...Factors affecting on stock price 1. Introduction The stock market has become an essential market playing a vital role in economic prosperity that fostering capital formation and sustaining economic growth. Stock markets are more than a place to trade securities; they operate as a facilitator between savers and users of capital by means of pooling of funds, sharing risk, and transferring wealth. Stock markets are essential for economic growth as they insure the flow of resources to the most productive investment opportunities. In essence, a large number of economic variables like gross domestic product, interest rates, current account, monthly supply, employment, their information etc. have an impact on daily stock prices (Kurihara, 2006). This paper reflects how stock price is determined by considering the effect of different factors and outlines whether the internal, external and economic factors have impact on stock pricing. This study is about to know whether Dividends, paid up capital, market capital, corporate social responsibility, lawsuits, Retained Earnings, AGM, EGM, Earning Per Share, Rumors, Margin Loan, Net Income, Face Value, Return on Investment, Goodwill of the firm, Company News, Analysts Report, Sentiment, Rumors, etc. depends on stock price or merely some special factors like stock dividend, P/E ratio, government policy, macroeconomics fundamental, investors sentiment...
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...Technology Determinants of Share Price Movements in Bangladesh: Dividends and Retained Earnings Author Shohrab Hussain Khan Supervisor Mr. Anders Hederstierna Thesis for the degree of MSc. in Business Administration Spring, 2009 Thesis Summary Title: Determinants of Share Price Movements in Bangladesh: Dividends and Retained Earnings Author: Shohrab Hussain Khan Supervisor: Anders Hederstierna Department: School of Management, Blekinge Institute of Technology Course: Master’s thesis in Business Administration, 15 credits (ECTS). Background and Problem Discussion: Financial scholars have been conducting studies of dividend policy for several decades; but different researchers have come to different conclusions. Financial economists have come to different conclusion about factors determining dividend policy and effect of dividend policies on common stock price. A general question may arise in the mind of the shareholders that the corporate dividend policy affects the value of their stocks. So, in addition to the theory of dividend policy, it is necessary to discuss the empirical evidence on the dividend payment practices of the corporations and their possible impacts on common stock prices. Empirical testing of dividend policy may focus on whether the determinants carry information in pricing the common stocks and whether the dividends are the only determinants serving as signals in conveying information about the current and future earnings of the corporation. Purpose:...
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...1. Introduction This paper will examine the relationship between the dividend policy and stock price volatility based on the previous studies. Dividend policy is referred as a direction to the dividend paid out. In practice, we can through three aspects to show how the dividend policy is important. Firstly, in term of the clientele effect, the transaction cost and tax of investor position can exert an influence on whether dividend policy gains are preferred which means that dividend policy will exert an important influence on investors’ behaviour. Secondly, according to the signaling effect, dividend paid is the mean by manager to signal the new information to investor. And thirdly on basis of the agency theory, dividend policy would attribute to the conflict between the interests of management and interests of stakeholders. Through the different dividend policy, firms can use the earning to make scrip dividends, special dividends, share repurchase and non–pecuniary benefits. In 1961, Modigliani and Miller (MM) argue that, given perfect and efficient markets, the pattern of dividend payments by a business have no effect on shareholder wealth. The only way to maximum shareholder wealth is investment with a positive NPV. So depend on M&M theory, Atrill (2000) agrees that to pay a lower dividend will simply be compensated by an increase in share price through reinvestment. De Angelo and Masulis, Kim (1988) and Miller (1986) supported that dividend paid can greatly reduce...
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...1 1. If you bought a share of stock, what would you expect to receive, when would you expect to receive it, and would you be certain that your expectations would be met? A: When you purchase a stock, you expect to receive dividends plus capital gains. Not all stocks pay dividends immediately, but those corporations that do, typically pay dividends quarterly. Capital gains (losses) are received when the stock is sold. Stocks are risky, so you would not be certain that your expectations would be met—as you would if you had purchased a U.S. Treasury security, which offers a guaranteed payment every 6 months plus repayment of the purchase price when the security matures. 2. If most investors expect the same cash flows from Companies A and B but are more confident that A’s cash flow will be close to their expected value, which should have the higher stock price? Explain. A: If investors are more confident that Company A’s cash flows will be closer to their expected value than Company B’s cash flows, then investors will drive the stock price up for Company A. Consequently, Company A will have a higher stock price than Company B. 3. When is a stock said to be in equilibrium? At any given time, would you guess that most stocks are in equilibrium as you defined it? Explain. A: Equilibrium is the situation where the actual market price equals the intrinsic value, so investors are indifferent between buying or selling a stock. If a stock is in equilibrium then there is no...
