...Understanding Financial Crises: Causes, Consequences, and Policy Responses Stijn Claessens, M. Ayhan Kose, Luc Laeven, and Fabián Valencia By now, the tectonic damage left by the global financial crisis of 2007-09 has been well documented. World per capita output, which typically expands by about 2.2 percent annually, contracted by 1.8 percent in 2009, the largest contraction the global economy experienced since World War II. During the crisis, markets around the world experienced colossal disruptions in asset and credit markets, massive erosions of wealth, and unprecedented numbers of bankruptcies. Five years after the crisis began, its lingering effects are still all too visible in advanced countries and emerging markets alike: the global recession left in its wake a worldwide increase of 30 million in the number of people unemployed. These are painful reminders of why there is a need to improve our understanding of financial crises. This book serves this purpose by bringing together a number of innovative studies on the causes and consequences of financial crises and policy responses to them. Although there is a rich literature on financial crises, there has been no publication since the recent financial crisis providing in one place a broad overview of this research and distilling its policy lessons. The book fills this critical gap. It covers a wide range of crises, including banking, balance-of-payments, and sovereign debt crises. It reviews the typical patterns prior to...
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...Current financial crisis Economic growth involves metamorphosis of the financial system. Forms of banks and bank money change. These changes, if not addressed, leave the banking system vulnerable to crisis. There is no greater challenge in economics than to understand and prevent financial crises. The financial crisis of 2007-2008 provides the opportunity to reassess our understanding of crises. All financial crises are at root bank runs, because bank debt—of all forms—is vulnerable to sudden exit by bank debt holders. The current crisis raises issues for crisis theory. And, empirically, studying crises is challenging because of small samples and incomplete data. *Written as a contribution for Trade, Globalization and Development: Essays in Honor of Kalyan Sanyal, edited by Sugata Marjit and Rajat Acharya (Springer Verlag; forthcoming). Some of this essay draws from material in my book Misunderstanding Financial Crises (Oxford University Press; forthcoming November 2012). I worked at AIG Financial Products as a consultant from 1996-2008. I thank Doug Diamond, Bengt Holmström, Arvind Krishnamurthy, and Guillermo Ordoňez for comments.1 1. Introduction Economic development does not result in the elimination of financial crises. The recent financial crisis of 2007-2009 in the United States and Europe shows that market economies, however much they grow and change, are still susceptible to collapse or near-collapse from financial crisis. This is a staggering thought...
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...THE IDEA OF ETHICS AND THE EUROZONE CRISIS Prepared for: Ms. Homayara L. Ahmed Assistant Professor Prepared by: Bijon Islam (Roll: 21) Faruk Ahmed (Roll: 20) EMBA 14th Batch IBA, Dhaka January 04, 2012 January 04, 2012 Ms. Homayara L. Ahmed Assistant Professor Institute of Business Administration University of Dhaka Sub: Term Paper Submission- The Idea of Ethics and the Eurozone Crisis Dear Madam: Thank you for giving us the opportunity for working on such an exciting topic. Looking at the Eurozone crisis from an ethical perspective reveals several insightful and interesting insights including a look into the idea of equality among the member states, financial camouflage practices and the focus on immediate gains both in private sector and at national level. We have tried to map out such factors that have contributed to ethics mismanagement among the euro member states which have finally culminated into the crisis. We hope that you enjoy reading this paper as much as we did writing this and look forward to your views. Please feel free to contact us anytime if you feel the need for any additional support that we may provide. Kind Regards Bijon Islam – Roll 21 (EMBA 14) Faruk Ahmed – Roll 20 (EMBA 14) pg. 1 CONTENTS EXECUTIVE SUMMARY ...................................................................................................................................................3 1. A. B. C. D. E. 2. A. B. 3. A. B. C. D. E. F. 4. 5. 6. THE STORY...
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...1.Introduction This essay is based on the financial crisis from 2007 to 2008, which discuss whether the time at that moment is different. Here, we focus on the financial crisis happened in USA around these two particular years, therefore we mainly talk about ‘U.S Sub-prime Crisis’. Section I is to summarize the ideas that Reinhart and Rogoff provide according the book ‘This Time is Different: Eight Centuries of Financial Folly’ (2011) and their working papers. Section II is to evaluate and counter critically toward their argument. Also, a conclusion will be drawn after these two sections. 2.Section I The basic idea that Carmen M. Reinhart and Kenneth S. Rogoff suggests is that what happened in 2007 and 2008 was nothing different from previous financial crisis. They consider financial crisis can be traced by past experience from different countries around the world as usual. Their book and working papers introduce massive historical database which have constructed to study the debt (both external and internal), banking crisis, inflation, currency crashes and so forth. There are sixty-six countries included in the data, such as Africa, Asia, Europe, Latin America, North America, and Oceania (Reinhart and Rogoff, 2008). They studied various types of financial crises, however, the book mainly includes sovereign defaults and banking crises as these two forms of crises are particularly relevant to modern society. They covered government debt defaults in eight centuries...
