...Page 1 Analysis of the Recent Economic Downturn In 2007, strong growth in the third quarter lead most to believe that a recession had been avoided, however, this proved not to be the case. A decline in GDP growth is the cause of recessions. Typically, there will be a “goldilocks” economy or an irrational exuberance prior to a recession, followed by a market crash. Prior to the 2007 – 2009 recession, the housing market was going up. Everyone “knew” house values could only go up and behaved accordingly; banks lent too much money to consumers bought too much house. Once the market crashed, the stage was set for a recession. Many factors affecting the aggregate demand curve had declines. As mentioned, home equity declined, as well as the stock market. This decrease in wealth decreased consumption and consumer confidence leading to lower spending. As consumers cut back on spending, business confidence also fell with additional decreases in consumption and also investments. Additionally, foreign GDPs were also declining leading to a decrease in exports. The changes in these variables all caused a shift back in the aggregate demand curve, lowering the GDP. Attempting to counteract the recession, the Federal Reserve pumped money into the economy, increasing the nominal money supply. As the value of the dollar decreased, interest rates were kept low, allowing the exchange rate to remain favorable for exports. Additionally the government increased spending by way of stimulus packages...
Words: 2106 - Pages: 9
...Introduction Following the recent global economic downturn, it is clear that the response of central banks and governments is likely to shape the future of our financial markets for many years to come. Their responses in regulating fields such as credit rating agencies, derivative markets and hedge funds will be crucial in relation to economic recovery. Over the course of our essay, we will also discuss areas such as international trade, geo-political issues and the role of monetary authorities in the future as the global economy aims to bounce back from the worst downturn since 1929. We will begin our assessment by first taking a look at the future regulation of financial markets. Regulation of Financial Markets Credit Rating Agencies Credit Rating Agencies (CRA) are responsible for assigning a credit rating to financial instruments such as bonds, companies, governments, etc. By current regulation any financial instrument must receive a credit rating from at least two CRAs. The problem with this is that there are only three companies which control roughly 85% of the market. These companies are Standard & Poors, Moodys and Fitch. The need for regulation in this market is now coming under increasing pressure. These companies first came under scrutiny after the collapse of Enron because the company still had a top AAA rating one week prior to filing for bankruptcy but subsequently the credit rating agencies were overshadowed by the failures of auditors and thus were...
Words: 4915 - Pages: 20
...An economic downturn can be accounted for when the GDP of the country falls. The GDP is the Gross Domestic Product of the country and accounts for all transactions made throughout each quarter of the accounting period. If the GDP falls for two consecutive quarters then that is classed as a recession and the government should take action to help stimulate the economy. The worst most recent recession started in the 3rd quarter of 2008 and lasted for 7 consecutive quarters until the 4th quarter of 2009! In this essay I will discuss how different types of industry are affected by a recession and will look how some are often better than others. One of the main changes in a particular industry during the recession was the Fast Food industry. During the recession these industries seemed bulletproof to the dramatic decrease in luxury spending due to the increased price of necessity goods, some of which I will discuss below. The first company which have been doing well whilst England have been dipping in and out of recession is KFC, they have seemed to reap the benefits of people having less money to spend whilst being able to put back into the economy by creating jobs, this is shown by in Worcester the ‘Job Centre’ was approached by KFC to fill 70 jobs that were to be created, this story was published to BBC news on the 27th of October 2008 which was not long after the 3rd quarter of 2008 meaning this was when the recession firs began. Also on the 16th February 2009 BBC news published...
Words: 1371 - Pages: 6
...foreign exchange policy in each country and comparative advantages. It mostly focused on U.S and China between Canada’s relationships. The United States and China are the largest economic market in the world. Also these countries are Canada’s most favor relationship in the international market. In 2009, the international financial crisis became a huge issue of the world. Due to this financial crisis U.S got a lot of damage. It made also Canada’s economic downturn, because of strong reliant on U.S. Over view, Canada has to be a stronger country with more powers, in order to maintain a good relationship with many other countries to help each other and have more successful economic growth. GLOBAL ECONOMIV DOWNTURN FROM THE FINANCIAL CRISIS In 2009, there was a global economic downturn from the financial crisis. Because of this, many countries got a lot of money damages. This put the world economic in most hard situation. Most of the people in the world spent such a hard time in this area. The main sources of this happened from some countries which were largest markets in the world such as the United State and other developed countries. From this economic downturn many developed countries reduced imports from other countries. Therefore a lot of export countries got more economic downturn. The one of main reason of the financial crisis was that the United State housing price decline in mortgage growth was riding rapidly down the financial system in the world fell into...
