...Diversification in Stock Portfolios Problem Introduction ,There are several areas can be considered when understanding the risk of an investment. In this exercise, as a risk-averse investor, each of the expected rate of return and volatility of the stock for both of the economies is the same. However, for economy number one, all the stocks move together. For economy number two, the stock returns are independent of each other. Which is the best investment? Economy One In the first economy, all stock move together, up and down as the market does. Our textbook refers to this type of economy as systematic risk. This can also be called “undiversifiable, or market risk.” (Berk, 303) This type of economy is affected by the volatility of the marketplace, and any world and nation events that can occur, to drive the price of stocks up and down. In good economic times, in which housing is booming, a good job market, and retail has received good sales for this investment period, the outcome of your investment in this economy would be considerably well. In which all stock performed to their capability, and a high rate of return is expected. This is due there were no affects on the performance of the stock from the outside to drive the price down. In the second economy option for the investor to invest in, this economy offers the same rates of return as the first economy. The examples of 30% and -15% expected rates of returns are...
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...Diversification in Stock Portfolios. Strayer University Tim Creel, CPA,CMA,CIA, Professor Finical Management-FIN 534 5/28/11 You are a risk averse investor who is considering investing in one of two economies. The expected return and volatility of all stocks in both economies is the same. In the first economy, all stocks move together - in good times all prices rise together and in bad times they all fall together. In the second economy, stock returns are independent-one stock increasing in price has no effect on the prices of other stocks. Which economy would you choose to invest in? Please explain. A risk averse investor is a person who is reluctant to accept a bargain with an uncertain payoff rather than another bargain with more certain, but possibly lower, expected payoff. Thus, it can be said that risk averse person would be more inclined towards investment in bank’s fixed deposit than in uncertain returns of a stock market. But, if I being a risk averse investor and given a choice to invest in one of the 2 economies then I would select the second economy where stock returns are independent- one stock increasing in price has no effect on the prices of the other stocks. The first economy would result in uncertain returns as the prices would rise with the market and would fall with the market and to predict the market would be a risky task for a risk averse person. Relatively, investment in second economy would be less risky as the movement in stock prices would...
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...investors have found that diversification of investment through portfolio investment can meet the investment goals in a better way than investing in a single security. Therefore, to make the maximum return at a given risk preference level, it is important to design and create a portfolio that would provide the optimum return for per unit of risk borne. Here I have constructed an optimum portfolio with different scenarios such as maximizing theta in case of short sell allowed and not allowed; minimizing standard deviation in case of short sell allowed and not allowed, maximizing return for a given risk in case of short sell allowed and not allowed, minimizing risk for a given return in case of short sell allowed and not allowed of 8 securities from a set of 16 securities of 5 sectors selected from the listed companies in Dhaka stock exchange. I have analyzed very sophisticatedly to minimize the risk of the portfolio. PORTFOLIO CONSTRUCTION In simple words, portfolio refers to combination of assets. An investor invests a pool of different investments to make a profit while aiming to preserve the invested (principal) amount. These investments are chosen generally on the basis of different risk-reward combinations: from 'low risk, low yield' (gilt edged) to 'high risk, high yield' (junk bonds) ones; or different types of income streams: steady but fixed, or variable but with a potential for growth. I am focusing on a portfolio that is well balanced with moderate level of risk and good...
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...problems stemming from the company's acquisition of Emhart Corporation in 1989. In late 1998 Black & Decker management celebrated the completion of an almost decade-long effort to divest nonstrategic business gained through its 1989 acquisition of Emhart Corporation and expected the company to enter a long-awaited period of growth as its entire management refocused its attention on its core power tools, plumbing, and security hardware business. Archibald believed that "This portfolio restructuring will allow us to focus on core operations that can deliver dependable and superior operating and financial results." However the portfolio restructuring did little to improve the market performance of the company's securities. Yet Archibald and the management continued to express confidence that the company's streamline portfolio would allow Black & Decker to achieve revenue and earnings growth that the market would find impressive. So far the 1998 divestitures have not produced steady increases in the company's stock price, but look promising for the future due to the efforts to refocus efforts on the successful power tools line. Strategic planning team evaluation Over the years, Black & Decker has branched off into many different directions in order to gain as much market share as possible. The diversification program in the 1980s produced mixed results for shareholders, and later on proved to be something that wasn’t as successful in the long run. Many things can be learned...
