Free Essay

India and China- Prospects and Challenges

In:

Submitted By c3201485
Words 5602
Pages 23
International Research Journal of Social Sciences_____________________________________ ISSN 2319–3565
Vol. 2(8), 48-54, August (2013)
Int. Res. J. Social Sci.

India and China: Prospects and Challenges
Mehraj Uddin Gojree
Department of Political Science, Aligarh Muslim University, U.P., INDIA

Available online at: www.isca.in
Received 16th July 2013, revised 27th July 2013, accepted 12th August 2013

Abstract
This paper seeks to assess the future prospects and challenges of the relationship between the two rising giants of Asia namely China and India. As they both are rising as great powers, their mutual relationship will have a significant impact not only on Asia, but on the whole world. At present, the nature of their relationship is something mixed i.e., growing cooperation in the field of trade and commerce along with distrust and mutual suspicions in the strategic fields whether political or geographical. For these apparent factors, the future relationship between India and China can be characterised by the cooperation in those fields whether mutual, regional or international which may be beneficial for the peaceful rise of both these states and confrontation, competition, and even hostility in some other areas where the respective interests of both the giants clash with each other, for example, the border issue, relationship with other countries particularly US and Pakistan, their encirclement policies, competition for energy resources, nuclear arms race, etc. However, at the international level, both countries would find convergence of interests by cooperating with each other on the issues like international terrorism, climate change, restructuring of international institutions, reducing dependence of developing countries on developed countries, taking joint stand on human rights issues, promoting multipolar world order, and on some other areas also. A descriptive-comparative-analytical method has been adopted throughout the paper.
Keywords: China, India, future, relationship, trade, cooperation, competition.

Introduction
The future direction of relationship between the two Asiatic giants, China and India will be characterized not only by competition, but also co-operation. None of them can escape the compulsions of the changing nature of international strategic environment wherein economic interests has taken precedence over political ones. Being developing countries, both the states find convergence of interests on the issue of climate change viza-viz developed nations. The most important field for cooperation between China and India will be the trade and economic. In 1984, the two sides signed a Most Favored Nation
Agreement (MFN) and trade levels since have increased many times over with the figure touching $74 billion in 2011 from
$2.92 billion in 2000. Both countries have set an ambitious trade target of $100 billion in trade by 2015 1. However, the border question still haunts the China-India relations even in the 21st century. China questions the length of the border and also disputes the 1914 McMahon Line that demarcates India and
China border. China also claims the entire north-eastern Indian state of Arunachal Pradesh, which shares border with China.
India has also been up in arms against China‟s policy of issuing stapled visas for citizens from the Indian state of Jammu and
Kashmir. The sharing of river waters is likely to emerge as another problem area for India-China relations in the absence of a treaty between the two countries. During the last few years, there have been reports of China building dams on the Yarlung
River, which originates in Tibet before eventually flowing into
Arunachal Pradesh. On a broader stage, India‟s aspiration for a

International Science Congress Association

permanent seat on the UN (United Nations) Security Council may also increase the rivalry between the two countries as
China has not been very enthusiastic about India‟s bid for a spot at the coveted high table. While on the surface China-India relations appear to be improving, both sides harbor deep suspicions of the other‟s strategic intentions, and it is likely that such friction will continue given their unsettled borders, China‟s interest in consolidating its hold on Tibet, and as each country reaches into the other‟s traditional sphere of influence. This article attempts to explore this complex, multi-layered relationship in all its dimensions. It mainly focuses on the recent developments in the Sino-Indian relationship. It examines the trends of convergence that have emerged in the past few years.
Additionally, it looks at the points of divergence and possible areas of concern in the relationship between Asia‟s giants.

India and China in the 21st Century
In the 21st century, India and China has emerged as the two visible powers in Asia and in the world with huge populations, growing economies and expanding markets. Though their past relations were bitter and were characterised by hostility towards each other but since 1988, with the Indian Prime Minister Rajiv
Gandhi‟s visit to China and more especially with the dawn of
21st century, both the states began to shed their past hostilities towards each other by initiating a number of Confidence and
Security Building Measures (CSBM‟s) in various fields like economics, politics, strategic, culture, defence, etc. to stabilise their relationship. This turn of positive development was based

48

International Research Journal of Social Sciences___________________________________________________ISSN 2319–3565
Vol. 2(8), 48-54, August (2013)
Int. Res. J. Social Sci. on the mutual need to focus on social and political stability, strong economic growth and a sense of security so that each side can avoid the dangers of stagnation and decline.
The rapprochement in the bilateral relations between China and
India has been viewed differently by different observers. For example, some argue that close relations between the two Asian giants can radically alter their security environment and restructure Asian geopolitics. But so far as the long term observers of Sino-India future relations are concerned, they maintain that Sino-Indian ties remain weak and vulnerable to sudden deterioration as a result of misperceptions, unrealistic expectations, accidents and eruption of unresolved issues2. The simultaneous rise of both China and India are bound to result in realignment of geographical equation and power relations in
Asia. It is due to this complex nature of Sino-India relations that it cannot be explained in simplistic format of „friend‟ or „foe‟.
Instead, both constitute a mosaic of cooperation, co-existence, coordination, cooption, competition and even confrontation3.
Although, it is a recognised fact that China and India are competitors for influence and power in Asia, nevertheless, both share common goals of maintaining regional stability, fighting terrorism, taking advantages from globalisation and maintaining access to capital and markets, taking joint stand on climate change, issue of proliferation of nuclear weapons, etc. Further, mutual cooperation between China and India will be more effective in balancing U.S. influence in the region and also increase their negotiating position with the sole super power.
It is in this convergence of interests between the two Asian giants that the joint document entitled, “A Shared Vision for the
21st Century of the Republic of India and the People‟s Republic of China” was signed on January 14, 2008 at Beijing by India and China to chart-out the future roadmap of bilateral relations between the two4. The document provides that India and China
(hereafter called the two sides) will5: i. Building and promoting of a long-lasting peace and common prosperity by developing the cooperative and strategic partnership for peace and prosperity between the two states. ii. For removing mutual suspicion, the two sides are convinced that it is time to look to the future in building a relationship of friendship and trust based on equality in which each is sensitive to the concerns and aspirations of the other. Such a close relationship will have a positive influence on the future of international system. iii. On the issue of constituting foreign policy, the two sides believe that in the new century, Panchsheel, the Five Principles of
Peaceful Co-existence, should continue to constitute the basic guiding principles for good relations between all countries and for creating the conditions for realising peace and progress of human kind. iv. On the future of 21st century, the two sides believe that the continuous democratisation of international relations and multi-literalism are an important objective in the new century. v. On the international economic issues, both states believe that the establishment of an open, fair, equitable, transparent and rule based multi-lateral trading system is the