Words: 312 - Pages: 2
...A recap of the events building up to The Real Estate Bubble, the causing factors of The Financial Crisis of 2008 and the likelihood and implications of an Economic Recession in 2016 Karan Sharat Nath Pace University, Lubin School of Business Kn31474n@pace.edu ------------------------------------------------- Table of Contents 1. Abstract 2. Introduction 3. The Real Estate Bubble and Great Recession 4. Signs that point towards a Global Economic Downturn 5. Conclusion: Consequences of a recession in 2016 6. Work Citied ------------------------------------------------- Abstract This research paper aims to briefly recap the events that led to the real estate bubble and global financial crisis of 2008, collect data that could indicate a financial downturn that could lead to a recession that is sparked in 2016 and understand the implications that a recession in 2016 would have upon the Global Financial System. The recession that ensued in 2008/2009 was the worst widespread downturn witnessed since the Great Depression of the 1920’s and 1930’s. Since the peak of the downturn the S&P has almost doubled and unemployment has dropped by nearly half. But at present many vital indicators that monitor US growth and economic activity are displaying so very troubling signs. With the majority of this growth over the last decade being enabled by central bank support and cheap money, expansion is not sustainable. Eventually the...
Words: 3440 - Pages: 14
...and hide deteriorating performance in business fundamentals. Growing debt leverage and stock buybacks funded through accumulated cash can help to maintain a company's ROE even though operational profitability is eroding. Mounting competitive pressure combined with artificially low interest rates, characteristic of the last couple of decades, creates a potent incentive to engage in these strategies to keep investors happy. Excessive debt leverage becomes a significant albatross for a company when market demand for its products heads south, as many companies discovered during the current economic downturn. It actually creates more risk for a company in hard times. These efforts can become addictive. If underlying profitability continues to deteriorate, more stock buybacks or debt leverage will be necessary to maintain return on equity, further increasing company exposure to unanticipated downturns in consumer demand or...
Words: 982 - Pages: 4
...Existing Business Proposal ECO/561 June 21, 2012 Dr. Jill Trask Business Proposal It is very significant to comprise a business plan in the shifting world business to stay ahead. The changes in the economy will create or shatter the business. In this paper Adnan will discuss the existing goods or services business proposal of Thomas Money Services Inc. The reason to have a business plan for the organization is to restore or generate more profits for the business. Elasticity of Demand and Market Structure Thomas Money Service Inc. (TMS) has been in business since 1940. TMS started out as an end user funding company giving way loans for domestic wants. The company prolonged over the next five years by granting business loans, business acquirement financing, and business real estate loans. In 1946 executive made a choice to expand into gear financing. This proved very lucrative for the company. With the end of the World War II, society experienced increased demand for construction and forestry equipment. In 1951, the equipment financing subsidiary, Future Growth Inc. (FGI) purchased and equipment manufacturing company, which vertically integrated the subsidiaries operations. TMS Inc has a monopolistic competition market; elasticity of demand is how much demand varies for manufactured goods in connection to a transformation in price. This transformation is measured as a percentage. For TMS Inc the elasticity is that it can offer the monetary support...
