...THE BALANCE OF PAYMENTS ALWAYS BALANCES Economic Concepts Balance of payments Capital account Current account Financial assets Trade deficit Trade surplus Content Standards Standard 5: Students will understand that: Voluntary exchange occurs only when all participating parties expect to gain. This is true for trade among individuals or organizations within a nation, and among individuals or organizations in different nations. • Students will be able to use this knowledge to: Negotiate exchanges and identify the gains to themselves and others. Compare the benefits and costs of policies that alter trade barriers between nations, such as tariffs and quotas. Benchmarks, Grade 12: At the completion of grade 12, students will know • A nation pays for its imports with its exports. Lesson Overview Balance of payments accounting is an often misused and misunderstood tool for keeping track of our economy’s flow of imports and exports. While the data, itself, is neutral, it is sometimes reported in ominous tones, especially when the numbers total up to a deficit in the merchandise account. As students learn more about trade, they appreciate that a trade deficit is not necessarily bad any more than a trade surplus is necessarily good. This lesson reinforces their appreciation of that reality by identifying the components of the balance of trade. Learning about the flow of financial assets captured in the...
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...established by an international treaty in 1945 to create a framework for international economic cooperation focusing on balance of payment problems and the stability of currencies. IMF headquarters is in Washington D.C, U.S.A History / establishment of IMF: IMF was founded on 27th December, 1945. During the closing years of world war second, different countries realized that there must be a common International Forum for achieving economy cooperation, promoting International Trade and providing help to needy nations during emergency. So IMF was formed for this purpose. World War Second has its adverse effect on global economy. To remedy the situation, an international monetary conference was convened in 1944, at Bretton Woods in America. It was attended by the representatives of 44 countries. It was decided in this Conference to set up IMF for the economic development of all countries. Problems: Three main problems are: ▪ Economic order and piece ▪ Reconstruction of economies ▪ Stable world piece Role: The IMF was intended to play two major roles in the Bretton Woods System: o The fund should discourage aggressive exchange rate behavior by members and help them manage their balance of payments efficiently; o The fund was given resources to lend international reserves to countries with balance of payments difficulties. Purposes/ objectives The purposes of the International Monetary Fund are: • To promote international...
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...ER E N U OP A E CON OMY E o o cP p r 4 5 J n 2 1 c n mi a es 1 | u e 0 0 T e h n ig atr i Itrain l rd h C a g P t n n nen t a Ta e n e o a dC ptl lw o te uf o p rt n n a i Fo s fh G lC o eai a o C u c C u t e i C mp r o w t o n i o nr sn o ai n i l i s h O h r iE p r n C u t e te O l x ot g o nr s i i Mag P ees ra etr E R P A C MMISO U OEN O S IN Economic Papers are written by the Staff of the Directorate-General for Economic and Financial Affairs, or by experts working in association with them. The Papers are intended to increase awareness of the technical work being done by staff and to seek comments and suggestions for further analysis. The views expressed are the author’s alone and do not necessarily correspond to those of the European Commission. Comments and enquiries should be addressed to: European Commission Directorate-General for Economic and Financial Affairs Publications B-1049 Brussels Belgium E-mail: Ecfin-Info@ec.europa.eu This paper exists in English only and can be downloaded from the website ec.europa.eu/economy_finance/publications A great deal of additional information is available on the Internet. It can be accessed through the Europa server (ec.europa.eu) KC-AI-10-415-EN-N ISSN 1725-3187 ISBN 978-92-79-14901-6 doi 10.2765/42450 © European Union, 2010 Reproduction is authorised provided the source is acknowledged. The Changing Pattern in International Trade and Capital Flows of the Gulf Cooperation Council Countries in Comparison...
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...CHAPTER 4 BALANCE OF PAYMENTS 4.1. Balance of Payments (BoP) statistics systematically summaries the economic transactions of an economy with the rest of the World for a specific period. The Reserve Bank of India (RBI) is responsible for compilation and dissemination of BoP data. BoP is broadly consistent with the guidelines contained in the BoP Manual of the International Monetary Fund. 4.2. Balance of payment (BoP) comprises of current account, capital account, errors and omissions and changes in foreign exchange reserves. Under current account of the BoP, transactions are classified into merchandise (exports and imports) and invisibles. Invisible transactions are further classified into three categories, namely (a) Services-travel, transportation, insurance, Government not included elsewhere (GNIE) and miscellaneous (such as, communication, construction, financial, software, news agency, royalties, management and business services); (b) Income; and (c) Transfers (grants, gifts, remittances, ets.) which do not have any quid pro quo. 4.3. Under the Capital Account, capital inflows can be classified by instrument (debt or equity) and maturity (short or longterm). The main components of the capital account include foreign investment, loans and banking capital. Foreign investment, comprising Foreign Direct Investment (FDI) and Portfolio Investment consisting of Foreign Institutional Investors (FIIs) investment, American Depository Receipts/Global Depository Receipts (ADRs/GDRs)...
