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Credit Risk Identification

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Risk Identification

There are many tools and techniques for Risk identification. Documentation Reviews • Information gathering techniques o Brainstorming o Delphi technique – here a facilitator distributes a questionnaire to experts, responses are summarized (anonymously) & re-circulated among the experts for comments. This technique is used to achieve a consensus of experts and helps to receive unbiased data, ensuring that no one person will have undue influence on the outcome o Interviewing o Root cause analysis – for identifying a problem, discovering the causes that led to it and developing preventive action • Checklist analysis • Assumption analysis -this technique may reveal an inconsistency of assumptions, or uncover problematic assumptions. • Diagramming techniques o Cause and effect diagrams o System or process flow charts o Influence diagrams – graphical representation of situations, showing the casual influences or relationships among variables and outcomes • SWOT analysis • Expert judgment – individuals who have experience with similar project in the not too distant past may use their judgment through interviews or risk facilitation workshops

Risk Analysis

Tools and Techniques for Qualitative Risk Analysis

• Risk probability and impact assessment – investigating the likelihood that each specific risk will occur and the potential effect on a project objective such as schedule, cost, quality or performance (negative effects for threats and positive effects for opportunities), defining it in levels, through interview or meeting with relevant stakeholders and documenting the results. • Probability and impact matrix – rating risks for further quantitative analysis using a probability and impact matrix, rating rules should be specified by

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