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Quantitative Easing Effects on Wells Fargo

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Submitted By hoyinyeu
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Commercial Bank: Wells Fargo
Background:
Wells Fargo is the largest bank in terms of market capitalization and the fourth largest bank in the United States in terms of assets. The present Wells Fargo is a result of a merger between San Francisco-based Wells Fargo & Company and Minneapolis-based Norwest Corporation in 1998. Later on October 3, 2008, Wells Fargo acquired Charlotte-based Wachovia for about $15.1 billion in a stock-for-stock transaction. Its headquarters is currently located in San Francisco, California. Wells Fargo is a diversified financial services company that provides credit cards, consumer banking, corporate banking, investment banking, global wealth management, financial analysis, private equity, insurance and etc.
Wells Fargo and the 2008 Financial Crisis | Before the crisis | During the crisis | After the crisis | Profitability Ratios | 2006 | 2007 | 2008 | 2009 | 2010 | 2011 | ROA% (Net) | 1.76 | 1.52 | 0.28 | 0.96 | 0.99 | 1.23 | ROE % (Net) | 19.6 | 17.23 | 3.61 | 11.64 | 10.38 | 11.90 | Net Interest Margin % | 61.88 | 59.62 | 72.05 | 82.32 | 84.77 | 86.54 | Calculated Tax Rate % | 33.45 | 30.70 | 18.48 | 29.62 | 33.36 | 31.47 | | | | | | | | Debt Management | | | | | | | Total Debt to Equity | 9.51 | 11.08 | 12.22 | 10.13 | 8.95 | 8.37 | Equity Multiplier | 10.51 | 12.08 | 13.22 | 11.13 | 9.95 | 9.37 | | | | | | | | Asset Management | | | | | | | Total Asset Turnover | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.05 | 0.08 | 0.07 | 0.07 | Property Plant & Equip Turnover | 10.53 | 10.92 | 6.29 | 8.96 | 9.15 | 9.14 | Cash & Equivalents Turnover | 2.91 | 3.36 | 1.28 | 1.58 | 1.42 | 1.57 | | | | | | | | Per Share | | | | | | | Cash Flow per Share | 9.53 | 2.71 | (1.43) | 6.30 | 3.59 | 2.59 | Book Value per Share | 13.58 | 14.45 | 23.43 | 21.59 | 24.02 | 26.65 |

According to the figures in the years 2006 and 2007, we can see that Wells Fargo was in a very good shape before the financial crisis as most of the ratios are better among the six years listed above. An increase in total debt to equity from 1.90 to 2.09 in 2007 showed that Wells Fargo issued more debt before the financial crisis. Both ROA and ROE decreased from 2006 to 2007 which indicated that Wells Fargo started to generate less revenue before the financial crisis. For Total Asset Turnover, the ratio stayed the same in 2006 and 2007 revealing that Wells Fargo had a stable performance before the financial crisis.
Wells Fargo experienced a great level of uncertainty after the financial crisis broke out in 2008. We can see big drops in both ROA and ROE. ROA dropped from 1.52% to 0.28% and ROE fell from 17.23% to 3.61% compared with a year earlier. Total Asset Turnover dropped 50 % which indicated that the company was generating less revenue during the financial hard time. However, Wells Fargo was perhaps less hurt by the financial crisis than other major banks. The company was still capable of acquiring Wachovia during the global economic downturn. According to Wells Fargo’s annual report in 2008, its total shareholder return was the highest among all the peers. While other competitors were retrenching, Wells Fargo’s revenue increased 6% and average earning assets rose 17%. In 2009, almost all the numbers started to recover. ROE rose from 3.61% to 11.64% and ROA increased from 0.28% to 0.99%. Cash flow per share improved a lot switching from negative to positive which showed that Wells Fargo has more cash on hand to pay dividends, reduce debt and make new investments. After the financial crisis in the year 2010 and 2011, the ratios of Wells Fargo started to improve. In 2011, ROA rose to 1.23% and ROE increased to 11.90%. The decrease in Total Debt to Equity and the increase in cash flow per share indicated that Wells Fargo began to pay off its debt. For Total Asset Turnover, it stayed the same at 0.07% in 2010 and 2011 which showed that Wells Fargo was able to maintain its stability in generating revenue. We can see that Wells Fargo survived and the company was recovering from the economic uncertainty. | 2006 | 2007 | 2008 | 2009 | 2010 | 2011 | WFC ROA % (Net) | 1.76 | 1.52 | 0.28 | 0.96 | 0.99 | 1.23 | Industry ROA | 2.10 | 1.89 | 0.75 | 0.24 | 1.38 | 1.64 | WFC ROE % (Net) | 19.6 | 17.23 | 3.61 | 11.54 | 10.38 | 11.9 | Industry ROE | 16.67 | 12.58 | 0.93 | -0.48 | 7.86 | 9.6 | WFC Total Asset Turnover | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.05 | 0.08 | 0.07 | 0.07 | Industry Total Asset Turnover | 0.11 | 0.12 | 0.10 | 0.09 | 0.09 | 0.09 | WFC Total Debt to Equity | 9.51 | 11.08 | 12.22 | 10.13 | 8.95 | 8.37 | Industry Total Debt to Equity | 5.63 | 5.74 | 6.74 | 6.97 | 5.27 | 5.40 | WFC Net Profit Margin % | 17.68 | 15.03 | 5.14 | 12.44 | 13.26 | 18.12 | Industry Net Profit Margin % | 17.04 | 10.75 | -4.85 | -3.39 | 11.16 | 15.32 | WFC Calculated Tax Rate % | 33.45 | 30.7 | 18.48 | 29.62 | 33.36 | 31.47 | Industry Calculated Tax Rate % | 31.1 | 8.72 | 23.08 | 18.63 | -24.12 | 25.82 |

