...Chapter 1 Discrete Probability Distributions 1.1 Simulation of Discrete Probabilities Probability In this chapter, we shall first consider chance experiments with a finite number of possible outcomes ω1 , ω2 , . . . , ωn . For example, we roll a die and the possible outcomes are 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6 corresponding to the side that turns up. We toss a coin with possible outcomes H (heads) and T (tails). It is frequently useful to be able to refer to an outcome of an experiment. For example, we might want to write the mathematical expression which gives the sum of four rolls of a die. To do this, we could let Xi , i = 1, 2, 3, 4, represent the values of the outcomes of the four rolls, and then we could write the expression X 1 + X 2 + X 3 + X4 for the sum of the four rolls. The Xi ’s are called random variables. A random variable is simply an expression whose value is the outcome of a particular experiment. Just as in the case of other types of variables in mathematics, random variables can take on different values. Let X be the random variable which represents the roll of one die. We shall assign probabilities to the possible outcomes of this experiment. We do this by assigning to each outcome ωj a nonnegative number m(ωj ) in such a way that m(ω1 ) + m(ω2 ) + · · · + m(ω6 ) = 1 . The function m(ωj ) is called the distribution function of the random variable X. For the case of the roll of the die we would assign equal probabilities or probabilities 1/6 to each of the outcomes....
Words: 16766 - Pages: 68
...about the whole population. Data Data: information providing the basis of a discussion form which conclusions may be drawn. Primary vs. Secondary data Primary data * data gathered directly by the researcher in the act of conducting research or an experiment. • gathered by surveys or experiments Secondary data * data gathered by someone other than the researcher / organization. • found on the internet, books or magazines Observational vs. Experimental data Observational data • data gathered by observation of the subject • For example, the subject is recorded and the behaviours are noted on a period of time. Experimental data • data gathered through experimentation. Categorical (qualitative) vs. Numerical (quantitative) data Categorical data • data that is grouped by specific categories • categories may be ordered naturally (ordinal variables) or have no order (nominal variables) • For example, for ordinal variables height can be naturally ordered using short, average, tall. • For example, for nominal variables hair colour cannot be naturally ordered since no order occurs to their colours. Numerical data * data that are in real number values * can be either discrete or continuous Variable Variable: a quantity that can have any of a set of values. Nominal vs. Ordinal Variable Nominal Variable • a categorical variable that describes a name, label or category with no natural order • e.g. there is no natural order...
Words: 403 - Pages: 2
...problems in the sense of being able to recognize them in various settings and solve them by carry out the required analysis and computations. A good way to study each problem is to create and solve one or more examples of the problem analogous to those below. By creating new examples this way, one will actually own a piece of the subject as well as understanding it. 1.1 Probabilities of Events A description of events and their probabilities requires a framework for representing events of interest in terms of a random experiment. Our textbook tells us how to describe such an experiment in terms of a set of outcomes Ω called a sample space, and to represent events as subsets of Ω. A basic problem in this regard is as follows. Problem 1 Sample Spaces and Events as Sets Given a verbal description of a random experiment and certain events of interest, represent the sample space as a set Ω, and identify the events as subsets of Ω. There may be several natural choices for Ω; select the simplest one that contains enough information to describe...
Words: 10002 - Pages: 41
...Methods for Understanding What Consumers Value 195 Crow Thursdays 2-4:50 pm Spring 2011 Professor William R. Dillon 210A Fincher 214/768-3163 Email: bdillon@mail.cox.smu.edu Office Hours: Thursday 1-2 pm and by appointment Course Description Determining what is valued and the importance of product features and service offerings is perhaps the most important issue that marketing managers face. Recently, conjoint and choice models have become popular techniques to help marketing managers understand what customers value. The objective of this course is to expose the student to a variety of preference models used by brand managers and marketing analysts and to give students hands-on experience in using conjoint and choice modeling techniques. This course examines these marketing decisions using a combination of lectures, cases, and exercises. Learning Objectives: 1) Develop an understanding of consumer decision making frameworks and protocols. 2) Learn how to design and analyze choice/conjoint experiments so as to quantify the importance consumers place on specific attributes/ benefits. Course Material Readings, Lecture notes, Case Exercises and Situation Analysis directions are available on Blackboard at https://courses.smu.edu/webapps/login/ . Evaluation Exam 40% Quizzes 35% Simulation Exercise 25% 100% Please consult the Simulation Exercise document for details. IMPORTANT! The simulation...
