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Hathaway Effect

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Submitted By mangocho
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The Hawks of Mass Street
Hathaway Write Up
Introduction

Berkshire-Hathaway, conglomerate holdings company founded by Warren Buffet, may have a hidden connection to actress Anne Hathaway which was originally discovered by Dan Mervish of the Huffington Post. Mervish noticed six events, five movie premieres and one decoration (announcing the Oscars), all relating Hathaway to a positive daily performance by Buffet’s company. Mervish attempts to explain the trend that “automated, robotic trading programming are picking up the same chatter on the Internet about ‘Hathaway’ as the IMDb’s StarMeter, and they’re applying it to the stock market”. The following write-up tackles the issues and accuracy of Mervish’s accusation.

Establishing a Database

Using the original six events (movies and awards) we decided to expand the list to 28 total. Even though hosting the Oscars is not an award it is an honor and therefore we decided to use all movie honors in addition to movie openings. Starting in August 2004 with the opening of The Princess Diaries until 2013 her most recent release Don Jon (September 2013), we ran all daily data for BRK.A (Berkshire Hathaway.) Furthermore, award data was comprised for all ceremonies in which Anne won and was not just nominated. Note that movies and awards that opened/conducted over the weekend were not included in our data (i.e. Monday). Some award ceremonies were conducted in the evening; however, in order to stay concurrent with movie release data we decided to use the day the awards took place. We wanted to reflect our data as similar to the original six events as possible to prevent our set from becoming skew. Skewness is a measure of the asymmetry of probability distributions. Negative skew or left skew has fewer low values and a longer left tail, while positive skew has fewer right values and a longer right tail. The primary reason

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