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Inflation in Singapore

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Submitted By awkwardsauce
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(a) Explain the possible internal and external factors that will influence inflation in Singapore.

Demand-Pull Inflation (both internal and external factors)
- Singapore is moving towards a more knowledge-intensive, service-based economy -> is becoming prime locale for high value-added industries -> investors seek to partake in these promising ventures -> strong inflow of FDI -> Increase in I
- Increasing numbers of foreign talent are emigrating to Singapore and taking up permanent residence -> Increase in C, especially in major markets like the housing market and automobile market
- Singapore is export-dependent -> any increases in export demand will have a major impact. Increases in export demand may be due to the Monetary Authority of Singapore adjusting its monetary policy to reduce the currency slope.
All these factors lead to excessive growth in AD in relation to AS, beyond what Singapore's current potential output can support. This leads to bottlenecks in both the factor and product markets, causing costs of production and consumer prices to rise. The Singaporean economy is especially susceptible to demand-pull inflation as it is operating at full employment.

Increase in AD from AD1 to AD2 causes the GPL to rise to OP2 with no increase in output. This results in demand-pull inflation as all available resources are already fully employed and real GNP is already at its maximum level. Firms begin bidding up factor rewards in order to increase production, leading to rising production costs. Because AD is strong, producers transfer rising costs to consumers in the form of higher prices. If wages then rise in response to rising consumer prices, producers will again transfer the higher production costs to consumers, thus sparking off a wage-price spiral.

Cost-push inflation
Domestic:
- As Singapore has a small population and

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