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...Corporate Finance 1. Time value of money This concept discuss about the future value and the present value of money. For example a dollar today has more value than the dollar you will be earning in the future. Time value of money is a very important concept because it will help make decision on how much to save today to have a certain amount of saving for retirement in future. Interest rate and a time line also plays an important role in analyzing the time value of money. For Individuals the implications can be seen when deciding how much to save for retirement, valuing stocks when doing a personal investment or when calculating loan repayment schedule. For a corporation time value of money concept comes in to play when evaluating a project financial viability, when making new investment in plant and machinery and when investing in stocks and bonds. 2. Bonds I was able to learn about the types of bonds issued in the market and the risk associated with the bond market, pricing of the bonds, relationship between bond price and interest rate. A bond is a long term debt instrument issued by a corporate or a government in order to raise capital. This is a contract under which the borrower (a corporate or a government) agrees to make a payment of principle and interest on a specific future date to the holder of the bond. Corporate Bond, Treasury bond, high-yield corporate bonds (low quality also known as junk bonds), foreign bonds, mortgage-backed bonds and municipal...
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...wider economy. In other words these factors seem to summarize the picture of economy. Macroeconomic variables include economic output, unemployment, inflation, interest rates, money supply, exchange rate, foreign reserves, savings and investment. Variables used in study: • Consumer Price Index (CPI) Inflation is a rise in the general level of prices of goods and services in an economy over a period of time. When the general price level rises, each unit of currency buys fewer goods and services. Consequently, inflation also reflects erosion in the purchasing power of money – a loss of real value in the internal medium of exchange and unit of account within the economy. A chief measure of price inflation is the inflation rate, the annualized percentage change in a general price index (normally the CPI) over time. A consumer price index (CPI) measures changes in the price level of consumer goods and services purchased by households. It captures the retail price movement for different sections of consumers. In India, the Consumer Price Index or CPI measures changes in the prices paid by consumers for a basket of goods and services. It is a measure that examines the weighted average of prices of a basket of consumer goods and services, such as...
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...1. What are the key exposures to international risk that MNCs have to consider? P. 13-17 - international economic conditions … if conditions weaken, income of consumers becomes relatively low, consumer purchases of products decline and an MNC’s sales in that country may be lower than expected … results in reduction in cash flows and valuation - international political risk … foreign government may increase taxes or impose barriers, consumers may boycott if friction between countries - exchange rate risk … foreign currencies to be received suddenly weaken against dollar, MNC will receive lower cash flows, cash outflows in foreign currencies are exposed to movements but in opposite direction Using the valuation (model) of an MNC, illustrate in detail the impact of these key exposures on an MNC’s value. Make sure to explain all your notation and assumptions. - cost of capital is influenced by the return required by its investors … if there is suddenly more uncertainty surrounding the cash flows, investors may only be willing to invest in the MNC if they can expect to receive a higher rate of return - consequently, higher level of uncertainty increases the return on investment required by investors and the MNC valuation decreases 2. What are the theories that explain why firms become motivated to expand their business internationally? Discuss each. p. 6-8 - comparative advantage … specialization by countries can increase production efficiency - imperfect...
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...International Bulletin of Business Administration ISSN: 1451-243X Issue 9 (2010) © EuroJournals, Inc. 2010 http://www.eurojournals.com Dividend Policy: A Review of Theories and Empirical Evidence Husam-Aldin Nizar Al-Malkawi Corresponding Author, Faculty of Business, ALHOSN University P.O. Box 38772 - Abu Dhabi, UAE E-mail: h.almalkawi@alhosnu.ae Michael Rafferty Senior Research Analyst, WRC, University of Sydney, Australia E-mail: m.rafferty@econ.usyd.edu.au Rekha Pillai Faculty of Business, ALHOSN University, Abu Dhabi, UAE E-mail: r.pillai@alhosnu.ae Abstract The literature on dividend policy has produced a large body of theoretical and empirical research, especially following the publication of the dividend irrelevance hypothesis of Miller and Modigliani (1961). No general consensus has yet emerged after several decades of investigation, and scholars can often disagree even about the same empirical evidence. This paper aims at providing the reader with a comprehensive understanding of dividends and dividend policy by reviewing the main theories and explanations of dividend policy including dividend irrelevance hypothesis of Miller and Modigliani, bird-in-the-hand, tax-preference, clientele effects, signalling, and agency costs hypotheses. The paper also attempts to present the main empirical studies on corporate dividend policy. However, due to the enduring nature and extensive range of the debate about dividend policy which has spawned a vast amount of literature that...
