...Individual’s Assignment Atlantic Computer: A Bundle of Pricing Options As Atlantic computer was largest manufacturer of servers and other hi-tech product, Jason Jowers has been assigned the task of developing the pricing structure for the Atlantic Bundle, a unique combination of the TRONN server along with the software tool - Performance Enhancing Server Accelerator – called PESA. The TRONN server has been specifically designed to address the current US market demand. In conjunction with the PESA, the TRONN ‘s performance capacity is four times faster than standard speed. Atlantic has continued to hold a significant portion (20% revenues) of the high-performance sector, but as the continual growth of the internet reached new heights, the demand of a basic server increasing rapidly. Hence, in order to meet the demand of market, the Atlantic company is planning to launch a basic server TRONN with a software tool PESA which will grow up the efficiency of server approximately four times. First of all, apart from choosing the suitable pricing method for Atlantic computers, the broad of this company also need to consider about the lifecycle of their product. Basing on the case of IBM HTTP Server or The server products of Microsoft, it seems that the lifecycle of high tech products is decreasing rapidly nowadays. According to some experts in this field, they believe that the average life expectancy of these products is around 3 or 4 years depending on many factors which include...
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...Jon M. Huntsman School of Business Master of Science in Financial Economics August 2013 Pricing and Hedging Asian Options By Vineet B. Lakhlani Pricing and Hedging Asian Options Table of Contents Table of Contents 1. Introduction to Derivatives 2. Exotic Options 2.1. Introduction to Asian Options 3.1. Binomial Option Pricing Model 3.2. Black-Scholes Model 3.2.1. Black-Scholes PDE Derivation 3.2.2. Black-Scholes Formula 1 2 3 4 4 5 6 7 3 3. Option Pricing Methodologies 4. Asian Option Pricing 4.1. 4.2. 4.3. 4.4. Closed Form Solution (Black-Scholes Formula) QuantLib/Boost Monte Carlo Simulations Price Characteristics 8 8 10 11 14 5. Hedging 5.1. Option Greeks 5.2. Characteristics of Option Delta (Δ) 5.3. Delta Hedging 5.3.1. Delta-Hedging for 1 Day 5.4. Hedging Asian Option 5.5. Other Strategies 6. Conclusion 16 17 17 19 20 22 25 26 27 32 34 Appendix i. ii. iii. Tables References Code: Black-Scholes Formula For European & Asian (Geometric) Option 1 Pricing and Hedging Asian Options 1. Introduction to Derivatives: Financial derivatives have been in existence as long as the invention of writing. The first derivative contracts—forward contracts—were written in cuneiform script on clay tablets. The evidence of the first written contract was dates back to in nineteenth century BC in Mesopotamia...
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...Arbitrage: The Key to Pricing Options by Ed Nosal and Tan Wang A rbitrage is the act of simultaneously buying and selling assets or commodities in an attempt to exploit a profitable opportunity. Although the idea behind arbitrage is fairly simple, it is quite powerful because the ability to exploit such opportunities is needed for markets to operate efficiently. Arbitrage ensures, for example, that buyers and sellers of foreign exchange can be assured that they are getting the “correct” rates for the currencies they are buying and selling independent of the national foreign-exchange markets they happen to be using. When markets are efficient, the prices of the objects being traded reflect their true value. And having prices reflect true values is important in decentralized economies, such as the United States, since it is the relative prices of various goods, services, and assets that determines how many will be produced, how they will be allocated, and how funds will be invested. If prices did not reflect true value, then the resulting allocation of goods, services, and investment would not be, in general, economically efficient. This Commentary focuses on a particular episode in which the recognition of an arbitrage “opportunity” made financial markets more efficient. It wasn’t a chance to make a profit that got noticed, it was the way the principles of arbitrage could be applied to the problem of correctly pricing options. Once financial economists...
