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Medicare Funding Crisis

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Medicare Funding Crisis

David Holt

Healthcare Finance
Ron Evans
July 20, 2013

At the heart of America's fiscal crisis is the impending collapse of our entitlement system. And the primary cause of that looming collapse is the explosion of costs in Medicare, the federal program that provides health insurance to every American over 65. Without major reforms of the program, there is simply no way for us to address the federal deficit, contain the national debt, or save Medicare itself from collapse.
Medicare's woes are partly demographic. In 2030, when the last of the Baby Boomers retires, there will be 77 million people on Medicare, up from 47 million today. But there will be fewer working people funding the benefits of this much larger retiree population: In 2030, there will be 2.3 workers per retiree, compared to 3.4 today and about 4 when the program was created.
But a bigger part of Medicare's troubles is the rapid inflation of healthcare costs. In 2010, the per capita cost of providing healthcare services in America increased by 6.1%, according to Standard & Poor's, while overall inflation increased by only 1.5%. According to the Department of Labor, over the past decade, healthcare inflation has risen 48%, while inflation in the broader economy has increased by only 26%.
Providing an increasingly expensive service to a rapidly growing population, while drawing on a declining pool of taxpayers is a recipe for fiscal disaster. The Congressional Budget Office now projects that the Medicare program will be effectively bankrupt in 2021, and its continuing growth will increasingly burden the federal budget, sinking the nation deeper into debt. The program's trustees report that its unfunded long-term liability. The gap between the benefits that will need to be paid out and the revenues available to pay for them over the

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