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Explain The Mayor's False Belief That Increasing The Stork

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Using your knowledge of causal criteria, which of the following statements best explains the Mayor's false belief that increasing the stork population would increase the birth rate? Explain why the other 2 are false.
1. The Mayor implied there was an association between the stork population and the birth rate that was not there.

False. The mayor was clearly speculating, there is clearly an association between the stork population and the birth rate.

2. The Mayor mistakenly thought that 2 factors which are statistically associated (the stork population and the birth rate) must be causally related.

True. There has to be alternate explanations for this association. The Industrial Revolution, could be causing both a decrease in storks and a decrease in the birth rate.

3. The Mayor neglected to look at the statistical significance of the association. Only if the results were statistically significant could he conclude that a causal relationship exists.
False. Statistical significance does not indicate that an association is causal.
Part B. …show more content…
The Commissioner asks you if you think that internet use among adolescents is "a cause" of risk-seeking behavior (e.g., smoking, drinking, skipped meals, irregular sleep habits, and sexual activity). You think back to your Introduction to Epidemiology class and recall that epidemiologists have a fairly distinct definition of "cause". Which of the following statements best describes the hypothesized causal link between internet use and risk-seeking behaviors, and why? For the other 2 statements, why do they not describe the causal

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