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...Third Semester May Session 2013/2014 Prof Dr. K. Kuperan Viswanathan SHORT PAPER #1 INTERDEPENDENCE OF WORLD FINANCIAL MARKETS AND FOREIGN EXCHANGE FLUCTUATIONS Submitted by: ZAHARIN BIN ALI MATRIC No. 95906 June 14, 2014 Short Paper #1 Page |2 1. INTRODUCTION With the increase in advancements in transportation and communications made possible by technology, the world has seen exponential growths in economic ties among all nations. In the last few decades, globalization has resulted in a rapid surge in the interchanging of goods and services reaching across further and faster beyond national borders, whilst increasing the interconnectedness of different markets and cultures. These economic ties come in the forms of international trade, foreign direct investment and monetary integration, made possible with the complementary increase in the interdependence of international financial markets. With further liberalization and deregulation, financial market interdependence grew in momentum alongside the worldwide capital mobilization. This growing interconnectedness of all the world financial markets and the degree of their interdependence have themselves created a subject of substantial interest among economists. The recent global financial crisis has only elevated this interest further, as the impact of U.S. subprime crises on the world economies have provided evidence of global financial markets interdependence. Many international stock markets, for example, experienced...
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...896N1 - Multinational Financial Management The impact of the global financial crisis on the Multinational bank funding and its liquidity CandNo: 109098 Tutor: Dr Bruce Hearn, Dr Javad Izadi Zadeh Darjezi and Miss Madina Tash Date of Submission: 7th March 2013 Abstract This paper analyses the impact of the global financial crisis on the Multinational bank funding and its liquidity. In analysis of several articles, under the global financial crisis, multinational banks change their funding model to the stable wholesale funding and reduce the lending when the parent banks are financially weak. For its liquidity, multinational bank subsidiaries can rely on support from the bank group they belong to and therefore tend to hold a slightly lower liquidity. Content Abstract 1 Introduction 3 Literature Review 3 Analysis 5 Conclusion 6 Reference 6 Appendix 7 Introduction As the financial crisis existed through the fabric of the world’s financial system in the third quarter of 2007, it became clear that firm access to finance was going to be an early victim, including Multinational banks. During the local crisis, strong parent banks used their internal capital market to provide subsidiaries with capital and liquidity (Haas and Lelyveld, 2010). Domestic banks rely to a great extent on local funding, whereas an affiliate of a multinational bank can exploit both local funding possibilities and the funding capacity of its parent bank, all of which are embedded in...
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...REVIEW ESSAY QUESTION Introduction As the well-known 2008 Global Financial Crisis swept through the world, Australian and Canadian financial institutions performed relatively well, with operating stability in financial industry, and no emerge of any banks that are on the verge of bankruptcy or need government rescue. In this paper, in order to retrospect the intrinsic reasons, I will firstly explore the common features of the banking systems in Australia and Canada. Then I will compare their banking systems in structure and regulation with United States. Finally, the different ways mortgage lending is conducted in these three countries will be emphasized. Common features The common features of the banking systems of Australia and Canada are embodied in the high concentrated banking system along with intensive supervision and sound regulation. It is the common features that contribute to the resilient performance in these two countries’ banks through the global financial crisis. Generally speaking, the whole banking sector in either Canada or Australia is monopolized by a few large-scaled national banks. In Australia, there are mainly four banks, Commonwealth Bank, Westpac Banking Corporation, Australia and New Zealand Banking Group and National Australia Bank, which dominate Australian banking market. They are individually and collectively huge compared with the size of banking system and their total assets are vast compared with GDP. These four banks occupy 75% of...
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...Running head: THE FEDERAL RESERVE AND THE FINANCIAL CRISIS The Federal Reserve and the Financial Crisis Laura Brotherton Strayer University Principles of Economics ECO 100 Professor Isley March 13, 2013 The Federal Reserve and the Financial Crisis Government-sponsored enterprises (GSEs) are financial services corporations established by Congress with the hope of enhancing the flow of credit to certain targeted sectors of the economy making them more efficient and transparent. They also intend to reduce the risk to investors and other suppliers of capital. GSE’s make homeownership more available by injecting liquidity into the mortgage market. The GSE purchases mortgages from banks which provide cash for those banks to make additional guaranteed loans to borrowers. Securitization is a financial practice of pooling various types of contractual debt such as mortgages, auto loans or credit card debt obligations and selling this debt as bonds, pass-through securities, or collateralized mortgage obligation (CMOs) to various investors. Principal and interest on the debt, underlying the security, is paid back to the various investors regularly. The complexity inherent in securitization can limit investors' ability to monitor risk, and that competitive securitization markets may be particularly prone to sharp declines in underwriting standards. Bad mortgage products and practices are a trigger. Moreover, low interest loans allow more and more people...