Words: 1318 - Pages: 6
...STATISTICAL METHODS STATISTICAL METHODS Arnaud Delorme, Swartz Center for Computational Neuroscience, INC, University of San Diego California, CA92093-0961, La Jolla, USA. Email: arno@salk.edu. Keywords: statistical methods, inference, models, clinical, software, bootstrap, resampling, PCA, ICA Abstract: Statistics represents that body of methods by which characteristics of a population are inferred through observations made in a representative sample from that population. Since scientists rarely observe entire populations, sampling and statistical inference are essential. This article first discusses some general principles for the planning of experiments and data visualization. Then, a strong emphasis is put on the choice of appropriate standard statistical models and methods of statistical inference. (1) Standard models (binomial, Poisson, normal) are described. Application of these models to confidence interval estimation and parametric hypothesis testing are also described, including two-sample situations when the purpose is to compare two (or more) populations with respect to their means or variances. (2) Non-parametric inference tests are also described in cases where the data sample distribution is not compatible with standard parametric distributions. (3) Resampling methods using many randomly computer-generated samples are finally introduced for estimating characteristics of a distribution and for statistical inference. The following section deals with methods...
Words: 4718 - Pages: 19
...CHAPTER 5—DISCRETE PROBABILITY DISTRIBUTIONS MULTIPLE CHOICE 1. A numerical description of the outcome of an experiment is called a a. descriptive statistic b. probability function c. variance d. random variable ANS: D PTS: 1 TOP: Discrete Probability Distributions 2. A random variable that can assume only a finite number of values is referred to as a(n) a. infinite sequence b. finite sequence c. discrete random variable d. discrete probability function ANS: C PTS: 1 TOP: Discrete Probability Distributions 3. A probability distribution showing the probability of x successes in n trials, where the probability of success does not change from trial to trial, is termed a a. uniform probability distribution b. binomial probability distribution c. hypergeometric probability distribution d. normal probability distribution ANS: B PTS: 1 TOP: Discrete Probability Distributions 4. Variance is a. a measure of the average, or central value of a random variable b. a measure of the dispersion of a random variable c. the square root of the standard deviation d. the sum of the squared deviation of data elements from the mean ANS: B PTS: 1 TOP: Discrete Probability Distributions 5. A continuous random variable may assume a. any value in an interval or collection of intervals b. only integer values in an interval or collection of intervals c. only fractional values in an interval or collection of intervals d. only the positive integer values in an interval ANS: A PTS: 1 TOP: Discrete Probability...
Words: 9797 - Pages: 40
...to already existing drugs, or possible side effects. 2. How fuel efficient a certain car model is? 3. Is there any relationship between your GPA and employment opportunities? 4. If you answer all questions on a (T, F) (or multiple choice) examination completely randomly, what are your chances of passing? 5. What is the effect of package designs on sales? 6. ………………….. Question??? 1. What is Statistics? 2. Why we study Statistics? Larson & Farber, Elementary Statistics: Picturing the World, 3e 2 STA 13- SYLLABUS Instructor Phone: MsC. Pham Thanh Hieu mobile:0917.522.383, email: hieuphamthanh@gmail.com Goals of To learn how to interpret statistical summaries appearing the course in journals, newspaper reports, internet, television …..and many real-world problems. To learn about the concepts of probability and probabilistic reasoning Understand variability and sampling distributions To learn how to interpret and analyze data arising in your own work (coursework and research) STA 13- SYLLABUS Grading: - One Midterms : 30% total, multiple choice exams, closed book exam, one sheet with handwritten notes (no larger than 9 ½ x 11, two sided) is allowed - Final Exam : 50% (multiple choice + short answer exam) comprehensive; closed book exam, two sheets with handwritten notes (no larger than 9 ½ x 11, two sided) are allowed Homework: 20%. Submit homework in discussion sessions. On homework, please print your name. ...