International Science Congress Association

common aspiration of all countries. vi. Further, the two sides are convinced that it is in the common interest of the international community to establish an international energy order that is fair, equitable, secure and stable to the benefit of the entire international community. vii. Further, the two sides take the issue of climate change seriously and reiterate their readiness to join the international community in the efforts to address climate change. viii. On the arms race, the two sides appeal to the international community to move forward the processes of multi-lateral arms control, disarmament and non-proliferation. xi. So far as the terrorism are concerned, the two sides pledge to work together and with international community to strengthen the global framework against terrorism in a long term, sustained and comprehensive manner. x. On the question of boundary issue the two sides remain firmly committed to resolving outstanding differences, including the boundary question, through peaceful negotiation.
This document can be regarded a blueprint for the future bilateral relation between China and India as the document stressed that the two sides are convinced that it is time to look to the future in building a relationship and trust based on equality, in which each is sensitive to the concerns and aspirations of the other and their common and simultaneous development will have a positive influence on the future of international community. On the day of its signing, Hu Shishang (Chinese scholar) wrote, “The rise of the world‟s two most populous nations is of a revolutionary significance” hoping that SinoIndia relations should “over step limits of geopolitics” and
“should especially exceed the security predicaments and grudges against each other in the history6.”

Political Conflict and Economic Cooperation
However, in spite of such a convergence of interests, India remains uncertain about China‟s long term intentions. To eliminate such future apprehensions, India‟s strategy for future remains three fold. India is using its growing economic strength to fund and facilitate the modernisation and expansion of its military strength and presence in its immediate and extended neighbourhood. However, along with such strategy, there is also a desire for cooperation on trade and commerce along with some shared interests like safeguarding sea lane, combating terrorism and so on. The bilateral cooperative relationship can be advantageous for both the states. In this regard, „The Shared
Vision for the 21st Century‟ as mentioned above, reflects such a sense of mutual simultaneous peaceful rising of both the states.
As stated earlier, the document provides that it is the time that
China and India should look to the future in building a relationship of friendship and trust based on equality in which each is sensitive to concerns and aspirations of others. That is why India‟s Prime Minister Dr. Manmohan Singh said:
The responsibility for the further development of India-China relations is a shared one in which besides the governments- the intellectuals, thinkers and scholars of both the states have an

49

International Research Journal of Social Sciences___________________________________________________ISSN 2319–3565
Vol. 2(8), 48-54, August (2013)
Int. Res. J. Social Sci. important role to play. It is only through a free flow of ideas and sharing of different perspectives that our two societies can build-upon the edifice of our civilisational links7.
In the same vein, Deng Xiaoping (the Chinese Premier) once remarked that “if China and India are developed, we can say that we have made our contribution to mankind 8.” His observation about the importance of Sino-Indian cooperation has acquired more significance in the contemporary times as the world is moving towards a multi-polar system with a great impact on the economy, politics and foreign affairs of both
China and India. Both the states are facing new opportunities as well as challenges and in future, they should exploit these opportunities and face challenges in a cooperative manner. On some international issues, both the states can support each other and cooperate as they have common or identical views on those issues. For example, China and India share common view points on the human rights issues. They oppose the attempt of some western countries (particularly U.S.A.) to capitalise on the so called
„Human Rights Issue‟ to put pressure on developing countries.
Thus, both have opposed the attempts by some developed countries to impose their human rights criteria on others and thereby interfere in the internal affairs of other countries under the guise of human rights. In future also, they can also take joint stand on this issue.
Furthermore, both the states can jointly project the cause for the establishment of New International Economic and Political
Order (NIEPO) devoid of unipolarity in which the strategic, economic, and political independence of all countries all over the world must be taken into account. However, the most important field for future cooperation between China and India will be economics and trade. They can reduce their economic weakness by acquiring each other's strong points. It is in this context, that both the states have made a mutual decision to set aside fighting about their disputed border while the two giants develop their economies and enter world market known in
China as the „peaceful development9.‟ Being the two largest and fastest growing economies with expanding markets in the world, it is projected that the Sino-Indian bilateral trade would be the world‟s largest trading partnership sometime between 2010 and
2020. The gradual and steady rise of Sino-India trade can be discerned from the fact that in 1991, bilateral trade between the two states was $265 million. In 1999, after a decade, it rose to $
1.82 billion10. In 2000, the bilateral trade had reached $2.5 billion. Again in 2004, bilateral trade touched $13.6 billion11.
During the year 2008 and 2009, the Sino-Indian trade was
$51.86 billion and $43.28 billion respectively. India-China total trade crossed the target of $60 billion for 2010 and stood at
$61.74 billion12. Further it is estimated that China-India trade will mark the $100 billion by 201513. The table given below highlights the growth of trade between India and China during the three years 2008, 2009 and 2010.