Words: 1397 - Pages: 6
...foreign exchange policy in each country and comparative advantages. It mostly focused on U.S and China between Canada’s relationships. The United States and China are the largest economic market in the world. Also these countries are Canada’s most favor relationship in the international market. In 2009, the international financial crisis became a huge issue of the world. Due to this financial crisis U.S got a lot of damage. It made also Canada’s economic downturn, because of strong reliant on U.S. Over view, Canada has to be a stronger country with more powers, in order to maintain a good relationship with many other countries to help each other and have more successful economic growth. GLOBAL ECONOMIV DOWNTURN FROM THE FINANCIAL CRISIS In 2009, there was a global economic downturn from the financial crisis. Because of this, many countries got a lot of money damages. This put the world economic in most hard situation. Most of the people in the world spent such a hard time in this area. The main sources of this happened from some countries which were largest markets in the world such as the United State and other developed countries. From this economic downturn many developed countries reduced imports from other countries. Therefore a lot of export countries got more economic downturn. The one of main reason of the financial crisis was that the United State housing price decline in mortgage growth was riding rapidly down the financial system in the world fell into...
Words: 2585 - Pages: 11
...1. How has the global economic downturn, discussed in the opening profile and throughout this chapter, impacted jobs outsourcing in the BPO industry? Because of the global economic downturn, MNC’s where looking for a way to create human capital cheaper. In India they were busy with the BPO industry, which was creating many jobs there. So the economic downturn actually helped the BPO industry. Because it was the ultimate chance for organization in the western countries to decrease the cost of human capital, only by jobs outsourcing. 2. Referring to this chapter and this case, discuss the general trends in the globalization of human capital. Globalization means going all over the world. Working together and creating value for longer term. Especially the last years globalization has become more important. Every company need in extent way globalization. During the years many companies moved their human capital activity to the low-cost countries. The Indian industry recorded a growth rate of over 50 percent because of the outsourcing. So for the countries with low-paying jobs it will help to increase the economic 3. What are the effects of the Indian government policies on the Indian BPO industry and on MNC decisions regarding locations for outsourcing jobs? The Indian government had to put in more money in their country because of the Indian BPO industry. The growing infrastructure and transportation costs were putting more pressure on the margins. The Indian government...
Words: 280 - Pages: 2
...Assignment 5 Valerie Lagana Strayer University Eco550 – Economics for Managers September 5, 2011 Question: Describe the changing economic variables in China that influenced McDonald’s expansion strategies. The main changing economic variables in China that influenced McDonald’s Expansion were the increase in GDP and the economic stimulus package. In 2007, the increase in GDP showed a level of strong jobs in China as well as increase income for the Chinese (Farnham, 2010). This allowed the Chinese to spend more money on eating out at restaurants which gave McDonald’s a great opportunity for expansion. In addition, the Chinese government had a stimulus package after the economy dropped in 2008. The stimulus package included building more highways which allowed the Chinese to be accessible to the drive through window opportunity that McDonalds was able to offer as part of their expansion. Question: What factors led to the Mexican currency crisis and peso devaluation in 1994? The factors that led to the Mexican currency crisis and peso devaluation were the Appreciation of the exchange rate, falling interest rates, and the foreign savings. The appreciation of the exchange rate resulted in a decrease in savings with an increase in investment due to the expansion of credit without any federal regulations (Farnham, 2010). The falling interest rates were a result of the appreciation of the exchange rate attracting private capital via privatization of banks and...
Words: 915 - Pages: 4
...Impact of unstable Economic on Transportation Like many economic activities that are intensive in infrastructures, the transport sector is an important component of the economy impacting on development and the welfare of populations. When transport systems are efficient, they provide economic and social opportunities and benefits that result in positive multipliers effects such as better accessibility to markets, employment and additional investments. When transport systems are deficient in terms of capacity or reliability, and the unstable economy hey can have an economic cost such as reduced or missed opportunities. Transport also carries an important social and environmental load, which cannot be neglected. Thus, from a general standpoint the unstable economic impacts on transportation can be direct and indirect: • Direct impacts related to accessibility change where the unstable economy is disabling larger markets to save time and costs. • Indirect impacts related to the economic multiplier effects where the price of commodities, goods or services drop and/or their variety increases. Mobility is one of the most fundamental and important characteristics of economic activity as it satisfies the basic need of going from one location to the other, a need shared by passengers, freight and information. All economies and regions do not share the same level of mobility as most are in a different stage in their mobility transition. Economies that possess greater mobility are often...
