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Investment Plan

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Words 3544
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Investment plan

2011

Table of Contents 1. Introduction 3 2. Why the Currencies 4 3. Macro-analysis 5 4.1 The political situation 8 4.2 Investment climate 9 4.3 Threats to the Colombian Market 9 5.4.1 Risks of the fluctuation of the Colombian Peso interest rate 10 5. 3 scenarios 11 5.1 Scenario 1 11 5.2 scenario 2 14 6.3 Scenario 3 15 6. Advice 16 7. Bibliografy 17

1. Introduction
The two currencies that have been chosen for this report are the Colombian peso and the US Dollar. The bank of Utrecht will consider the possible investing situations based on the 3 scenarios presented on these reports with the different hedging techniques and the possible return on investment the project can make against the risk taken. The 3 scenarios used will display what could possibly take place in the countries the bank of Utrecht will partake in. The two currencies will be borrowed from one country and lent to other on the basis that the currency will appreciate on the long term and the interest rate that will be compounded will help the bank of Utrecht make the decision to how exposed it will want to be when running the risks in those countries.
There will be a macro-analysis of the USA and Colombia, analyzing the possible the economic, political and the yield curve of the interest the currency will be that is invested in.

2. Why the Currencies
The reason why the Colombian Peso and the United States Dollar was chosen, was because the Colombian currency is showing signs of appreciating in the future. The prime interest rate in the South American country, Colombia, is approximately 8,7% right now and it is continuing to stabilize due to government increase in their trade balance. By using the prime interest rate of the USA that is right now 3,25% the Bank of Utrecht will try to invest and diversify its investments in

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