International Science Congress Association

Table-1
India China Trade
(All figures in US $ billions)
2008
2009
2010
Indian Exports to China
20.34
13.70
20.86
Growth %
38.76
-32.63
52.19
China Exports to India
31.52
29.57
40.88
Growth %
31.12
-6.17
38.25
Total India-China trade
51.86
43.28
61.74
Growth %
34.02
-16.55
42.66
Total trade balance for India
-11.18
-15.87
20.02
These figures for Sino-India bilateral trade (2010) were released by
China customs at http://mea.gov.in/mystact.pdf?id=50042452,
Retrieved 12 May 2011, (2010)
Thus, it becomes clear that since the last two decades, SinoIndian trade has continuously increased and in future also, this pace of increase in Sino-Indian trade is expected to continue.
India‟s strength lies in information technology (IT), software engineering, management and financial services and China is strong in hardware, manufacturing, construction and engineering. Therefore, there is greater scope in future for collaboration and cooperation from each other‟s strong points.
Besides the above mentioned fields, there are other areas as well where both China and India can cooperate in future, for example in the field of science and technology, both states have made tremendous progress and cooperation in this field will to a great extent reduce their technological dependence on the developed countries. In this regard, they need to cooperate in the fields like space, computer software, and genetic engineering, peaceful application of nuclear energy, hydro-electricity generation, and agriculture and in a number of other fields.
Thus, on the whole it can be stated that the cooperation between the two Asian giants in future at the bilateral and international level will continue in those fields or areas where there is convergence of interests and which will serve their respective national interests. That is why, despite their many disputes, both are likely to avoid overt rivalry and open conflict. They will build a more robust and substantive economic relationship and will also pursue cooperation in international forums on environment, trade, human rights, nuclear weapons and economic issues. In all these areas, they have far more reasons to cooperate than to collide. The more and more cooperation in all the above mentioned fields will be more beneficial for both the countries and could also enable them to play a more assertive role in the international arena by increasing their negotiating position viz-a-viz developed countries.
Although, there has been increasing cooperation between the two Asian giants in the political, economic or other fields in the past and is likely to remain so in the future also, but the misperceptions, distrust, suspicion and hostility towards each other has not fully vanished and in future also, these features

50

International Research Journal of Social Sciences___________________________________________________ISSN 2319–3565
Vol. 2(8), 48-54, August (2013)
Int. Res. J. Social Sci. will characterise Sino-Indian relations along with cooperation.
While India has always remained suspicious about China, the
Chinese on the other hand, remain sceptical about India‟s future course of policies and action. It will be not acceptable for China to see India playing the role beyond South Asia or emerge as an equal competitor to China. For example, India‟s aspirations to play a more active role in East Asia are not encouraged by
China; the latter prefers that India remain in South Asia although, it plays lip service to the notion that India should be a major player in the global affairs. India‟s entry to the ARF
(ASEAN Regional Forum) was endorsed by the United States and Singapore and not by China. In terms of economic and military capabilities, China has went far ahead of India and the existing power status between the two, serves the interests of
China more than India. However, in spite of such an advantageous position of China vis-a-viz India, China is concerned about India aligning with any other significant powers notably (US) against China. That is why China is likely to be prepared to make some concessions to India so that India may not align itself with any outside power to challenge
Chinese supremacy in the region. However, to Mohan Malik, on balance, China seems to have limited expectations from India which can be broadly described as “Five No‟s14”: i. do not peddle “the China threat theory”. ii. do not support Tibet or
Taiwan's independence. iii. do not object to the Sino-Pakistani
Strategic Partnership. iv. do not align with the United States and/or Japan to contain China. v. do not see or project yourself as an equal of China or as a nuclear and economic counter weight to China in Asia.

grow by between 3.6 and 4.3 percent per year, and to more than double by 2030. This would make India the world‟s third largest importer of oil before 202516. The sustained growth rate of their economies depends to a large extent on the uninterrupted supply of energy like oil and gas as both are major energy importer countries. In 2001, the total energy consumption of China and
India was 39.7 and 12.7 respectively in Quadrillion British thermal Units and it is estimated that this figure will increase to
60.3 in case of China and 23.5 in case of India, by 2025. Below mentioned table highlights growing need of oil and gas in both
China and India:

It is on the basis of these „five principles‟ that China seeks to establish future relations with India as part of its friendly neighbourhood strategy. Earlier, especially during Nehruvian era, and soon after the end of bi-polarity it was expected that
Sino-Indian partnership will produce an Asian century, but
Chinese has not shown any sign so far for sharing leadership of
Asia with anyone including India. China will not allow any power to emerge as a peer competitor that will challenge its status as the Asia Pacific‟s sole “Middle Kingdom” and in this regard an old Chinese saying goes, “one mountain cannot accommodate two tiger‟s15.” Thus, on the side of India, to challenge or to try to undermine China‟s influence and power or any attempt to achieve strategic parity with China, will be strongly resisted by China through its military, economic and diplomatic means.

Table-4
Consumption of Gas
Average Annual
Country
2001
2025
percent growth
Japan
2.8
3.6
1
China
1.0
6.1
7.9
India
0.8
3.4
6.1
Trillion Cubic feet, Source: Lounev Sergei, Russia and Asian
Giants, "The Problems and the Prospects of Cooperation
(Energy Sphere)”, in Mahavir Singh (ed.), Building A New
Asia, Shirpa Publications, New Delhi, 243-244 (2005)

Energy and Maritime Security
Moreover, as the two Asian giants move forward in the 21 st century, with increasing need for energy resources to feed their growing economies both will try to forge closer and deeper security ties with energy rich nations and will also develop strategies to safeguard sea lanes through which the bulk of their trade takes place. After the U.S., China consumes more oil than any other nation. India‟s energy consumption is expected to

International Science Congress Association

Table-2
Total Energy Consumption
Average Annual
Country
2001
2025
percent growth
Japan
21.9
23.3
0.3
China
39.7
60.3
1.8
India
12.7
23.5
2.6
Quadrillion British Thermal Units
Table-3
Consumption of Oil
Average Annual
Country
2001
2025
percent growth
Japan
5.4
6.5
0.8
China
5.0
10.9
3.3
India
2.1
5.5
4
Million barrels per day

That is why, in the recent past, China is pumping more and more money in developing the ports and naval bases in
Pakistan, Bangladesh, Myanmar and Sri Lanka. Although, no
Chinese territory borders the Indian ocean, the same (Indian
Ocean) is now being described in Chinese circles as „China‟s next frontier‟17. But on the other side, India has not been a mute spectator to all these developments. It has countered all these moves by enhancing and upgrading military ties with Maldives,
Madagascar, Seychelles and US in the Indian ocean and with
Myanmar, Singapore, Indonesia, Thailand, Vietnam, Taiwan, the Philippines, Australia, Japan and US in the East. The above scenario can be best illustrated from the fallowing map:

51

International Research Journal of Social Sciences___________________________________________________ISSN 2319–3565
Vol. 2(8), 48-54, August (2013)
Int. Res. J. Social Sci.