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...Atlantic Computer: A Bundle of Pricing Options 1. Determine the price for two Tronn servers plus PESA according to the following pricing methods: * Status-quo pricing * Competition-based pricing * Cost-plus Pricing (Hint: footnote # 5) Note: Jowers makes a conservative estimate that two Tronn servers plus PESA equals the performance of four Ontario Zink servers. To calculate the prices you could use the spreadsheet file included in the course content (Week 3). 2. Determine the Value-based price for two Tronn servers plus PESA. Follow these steps use the spreadsheet file included in the course content (Week 3): 1. Calculate the costs of running for a year 4 Ontario Zink serves, 4 Atlantic Tronn servers, and 2 Atlantic Tronn servers with PESA 2. Calculate the annual savings of owning 2 Atlantic Tronn servers with PESA 3. Determine the Value-based price for two Tronn servers plus PESA assuming that 50% of the savings will be passed to the consumer. At the end of the session each team should raise their card with an answer. 4. How is Cadena’s sales force likely to react to your recommendation? What can Jowers recommend to get Cadena’s hardware-oriented sales force to understand and sell the value of the PESA software effectively? In conclusion, based on our analysis we recommend using Competition Based Pricing because this approach acknowledges competitor prices and gives superior services at a same rate. Competition...
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...determinants of the option price in the Black-Scholes option pricing model for European options is likely to change the price of a call option. A derivative is a financial instrument that has a value determined by the price of something else, such as options. The crucial idea behind the derivation was to hedge perfectly the option by buying and selling the underlying asset in just the right way and consequently "eliminate risk" (Ray, 2012). The derivative asset we will be most interested in is a European call option. A call option gives the holder of the option the right to buy the underlying asset by a certain date for a certain price, but a put option gives the holder the right to sell the underlying asset by a certain date for a certain price. The date in the contract is known as the expiration date or maturity date; the price in the contract is known as the exercise price or strike price. The market price of the underlying asset on the valuation date is spot price or stock price. Intrinsic value is the difference between the current stock market price and the exercise price or simply higher of zero. American options can be exercised at any time up to the expiration date. European options can be exercised only on the expiration date itself. (Hull, 2012). For example, consider a July European call option contract on XYZ with strike price $70. When the contract expires in July, if the price of XYZ stock is $75 the owner will exercise the option and realize a profit...
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...determinants of the option price in the Black-Scholes option pricing model for European options is likely to change the price of a call option. A derivative is a financial instrument that has a value determined by the price of something else, such as options. The crucial idea behind the derivation was to hedge perfectly the option by buying and selling the underlying asset in just the right way and consequently "eliminate risk" (Ray, 2012). The derivative asset we will be most interested in is a European call option. A call option gives the holder of the option the right to buy the underlying asset by a certain date for a certain price, but a put option gives the holder the right to sell the underlying asset by a certain date for a certain price. The date in the contract is known as the expiration date or maturity date; the price in the contract is known as the exercise price or strike price. The market price of the underlying asset on the valuation date is spot price or stock price. Intrinsic value is the difference between the current stock market price and the exercise price or simply higher of zero. American options can be exercised at any time up to the expiration date. European options can be exercised only on the expiration date itself. (Hull, 2012). For example, consider a July European call option contract on XYZ with strike price $70. When the contract expires in July, if the price of XYZ stock is $75 the owner will exercise the option and realize a profit...
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...Three different methods of option pricing The three different methods of option pricing are: The Black-Scholes model, binomial trees and Monte Carlo Simulation. The three different methods of option pricing are: The Black-Scholes model, binomial trees and Monte Carlo Simulation. The three different methods of option pricing are: The Black-Scholes model, binomial trees and Monte Carlo Simulation. The three different methods of option pricing are: The Black-Scholes model, binomial trees and Monte Carlo Simulation. The three different methods of option pricing are: The Black-Scholes model, binomial trees and Monte Carlo Simulation. The three different methods of option pricing are: The Black-Scholes model, binomial trees and Monte Carlo Simulation. The three different methods of option pricing are: The Black-Scholes model, binomial trees and Monte Carlo Simulation. The three different methods of option pricing are: The Black-Scholes model, binomial trees and Monte Carlo Simulation. The three different methods of option pricing are: The Black-Scholes model, binomial trees and Monte Carlo Simulation. The three different methods of option pricing are: The Black-Scholes model, binomial trees and Monte Carlo Simulation. The three different methods of option pricing are: The Black-Scholes model, binomial trees and Monte Carlo Simulation. The three different methods of option pricing are: The Black-Scholes model, binomial trees and Monte Carlo Simulation. The three...