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...2 Impact of interest rate on stock market 3 A study based on the effects of interest rate (KIBOR) on share price 4 Market Interest rate and commercial bank profitability in Pakistan 5 Determinants of Corporate dividend payout policy 6 Effects of Free Cash flow on profitability of firms 7 Determinant of dividend payout ratio: A study of Pakistani fertilizer sector 8 Fundamentals and stock returns in Pakistan 9 Effects of mergers and acquisition in banking sector of Pakistan 10 Impact of Privatization of banks on profitability 11 Can risk aversion indicators anticipate financial crises? 12 Cash flow and capital spending relationship: evidence from automobile sector 13 Impact of Privatization on profitability and efficiency of banks in Pakistan 14 To study the relationship between price earning ratio and return on investment 15 A test of price earning ratio to predict future growths 16 Factors affect on the dividend payout ratio (sugar industry) 17 Impact of macro-economic variables on stock sector of Pakistan 18 Relationship between Cash flow and investment spending in textile industry 19 Impact of taxation on firm’s dividend payout/ratio 20 Share price volatility explicatedmeasured by fundamentals 21 Stock price and economic variables ( Interest rate, inflation and GDP) 22 Determinants of P/E Ratio 23 Impact of capital structure on profitability 24 Impact of interest rate changes on bank’s profitability 25 Relationship of stock market returns and rate of inflation ...
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...Theory Covariance: how close two variables move Together The reward-to-volatility = sharpe ratio Serial correlation of daily returns is close to zero => very hard to predict from their past Value-at-Risk (VaR): a measure of downside risk ->Measures the potential loss over a specified horizon such that there is a (low) probability α that the actual loss will be larger No clear guidelines as to the choice of sample length m: small m means that the VaR will be more influenced by recent events; large m is needed for precise estimates - No way to extrapolate the 1-day VaR to a longer n-day horizon (except if nonoverlapping n-period returns are considered to re-calculate the n-day VaR) A risk-averse investor: - Accepts risk-free or speculative prospects with positive risk-premiums - Rejects portfolios that are fair games (or worse) The higher the indifference curve, the higher the utility levelT he steeper the indifference curve, the higher the risk aversion -> higher compensation required for the same level of risk Two major sources of uncertainty for the risky assets in a portfolio: 1. Market risk -? Systematic, non-diversifiable 2. Firm-specific risk -> Non-systematic, diversifiable The minimum-variance frontier, which gives the lowest variance that can be attained for any target level of expected portfolio return The separation property The portfolio choice problem may be separated into two independent tasks -Determination of the optimal...
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...Effect Of Dividends On Stock Prices 1 EFFECT OF DIVIDENDS ON STOCK PRICES Effect of Dividends on Stock Prices– A Case of Chemical and Pharmaceutical Industry of Pakistan Kanwal Iqbal Khan University of Central Punjab, Lahore Proceedings of 2nd International Conference on Business Management (ISBN: 978-969-9368-06-6) Effect Of Dividends On Stock Prices 2 Abstract In Pakistan corporate sector is adversely facing competition due to economic downturn in the world and making efforts to survive in a competitive and uncertain economic environment. This study will help to improve dividend decisions of corporate sector through proper implementation of their dividend policies. This paper is an attempt to explain the effect of dividend announcements on stock prices of chemical and pharmaceutical industry of Pakistan. A sample of twenty five companies listed at KSE-100 Index is taken from the period of 2001to 2010. Results of this study is based on Fixed and Random Effect Model which is applied on Panel data to explain the relationship between dividends and stock prices after controlling the variables like Earnings per Share, Retention Ratio and Return on Equity. Results indicate that Cash Dividend, Retention Ratio and Return on Equity has significant positive relation with stock market prices and significantly explains the variations in the stock prices of chemical and pharmaceutical sector of Pakistan while Earnings per Share and Stock Dividends have negative insignificant...
