Free Essay

Bill Miller

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Pages 9
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...For example, Bill Miller’s Legg Mason Value Trust (ticker: LMVTX), a mutual fund that has beaten its benchmark (the S&P 500 index) in each of the last 14 calendar years, routinely holds stocks that have seen their prices drop substantially recently. In making that choice, Miller essentially selects stocks that appear to be in trouble, but are ones for which the market seems to have overreacted—he invests “where there is fear.”1 growth and value Rather, we simply point out that doing so exposes us to greater risk and requires us to conduct much more extensive analyses. We are reminded, however, of a quote from Mark Twain, “Put all your eggs in one basket and—WATCH THAT BASKET!”8 An advantage of holding fewer stocks is that it is easier to monitor them, but, in general, we must be extremely confident of our analyses in order to hold so few stocks he tends to select the stocks of companies that are financially sound. Where Miller deviates from many other fund managers is that he often chooses stocks that have been beaten down in recent months/years. This provides us with another lesson. In the aftermath of the Dennis Kozlowski scandal, the stock of Tyco (TYC) dropped from $60 to nearly $8. Miller believed that the scandal had little (if anything) to do with the company’s core business model, so he bought heavily. The stock has since rebounded to the mid $30s, giving Miller a sizable return on his investment. Miller describes this as buying “where there is fear.”2 The lesson...

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...1. How well has Value Trust performed in recent years? In making that assessment, what benchmark(s) are you using? How do you measure investment performance? What does good performance mean to you? Bill Miller is a fund manager who has set a new pace in the financial markets. His firm has been on a winning streak for a record time of 14 years. In recent years, the markets were bearish yet Miller’s firm was able to not only surpass the S&P 500 mark but consistently have positive returns. He has a consistent index-beating record that is unmatched. The United States fund market is the largest in the world. The aggregate figures are an abstract reflection of the consistent growth of mutual funds investment. Majority of the people that own mutual fund investments in the 21st century comprise of nearly half of the households in the United States. This is a great increase from the 1980s where only 6% of the population had mutual-fund assets. Investment performance is measured based on its efficiency, returns and risk involved. Mutual funds enable the investor to diversify their portfolio without necessarily injecting a huge sum of money into the fund. This makes this investment efficient. Over the years, mutual funds have had good returns. The industry provides the investor a place where he can safeguard his investment from harsh market forces. As such, the investor is assured of making some gains from his investment. The fact that an investor does not have to actively...

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Bill Miller

...CASE STUDY (GROUP ASSIGNMENT) _________________________________________________________________________ MBSA 1453 FINANCIAL MANAGEMENT AND CORPORATE GOVERNANCE SEM 2 (2015/2016) _________________________________________________________________________ INSTRUCTIONS TO LEARNER 1. This assignment is set in English. 2. Answer in English. 3. Your assignment should be prepared in group (2 persons each group). 4. Your assignment should be typed using 11 point Calibri font and 1.5 line spacing. Each page typed must follow the standard margins: left/right 32 mm (1.25"), top 25 mm (1.0"), and bottom 32 mm (1.25"). 5. Do not copy the assignment question and instructions to your answer. 6. You must submit your assignment ON-LINE via the MyIBS. You are advised to keep a copy of your submitted assignment and proof of the submission for personal reference. 7. You should submit your assignment ONCE only in a SINGLE file. The file must be in MS-WORD format. Please ensure that you submit the CORRECT and latest version of file. File which is wrongly submitted must be re-submitted on-line before the deadline. 8. Your assignment must be submitted before 30th May 2016. Submission after 30th May 2016 will NOT be accepted. 9. You should not copy another person’s/ group’s assignment. You should also not plagiarise another person’s/ group’s work as your own. Plagiarism is a serious offence. Learners who are caught doing so will be penalized and the assignment rejected. 10....