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...Rock, Paper, Scissors, and Other Investment Techniques (UOP) FIS 240 Week 5 DQs (UOP) FIS 240 Week 6 CheckPoint: So Many Businesses, So Little Money PART 1 OF 2 (UOP) FIS 240 Week 6 CheckPoint: So Many Businesses, So Little Money PART 2 OF 2 (UOP) FIS 240 Week 6 Assignment: Analyze This (UOP) FIS 240 Week 7 DQs (UOP) FIS 240 Week 7 CheckPoint: Income that Sticks PART 1 OF 2 (UOP) FIS 240 Week 7 CheckPoint: Income that Sticks PART 2 OF 2 (UOP) FIS 240 Week 8 CheckPoint: Lifetime Investment Matrix PART 1 OF 2 (UOP) FIS 240 Week 8 CheckPoint: Lifetime Investment Matrix PART 2 OF 2 (UOP) FIS 240 Week 8 Assignment: Living the Easy Life (UOP) FIS 240 Capstone Discussion Question (UOP) FIS 240 Final Project: Investment Policy and Portfolio Evaluation (UOP) ____________________________________________________ FIS 240 Week 1 CheckPoint: Is Time on My Side (UOP) For more course tutorials visit www.tutorialrank.com Resources: Appendix D and the Time Value of Money multimedia (enter into the Axia College student webpage first then copy and paste the link into the open browser) TUhttps://ecampus.phoenix.edu/secure/aapd/UBAM/Libraries/Flash/TVM.swfUT. Due Date: Day 5 [post to the Individual forum] Complete your responses to this week’s CheckPoint in Appendix D. Post the completed...
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...work and needs to plan accordingly. One main question that is always a difficult one to answer is how long one needs to work before they can comfortably stop working and rely on their financial portfolio to take care of expenses after work. In order to analyze these questions, a deterministic model of an investment portfolio was created and stochastic modeling was used to determine the likelihood of being able to accumulate the necessary finances over the desired period of time. Quantitative Analysis: 1. Using the given deterministic model, the annual outflows were estimated from the retirement portfolio over the retirement years and the estimated return on the account was also calculated. It was determined that under these basic assumptions of salary and portfolio growth rate the portfolio could expect to grow to $452,900 within thirty years. However, this assumed a fixed salary growth rate of 5% as well as a 4% annual investment rate. Given the high rate of inflation and the projected expenses after retirement, it was calculated that if this money was to last for the retirement, then even pulling out $50,000 per year in expenses would cause the account to run out after just a few years. 2. Adjusting the annual rate to 8% from 4% had a major effect. Although the portfolio fell short of the one million dollar goal by only reaching $853,633, this was a major effect as it allows the individual the ability to pull $100,000 each year from this account and still sustain...
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...Kochman’s and Badarinathi’s mathematical case for upside deviation deals with portfolio upside deviations being divided by a market’s upside deviations to so show the resulting ratio and how it facilitates other tests for positive or negative skewness. The article discusses how CAPM is inappropriate for the evaluation of portfolios given that is not only assumed that the returns on distributions are symmetrical, but that the beta (performance and return-to-risk ratios) underestimates the risk of larger numbers of mutual funds. Kochman and Badarinathi needed to answer two questions; can upside deviation be the means for portfolio evaluations and can this be done by taking the upside deviation of portfolios and divide those figure by the upside deviation of the market? Kochman and Badarinathi believe that to make a case for upside deviation as a means for portfolio evaluations is to take the upside deviation of the portfolio(s) and dividing it by the market(s) upside deviation. This would result with a ratio that facilitates another test of positive or negative skewness. To test whether the ratio of portfolio-to-market upside deviations as a success, a test on fund returns would need to be conducted to ensure a meaningful difference between upside deviations, portfolios, and markets. The overall findings showed that the relationships between low betas and low upside volatility appeared to be weaker than the relationships between high betas and high upside volatility. In addition...
