...Introduction: Efficient Market Hypothesis (EMH) implies markets to be rational, incorporating new information to reflect in stock prices rapidly, considering direction and size of the share price movement. Consequently, leaving no opportunities for investors to beat the market and acquire abnormal returns. Predictable information raises the stock prices prior to its occurrence, and rapidly adjusting at the event date. Addendum to EMH, Random Walk Theory proposes market prices abide no pressure from past-price movements thus pursue a random course, making impossible to forecast future-price movements as they are an independent of past-prices. Fama (1970) establish three-level grading system portraying degree of market efficiency, based on investment approach endowing abnormal returns: Market anomalies are inconsistent with EMH and a consequence of deviations and incomprehensible patterns in smooth running of stock markets. Anomalies are statistically considerable and additionally proffer investors with risk adjusted economic returns. Once documented and scrutinized in literature, anomalies tend to disappear, overturn, or attenuate; doubting their subsistence in past, as being statistical irregularity, or have been arbitraged away. This essay will begin by defining limitations of CAPM and introduce three-factor model. Additionally, it will discuss the fundamental anomalies (Value and Size effects), calendar anomalies (January, Weekend and Time-of-the-month effects) and...
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...A STUDY OF FINANCIAL CRISIS AND ITS IMPACT ON STOCK MARKET A MANAGEMENT RESEARCH PROJECT SUBMITTED TO DHARMSINH DESAI UNIVERSITY FOR THE PARTIAL FULFILLMENT OF FOR THE DEGREE OF MASTER OF BUSINESS ADMINISTRATION (MBA) SUBMITTED BY CHARMI S. SHAH ROLL NO.: 42 UNDER THE GUIDANCE OF Dr. FALGUNI PANDYA ASSISTANT PROFESSOR (FINANCE) CENTRE FOR MANAGEMENT STUDIES DHARMSINH DESAI UNIVERSITY NADIAD 2014 DECLARATION I hereby declare that the project titled “FINANCIAL CRISIS AND ITS IMPACT ON THE STOCK MARKET” is my own work and I have not copied it from somewhere else. The project report is prepared just as a part of partial fulfillment of MBA programme and no other use of this project will be done. MANAGEMENT RESEARCH PROJECT is a part of syllabus in MBA programme of CMS – DDU , Nadiad, Gujarat. Name : Charmi S. Shah Signature : Date : 21st February, 2014 CENTRE FOR MANAGEMENT STUDIES DHARMSINH DESAI UNIVERSITY CERTIFICATE This is to certify that the Management Research Project has been Carried Out under the theme “FINANCIAL CRISIS AND ITS IMPACT ON STOCK MARKET”. This report is the bonafide work of Ms. Charmi Shah Roll Number 1542 of MBA Semester IV during the academic year 2012-14. Faculty Guide: Prof. Falguni Pandya Date: 21/02/2014 Head of Department: Dr. Naresh Patel Date:21/02/2014 Preface Practical knowledge by way of research is a step to bride up the gap between the theoretical studies of finance and its practicality in the world. Hence D...
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...Trends and Calendar effects in Malaysia Stock Market Mahmoud Khalid Almsafir Nur Hanis Hazwani Binti Husni Ayman Abdalmajeed Ahmad Al-smadi Graduate Business School, College Of Graduate Studies, Universiti Tenaga Nasional, Jalan IKRAM-UNITEN, 43000 Kajang, Selangor, Malaysia. mahmoud@uniten.edu.my, hanis.husni@gmail.com, smadi370@yahoo.com ABSTRACT Investing can help a person's wealth to generate more, and investing in stock is proven as one of the most profitable forms of available investment. The benefits gained in stock broking are immediate Buy/Sell which investor can sell part of their investment any time and at low transaction cost. However, investing in stock will require investor to observe the market, as market can be a volatile place and investor need to acquire knowledge of what they actually are doing. This study will discuss the price trends over the year, and how it will get affected by the seasonality in Malaysia, which also known as the calendar effects. The factor to be investigated in this study is the price on holiday’s season, the January effect or any other monthly seasonality. The daily price of KPJ Healthcare Berhad for the year 2011 is the sample was chosen in this study. Further this study, data used is derived from the weak-form efficient markets hypothesis, which is the price history and case study. Regression method is used in this study in order to help achieving the findings. This should be a continuous study, and adding on more other...