Words: 2522 - Pages: 11
...Stats/Modelling Notes Introduction & Summary Computer system users, administrators, and designers usually have a goal of highest performance at lowest cost. Modeling and simulation of system design trade off is good preparation for design and engineering decisions in real world jobs. In this Web site we study computer systems modeling and simulation. We need a proper knowledge of both the techniques of simulation modeling and the simulated systems themselves. The scenario described above is but one situation where computer simulation can be effectively used. In addition to its use as a tool to better understand and optimize performance and/or reliability of systems, simulation is also extensively used to verify the correctness of designs. Most if not all digital integrated circuits manufactured today are first extensively simulated before they are manufactured to identify and correct design errors. Simulation early in the design cycle is important because the cost to repair mistakes increases dramatically the later in the product life cycle that the error is detected. Another important application of simulation is in developing "virtual environments" , e.g., for training. Analogous to the holodeck in the popular science-fiction television program Star Trek, simulations generate dynamic environments with which users can interact "as if they were really there." Such simulations are used extensively today to train military personnel for battlefield situations, at a fraction...
Words: 24251 - Pages: 98
...The RAND Corporation Contestability in Real-Time Experimental Flow Markets Author(s): Edward L. Millner, Michael D. Pratt, Robert J. Reilly Source: The RAND Journal of Economics, Vol. 21, No. 4 (Winter, 1990), pp. 584-599 Published by: Blackwell Publishing on behalf of The RAND Corporation Stable URL: http://www.jstor.org/stable/2555470 Accessed: 15/04/2009 04:27 Your use of the JSTOR archive indicates your acceptance of JSTOR's Terms and Conditions of Use, available at http://www.jstor.org/page/info/about/policies/terms.jsp. JSTOR's Terms and Conditions of Use provides, in part, that unless you have obtained prior permission, you may not download an entire issue of a journal or multiple copies of articles, and you may use content in the JSTOR archive only for your personal, non-commercial use. Please contact the publisher regarding any further use of this work. Publisher contact information may be obtained at http://www.jstor.org/action/showPublisher?publisherCode=black. Each copy of any part of a JSTOR transmission must contain the same copyright notice that appears on the screen or printed page of such transmission. JSTOR is a not-for-profit organization founded in 1995 to build trusted digital archives for scholarship. We work with the scholarly community to preserve their work and the materials they rely upon, and to build a common research platform that promotes the discovery and use of these resources. For more information about JSTOR, please contact support@jstor...
Words: 2998 - Pages: 12
... Summarize complex data in a useful and informative way Explanation: In other words, descriptive statistics is all about making sense of complex data. 2) What do we call the process of gathering, organizing, summarizing, analyzing, and interpreting data? Statistics Explanation: This is the most basic definition of statistics. 3) The performance of financial investments is measured with a percentage know as return on investment. What kind of variable do we call return on investment? Continuous Explanation: The variable amount is constantly changing with the financial environment, thus called continuous. 4) What kind of variable is the amount of burglaries reported in a particular city? Discrete Explanation: A discrete variable is only able to collect data from a finite number of values. Infinite values cannot be accepted. 5) Name the level of measurement of the total number of auto accidents reported in a certain month? Ratio Explanation: Measuring an exact point on the scale is considered the ratio level of measurement. 6) The titles of the job positions in a company, such as chief operating officer or CEO, are examples of what level of measurement? Nominal Explanation: The nominal scale differentiates between items or subjects based only on their names. 7) Sneaker sizes, such as 6A, 11D, and 14FF, would be considered which level of measurement? Interval Explanation: The interval scale separates items at...
Words: 1223 - Pages: 5
...Module 16 quiz * Question 1 10 out of 10 points | | | It is a well known fact that talking on a cell phone impairs a driver more than talking to a person sitting in the passenger seat. This is because a passenger can see the road and will stop talking during dangerous driving conditions. We want to know if this is only true for passengers that have experience driving. We recruit 40 participants to be a passenger during a driving simulation and record how many words they say during "dangerous" scenarios. All 20 participants are 18, but only half of them have a driver's license. What statistical test would we use to compare the number or words spoken for people with and without licenses. | | | | | Selected Answer: | Independent samples t test | Answers: | Dependent samples t test | | Independent samples t test | | | | | * Question 2 10 out of 10 points | | | We want to know how having kids affects happiness. We surveyed 100 couples that were expecting a child in the next three months. We went back and surveyed those same 100 couples one year later. What test would we use to compare their previous scores with their current scores? | | | | | Selected Answer: | Dependent samples | Answers: | Dependent samples | | Independent samples | | | | | * Question 3 10 out of 10 points | | | We are doing a dependent samples t-test and we're in the middle of step 4 of our null hypothesis test. We determined that D̅ =...