Figure-1
Maritime Map
Source: International Maritime Bureau
In the context of above mentioned developments, it is predicted that in the future, the maritime competition between two Asian giants is set to intensify as the Indian and Chinese navies meet in the Indian and Pacific ocean. Maritime rivalry would be the new dimension to the traditional Sino-Indian geopolitical rivalry. Further, the future relations between China and India will remain delicate and sensitive and there is possibility of sudden deterioration of relations as a result of misperceptions, hostile attitudes especially on border issue. In addition, the competition for resources, overlapping spheres of influence, rival alliance relationships shows that the future relations between the two
Asian giants will be characterized more by competition than cooperation in the foreseeable future. However, it must be reiterated here once again that in such a complex and delicate atmosphere, neither side would do anything that would destabilise their current bilateral economic or other relations.
But at the same time, both the states will try to consolidate their power and position while striving to resolve their domestic and internal problems. However, along with such a strategy, they will also continue to monitor closely each other's activities to expand influence and gain advantage in the wider Asian region.
India will also like to maintain the independence in its foreign policy by not entering into any alliance that are aimed at countering China or any other power. Nonetheless, a pro
U.S./pro-Japan tilt in India‟s national security policy a reaction to the power projection capabilities of China will be a defining

International Science Congress Association

characteristic of an increasingly globalised world. Moreover, the nature of future Indo-U.S. relations, Sino-U.S. relations and
Sino-Pak relations will be very significant for Sino-India relations. During the 1960‟s and 1970, one of the main reasons of hostility between India and China was the Indo-Soviet alliance and still in the present times, Chinese antagonism towards Japan is its alliance with the United States. In the same way, in future, if the U.S. adopts a policy of containment against
China and recognise India as its natural ally, the result would be a hostile relationship between China and India as well as between China and United States18. It is in this respect that
China‟s behaviour towards India is not much different from that of United States behaviour towards China for the simple reason that China is a status-quoist power with regard to India while the US is a status quoist power with respect to China. Thus, the future of the Asian Security environment depends to a great extent on how the U.S. manages the rise of China and how
China, in turn, manages the rise of India.
Though, in the short and medium term, neither side would do anything that would destabilise their current bilateral economic or other relations, but in the long term, there is possibility of confrontations and even conflict between the two Asian giants over a number of issues ranging from border issue to encirclement policies. However, the extent and nature of their rivalry will be determined by how domestic, political and economic developments in these two countries affect their power, their perceptions, their attitudes and above all, their

52

International Research Journal of Social Sciences___________________________________________________ISSN 2319–3565
Vol. 2(8), 48-54, August (2013)
Int. Res. J. Social Sci. security policies. It can be asserted and is also possible that militarily strong and economically prosperous India and China might come to terms with each other eventually as their mutual containment policies start yielding diminishing results. Till then, both the states would like to maintain the status quo focussing on their economic, political, military and strategic development and in future, keep the competition and rivalry as flexible and unprovokable as possible.

Conclusion
In the concluding remarks, it can be asserted that despite improvement, the Sino-Indian relations will remain competitive.
Both will attempt to acquire the power and status which will be suitable to their populations, geographical location, their country‟s size, and so on. Furthermore, the emergence of both the states as great powers and economic giants in the 21 st century is likely to result in significant new geo-political alignments. Both will try to enhance their presence in different parts of Asia and Africa. Moreover, the new economic prosperity and military strength of both the states will create new tensions as both will try to register their authority in different parts of the world, especially in South Asia, South East
Asia and Central Asia. At the strategic level, India will continue to expand the strength, scope and reach of its naval capabilities.
The growth of such capabilities will provide Chinese further reason to be wary of Indian intentions.

conditions change, however, the stage would be set for serious dyadic rivalry20.
In the end, the Sino-Indian future relations can be best summedup with the statement of Jay Taylor which he made in the mid1980s, but remain relevant even today, notably in the second decade of 21st century. He noted: Over the long term, India and
China… will always tend towards a rival relationship and thus, each will seek a security link with a different super power…
Both India and China want to avoid war and concentrate on development…. Yet the volatile agents of nationalism and history produce a mysterious chemistry…. Strength and size carry with them their own rationale for status and influence, and both India and China may well find themselves drawn into future regional conflicts or possibly intervening in neighbouring countries because of some instability or action that is produced as threatening… the odds are that over the long term there will be more rivalry than cooperation between Hind and Hun21.

References

However, it must be reiterated here, that the range of issues, confronting the two states are sufficiently varied so as to engender complex national strategies. In most of the cases,
China and India will be faced with the task of deterring, defending and reassuring each other simultaneously in the presence of multiple actors, each with its own capabilities, preferences and constraints. In this context, according to Ashley
J. Tellis, Sino-Indian relations- on balance- will be defined more by competition than by cooperation, but such competition is unlikely to become malignantly rivalrous, as U.S.-Soviet
Competition was during the cold war. It is because, both China and India are still subordinate states in global system that lack untrammelled freedom of action, have sufficiently different strategic orientations in Asia that, while intersecting, offer hope of avoiding unvarnished confrontations, and have defence capabilities wherein geography nuclear weaponry, and conventional forces combine to produce fairly robust defence dominance viz-a-viz each other. If and when, these three

International Science Congress Association

Borah Rupakjyati, Compete or Cooperate? India, China and the Asian Century, Global Asia, 7(2), (2012)

2.