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...AN ANALYSIS OF THE EFFECTS OF INTEREST RATE AND EXCHANGE RATE CHANGES ON STOCK MARKET RETURNS: EMPIRICAL EVIDENCE OF GHANA STOCK EXCHANGE A thesis submitted to the Institute of Distance Learning, Kwame Nkrumah University of Science and Technology in partial fulfillment of the requirement for the degree of COMMONWEALTH EXECUTIVE MASTERS OF BUSINESS ADMINISTRATION Institute of Distance Learning, KNUST JUNE, 2011 DECLARATION I hereby declare that this submission is my own work toward the Commonwealth Executive Master of Business Administration and that, to the best of my knowledge, it contains no material previously published by another person nor material which has been accepted for the award of any other degree of the University except where due acknowledgement has been made in the text. RANSFORD CHARLES ENYAAH (STUDENT ID No: 20103521) …………………… Signature …………………. Date Certified by: EDWARD ACHEAMPONG (SUPERVISOR) …………………… Signature …………………. Date Certified by: ……………………………… Head of IDL …………………… Signature …………………. Date i DEDICATION I dedicate this project work to the Lord Almighty and all my loved ones. ii ACKNOWLEDGEMENT First of all, I thank the almighty God for fulfilling his promises to my life and for granting me the strength, wisdom and knowledge to complete this work My profound gratitude goes to my Supervisor, Mr. Edward Acheampong (Lecturer, Methodist University College, Ghana) for his unflinching dedication...
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... 1 Asian Contagion 1 Emerging Market Crises 3 Meltdown in Thailand 7 The International Monetary Fund 9 Implication for Business 11 Malaysia 13 Preventing and Managing Future Crises 14 Conclusion 16 References 18 Introduction Asian Contagion In March 1997 Asia faced a serious crisis in financial sector. This concern was started from Thailand and has spread to a lot of countries in Asia. Obviously it affected to those countries in economy situation such as currency value. Also called the "Asian Contagion", this was a series of currency devaluations and other events that spread through many Asian markets beginning in the summer of 1997. The currency markets first failed in Thailand as the result of the...
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...THE RELATIONSHIP BETWEEN STOCK MARKET AND ECONOMIC GROWTH IN ASEAN COUNTRIES BY KOH YONG HONG CHOONG PIK SIN LEE SOCK MEI NG HON MENG LEONG MUN HONG A research project submitted in partial fulfillment of the requirement for the degree of BACHELOR OF BUSINESS ADMINISTRATION (HONS) BANKING AND FINANCE UNIVERSITI TUNKU ABDUL RAHMAN FACULTY OF BUSINESS AND FINANCE DEPARTMENT OF FINANCE MARCH 2016 Copyright @ 2016 ALL RIGHTS RESERVED. No part of this paper may be reproduced, stored in a retrieval system, or transmitted in any form or by any means, graphic, electronic, mechanical, photocopying, recording, scanning, or otherwise, without the prior consent of the authors. DECLARATION We hereby declare that: (1) This undergraduate research project is the end result of our own work and that due acknowledgement has been given in the references to ALL sources of information be they printed, electronic, or personal. (2) No portion of this research project has been submitted in support of any application for any other degree or qualification of this or any other university, or other institutes of learning. (3) Equal contribution has been made by each group member in completing the research project. (4) The word count of this research report is 10,786 words. Name of Student: Student ID: Signature: 1. KOH YONG HONG 11ABB02521 2. CHOONG PIK...
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...Vol. 5, No. 11 Asian Social Science Impact of Training on Earnings: Evidence from Pakistani Industries Zainab Javied Fatima Jinnah Women University, Rawalpindi E-mail: zainab_javied2000@yahoo.com Asma Hyder (Corresponding author) Assistant Professor NUST Business School, Islamabad E-mail: baloch.asma@gmail.com Abstract Training and skills development play a vital role in individual’s productive capacity and are integral part of Human Resource Development (HRD). This study aims to examine the role of training in determination of wages. By utilizing the cross-sectional data from Labor Force Survey 2005-06, results have shown that training is not significant in the determination of wages, which shows the poor quality of training in the overall economy. Results were obtained by Ordinary Least Square (OLS) technique. However, schooling and other demographic variables have expected signs and magnitudes. The recommendations of the study based on empirical findings are toward technical education and vocational training institutions; they should ideally have to devise their technical education and vocational training exactly according to the requirements of industry. Empirical results also emphasize to improve the quality of training. Keywords: Wages, Investment in human capital, Training, Cross-section data, Industries, Developing country 1. Introduction Training in general and skills development in particular, not only play a vital role in individual, organizational and overall...
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...developing market economies are moving to the forefront of the world market, diminishing the dominance of developed countries. Their rapid expansion is often underpinned by strong domestic firm performance. The resources and funds required to fuel the sustained future growth of these firms as they compete with global powerhouses from developed markets therefore become important factors. In recent decades the process of globalization has made it increasingly common for developing country firms to internationalize and gain access to developed country capital markets. Developping countries are playing a significant role in the developpment of their home-country economies because of a higher use of external financement, which could give these firms the opportunity of operating in countries with more developped financial markets and a better access to external funds. In addition, developed financial markets can reduce the problem of asymmetric information. To evaluate the role that both the level of financial market development and firm-level characteristics have in the relationship between internationalization and debt financing, they employ three-variable interactions. The purpose was to find out how the relationship between the level of foreign sales and financial development differs for types of firms as classified by levels of financial constraint and asymmetric information. It reveals that firms from developing countries that expand into international markets have better...