Words: 2736 - Pages: 11
... If India wants to keep BPO’s around, they need to start flirting with the idea of re-instating the tax abatement as well as having the government pick up the transportation costs. V. Recommendations- If I am the decision maker in the Indian government, I do not want the BPO’s to pick up and move all their money to another country. So, I am implementing a lower tax bracket for these companies to remain in India, I am picking up the costs of transportation as incentives to stay in India. It always comes down to money and profitability for businesses, so I would keep India competitive to keep the Citibank’s and Intel’s here. Questions 1) How has the global economic downturn, discussed in the opening profile and throughout this chapter, impacted jobs outsourcing in the BPO industry? The economic downturn has helped India’s BPO industry, “world trade continues to grow, it has grown by 133 percent in the last 15 years” (Deresky, 2011). It has helped companies move operations overseas where they are able to capitalize on lower wages and taxes, which in...
Words: 777 - Pages: 4
...environmental issues. Like the news article write, although China's GDP in recent years has greatly improved, China and developed countries still have a big gap. GDP does not reflect the real employment situation and the improvement of social welfare. The GDP slowdown of China is a good opportunity for structural adjustment. One of the most important measures is to remove the irritating policy and turned to rely on economic endogenous forces to achieve growth. Premier Wen said that China's economy has downward pressure, but reducing speed is mainly to structural adjustment and truly achieve the real high-quality growth. This was also his request on the "quality" of economic growth. Keith (2012) states that “Slower growth partly reflects a government attempt to shift the economy more toward personal consumption, with less emphasis on exports and investment in big domestic construction and infrastructure projects.” As the economy moves into 2008, it faces a growing multiplex of problems. Export growth is expected to continue to temper as the negative impact of the U.S. downturn is compounded by slowdown in the European Union and Japan. As downside risks mount in the external environment, more aggressive monetary tightening is required to contain risks generated by the sustaining investment boom while high inflation will undermine consumer spending power. However, aggressive monetary tightening could rob the economy of impetus generated by investment just as its other main driver, exports...
Words: 1674 - Pages: 7
...Retail industry in Canada (P.E.S.T) Analysis There is no doubt that consumer’s play major role in driving the economic engine. Consumers are in today’s market place interacting with different marketplace than they were before. Consumers’ ability to take full advantage of the new marketplace is related to their socio-economic status and time constrain. Organization is open systems, which mean they interact with and respond to their environment. An organization takes inputs and processes those inputs into outputs. These inputs which organization consumes to produce output come from external environment. Due to the fact that organizations interact with this external environment which are out of organization control researchers of this organization always looked for ways to describe and understand those environments and their potential impact on organization performance. These researches can be summarized from two different prospects. 1. The environment as a source of information. 2. The environment as a source of resources. The external environment sectors comprise the specific environment and the general environment. The specific environment includes customers, competitors, suppliers, and other industry competitive variables whereas the general environment includes economics, demographic, socio culture, political legal and technological sectors. The retail marketplace in Canada has been divided into two segments, big box stores move into the retail shopping industry at...
Words: 825 - Pages: 4
...Although dropping prices in the short runs would increase sales revenue in the short term, it causes numerous other factors that must be put into consideration. When concentrating on the long-term effects of a price drop there are many consequences that come into play. With a price drop during an economic downturn, its seems wise as it will boost short term sales, but when the economy begins to recover it will be difficult for the client to raise the price after selling at a lower price for some time. This is due to the customer’s reference price, which is the price that customers have in their head about what the product should cost depending on what they paid in the past for it or for competitor’s prices. If their reference price is the price drop that we are considering and they later come to find that the price has increased, they will not purchase the item, thus decreasing demand in the long term. Customer’s price sensitivity during economic down turns is increased which means they are looking for the best deal they can get, therefore if you lower the price of your product competitors may follow or represent their brand as having higher value. This increase in competition will negatively affect your sales as some competitors may be able to sell at a lower price. Another consequence would be that a price drop may affect the customer’s perceived value of the product. Due to psychological pricing customers will interpret a lower price as lower quality of a product which may...
Words: 696 - Pages: 3