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...A Novel Simple but Empirically Consistent Model for Stock Price and Option Pricing HUADONG(HENRY) PANG∗ Quantitative Research, J.P. Morgan Chase & Co. 277 Park Ave., New York, NY, 10017 Third draft, May 16, 2009 Abstract In this paper, we propose a novel simple but empirically very consistent stochastic model for stock price dynamics and option pricing, which not only has the same analyticity as log-normal and Black-Scholes model, but can also capture and explain all the main puzzles and phenomenons arising from empirical stock and option markets which log-normal and Black-Scholes model fail to explain. In addition, this model and its parameters have clear economic interpretations. Large sample empirical calibration and tests are performed and show strong empirical consistency with our model’s assumption and implication. Immediate applications on risk management, equity and option evaluation and trading, etc are also presented. Keywords: Nonlinear model, Random walk, Stock price, Option pricing, Default risk, Realized volatility, Local volatility, Volatility skew, EGARCH. This paper is self-funded and self-motivated. The author is currently working as a quantitative analyst at J.P. Morgan Chase & Co. All errors belong to the author. Email: henry.na.pang@jpmchase.com or hdpang@gmail.com. ∗ 1 Electronic copy available at: http://ssrn.com/abstract=1374688 2 Huadong(Henry) Pang/J.P. Morgan Chase & Co. 1. Introduction The well-known log-normal model for...
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...ACST828 LECTURE 6 Part 1: Normal distribution: X ~ N , 2 mean (average) Variance 2 probability density function 1 x 2 1 exp f x 2 2 cumulative density function 1 t 2 1 F x dt exp 2 2 Standard Normal Density X ~ N 0,1 probability density function n x cumulative density function x N x 1 1 exp x 2 2 2 x important result: standardization 1 exp t 2 dt 2 2 1 if X~N , 2 and Z= then Z~N 0,1 X- 1 Mathematical Expectation: Given a random variable X and its pdf f x we define the expectation of the function g X to be the integral E g X g x f x dx Note that g X is also a random variable The Moment Generating Function (MGF) The MGF of a random variable X is a function of t denoted by M X t E e xt which is an expectation MGF of normal If X ~ N , 2 1 x 1 Xt xt Then M X t E e e e 2 2 Lognormal Distribution: 2 1 t 2t 2 dx e 2 Y has the lognormal distribution with parameters , 2 if: its logarithm is normally distributed X log e Y ~ N , 2 . This in turn means that Y e X 2 The cumulative density function of Y is log e y ...
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...Coca Cola y Pepsi tienen una ventaja competitiva sostenible; es decir, una ventaja competitiva que perdura por un espacio de tiempo significativo. Tanto para Coca Cola como para Pepsi, lo que representa una verdadera amenaza, son principalmente las acciones que pueda tomar una de ellas, las que erosionan el modelo de negocios de la competencia (Coca Cola en el caso de Pepsi y viceversa). Para luchar contra ello, una alternativa que se ve conveniente, para el caso de Coca Cola por ejemplo, es inventar algo que sea difícil de copiar; en el caso de Coca Cola, por ser la primera marca en el mercado de bebidas carbonadas (CSD), resulta ser la posición de mercado privilegiada que tiene, pese al cercano segundo lugar de Pepsi. Respecto a la guerra de precios, en el caso de este mercado, donde se ve un claro Oligopolio por parte de Coca Cola y Pepsi, considerando el reconocimiento de cada marca y el posicionamiento de cada una en la mente del consumidor, resulta perjudicial, ya que el consumidor se acostumbró a pagar por esos precios y por tanto, ambas resultarían perjudicadas y no una por sobre la otra. La estrategia que siguió Coca Cola tras la amenazante presencia de Pepsi (ventas), como un gran remedio a un gran mal, resultó un fracaso del que afortunadamente salió la empresa gracias a la solidez de la compañía, quien se permitió ese desacierto. Esta decisión evidentemente no había considerado que la bebida Coca Cola, en sí, representaba un intocable icono para los consumidores...