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Bill Miller

...Summary of the case: Billy Miller, who manages the Value Trust Fund, consistently leads his company to beat the mutual fund market for 14 years. This remarkable outcome is viewed as impossible mission by those economists and financial analysts. Is this a pure luck or Bill Miller has some unique strategies to run the company? Miller said: “Maybe it’s not 100% luck. Maybe 95% luck.” If it is just lucky to achieve the result in today, should we invest our money into this fund? Or we should do a detailed analysis before we make a decision. Problem No.1 Define the problem of the case: Is Value Trust a good company to invest? 1) What is mutual fund? What does it do? 2) How is the market of mutual fund? Is it doing good or bad? 3) How is the Value Trust Company doing compare to others? 4) What is market prospective of mutual fund and how does it fit with Bill Miller’s strategy? 5) Is Bill Miller lucky to get the prominent result or he owns certain investment skills 6) Should we invest? Market Analysis: Mutual Fund market was the largest in the world. It serves several economic functions for investors, afforded the individual investor the opportunity to diversify his/her portfolio efficiently without having a large amount to achieve the efficiency; a higher return could be earned by investor who has professional expertise compare to securities; Isolating individual investor and the painful vicissitudes of the marketplace. With these advantages, investors...

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Bill Miller

...Bill Miller and Value Trust Value Trust has surpassed the S&P 500 by an average of 3.67% for the previous fifteen years. Value Trust also maintained Morningstar’s five star rating. Mutual fund investment performance can be measured by finding out its net asset value and Annual Total Return. Net Asset Value can be computed as the fund’s total assets minus the liabilities divided by funds shares outstanding. Annual total return can be measured by the increase or the decrease in net asset value plus the fund’s income distribution. These are used to find the measure of the percentage of annual growth rate of net asset value assuming that reinvestment, and the absolute dollar value today of an investment made at some point in the past. Good performance would require the investment to provide a measurable reward-to-volatility trade-off and to consistently outperform the major markets such as the S&P 500 and Russell. Miller’s methodology includes buying low-price, high intrinsic-value stocks, researching areas of the market that look least promising, the lowest average cost wins, high price stocks can still be good (Wal-Mart and Microsoft), think long-term and anticipate rather than reacting, mixture of cyclically underpriced stock and secularly underpriced stock, be aggressive when stocks are low and less when stocks are high, and finally they must be able to take risk for huge gains. His methodology takes into account behavioral finance. He looks forward to the market’s overreaction...

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...Bill Miller and Value Trust Case Analysis Case Facts: 1  By middle 2005, Leg Mason Value Trust managed by Bill had outperformed S&P 500 index for 14 years in a row. This was longest successful run by any fund manager.  The average return on the fund was 14.6% which surpassed the S&P by 3.67% per year.  The value trust only had 36 holdings, 10 of which accounted for 50% of the fund’s assets.  No manager had matched Miller’s consistent index beating record.  Miller’s results were in contradiction to the conventional theory which suggests that it is extremely difficult to beat the market on a sustained basis as it is characterized by high competition, easy entry and informational efficiency. Problem Statement:  The Lag Mason Value Trust has been able to outperform the S&P 500 index for 15 consecutive years till 2005. Will the trust to able to consistently deliver similar performance in future?  Should a rational investor buy shares in Value Trust as on middle of 2005?  What can be possible reasons for the exemplary record of the Value Trust?  Can the reasons of the trust’s success can be only attributed to the trading skills and style of Bill Miller or is it sheer luck? US Mutual Fund Market:  The mutual fund market in the US has seen exponential growth in the last 30 years. The numbers of mutual funds have increased from 361 to 8,044 in between 1970 to 2005.  By 2004, Mutual fund owned nearly 20% of the outstanding stocks of US companies.  The value of...