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...currency. (Read our previous report for a review of the situation- Saying No To Currency Wars (20-Sep-11)) This paper reviews the probable reasons for this depreciation of the rupee and the outlook for the same. It also reflects on the policy options to help prevent the depreciation of the Rupee I. Economics of Currency Predicting currency movements is perhaps one of the hardest exercises in economics as it has many variables affecting the market movement. However, over a longer term currency movement is determined by following factors: Balance of Payments: It is the sum of current account and capital account of a country and is an external account of a country with other countries. Both current account and capital account play a role in determining the movement of the currency: o Current Account Surplus/Deficit: Current account surplus means exports are more than imports. In economics we assume prices to be in equilibrium and hence to balance the surplus, the currency should appreciate. Likewise for current account deficit countries, the currency should depreciate. Capital Account flows: As currency adjustments do not happen immediately to adjust current account surpluses and deficits, capital...
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...For the past 10 years, Turkey has grown its real GDP at about 6% annually. This came after a huge debt crisis in 2001-02, wherein Turkey had to borrow $16 billion more from the IMF and comport with its difficult conditionality. Today, Turkey is a middle-income country in search of an effective development strategy. It tends to run high inflation with a devalued currency, despite massive capital inflows and a huge current account deficit. At home, the government has carefully managed between Islamicization, democracy and secularism. And abroad, it deals with a difficult neighborhood – Syria, Iran, Iraq, Israel (not to mention Russia, Europe and the USA). Prime Minister Erdogan is trying to rewrite the Constitution before 2014, when the next election occurs. 1. What have been the strengths and weaknesses of Turkey’s growth model? 2. What is causing the current account deficit? What can Turkey do about it? 3. What do you make of Islamicization in Turkey? Has it gone too far? Will it? 4. What do you make of the government’s foreign policy – “zero problems with its neighbors”? Country Background: • Land Mass; 97% in Asia 3% in Europe • 8400 Km Coast Line. (Mediterranean & Black Sea) Rivers: Tigris & Euphrates • Population 75 mm growing at 1.2% annually. 99% Moslem of which 30% Kurdish roots • 26% of population under 15 Years. • Economic activity dominated by Services 64%, then Industry 27 % then Agriculture 9% • Informal economy (unregistered) is a substantial...
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...Introduction The unprecedented economic transformation which has taken place in the UAE since the formation of the state has been largely funded by the judicious use of oil revenues. However, although oil and gas production remain the primary source of public revenue, the secret of the country's current economic success has been a determined government strategy of economic diversification, leading to the creation of new productive sectors. This, combined with re venue from foreign investment, has meant that the UAE economy has been relatively immune to the effects of plummeting oil prices: the weighted average of oil per barrel dropped from US $18.8 in 1997 to US $12.4 (-34 per cent) in 1998. During the 1970s and 1980s such a decline would have triggered a major setback. General Economic Trends 1998 According to the Central Bank Annual Report for 1998, UAE gross domestic product at current prices (GDP) decreased from Dh 180.6 billion in 1997 to Dh 170.1 billion in 1998 (-5.8 per cent), despite substantial growth in most economic sectors. This drop was largely attributable to a 31 per cent decline in the value of the oil sector output, from Dh 53.5 billion in 1997 to Dh 37 billion in 1998, due to low oil prices. In addition, because of the close link between oil and gas prices and petroleum products, which constitute the bulk of the manufacturing sector's output, values decreased in this sector, albeit very slightly, from Dh 20.23 billion in 1997 to Dh 20.19 billion in 1998...
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...foreign currency assets. Assets held outside India at the time of return can be credited to such accounts. The foreign exchange (i) received or acquired as gift or inheritance from a person referred to sub-section (4) of section 6 of FEMA,1999 or (ii) referred to in clause (c) of section 9 of the Act or acquired as gift or inheritance there from may also be credited to this account. The funds in RFC account are free from all restrictions regarding utilisation of foreign currency balances including any restriction on investment outside India. The facility is also available to residents provided foreign exchange to be credited to such account is received out of certain specified type of funds/accounts. RFC (Domestic) Account:- A person resident in India can open, hold and maintain with an authorized dealer in India, a Resident Foreign Currency (Domestic) Account, out of foreign exchange acquired in the form of currency notes, Bank notes and travellers cheques from any of the sources like, payment for services rendered abroad, as...