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...OFFERINGS: EVIDENCE FROM THE SINGAPORE IPO MARKET VOON PEIJUN (Bachelor of Business Administration (Hons), NUS) A THESIS SUBMITTED FOR THE DEGREE OF MASTERS OF SCIENCE (BUSINESS) DEPART DEPARTMENT OF FINANCE AND ACCOUNTING NATIONAL UNIVERSITY OF SINGAPORE 2009 ACKNOWLEDGEMENT I would like to express my warmest gratitude to Professor Michael Shih for his patient guidance and encouragement all this while. A very big thank you, Sir. I would also like to take this opportunity to thank my family for their love and concern all these years. Thank you Dad, Mum and Brother. Without their support, I would not have come so far. Thank you! Voon Peijun 2009 Page i ABSTRACT The study explores the role of issue managers in the initial public offering (IPO) process. Empirical research shows that IPOs are associated with two significant market anomalies: short-run underpricing puzzle and long-run underperformance phenomenon. This paper examines the reputational influence of issue managers on the two anomalies. Employing the newly developed ‘twelve-month rolling’ reputation ranking approach, our study is the first to furnish a comprehensive ranking of all the issue managers with a substantial presence in Singapore. Based on a sample of 384 IPOs listed on the Singapore Exchange between January 1, 1997 and August 22, 2008, we find evidence of prevalent short-run underpricing and long-run underperformance in the domestic market. Our findings indicate that the IPOs backed...
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...Innovations and Inclusive Growth A Case of Banking Industry in India Kiran Kumar Kakarlapudi Background and Motivation India has entered high growth trajectory with the initiation of economic reforms in the early 1990s with a policy shift towards free market economy.1 While on the growth front, the economy has performed considerably well, on the other hand the issue of distributional effects of growth has gained momentum in the academic and policy environment. Thus, in the eleventh and twelfth five year plans, emphasis has been laid to achieve sustainable economic growth with inclusive development (Singh, 2011). The empirical evidences on India’s growth pattern show that, the fantabulous growth performance, to a large extent, is driven by high growth in the service sector which has grown at 8.1 percent per annum during 1990-91 to 2007-08. Similarly, the share of service sector Gross Domestic Product (GDP) has increased from less than half to 68 percent in 2007-08 (Acharya, 2008). 2 The insights from the studies on service sector growth in India reveal that the spurt in the service growth is driven by the rapid growth of business services (which include Information Technology), communication services, financial services, hotels and restaurants, and trade (distribution) services, which is facilitated by the advent and rapid diffusion of information technology (Gordon and Gupta, 2004; Banga, 2005; Verma, 2006; Eichengreen and Gupta, 2010).3 Further, it has been argued that, rapid...
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...RETHINKING THE EAST ASIAN MIRACLE JOSEPH E. STIGLITZ AND SHAHID YUSUF Editors RETHINKING THE EAST ASIA MIRACLE JOSEPH E. STIGLITZ AND SHAHID YUSUF Editors A copublication of the World Bank and Oxford University Press i Oxford University Press Oxford • New York • Athens • Auckland • Bangkok • Bogotá • Buenos Aires • Calcutta • Cape Town • Chennai • Dar es Salaam • Delhi • Florence • Hong Kong • Istanbul • Karachi • Kuala Lumpur • Madrid • Melbourne • Mexico City • Mumbai • Nairobi • Paris • São Paulo • Singapore • Taipei • Tokyo • Toronto • Warsaw and associated companies in Berlin • Ibadan © 2001 The International Bank for Reconstruction and Development / The World Bank 1818 H Street, N.W., Washington, D.C. 20433, USA Published by Oxford University Press, Inc. 198 Madison Avenue, New York, N.Y. 10016 Oxford is a registered trademark of Oxford University Press. All rights reserved. No part of this publication may be reproduced, stored in a retrieval system, or transmitted, in any form or by any means, electronic, mechanical, photocopying, recording, or otherwise, without the prior permission of Oxford University Press. Cover design and interior design by Naylor Design, Washington, D.C. Manufactured in the United States of America First printing June 2001 1 2 3 4 04 03 02 01 The findings, interpretations, and conclusions expressed in this study are entirely those of the authors and should not be attributed in any manner to the World Bank, to its affiliated organizations...