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Bill Miller and Value Trust

...Bill Miller and Value Trust outperformed the Standard & Poor’s stock index from 1991 to 2005. I used the S & P 500 Index benchmark to make that assessment. Mutual Fund investment performance or Annual total return can be measured as the increase or decrease in net asset value plus the fund’s income distributions. Net asset value is computed as the fund’s total assets less liabilities, divided by the number of mutual fund shares outstanding. Another way to measure investment performance is to use the internal rate of return (IRR). This gives you the periodic rate of return at which your invested dollars produce the investment results you see at the end of the period. Good performance means that the investment would have to provide returns necessary to meet an individual’s goals. Mutual Funds investments don’t have to beat a specific benchmark to be successful. Bill Miller was able to make consistent abnormal trading profits which would explain the fund’s performance. Mutual funds are also likely to outperform the S & P Index when small firms outperform large ones and underperform when small firms experience worse. Miller’s investment strategy explains his good performance to a small extent but most of his success in beating the market was luck and market timing. His portfolio is diversified compared to an individual stock portfolio. He buys and holds stocks with a turnover rate of 9% compared to a typical fund’s turnover rate of 85%. He usually holds on to winning stocks unless...

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Bill and Miller Value Trust

...Bill   Value Trust is a mutual fund that has performed well against various indexes in the years leading up to 2005. Value Trust takes S&P 500 as its benchmark index, which it has outperformed for the last 14 years. Prior to 2005, Value Trust had an average annual total return of 14.6%, which was 3.67% higher than S&P 500’s average annual returns. From exhibits 1 and 5 we can see that the return was much higher for Value Trust (15.04%) compared to the S&P 500 (9.48%) over a ten year period. The NAV was consistently increasing from 1994 to 2000 up until the market crash when the NAV decreased but then again increased consistently until 2004. The NAV is an investment measure and increase indicates a better performance. Also from exhibit 1 we can see that the annual return of Value Trust was higher than the S&P 500’s over the years. According to the case Value Trust uses S&P 500 however we should make some analysis on what kind of shares S&P 500 deals with versus what kind of shares Value Trust deals with. S&P comprises of 500 widely held common stocks in other words large cap stocks. On the other hand 50% of Value Trust’s assets were of only 10 large cap companies and Value Trust was open for investing in growth companies. This made the beta of Value Trust (1.31 as taken from Exhibit 1) higher than S&P’s beta indicating that Value Trust is riskier. In this case to make the benchmark more comparable to Value Trust we chose to use other benchmarks, such as the S&P 400 mid-cap....

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...In theatrical literature it is common to find playwrights utilizing their past experiences, especially the ones of their youth, to craft stories. Arthur Miller, the most produced American playwright of all time, is no exception. Born in 1915, Miller grew up in Harlem as the son of working class Jewish Immigrants who, like many others, faced financial struggle in pursuit of the “American Dream”. At the age of fourteen, Arthur Miller’s family lost nearly everything due to the recent Wall Street Crash of 1924. Miller experienced some of the same struggles while growing up that the Loman family deals with in his hit play Death of a Salesman. Living on paycheck to paycheck and working odd jobs to save up for college had perhaps motivated much of the material in his plays....

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Death of a Salesman

...Dream” is to know that in order to achieve these things in life you must work hard to succeed. Miller made this obvious by showing both success and failure. Willy Loman and his family had great dreams, but did not work hard to make them become reality. Willy and his family expected these things to happen on their own with little effort. As Willy’s nephew Bernard pushed Biff to put effort in his schooling, Willy and Biff just blew it off as though it was nothing. Biff expected his football skills to be enough to succeed, which he later found out wasn’t true at all. Bernard became very successful and Biff was the opposite. He didn’t do anything in his life and became nobody. Willy is another example; he expected good expected good things to come in life without effort. He expected his children to become successful so they could support him, but instead they became bums. The stress of not being able to pay bills and the failure of his children was so unbearable that he became absorbed in the past. Often oblivious to what was going on around him. Willy also became suicidal, constantly crashing his car and he also had a short rubber pipe that connected to the gas pipe on the water heater. From the given examples I believe that Miller did “speak” to the people by showing that things in life don’t always go as expected and you must work hard to achieve success. Arthur Miller maintained that Death of a Salesman was a tragedy. Although Death of a Salesman was serious, about...

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