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...Finance 202 Alex Low – Course Notes Chapter 10 – bond prices and yields 10.1 Bond Characteristics Bond: A security that obligates the issure to make specific payments to the holder over time. Face value/par value: The payment at which is made at maturity to the bond holder Coupon rate: A bonds annual interest payment per dollar of par value Zero coupon bonds: pays no coupons, sells at discount, provides only payment of par value at maturity. If a bond is purchased between coupon dates the buyer must pay the seller for accrued interest. [Formula] Corporate Bonds: like government bonds except issued by companies. Floating rate bonds: Coupon rates periodically reset according to specified market date. Preference Stock: Although strictly classified as equity, it is often included in fixed income universe. Preference stock often pay a fixed dividend. Other domestic issuers: there are other issuers of bonds. Local governments issue municipal bonds to finance local projects. International bonds: * Foreign bonds: issued by a borrower from a country other than the one in which the bond is sold. These are dominated in the currency of the market country. * Eurobonds: different as denominated in currency (usually of the issuing country) different than that of market. Inflation protected securities: face values change with changes in price level. There is a fixed coupon rate, the amount changes with principle. 10.2 Bond pricing:...
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...Literature Review on Bangladesh Stock Market Literature Review: 1 Before the decade of eighty much of the stock market literature viewed the present value of dividends to be the principal determinant of market return of stocks. LeRoy and Porter (1981) and Shiller (1981) found that under the assumption of constant discount factor stock prices were too volatile to be consistent with movement in future dividends. The decomposition of stock price movements is very sensitive to what assumption is made about the presence of permanent changes in either real dividend growth or excess stock return (Wohar & Mark, 2006). Cochrane (1992) Timmerman (1995) have argued that fluctuation in stock prices can be explained by time-varying discount rates and future excess returns. Cochrane (1992) by using an alternative methodology to decompose the variability of stock prices also found the variability of excess return to be more important than the variability of dividend growth. A lower degree of efficiency in less developed countries market might be caused by common characteristics of loose disclosure requirements as well as thinness and discontinuity of trading. It is generally assumed that the emerging markets are less efficient than the developed markets. Raihan, et al (2007) found that in Chittagong Stock Exchange (CSE) in Bangladesh, stock return series do not follow random walk model and the significant autocorrelation co-efficient at different lags do not accept the hypothesis...
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...THE EFFECT OF ENERGY PRICES ON TRANSPORTATION AND STORAGE SECTOR’S EQUITY RETURNS: THE IRANIAN CASE by ABSTRACT The purpose of this study is to examine the effect of oil and gas prices on transportation and storage sector’s equity returns in Iran. To this end, we analyze Iranian transportation and storage sector index for the period from the first week of January 2005 until the third week of March 2010. Based on the multifactor model and using time-series regression, our findings indicate that oil price is not an important determinant of returns in transportation and storage sector. Similarly, the findings suggest that gas price movements do not seem to play a role for transportation and storage sector. However, consistent with the capital asset pricing model (CAPM), the market portfolio is a significant pricing factor in the sector’s stock returns. In addition, the estimated regression indicates that the exchange rate is not priced for this sector’s stock returns. The results of this study help domestic and potential foreign investors to understand the effect of energy price changes on transportation and storage sector stock returns in order to manage their portfolio effectively. KEYWORDS Energy prices, Transportation and storage sector, Equity returns, Iran INTRODUCTION Recent years have witnessed massive price movements of the energy markets. The price of energy has a large impact on economy of the world (Huang et al., 1996; Nandha & Brooks, 2009; Chen et al., 1986; Nandha...
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...– Banking sector & Stock Exchange and Conceptual framework – Macroeconomic variable |3.1 An overview of Banking sector and Stock market of Bangladesh | We are interested in investigating the relationship between stock prices and macroeconomic variables because individual investors can earn abnormal profits by exploiting this relationship and the existence of this utilizable opportunity would then dangerously distort the market’s ability to proficiently allocate scarce resources. In other word, the stock market will lose its informational efficiency. Informational efficiency is defined as at any given time, stock prices fully reflect all available information of the market. Thus, no investor has an advantage in predicting a return on a stock price because no one has access to information not already available to everyone else. Identifying the relationship or informational efficiency thus can be used to correct the current economic stabilization policies. Therefore, the issue of whether stock prices and macroeconomic variables are related or not have received considerable attention. This paper provides empirical evidence of the relationship between stock prices with each of the macroeconomic variables: exchange rate, inflation rate, money supply variables and so on. The knowledge of the prevailing relationship between stock prices one the one hand, and micro variables like market price/ earnings, growth rate...
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