual or divine philosophy termed as fortune; several people consider that luck can be influenced through performing certain rituals by spiritual means. This belief varies from one to another person, as some says that luck is a belief of fortunate and unfortunate events in an organization or a meaningful coincidence as per Carl Jung philosophy (The Luck Factor by Richard Wiseman). Success or failure in business or in any other field is the result of a person’s own deeds as practically it can be accepted that one of the essential thing to be successful– being fearless! Here it is noticeable that fearless person feels confidence and able to take best decisions in any circumstance. The role of luck in success can be viewed as 30-50% successful inventions are the result of some degree accidental mistakes while setting up the experiment, sometimes when experiments fail or don’t work and a person who could have been famous unluckily gives up too soon, whereas because of some awful breaks, a great scientist becomes a sales man (The Book of Luck by Summers & Watson). This proves that success and failure are just a throw of the dice, luck favors the prepared mind...
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...with the rest of his crew in the South Pole. As a result, Death and Life-in-Death, two spirits that follow the crew to punish them, are to decide his fate, his life, to a game of dice. Entities beyond mortality gamble the future of a guilty, yet helpless man. Doesn’t this sound familiar? Don’t our lives seem, sometimes, the result of a game of dice being played by someone/something bigger than ourselves, even bigger than life itself? Just the fact that we are who we are is nothing but a result of chance. This statement, beyond its recklessness appearance, has an explanation consisting of three moments of existences that are determined by the roulette. The first one goes back to before we’re born. Have you ever thought of how many billions of chances were there when your parents’ genetic material mixed to create you? I, for instance, could’ve been blond, tall and smart. Or short and dumb. Or anything. But, somehow, I turned out to be me, out of what appear to be infinite chances of who I could’ve been. And this process follows no logic or intervention from our part: is the work of randomness. The second moment, chronologically, involves our environment. Where we’re born, who our parents are, and the rest of conditions that welcome us to this world are the sort of aspects I include in this side of this pyramidal die. The third and final moment is composed of the things that are choices in our lives. This is also a consequence of luck because the construction of ourselves...
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...When people's standard of living increase,they often think about improving their knowledge for a better life.To do that,they choose to study in developed contries where they can get progressive education.However,everything has its advantages and disadvantages,so studying abroad is not an exeptation. In my opinion, I think studying abroad is the beat way to improve ourselve.As you know, there are obvious advantages to study abroad. Fristly, We have chance to improve our language. I think nothing is better than to learn language with the native speakers.Because we can practise with the local people what we study at school, so it is very useful to improve our listening and speaking skills.It also offer chances to discover the new cultures,way of thinking,history,customs and lifestyles. Futhermore, we have opportunities to study the new technologies and most recent science achivements.In addition, we are equipped with the valuaable and updated knowledge which may help us find jobs easily after graduating. However, studying abroad is often expensive.We have to pay not only for our school fees but also for our living cost.Therefore, finance may become the biggest problem. Consequently, it distracts our mind from studying to earning money. Last but not least,adapting to a new environment is e real challenge for every foreign student.While changing the weather can affect our health,different cultures and customs may influence our mind and make us become less confident...
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...“Luck is a matter of preparation meeting opportunity." Have you ever heard people talk about the things they would do if they won the lottery, and yet a large percentage of these people never go out and buy a ticket. These people have exactly a zero chance of winning, while the ones who went out and bought a ticket have a chance, albeit slim, at becoming lucky. This is the scenario that came to mind when I first read the quote “Luck is a matter of preparation meeting opportunity”. However, the more I thought about the quote, the more I realized how easily this could be applied to many real life situations. The author of this quote is trying to tell the readers that preparing yourself for opportunity is the key to being lucky, or successful. In order to prepare yourself for success, there are certain steps that must take place. First, you have to believe in yourself. You must believe that you can pick the lucky numbers, or you must believe that you are capable of competing in, let’s say a marathon. Second, you have to set goals for yourself. In the case of the lottery it’s pretty easy; Goal #1, buy ticket. Goal #2, wait. In the marathon scenario, much like most other scenarios, it’s a little more complicated. You must train both physically and mentally, and make many sacrifices along the way. Finally, you must be optimistic about the result you achieve. In the case of the lottery player, they probably didn’t win. But at least they can try again in a few days, right? The marathon...
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