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...Research Proposal: Finance; (Financial Engineering, Financial Mathematics & Risk Management) By:Syed Asad Raza Naqvi Index Introduction and Background………………………………………………………………………….3 Interested areas for research and further study (Research Proposal)……………….3 Further explanation of the intended research topics………………………………………..4 Securitization…………………………………………………………………………………………………..4 Credit Derivatives…………………………………………………………………………………………….6 Hybrid Products……………………………………………………………………………………………….7 Re-Securitization……………………………………………………………………………………………..8 Contribution of these products towards Financial Crisis…………………………………..8 Improper Risk Management role in Financial Crisis………………………………………….9 Risks………………………………………………………………………………………………………………..10 Market Risk……………………………………………………………………………………………………..11 Credit Risk……………………………………………………………………………………………………….11 Liquidity Risk……………………………………………………………………………………………………11 Interest Rates and the Financial Crisis………………………………………………………………12 Relation between low interest rate and financial crisis…………………………………….12 Role of Rating Agencies……………………………………………………………………………………14 Structure Finance Products and Rating Agencies……………………………………………..14 Regulations Then and Now………………………………………………………………………………15 BASEL II……………………………………………………………………………………………………………16 Enhancements of Basel II…………………………………………………………………………………18 The Resecuritisation Exposure Using IRB Approach………………………………………….18 The Resecuritisation Exposure Using Standardized Approach…………………………...
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...aftermath of the Global Financial Crisis, there were heightened concerns that a reduced availability of long-term finance and the resulting rollover risks would adversely affect the performance of small and medium-sized firms and hamper large fixed investments. Policy makers argued that, as a result, developing countries’ ability to sustain rates of economic growth sufficiently high to reduce poverty and ensure shared prosperity would be diminished. Recently, as corporates of emerging markets have benefited from favorable global liquidity conditions to issue long-term bonds, policy discussions focused on the stability risks of high leverage that could materialize when monetary conditions normalize. What does the evidence on capital structures tell us? In a new paper prepared for the Global Financial Development Report 2015/2016 on Long-Term Finance, Asli Demirguc-Kunt, Maria-Soledad Martinez-Peria and I study how the Global Financial Crisis impacted the capital structure of firms, focusing in particular on privately held firms and on small and medium sized enterprises (SMEs). We rely on a large dataset of about 277,000 firms from 79 countries, covering the period 2004-2011. The data are collected from Bureau Van Dijk in the ORBIS database. According to theory, leverage and debt maturity are expected to decline during a crisis because firms and providers of finance adjust to higher uncertainty, higher risks, and lower returns by stepping up risk and term premia (in some cases...
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...trigger was subprime borrowers’ large (in absolute terms) losses of residential mortgage loans. IKB’s Rhineland off-balance-sheet vehicle was also no longer rolling over the ABCP it issued in U.S, markets to fund its asset-backed securities. Commercial paper investors feared risk of default on these securities because of IKB’s difficulty in meeting its funding obligation. This led to runs on key institutions which had a detrimental effect on the financial system as a whole. This “Run on Commercial Paper” occurred because it is easier and safer for lenders to withdraw their money in this type of situation even if the vehicles had no exposure to subprime mortgages. Thus, this financial strain also spread to the bigger banks that were funding these vehicles. This caused short-term funding in interbank market to freeze up. This, with the growing instability in global money, hurt the flow of lending to nonfinancial borrowers and ended up being more damaging than the subprime losses. Another trigger was a “sudden stop” in syndicated lending to large risky corporate borrowers because funding for these loans had recently transitioned from banks to special purpose vehicles that funded themselves through CLOs that were purchased by a variety of investors, including ABCP vehicles. This sudden stop was viewed negatively by investors and contributed to triggering the crisis. 2.) One of the vulnerabilities was the dependence on unstable short-term funding. Shadow banks, which are intermediaries...
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...Discussion Paper No. 2009/01 The Financial Crisis of 2008 and the Developing Countries Wim Naudé* January 2009 Abstract Following the financial crisis that broke in the US and other Western economies in late 2008, there is now serious concern about its impact on the developing countries. The world media almost daily reports scenarios of gloom and doom, with many predicting a deep global recession. This paper critically discusses this and concludes that as far as the developing countries are concerned, a bit more optimism may be warranted. Although without doubt there are particular countries that will be adversely affected, there will also be countries that may be less affected, may avoid recession, and may recover sooner than expected. Six major reasons for this conclusion are discussed. Without this resilience in the developing world, prospects for the world’s richer countries would be much bleaker. Finally, some options available to the developing countries for minimizing the impact of the crisis are discussed. The crisis accentuates the urgent need for accelerating financial development in developing countries, both through domestic financial deepening, domestic resource mobilization, and reform of the international financial system. Keywords: financial crisis, developing countries, development finance, financial development JEL classification: F34, F35, G14, O16 Copyright © UNU-WIDER 2009 * UNU-WIDER, Helsinki, Finland, email: wim@wider.unu.edu This study has been prepared...