Malik Mohan, India-China Relations: Giants Stir,
Cooperate and Compete, in Satu P. Limaye (ed.), Special
Assessment: Asia‟s Bilateral Relations, Asia Pacific
Centre for Security Studies (APCSS) Hawaii, 5 (2004)

3.
So far as the Sino-Pak ties and its impact on Sino-Indian relations are concerned, it will also remain an important irritant in the Sino-India relations. Though China, no longer supports
Pakistan on Kashmir issue, but it does not also endorse India‟s position either and nor it is likely to do so in the foreseeable future19. Further, in many other areas such as boundary issue,
Arunachal Pradesh, competition for energy resources, etc., both will held divergent views and will stick to their respective stands. 1.

Singh Swaran, Haenle Paul and Saalman Lora, China-India
Relations: Friends or Foes? Carnegie Endowment for
Global Peace, Beijing (2010)

4.

Bhasin Avtar Singh, India‟s Foreign Relations - 2008
Documents Part I, Public Diplomacy Division Ministry of
External Affairs, Geetika Publishers, New Delhi, 15461549 (2008)

5.

Ministry of External Affairs Government of India, A
Shared Vision for the 21st Century of the Republic of India and the People‟s Republic of China, (2008)

6.

Scott David, Sino-Indian Security Predicaments for the
Twenty-First Century, Asian Security, 4(3), (2008)

7.

Bhasin Avtar Singh, India‟s Foreign Relations- 2008
Documents Part I, Public Diplomacy Division Ministry of
External Affairs, Geetika Publishers, New Delhi, 15551558 (2008)

8.

Hongyu Wang, Sino-Indian Relations: Present and Future,
Asian Survey 35(6), 550-551 (1995)

9.

Gordon Sandy, Sino-India Relations and the Rise of China, in Ron Huisken (ed.), Rising China : Power and
Reassurance, ANU E Press, Australia, 57 (2009)

10. Sino-India Trade Upto 25%, The Economic Times,
Retrieved 10 March 2013, (2002)
11. Das Pushpita, India-China Relations, Agreements Singed
2000-2005, in Maharaja Krishna Das Gotra (ed.), The New
Asian Power Dynamic, Sage Publications, New Delhi, 180

53

International Research Journal of Social Sciences___________________________________________________ISSN 2319–3565
Vol. 2(8), 48-54, August (2013)
Int. Res. J. Social Sci.
(2007)
12. India-China Trade Expected to Touch $100 Billion by
2015, Business Standard, Retrieved 27 July 2013, (2013)
13. Fillingham Zachary, China-India Relations: Cooperation and Conflict, Geopolitical Monitor, Retrieved 2 May 2013,
(2013)
14. Malik Mohan, India-China Relations: Giants Stir,
Cooperate and Compete, in Satu P. Limaye (ed.), Special
Assessment: Asia‟s Bilateral Relations, Asia Pacific
Centre for Security Studies (APCSS) Hawaii, 2-3 (2004)
15. Guanxi Zhang-Yin Waijiao, India-China Relations, 1145
(2010)
16. M. Elizabeth G. and Schaffer Teresita C., India and China:
The Road Ahead, Centre for Strategic and International
Studies (CSIS), South Asia Monitor (No.120), 1 (2008)
17. Gotra Maharaja Krishna Das (ed.), The New Asian Power
Dynamic, Sage Publications, New Delhi, 14 (2007)

International Science Congress Association

18. Shrik Susan L., One-sided Rivalry: China‟s Perceptions and Policies towards India, in Francine R. Frankel and
Harry Harding (ed.), The India-China Relationship Rivalry and Engagement, Oxford University Press, New Delhi, 95
(2004)
19. Ganguly Sumit, India and China: Border Issues, Domestic
Integration and International Security, in Francine R.
Frankel and Harry Harding (ed.), The India-China
Relationship Rivalry and Engagement, Oxford University
Press, New Delhi, 125 (2004)
20. Tellis Ashley J., China and India in Asia, in Francine R.
Frankel and Harry Harding (ed.), The India-China
Relationship Rivalry and Engagement, Oxford University
Press, New Delhi, 172 (2004)
21. Malik J. Mohan, China-India Relations in the Post Soviet
Era: The Continuing Rivalry in Joy Taylor, The Dragon and the Wild Goose: China and India, The China
Quarterly. (142), (1995)

54

Similar Documents

Free Essay

Crimean Crisis

...island near Maheshkhali, possesses enormous geographical potentials for developing a deep sea port. Proper utilization of this potential might turn Bangladesh into a communication hub of south-east Asia. With this backdrop, this paper would focus on the requirements of a deep sea port at Sonadia, its prospects as a regional communication hub and challenges on its way. Aim 4. To discuss the prospects of ‘Sonadia Deep Sea Port’ as the future communication hub of south-east Asia. Requirement of Sonadia Deep Sea Port 5. Chittagong and Mongla ports are unable to handle larger container vessels having more than 9.2 meters draft and 1500 TEU capacity. On the other hand, the annual growth trend indicates that in 2020, the total seaborne trade in Bangladesh may rise up to 70 to 80 million tons, which is beyond our existing capacity. Moreover, due to shallow sea port, we are using lighterage to carry the imported containers from anchorage to coast, which incur additional freight cost. Thereby, the Sonadia deep sea port is a call of time for us. Prospects as a Future Communication Hub 6. Shorter Trade Route to India. International trades of the seven landlocked states of India are...