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...hereby authorize the submission of the project work titled, “ Factors affecting investment decision and competitive advantage of Indiabulls”, undertaken by Ms. Shikha Sinha (Enrollment no. 11BSPHH010767) as partial fulfillment of MBA Program of IBS Hyderabad. This project work was executed under my guidance and no part of this project has been submitted for any degree or recognition before. Sincerely, Dr. P Shashikala (Faculty Guide, IBS Hyderabad) Dated: ACKNOWLEDGEMENT I hereby take this opportunity to thank INDIABULLS SECURITIES, for providing me a corporate exposure through the course of my summer internship. I would like to express my sincere gratitude towards my company guide Mr. Atish Gupta, for providing me great insights about stock markets, real estate, home loans and various other ventures, for guiding me all throughout and for being a great support. I would also like to thank Dr. P Shashikala, my faculty guide for instructing me and giving me her valuable advice on my project. I am also like to thank Mr. Ashish Yadav, Mr. Ankit Gupta, Mr. Jadish Yadav, Mr. Naveen and all members of Indiabulls family who were a great co-operation and help all throughout. I would like...
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...important to examine how far accounting has been successful in imitating natural science and how the development of PAT compares with the three standard accounts of science. This paper shows that accounting could not emulate the success of natural science. Further, the methodological positions of PAT conform to none of the standard accounts of science. Rather, PAT contains elements of all three. Finally, this paper identifies some methodological gaps in PAT. Keywords: Positive Accounting Theory, Philosophy of Science, Methodological Controversies Acknowledgements I would like to thank two anonymous reviewers of the journal for their helpful comments. Earlier versions of this paper benefited from comments from Lee Parker of the University of South Australia, Keith Hooper of Auckland University of Technology, Divesh Sharma of Kennesaw State University, and Santi Narayan Ghosh of the University of Dhaka. Introduction This paper examines the development of positive accounting theory (PAT) and compares it with three standard accounts of science. There is some confusion about what PAT is. If the definition of accounting theory (i.e., accounting theory...
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...Finance Volume 9 | Issue 1 Article 3 6-5-2012 Modelling and forecasting volatility in the gold market Stefan Trück Macquarie University, stefan.trueck@mq.edu.au Kevin Liang Macquarie University Follow this and additional works at: http://epublications.bond.edu.au/ijbf Recommended Citation Trück, Stefan and Liang, Kevin (2012) "Modelling and forecasting volatility in the gold market," International Journal of Banking and Finance: Vol. 9: Iss. 1, Article 3. Available at: http://epublications.bond.edu.au/ijbf/vol9/iss1/3 This Journal Article is brought to you by the Faculty of Business at ePublications@bond. It has been accepted for inclusion in International Journal of Banking and Finance by an authorized administrator of ePublications@bond. For more information, please contact Bond University's Repository Coordinator. Trück and Liang: Forecasting volatility in the gold market International Journal of Banking and Finance, Volume 9 (Number 1), 2012: pages 48-80 MODELLING AND FORECASTING VOLATILITY IN THE GOLD MARKET Stefan Trück and Kevin Liang Macquarie University, Australia _____________________________________________ Abstract We investigate the volatility dynamics of gold markets. While there are a number of recent studies examining volatility and Value-at-Risk (VaR) measures in financial and commodity markets, none of them focuses on the gold market. We use a large number of statistical models to model and then forecast daily volatility and VaR...
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...Road, Off Raiwind Road, Lahore, Pakistan E-mail: talatafza@ciitlahore.edu.pk Hammad Hassan Mirza COMSATS Institute of Information Technology, Park Road, Chak Shahzad, Islamabad, Pakistan E-mail: al_hammd@hotmail.com Abstracts Dividend Policy is among the widely addressed topics in modern financial literature. The inconclusiveness of the theories on importance of dividend in determining firm’s value has made it one of the most debatable topics for the researchers (see for example, Ramcharan, 2001; Frankfurter et. al 2002; Al-Malkawi, 2007). The present study investigates the impact of firm specific characteristics on corporate dividend behavior in emerging economy of Pakistan. Three years data (2005-2007) of 100 companies listed at Karachi Stock Exchange (KSE) has been analyzed using Ordinary Least Square (OLS) regression. The results show that managerial and individual ownership, cash flow sensitivity, size and leverage are negatively whereas, operating cash-flow and profitability are positively related to cash dividend. Managerial ownership, individual ownership, operating cash flow and size are the most significant determinants of dividend behavior whereas, leverage and cash flow sensitivity do not contribute significantly in determining the level of corporate dividend payment in the firms studied in our sample. Estimated results are robust to alternative proxy of dividend behavior i.e. dividend intensity. Keywords: Dividend Policy, Ownership Structure, Cash Flow, OLS Regression...
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