Words: 4970 - Pages: 20
...Discuss issues of reliability and validity associated with the classification and diagnosis of schizophrenia. Classification systems are essential in diagnosing schizophrenia, with two of the most important classification systems being the 'Diagnostic and Statistical Manual of Mental Disorders' (DSM) and the 'International Classification System for Diseases' (ICD). However for these systems to work effectively, they must be both valid and reliable. Reliability in the context of classification systems means that each time a classification system is used (to diagnose a particular cluster of symptoms) then it should produce the same outcome each time. For DSM and ICD to be classed as reliable, those using it must be able to agree when a patient should or should not be given a particular diagnosis, which is also known as 'inter-rater reliability'. Recent research by Whaley have found have found inter-rater reliability correlations as low as +0.11, this may be to so with cultural differences in classification. Copeland gave 134 US and 194 British psychiatrists a description of a patient, 69% of US psychiatrists diagnosed the patient as suffering from schizophrenia, but only 2% of British psychiatrists gave the same diagnosis. Therefore showing there are cultural differences in diagnosing schizophrenia, thus making the classification systems lacking in reliability. Another reliability issue concerned with the classification of schizophrenia is whether the psychiatrists are diagnosing...
Words: 885 - Pages: 4
... 3. To infer something about a population, we usually take a sample from the population. True False 4. The techniques used to find out something about a population, such as their average weight, based on a sample are referred to as descriptive statistics. True False 5. There are four levels of measurement-qualitative, quantitative, discrete, and continuous. True False 6. The ordinal level of measurement is considered the "lowest" level of measurement. True False 7. A store asks shoppers for their zip code to identify market areas. Zip codes are an example of ratio data. True False 8. An ordinal level of measurement implies some sort of ranking. True False 9. Data that can only be classified into categories is measured with a nominal scale. True False 10. The terms descriptive statistics and inferential statistics can be used interchangeably. True False 11. A marketing research agency was hired to test a new DVD player. Consumers rated it outstanding, very good, fair or poor. The level of measurement for this experiment is ordinal. True False 12. The Union of Electrical Workers of America with 9,128 members polled 362 members about a new wage package that will be submitted to management. The population is the 362 members. True False 13. The CIA World Factbook cited these numbers for the U.S: ( Birthrate is 14.14 births per 1,000 population ( Average...
Words: 4501 - Pages: 19
...Embryonic stem cells versus pronucleus Name Course Institution affiliation Date Embryonic stem cells versus pronucleus Embryonic stem cell and pronucleus techniques have been utilized widely in human cloning. Just as the name suggests, embryonic stem cells are cells derived from the embryos of human beings. The term cloning is used by scientists to describe the variety of processes used in making duplicates of biological materials. This paper will discuss the embryonic cells and pronucleus taking into accounts their application to human cloning. Caenorhadditis elegans and Drosophila melanogaster will also be discussed together with application of Hardy-Weinberg equilibrium. Embryonic stem cell has been applied in human cloning through human cloning for biomedical research whereby cloned cells are produced and used in individual patients suffering from diseases like Parkinson’s disease and type 1 diabetes (Fairbanks, 2004). This discovery has been used to develop embryos thus making important steps for medicine. Cloned embryos have been used widely as sources of stem cells, which have been developed to make new heart muscles, bone, brain tissues and other type of cells in the body. The stem cells have provided a breakthrough in medicine by creating new tissues that might be able to heal the damage caused by heart attack or repair severed spinal cord (Fairbanks, 2004). There are trials of utilizing stem cells from donated embryos to try and restore people’s eye sights. The donated...
Words: 1379 - Pages: 6
...Personal preferred learning strategies have been an obvious combination of visual, aural, reading & writing, and to a lesser extent kinesthetic. The strongest of these has been visual to the point that not only is color pen or font used but also various colors of highlighting. This strategy has been used for over 35 years and has worked well. Leite, Svinicki, and Shi (2009) claimed that, visual learners have a preference for seeing (think in pictures; visual aids such as overhead slides, diagrams, handouts, etc.). Auditory learners best learn through listening (lectures, discussions, tapes, etc.). Tactile/kinesthetic learners prefer to learn via experience—moving, touching, and doing (active exploration of the world; science projects; experiments, etc.)...
Words: 953 - Pages: 4