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...Schnabl (2009) and Bernanke et al (2011), European banks were major purchasers of asset-backed secu- rities. In large part, these banks also obtained dollar funding in the US money markets, as detailed by Shin (2011). For this reason, the role of European banks in enabling the expansion of the US ABS markets did not jump out of the balance of payments data, although the implicit risk exposure of European parent banks grew in line with these US activities. Second, .nancial globalisation permitted rapid growth in the balance sheets of many banks. This took place at two levels. In relation to globally-active banks, the size and complexity of these banks grew rapidly, making it di¢ cult for national regulators to adequately police risk pro.les. In addition, the capacity of local banks to expand lending by tapping international wholesale markets fuelled credit growth in a number of countries. Third, the growing role of emerging markets in the world .nancial system may also have contributed to the build up of weaknesses in credit markets. In particular, the general- equilibrium impact of the demand for low-risk debt assets from emerging-market o¢ cial 8 sources and the increased supply of equity opportunities in these countries may have added fuel to the securitisation boom (see, amongst...
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...Taiwan, the Sea of Japan, the Sea of Okhotsk, and the East China Sea. It is an archipelago of 6,852 islands, most of which are mountainous and many are volcanic. The government system is a parliamentary government with a constitutional monarchy. The chief of state is the Emperor and the head of government is the Prime Minister. Japan has a market economy in which the prices of goods and services are determined in a free price system. Japan is a member of the Asian Pacific Economic Cooperation (APEC). Japan's main export goods are cars, electronic devices and computers. Most important trade partners are China and the USA, followed by South Korea, Taiwan, Hong Kong, Singapore, Thailand and Germany. Japan has a surplus in its export or import balance. The most important import goods are raw materials such as oil, foodstuffs and wood. The industries of Japan are manufacturing, construction, distribution, real estate, services, and communication are Japan's major industries today. Agriculture makes up only about two percent of the GNP. Most important agricultural product is rice. Resources of raw materials are very limited and the mining industry rather small. Japan's service sector accounts for about three-quarters of its total economic output. Banking, insurance, real estate, retailing, transportation, and telecommunications are all major industries such as Mitsubishi UFJ, Mizuho, NTT, TEPCO, Nomura, Mitsubishi Estate, Tokio Marine, Mitsui Sumitomo, JR East, Seven & I, and Japan...
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...7 Balance of Payments 7.1 Global Economic Review The global economy was facing two major threats at the start of FY13: the possible demise of the Euro, and a big fiscal contraction in the US, caused by the ‘fiscal cliff’.1 However, timely policy actions were taken to address these issues. In the EU, for instance, Outright Monetary Transactions (OMTs) were launched to lower the long-term yields on sovereign bonds; there was a restructuring deal of Greek public debt; and the agreement on Single Supervisory Mechanism (SSM) was reached, to help restore confidence in the viability of the European Union.2 Similarly in the US, a partial extension of Bush tax cuts was given under the American Taxpayer Relief Act 2012 (ATRA), to eliminate the revenue side of the fiscal cliff.3 Although these policy measures were able to restore some business confidence, these were, nonetheless, insufficient to pace up the economic recovery (Figure 7.1). In the EU, growth was constrained by fiscal consolidation; deleveraging; and tight credit conditions to repair balance sheets by financial institutions and households. In the US, growth remained lackluster throughout 2012 and early 2013, despite a pick-up in credit and housing following the launch of the third round of quantitative easing (QE3) in September 2012.4 Figure 7.1: Global GDP Growth World Emerging economies 8 6 percent Advanced economies 4 2 0 2011Q1 2011Q2 2011Q3 2011Q4 2012Q1 2012Q2 2012Q3 2012Q4 2013Q1 Source: World Economic...
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...manuscript were lecture notes taken by Alberto Ramos in a course on International Finance that Mike Woodford taught at the University of Chicago in the Winter of 1994. 2 Columbia University. E-mail: stephanie.schmittgrohe@columbia.edu. 3 Columbia University. E-mail: martin.uribe@columbia.edu. ii Contents 1 Global Imbalances 1.1 Balance-of-Payments Accounting . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1.2 The Current Account . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1 1 5 1.3 The Current Account and the Net International Investment Position . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 11 1.4 Valuation Changes and the Net International Investment Position . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 14 1.5 The Negative-NIIP-Positive-NII Paradox: Dark Matter? 1.5.1 1.5.2 . . 20 Dark Matter . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 22 Return Differentials . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 23 1.6 Who Lends and Who Borrows Around the World? . . . . . . 26 1.7 Exercises . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 31 35 2 Current Account Sustainability 2.1 Can a Country Run a Perpetual Trade Balance Deficit? . . . 35 2.2 Can a Country Run a Perpetual Current Account Deficit? . 39 2.3 Savings, Investment, and the Current Account . . . . . . . . 41 iii iv 2.3.1 CONTENTS Current Account Deficits As Declines in the Net International Investment Position . . . . . . . . . . . . . 2.3.2 2.3.3 41 Current Account Deficits As...