Among all the companies in the financial services industry, Wells Fargo did a pretty good job in handling the financial crisis. As we can see from the chart above, Wells Fargo generally had lower ratios of ROA and ROE compared with other companies before 2008. The two ratios of the company were a lot higher than the industry during the financial crisis. Also, Wells Fargo had a much higher Net Profit Margin of 5.14%, compared with the industry ratio of -4.85%. We can tell Wells Fargo had a solid performance in 2008 by its acquisition of Wachovia at the peak of the financial crisis. However, its Total Asset Turnover was 50% less than the industry ratio and its Total Debt to Equity were double compared with the industry.
Effects of QE1 and QE2 on Wells Fargo’s Ratios | Before QE1 | After QE1 | Before QE2 | After QE2 | Profitability Ratios | 09/30/2008 | 03/31/2010 | 09/30/2010 | 06/30/2011 | ROA % (Net) | 1.05 | 0.84 | 1.08 | 1.26 | ROE % (Net) | 13.68 | 9.06 | 10.88 | 11.74 | Net Interest Margin % | 72.73 | 84.29 | 84.52 | 86.22 | Calculated Tax Rate % | 30.84 | 35.02 | 33.83 | 32.95 | | | | | | Liquidity Ratios | 09/30/2008 | 03/31/2010 | 09/30/2010 | 06/30/2011 | Loans to Deposits | 1.14 | 0.95 | 0.9 | 0.86 | | | | | | Debt Management | 09/30/2008 | 03/31/2010 | 09/30/2010 | 06/30/2011 | Total Debt to Equity | 2.29 | 1.72 | 1.32 | 1.05 | | | | | | Asset Management | 09/30/2008 | 03/31/2010 | 09/30/2010 | 06/30/2011 | Total Asset Turnover | 0.08 | 0.08 | 0.07 | 0.07 | Property Plant & Equip Turnover | 10.05 | 9.03 | 9.02 | 9.25 | Cash & Equivalents Turnover | 3.32 | 1.6 | 1.43 | 1 | | | | | | Per Share | 09/30/2008 | 03/31/2010 | 09/30/2010 | 06/30/2011 | Cash Flow per Share | (0.71) | 6.94 | 4.5 | 8.61 | Book Value per Share | 14.14 | 22.31 | 23.58 | 25.84 | QE1 had a negative impact on Wells Fargo. Before QE1, Wells Fargo’s ROA was 1.05% and ROE was 13.68%. After QE1, The ratios dropped to 0.84% and 9.06% respectively. We can see that Wells Fargo was generating less revenue after the implementation of QE1. After QE1, its Total Debt to Equity dropped to 1.72% and it was slightly lower than the ratio of 2.29% before QE1. The increase in cash flow per share from -0.71% to 6.96% indicating that Wells Fargo was paying off its debt due to an increase in cash flow after QE1. Total Asset Turnover stayed the same at 0.08% before and after the implementation of QE1.
QE2 had a positive impact on Wells Fargo. After QE2, Wells Fargo was returned back to profitability and most of its ratios improved. Before QE2, ROA was 1.08% and ROE was 10.88%. The slightly increase in both ROA and ROE indicated that Wells Fargo was making more money after QE2 was implemented. After QE2, Total Debt to Equity fell from 1.32% to 1.05% because Wells Fargo was paying down its debt. We can see that from the increase in Cash flow per share from 4.5% to 8.61%. For Total Asset Turnover, the ratios stayed the same at 0.07% before and after the implementation of QE1.

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