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...Option Pricing, Interest Rate Risk in U.S Diana PĂUN & Ramona GOGONCEA (2013). Interest Rate Risk Management and the Use of Derivative Securities. Economia Seria Management. Retrieved from: <http://www.management.ase.ro/reveconomia/2013-2/4.pdf> The study by these two authors aims at demonstrating how derivative financial instruments can be utilized to prudently manage interest rate risk majorly faced by numerous banks and financial institutions as well as enable the efficient application of monitoring and control tools. There are a couple of risk management methods at the disposal of banks including both balance sheet and off the balance sheet such as the gap method of managing interest rate risk for purposes of controlling short-term rates exposure, combined with derivatives such as options to manage the residual interest rate exposures. Interest rate risks emanate from interest rates sensitivity differentials of capital outflows and inflows. Due to the common view or misconception that high interest rates are the best way of fighting inflation, banks’’ engaging in monetary policy. Financial institutions play a major role in influencing interest rates since they engage in releasing capita to the public by buying assets in the primary markets and selling securities in the secondary market so as to fund purchase of assets. Furthermore, any interest-bearing asset for instance a loan or bond may face interest rate risk caused by changes in the value of assets resulting...
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...unhedged cash flow and the hedged cash flow, expecting that that variance of the unhedged should be greater than the hedged cash flow. As seen in the table below, the variance of the unhedged is greater than the variance of the hedged when Link Technologies invested in currency futures contracts. Futures Variance | | Unhedged CF | 20,691,861,693.67 | Hedged CF | 2,774,199,924.92 | Difference | 17,917,661,768.75 | Even though, the hedging program was perfectly implemented, Mr. Lee strongly believed that investing in futures was the wrong approach because the company experienced a loss of half a million dollars during the first three months. So, he “suggested” that the firm should now invest in call options because the “downside risk was known; you could not lose more than what you paid for the call.” Following this decision, they yielded “a net...
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...compensation package – she could choose either cash of $5,000 or 3,000 special options that allow her to buy as many as 3000 shares of Telstar’s stocks for $35.00 at her 5th anniversary employment. Today is May 27, 1992, we have a list of quotations of Short- and Long-term Call Options of Telstar stocks, a list of historical price and volatility of Telstar Common Stock since Jan, 82, and a list of T-bill security yields. Now we are here to help her make a choice. I. B-S Model for option pricing Today is the final day for Sally to make a choice, we relies on the famous Black-Scholes Model to price the options in the compensation. Before pricing, we need to know the volatility and the continuous compounded interest rate. For interest rate, we regard the 5 years T-bill bond yields as the “risk-free” rate and assume Sally and other investors of Telstar are risk-neutral. 1+5*BEY5yr=exp5r, where BEY5yr is the annualized Treasury Bill’s bond equivalent yield and r is the continuous compounded interest rate we want to derive, which is 5.2627%. Secondly, since historical volatility could not perfectly reflect the scenarios in the future, we use options prices that could reflect the investors’ expected volatility (due to the efficient market hypothesis). Moreover, as the volatility derived from long-term call options are more precise than that derived from short-term, we would use the 3 long term options with different strikes prices of $12.5, $17.5 and...
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...Because the maturity dates are very similar, this factor had little effect on the warrant value. From September 1979 to January 1980, the increase in volatility was the primary driver in the increase in value over the period. By April 1980, the increasing riskless rate would have pushed up the value, but the sharp drop in stock price lowered it. We can see the effect of the riskless rate more clearly by comparing the value in January and May 1980, where a nearly 300 basis point rate decrease cut the value by about $0.20 per warrant. By substituting the time in the warrants from Exhibit 10 into models above, we can recalculate the warrant values and compare them to the actual values given in the exhibit. As can be seen, the market is pricing...
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... IV. Market Efficiency and Behavioral Finance A. Efficient Markets 1. Efficient markets hypothesis 2. Weak form 3. Semi-strong form 4. Strong form B. Market Anomalies 1. Calendar Effects 2. Small-Firm Effect 3. Post Earnings Announcement Drift 4. The value effect V. Fixed-Income Securities A. Features of a bond 1. Interest and Principle 2. Maturity date 3. Bond price behavior B. Market for Debt Securities 1. Treasury bonds 2. Agency bonds 3. Municipal bonds VI. Bond Valuation A. Behavior of Market Interest Rates 1. Keeping tabs on interest rates 2. What causes interest rate to move 3. Term structure of interest rates and yield curves B. Pricing of Bonds 1. Bond valuation model 2. Annual compounding 3. Semiannual compounding 4. Accrued interest VII. Mutual Funds and Exchange-Traded Funds A. The mutual fund concept 1. Overview of mutual fund a. Pooled diversification b. Active vs passive management c. Performance of...
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