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Applied Fund Management

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Submitted By Beanli
Words 7464
Pages 30
Question 1
For 4 Dow Jones stocks for a 15 year period, compute quarterly realized betas from daily data. Find firm specific and macroeconomic variables that help explain quarterly beta.

Answer
1.1 Factors Introduction
Factor model survey the sensitivity of a stock return as a function of one or more factors. There are single-factor and multi-factor models. In factors model, based on the type of factors used, it can be classified to economic and fundamental factor models. Economic factor models use macroeconomic and financial markets variables as factors, while fundamental factor models use firm-specific microeconomic variables, such as financial indicators.

In recent research shows that the change in macroeconomic factors could be reflected in the change of systematic risk which impacts a stock’s expected return (Humpe & Macmillan 2007). Macroeconomic factors included industry production index, CPI, GDP, unemployment rate, inflation rate, risk premium, default premium, business cycle index and so on.

From Chen (1986) notable study which uses variables include industrial production, inflation, risk premium, term structure, market index, consumption and oil prices to found out that industrial production, unanticipated change in the risk premium, unanticipated inflation, and, a slightly weaker, the unanticipated change in term structure, are the most important factors affecting expected stock returns. The 15 macroeconomic variables used as factors in our model are shown in Data Exhibit.

Moreover, we choose five firm specific factors which are important to indicate a company’s financial situation. EPS is the portion of a company's profit allocated to each outstanding share of common stock. Earnings per share serve as an indicator of a company's profitability. Long-term Debt to Asset could indicate the situation of long-term debt to a company. Current

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