Words: 924 - Pages: 4

Premium Essay

Trade Policy

...Trade Policy Reforms in India Geethanjali Nataraj NCAER, New Delhi For the ICRIER-SABER workshop, 29-30 June p, 2009, New Delhi. Trade Policy in India • Trade Reforms form the crux of the economic reforms in India. • Export Promotion has been and continues to be a major thrust of India’s trade policy • Accordingly, policies have been aimed at creating a friendly environment by eliminating redundant procedures, increasing transparency by simplifying the processes involved in the export sector and moving away from quantitative restrictions, thereby improving the competitiveness of Indian industry and g p reducing the anti-export bias. • Steps have also been taken to promote exports through g g multilateral and bilateral initiatives and giving several incentives to exports to cope with all uncertainties at the global level. Features of Trade Policy Reform in India • • • • • Free imports and Exports Rationalization of tariff structure/reducing tariffs Decanalisation Liberalization of the exchange rate regime. Setting up of trading houses, SEZ’s and Export houses SEZ s promotion industrial parks. • Various exemptions under the EXIM policies to boost exports and imports and make the trade policy regime transparent and less cumbersome. p Towards a more open economy 1990 91 1990-91 Peak Import duties ( Manufactures ) Import Controls Trade goods)/GDP ratio ( %) Software exports ( & billion) Worker remittances ( $ billion) FDI ($ billion) g y Foreign currency reserves ($...

Words: 1174 - Pages: 5

Premium Essay

Saarc

...Expanding Horizons and Forging Cooperation in a Resurgent Asia SAARC 2015 The New Delhi Statement on SAARC 2015 and Asian Resurgence © Friedrich-Ebert-Stiftung, March 2007 Published by: Friedrich-Ebert-Stiftung India Office K-70B, Hauz Khas Enclave New Delhi Email: fes@fesindia.org Edited by: Kant K. Bhargava and Mahendra P. Lama Designed and printed by: New Concept Information Systems Pvt. Ltd., New Delhi ISBN 81-7440-065-6 Contents Foreword Preface Background Paper Inaugural Address by I.K. Gujral Group Reports New Delhi Statement Annexures: (i) Programme (ii) List of Participants & Special Invitees (iii) List of Written Papers and Presentations Related Publications iv vi 1 17 23 45 56 71 Foreword As part of its programme for the promotion of regional cooperation in South Asia, the Friedrich-Ebert-Stiftung organised the Conference on SAARC 2015: Expanding Horizons and Forging Cooperation in a Resurgent Asia in February 2007 in New Delhi in collaboration with Ambassador Kant K. Bhargava, former Secretary-General of SAARC, and Prof. Mahendra Lama, Chairman, Centre for South, Central, South East Asian and South West Pacific Studies, School of International Studies, Jawaharlal Nehru University, New Delhi. The main thrust of the Conference was that the SAARC as an entity and its member states must prepare themselves well for leveraging the opportunities arising from the current resurgence in Asia. The Background Paper for the Conference was prepared...

Words: 20130 - Pages: 81

Free Essay

Population

...Research Brief N AT I O N A L D E F E N S E R E S E A R C H I N S T I T U TE China and India The Asian Giants Are Heading Down Different Demographic Paths RAND ReseARch AReAs ChiLDREN AND FAMiLiES EDUCAtiON AND thE ARtS ENERgy AND ENviRONMENt hEALth AND hEALth CARE iNFRAStRUCtURE AND tRANSPORtAtiON iNtERNAtiONAL AFFAiRS LAW AND BUSiNESS NAtiONAL SECURity POPULAtiON AND AgiNg PUBLiC SAFEty SCiENCE AND tEChNOLOgy tERRORiSM AND hOMELAND SECURity C hina and India, the world’s most populous nations, have much in common: Each has more than 1 billion residents; each has sustained an annual gross domestic product (GDP) growth rate over the past decade that is among the world’s highest—9 percent for China and 7 percent for India; and each has been among the world’s most successful in weathering the storm of the recent global recession. Yet a closer look reveals stark demographic contrasts between the two nations that will become more pronounced in the coming decades. These differences hold implications for China’s and India’s relative economic prospects and point to sharply different challenges ahead for each nation to sustain and build on recent economic growth. Abstract Demographic contrasts between china and  India will become more pronounced in the  coming decades, and these differences hold  implications for the countries’ relative economic  prospects. china’s population is larger than  India’s, but India’s population is expected  to surpass china’s by 2025. chi...

Words: 2440 - Pages: 10

Free Essay

China and India Demographic Paths

...Research Brief N AT I O N A L D E F E N S E R E S E A R C H I N S T I T U TE China and India The Asian Giants Are Heading Down Different Demographic Paths RAND ReseARch AReAs ChiLDREN AND FAMiLiES EDUCAtiON AND thE ARtS ENERgy AND ENviRONMENt hEALth AND hEALth CARE iNFRAStRUCtURE AND tRANSPORtAtiON iNtERNAtiONAL AFFAiRS LAW AND BUSiNESS NAtiONAL SECURity POPULAtiON AND AgiNg PUBLiC SAFEty SCiENCE AND tEChNOLOgy tERRORiSM AND hOMELAND SECURity C hina and India, the world’s most populous nations, have much in common: Each has more than 1 billion residents; each has sustained an annual gross domestic product (GDP) growth rate over the past decade that is among the world’s highest—9 percent for China and 7 percent for India; and each has been among the world’s most successful in weathering the storm of the recent global recession. Yet a closer look reveals stark demographic contrasts between the two nations that will become more pronounced in the coming decades. These differences hold implications for China’s and India’s relative economic prospects and point to sharply different challenges ahead for each nation to sustain and build on recent economic growth. Abstract Demographic contrasts between china and  India will become more pronounced in the  coming decades, and these differences hold  implications for the countries’ relative economic  prospects. china’s population is larger than  India’s, but India’s population is expected  to surpass china’s by 2025. chi...