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...O C C A S I O N A L PA P E R S E R I E S N O 1 2 3 / F E B R UA RY 2 011 THE INTERNATIONAL MONETARY SYSTEM AFTER THE FINANCIAL CRISIS by Ettore Dorrucci and Julie McKay OCCASIONAL PAPER SERIES NO 123 / FEBRUARY 2011 THE INTERNATIONAL MONETARY SYSTEM AFTER THE FINANCIAL CRISIS by Ettore Dorrucci and Julie McKay1 NOTE: This Occasional Paper should not be reported as representing the views of the European Central Bank (ECB). The views expressed are those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect those of the ECB. In 2011 all ECB publications feature a motif taken from the €100 banknote. This paper can be downloaded without charge from http://www.ecb.europa.eu or from the Social Science Research Network electronic library at http://ssrn.com/abstract_id=1646277 1 European Central Bank, Ettore.Dorrucci@ecb.europa.eu, Julie.McKay@ecb.europa.eu. The views expressed in this paper do not necessarily reflect those of the European Central Bank. The authors would like to thank, outside their institution, A. Afota, C. Borio, M. Committeri, B. Eichengreen, A. Erce, A. Gastaud, P. L'Hotelleire-Fallois Armas, P. Moreno, P. Sedlacek, Z. Szalai, I. Visco and J-P. Yanitch, and, within their institution, R. Beck, T. Bracke, A. Chudik, A. Mehl, E. Mileva, F. Moss, G. Pineau, F. Ramon-Ballester, L. Stracca, R. Straub, and C. Thimann for their very helpful comments and/or inputs. © European Central Bank, 2011 Address Kaiserstrasse 29 60311 Frankfurt am Main, Germany...
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...IMF STAFF POSITION NOTE December 22, 2009 SPN/09/29 Global Imbalances: In Midstream? Olivier Blanchard and Gian Maria Milesi-Ferretti I N T E R N A T I O N A L M O N E T A R Y F U N D INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND Research Department Global Imbalances: In Midstream? Prepared by Olivier Blanchard and Gian Maria Milesi-Ferretti1 Authorized for Distribution by Olivier Blanchard December 22, 2009 Disclaimer: The views expressed herein are those of the author(s) and should not be attributed to the IMF, its Executive Board, or its management. Before the crisis, there were strong arguments for reducing global imbalances. As a result of the crisis, there have been significant changes in saving and investment patterns across the world and imbalances have narrowed considerably. Does this mean that imbalances are a problem of the past? Hardly. The paper argues that there is an urgent need to implement policy changes to address the remaining domestic and international distortions that are a key cause of imbalances. Failure to do so could result in the world economy being stuck in “midstream,” threatening the sustainability of the recovery. JEL Classification Numbers: E21, E22, F32, F33, F36, F41 Keywords: Current account deficits, saving, investment, portfolio choice. Authors’ E-mail Addresses: oblanchard@imf.org ; gmilesiferretti@imf.org 1 One of the series of “Seoul papers” on current macro and financial issues. We are grateful to Caroline Atkinson...
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...O C C A S I O N A L PA P E R 178 IMF-Supported Programs in Indonesia, Korea, and Thailand A Preliminary Assessment Timothy Lane, Atish Ghosh, Javier Hamann, Steven Phillips, Marianne Schulze-Ghattas, and Tsidi Tsikata INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND Washington DC 1999 © 1999 International Monetary Fund Production: IMF Graphics Section Typesetting: Alicia Etchebarne-Bourdin Cataloging-in-Publication Data IMF-supported programs in Indonesia, Korea, and Thailand : a preliminary assessment / by Timothy Lane . . . [et al.]. — [Washington DC : International Monetary Fund], 1999. p. cm. — (Occasional paper, 0251-6365); no. 178 Includes bibliographical references. ISBN 1-55775-783-6 1. Indonesia—Economic policy. 2. Korea—Economic policy. 3. Thailand—Economic policy. 4. International Monetary Fund—Indonesia. 5. International Monetary Fund—Korea. 6. International Monetary Fund—Thailand. I. Lane, Timothy D. (Timothy David), 1955- II. Occasional paper (International Monetary Fund); no. 178. HC447.I44 1999 Price: US$18.00 (US$15.00 to full-time faculty members and students at universities and colleges) Please send orders to: International Monetary Fund, Publication Services 700 19th Street, N.W., Washington, D.C. 20431, U.S.A. Tel.: (202) 623-7430 Telefax: (202) 623-7201 E-mail: publications@imf.org Internet: http://www.imf.org recycled paper Contents Preface I Overview Timothy Lane and Marianne Schulze-Ghattas References II Background to the Crisis Javier Hamann...
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