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...Journal of Contemporary Eastern Asia ISSN 2383-9449 Fumitaka Furuoka, Beatrice Lim, Catherine Jikunan and Lo May Chiun (2012) Economics Crisis and Response: Case Study of Malaysia’s Responses to Asian Financial Crisis Journal of Contemporary Eastern Asia Vol. 11, No. 1: 43-56 Journal abbreviation: J. Contemp. East. Asia Stable URL: http://eastasia.yu.ac.kr/documents/Fumitaka_11_1.pdf www.JCEA-Online.net Open Access Publication Creative Commons License Deed Attribution-No Derivative Works 3.0 Journal of Contemporary Eastern Asia, Volume 11, No.1: 43-56 http://dx.doi.org/10.17477/jcea.2012.11.1.043 Economics Crisis and Response: Case Study of Malaysia’s Responses to Asian Financial Crisis Fumitaka Furuoka, Beatrice Lim, Catherine Jikunan and Lo May Chiun The paper chooses the “Asian Financial Crisis” as a case study to examine its impact on Malaysian economy and describes how Malaysian government responded to the crisis. It also focuses on the Asian financial crisis’ impact on the employment of banking sector in Malaysia. In the finance, insurance, real estate and business service sector, a number of 6,596 workers were retrenched. Banks were forced into mergers and acquisition as well as downsizing, trim lean, organizational changes and introduction of new technologies. Excess workers were offered a “voluntary separation scheme.” These retrenched workers became the urban poor facing high cost of living and no opportunity for jobs as there is no safety net provided. 1. Introduction...
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...Richardson and I. Walter DOI: 10.1561/0500000025 Manufacturing Tail Risk: A Perspective on the Financial Crisis of 2007–2009 By Viral V. Acharya, Thomas Cooley, Matthew Richardson and Ingo Walter Contents 1 Introduction 2 How Did We Get There? 2.1 2.2 2.3 The Panic of 1907 and Its Aftermath Bank Competition, Financial Innovation and Risk-Taking in the Last Decades of the 20th Century Risk-Taking Incentives of Financial Institutions 249 253 253 258 264 3 The New Banking Model of Manufacturing Tail Risk 4 Alternative Explanations of the Financial Crisis 5 Conclusion A Appendix: Tail Risk in the Rest of the World References 273 292 311 314 320 Foundations and Trends R in Finance Vol. 4, No. 4 (2009) 247–325 c 2010 V. V. Acharya, T. Cooley, M. Richardson and I. Walter DOI: 10.1561/0500000025 Manufacturing Tail Risk: A Perspective on the Financial Crisis of 2007–2009 Viral V. Acharya1 , Thomas Cooley2 , Matthew Richardson3 and Ingo Walter4 1 2 3 4 Stern USA, Stern USA Stern USA Stern USA School of Business, New York University, New York, NY 10012, vacharya@stern.nyu.edu School of Business, New York University, New York, NY 10012, School of Business, New York University, New York, NY 10012, School of Business, New York University, New York, NY 10012, Abstract We argue that the fundamental cause of the financial crisis of 2007–2009 was that large, complex financial institutions (“LCFIs”) took excessive leverage in the form of manufacturing tail risks that were...
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...i ACFI 2005 : Finance - Tutorial Solutions Tute 1: 07/09/12 Chapter 1 A modern financial system: an overview 2. (a) Discuss the role of money in a financial system. • Money is a financial asset that facilitates financial and economic transactions. • Money is a medium of exchange—swapped for goods and services. • Money is a store of value—wealth is held or measured in money terms. • Money is a standard of deferred payment—used to record indebtedness. • Money is a unit of account—transactions are priced in money terms. • Currency is generally divisible, portable and durable. (b) Does money have to be currency? If not, what are some alternatives? • Money is anything that is universally acceptable as a medium of exchange. • Further, money generally has the characteristics of being divisible and a store of value. • Examples—currency, EFTPOS and digital money. 4. The major financial institutions within the international markets fall into five classifications. Identify and briefly explain each of these classifications. Give an example of different types of institutions that operate within a classification were appropriate. • Depository financial institutions—they attract savings from depositors and investors and provide loans to borrowers. Examples: commercial banks, building societies and credit unions. • Contractual savings institutions—there liabilities (sources of funds) are contracts that generate periodic cash flows, such...
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