Words: 2440 - Pages: 10

Free Essay

India 2025

...India@2025: Perils, Promises and Prospects Since the independence India has always witnessed swing of fortunes. Seen as a leader of Third World countries in during 1950s, the country soon slumped into a food deficient nation in mid 1960s after a severe drought. It was followed by Green revolution where India turned the tables. The seventh decade of twentieth century saw populist campaigns like Garibi Hatao and imposition of emergency in 1975 to restoration of democracy in 1977. Not so long ago in 1991, India witnessed its worst economic crisis. But on the pretext of sound recoveries and deep seeded principles of democracy, India entered twenty first century as an emerging global power. And post 2008 global slump, India displayed remarkable resilience especially in financial sectors when compared other economies. With rising literacy rate cutting across genders and rising per capita income, the future is no less than promising. And if one goes by the words of Pandit Jawahar Lal Nehru where he says “The achievements we celebrate today is but a step, an opening of opportunity, to the greater triumphs and achievements that awaits” It’s the right time to analyze and anticipate the challenge that awaits us if we aim to appear as a global giant by 2025 and devise a roadmap to tackle the same. One of striking feature of the great Indian story has been the paradox it has displayed. Despite being in the League of Nations who survive well the global recession and enjoys the optimism...

Words: 1181 - Pages: 5

Premium Essay

Capitalizing on India's Demographic Advantage

...1.21 billion. A huge one when compared to the other countries, except China, for sure. It has around 17.31% of the total world population and it wouldn’t surprise me if one out of every six person in the world is- an Indian. And if one ponders to the question- “what India is doing to stop it?” Then the answer is nothing but make the best use of it, or in other terms capitalising on its demographic advantage. The concern about the size of India’s population has been shown by the intelligent right from the beginning of the present century but active interest in the study of population became pronounced only with the launch of planning for economic and social development after independence. The First Five Year Plan, from the year 1951-56 duly recognized population as an important parameter which requires careful consideration i9n the planning of country’s development. It has been credited to the never-ending poverty, floating illiteracy and falling mortality rate. Though the overtly-populous country has been in the news continuously for a decade now, but it’s all for the right reasons, and especially for how it is taking on its economy to a higher level. India has more than 50% of its population under the age of 25, and around 65% of its population under the age of 35. With a whopping population growth rate, India will soon topple China, by the end of 2030. Since its Independence, India has grown almost three times in its population. The demographic developments...

Words: 956 - Pages: 4

Free Essay

Focus on India

...on: India International Business Report 2010 – Country focus series The recovery Impact on businesses With the worst of the global recession behind it and Government action which helped to put a floor under the economy, growth in India is slowly accelerating. Downside risks loom as prices rise sharply owing to the fiscal stimulus and supply constrains, and the Reserve Bank has started raising interest rates as inflation remains stubbornly high. The key indicators1 are highlighted below: • the economy expanded by six per cent in the three months to December, down from 7.9 per cent in the previous quarter • industrial production, which expanded by just 2.6 per cent in 2008-2009, posted a 16.7 percentage point increase in January • in the three months to December, exports rose by 2.9 per cent (six per cent year-on-year) whilst imports climbed by 10.8 per cent (1.2 per cent year-on-year) • the rising price of food, fuel and manufactured goods saw the wholesale price index-based inflation soar to a 16-month high of 9.89 per cent in February. The Grant Thornton International Business Report (IBR) 2010 surveyed the views of over 7,400 privately held businesses (PHBs) in 36 economies around the world. This report focuses on India, the experiences and attitudes of its privately held businesses and how they have been affected by the economic crisis along with how they are dealing with the recovery, as illustrated in figure 1. The IBR survey tells us that businesses in India are...

Words: 2211 - Pages: 9

Free Essay

Make in India

...MAKE IN INDIA – PROSPECTS OF ELECTRONIC SECTOR Presented By: Sandeep.P.S, Akhila Reddy FEBRUARY 26, 2015 SIVA SIVANI INSTITUTE OF MANAGEMENT KOMPALLY, HYDERABAD PAPER PRESENTATION MAKE IN INDIA – PROSPECTS OF ELECTRONIC SECTOR Students-PGDM D. Akhila Reddy (ph:8008603183, mail: akhila.23tps@ssim.ac.in) Sandeep P.S(ph:09037323232, mail: Sandeep.23tps@ssim.ac.in) Siva Sivani Institute of Management, Secunderabad. ABSTRACT “Make in India” is an international marketing strategy, conceptualized by the Prime Minister of India, Narendra Modi on 25th September 2014 to attract Foreign direct investments from businesses around the world. Ultimately this process will strengthen the India's manufacturing sector. The campaign's purpose is to enhance job creation, boost the national economy and convert India to a selfreliant country and to give the global recognition to Indian economy. The purpose of Make in India is to convert the Indian economy as the manufacturing hub and to transform the Indian economy. India is inviting the investors from the rest of the world by eliminating laws and regulations, making bureaucratic processes easier and shorter, and make government more transparent, responsive and accountable. India is well known for software industry but lagging in hardware industry, therefore India is importing most of the electronic goods like Mobiles, Laptops, Flat panel LED, LCD TVs from foreign countries like Japan, China USA,UK, Singapore etc. as they have the brand...

Words: 1884 - Pages: 8

Premium Essay

Fed Feeds India

...SPECIAL REPORT ON EMERGING MARKETS www.dreamgains.com White Paper Special Report On Emerging Markets ABSTRACT This paper examines the four emerging economies- Brazil, India, Russia and China (BRIC) - that are expected to play an increasingly important role in the global economy in the coming decades. These four countries have come to symbolize the exciting challenges and opportunities presented by dynamic emerging markets. The first part of the report outlines key features of these economies and their growing contribution to world output and trade. The second part analyses the contribution of India towards the same. By 2050, the BRIC economies will account for 44% of global GDP. The emerging market accounts for an increasing share of global activity. Two centuries of vigorous industrialization has propelled economies of North America, Western Europe and Japan into a dominant position in terms of their share of world output. But the past three decades have seen steady erosion from the peak they attained during the 1970. The emerging economies now account for over half of world output. These dynamic economies are changing the world economic order as they industrialize, improve their infrastructure and rapidly develop their service sectors. By 2050, they will account for almost 78% of global output. This projection uses realistic assumptions of annual growth rates of 5.3% to 2050, well below those posted in recent decades by the economies of developing Asia at over...

