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Statistics Course Project

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* * * * * * Course Project

GM533
Applied Managerial Statistics
Professor Cook
February 14, 2011

TO:
FROM:
DATE: February 14, 2011
SUBJECT: Analysis of Factors that Affect Property Crime Rates

I have analyzed the data of the factors that affect property crime rates in the United States. Here are my results.
Data
The data provided included; crime rate per hundred thousand inhabitants (which included burglary, larceny, theft, and motor vehicle theft), pincome- per capita income for each state, dropout- high school drop-out rate, precip- average precipitation in inches in the major city in each state over 1951-1980, pubaid- percentage of public aid recipients, density- population/total square miles, kids- public aid for families with children (dollars per family), unemploy- percentage of unemployed workers, urban- percentage of the residents living in urban areas. This data was provided by U.S. government sources: “the 1988 Uniform Crime Reports, Federal Bureau of Investigation, the Office of Research and Statistics, Social Security Administration, the Commerce Department, Bureau of Economic Analysis, the National Center for Education Statistics, U.S. Department of Education, the Bureau of the Census, Department of Commerce and Geography Division, the Labor Department, Bureau of Labor Statistics, the National Climatic Data Center, U.S. Department of Commerce” (Bowerman, O’Connell, Orris, and Murphree).
I have used a multiple regression analysis to answer the following questions: 1. What are the primary determinants of property crimes in the United States? 2. What would you like to know about property crime rates that cannot be answered by this data set? 3. How does population density affect property crime rates? Is this expected?
Results
The primary determinants contributing to the property crimes in the

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