Words: 1660 - Pages: 7

Premium Essay

Latin America

...East Policy of India, framed by the Narasimha Rao government in the early nineties, is a substantial manifestation of India's focused foreign policy orientation towards South East Asia; an immensely resourceful and flourishing region. The economy of South East Asia is a virtually untapped market which is up for grabs by major regional economic entities such as India, China, Europe or the USA. India’s compatibility with the South East Asian countries with regard to better regional cooperation lies in the fact of its abstinence from exhibiting hegemonistic ambitions, making it more benign towards South East Asia. The camaraderie between India and South-East Asia is clearly visible through the dynamic persuasion of India’s Look-East Policy. India and ASEAN reciprocally have embarked upon a number of initiatives for rejuvenating their ties in multiple areas. Frequent tête-à-tête from both the sides promulgates better implementation of the Policy. The improving intensification of economic linkages with ASEAN has inspired India to enter into the second phase of its Look-East Policy. Phase 2 is the deviation from complete economic issues to the broader agenda involving security cooperation, actively constructing transport corridors and erecting pillars of linkages and connectivity. This phase of India’s Look-East Policy renders ample relevance to the development of its North-Eastern Region because of its geographical proximity to SouthEast Asia. The North-Eastern tip of India consisting...

Words: 1361 - Pages: 6

Premium Essay

Can Brazil Become a Global Competitor in It Technology

...September 6, 2013 Abstract As the world becomes increasing dependent on information technology (IT) products and services, the global IT services outsourcing industry has increased exponentially. Efforts to reduce costs and focus more on their core competencies have corporations outsourcing and offshoring many of their IT services. Offshoring of IT services have been growing at 40 to 50 percent a year. Brazil, like India, has stepped up to the challenge and has begun a campaign to build a strong international competitive position in the IT offshoring business. This researcher was asked to analyze Brazil’s intentions and actions regarding the international information technology sector using theories presented in International Business: The Challenge of Global Competition and provide recommendations to the Brazilian government and its outsourcing industry in order to improve their prospects for success in building a strong international competitive position in the information technology outsourcing business. Although Brazil is currently lagging behind India in IT outsourcing it is the 5th largest country and 11th most powerful economy in the world and with the right government infrastructure investments, Brazil could easily move up in its standings. Case Analysis 1. Use the theories of international trade and investment that have been presented in this chapter to help explain Brazil’s intentions and actions regarding the international information technology...

Words: 908 - Pages: 4

Premium Essay

Starbucks

...Starbucks Introduction Founded in 1971 and operating in more than 50 countries worldwide, Washington based Starbucks is the largest coffee retailer in the world at present. Starbucks has more than 16000 outlets all over the world. Out of these 16000 stores, nearly 12,000 stores are located across North America, South America, Europe, Middle East and the Pacific. In America, they have coffee outlets virtually in every corner. In other words, America is a saturated market for Starbucks now and they are looking for overseas markets as part of their expansion. In addition to coffee, Starbucks has other products such as tea, cake, cake filling leather goods, beverages, food, confections, coffee related machineries such as expresso machine, stainless steel coffee filters etc. This paper analyses the strengths, weaknesses, opportunities and threats of Starbucks in the modern business world and also the change processes necessary for Starbucks to grow in the right direction in future. Starbucks: SWOT Strengths “Starbucks Corporation is a profitable organization, earning more than $600 million in 2004. The company generated revenue of more than $5000 million in the same year. Starbucks was one of the Fortune Top 100 Companies to Work For in 2005”(SWOT Analysis Starbucks, 2010). In 1992, Starbucks listed on the stock exchange. Since then, its growth was phenomenal. Its annual average growth rate is 20% and profit growth is around 30%. Its share price marked a record...

Words: 1919 - Pages: 8

Premium Essay

Billabong Case Study

...of low volatility, such as from 2002 to 2006, this method can be very profitable. However, in recent years a higher-yielding currency is potentially seen as a sign that problems are building up in the economy. In periods of high volatility such as now, speculating directly on currency movements is usually considered too risky for private investors as it can easily lead to large losses. Buying overseas-listed shares or investing in funds that hold foreign assets is the most obvious way in which it is likely an investor will become exposed to foreign exchange risk. In the case of Billabong as a globally renowned company, this means that much of its overseas demand for its products can be unpredictable to a large degree and hence present challenges for the company in maintaining competitiveness in this environment. 2. What does a falling Australian...

Words: 992 - Pages: 4

Premium Essay

Pestle Analysis of India

...PESTLE ANALYSIS: INDIA POLITICAL ANALYSIS Democracy is the focal point of the Indian political system, but is often constrained by social tensions due to religious, caste and linguistic differences. Some of the communal flare-ups—such as Babri Masjid in 1992, Godhra in 2002, and the large exodus of India’s northeastern migrants from the southern cities in 2012 due to fear of attacks by Muslims— have rocked the whole country in the past. In 2013, the country again witnessed communal riots between Jat Hindus and Muslims in the town of Muzaffarnagar (located in the state of Uttar Pradesh), which has been deemed as ―the worst instance of political violence in the country in the last decade‖. In addition, the government’s assent to the creation of a new state of Telangana in southern India has brought intensified demands for new states in other parts of the country, either on ethnic lines or for better administration. Current strengths Strong democratic setup India is the largest democratic nation in the world and principles of democracy are deeply entrenched in the Indian political system. Indian diversity is reflected in the federal political structure of government, where power is shared between states and the center. There are national level elections, state level elections, municipal elections and panchayat (village) level elections, all of which require citizens to exercise their vote. As per the World Bank’s Worldwide governance Indicators, India ranked in the 58...

Words: 8214 - Pages: 33