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...you ought to remain definitely mindful of your portfolio and the losses you're ready to persevere in an exertion to expand your riches. While it is difficult to stay away from danger completely when putting resources into the business sectors, these five strategies can help protect your portfolio. One of the foundations of Modern Portfolio Theory (MPT) is diversification. In a business downturn, MPT pupils accept a generally expanded portfolio will beat a thought one. Speculators make deeper and all the more extensively broadened portfolios by owning countless in more than one asset class, along these lines decreasing unsystematic danger. This is the hazard that accompanies putting resources into a specific organization instead of deliberate danger, which is the danger connected with putting resources into the businesses by and large. As per some money related specialists, stock portfolios that incorporate 12, 18 or even 30 stocks can take out most, if not all, unsystematic danger. Shockingly, methodical danger is constantly present and can't be differentiated away. On the other hand, by including non-associating asset classes, for example, securities, items, monetary standards and land to a gathering of stocks, the final consequence is regularly lower unpredictability and decreased efficient hazard because of the way that non-connecting assets respond diversely to changes in the business sectors contrasted with stocks; when one asset is down, an alternate is up....
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...Fidelity Large Cap Stock Fund and S&P 500 are similar funds. These two funds heavily invest in large market capitalization company common stock, topping 80% of its entire portfolio. Fidelity Large Cap Stock Fund consists of normally 11 different sectors for equities listed in highest portfolio weight with first five sectors making 80% of the portfolio: • Financials • Information Technology • Health Care • Energy • Industrials • Consumer Discretionary • Consumer Staples • Telecommunication Services • Materials • Utilities • Other Current year-to-date performance of the Fidelity Large Cap Stock Fund (FLCSX) was overall positive at 16.24% year-to-date return. The financial sector contributed and played a big part in making the successful performance this year resulting from a good portfolio mixture of securities and its positive gain. This mixture consists of some of the high return securities such as; JPMorgan Chase, MetLife and Charles Schwab returning, 29.38%, 48.68% and 54.99% respectively. The historic performance has shown that both MetLife and Charles Schwab performed well responding to the rising interest rates, and these two companies did not fail to positively react to the recent increase in interest rates. Both companies’ share price went up by more than 20%. Thanks to the uptick in interest rates due to many speculation of slow economy recovery in the market. S&P 500 also had a strong year-to-date return at 13.82%. Both FLCSX and S&P 500 topped...
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...EVALUATION OF MUTUAL FUND PERFORMANCE TUGAS IV MAY 1, 2016 KIKI NINDYA ASIH AND NICKO ALBART DMB 10 ABSTRACT This article attempts to measure performance of three stock-based mutual funds in Indonesia over the period of January 1, 2015 – July 30, 2015 using daily data. Each of the stock-based mutual fund was picked randomly from foreign, SOE, and local investment houses. The performance evaluation employs different methods namely Sharpe, Treynor, and Jensen indices. Analysis revealed that different methods yield different result. In order to enrich evaluation, Modigliani-risk adjusted performance metric and qualitative approach were included in the analysis. By using the mix criteria, it was found that the best investment is Schoder 90 Plus Equity Fund followed by Manulife Dana Saham and Mandiri Investa Dynamic Equity. This findings show that even though stock market performed negatively over the period, stock-based mutual fund may yield slightly better than the market. Key Words: Mutual Fund, Sharpe Index, Treynor Index, Jansen Index, M2. I. INTRODUCTION This paper aims at measuring portfolio performance of stock-based mutual funds from three different investment manager over the period of January 1, 2015 – July 30, 2015. Three randomly mutual fund was chosen, namely Schoder 90 Plus Equity Fund (Schroder Investment Management Indonesia), Mandiri Investa Dynamic Equity (Mandiri Manajemen Investasi), and Manulife Dana Saham (Manulife Aset Manajemen...
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...Premium และคำนวณ Standard Deviationเพื่อนำไปคำนวณหา Sharpe Ratio ที่มีอัตราส่วนที่สูงที่สุด ซึ่งอธิบายถึงผลตอบแทนที่ถูกปรับด้วยความเสี่ยง ที่ดีที่สุด เมื่อได้ทำการวิเคราะห์และคำนวณ Sharpe Ratio แล้ว พบว่า หุ้นที่เหมาะสมที่จะทำการลงทุนเพิ่ม ได้แก่ Pioneer Gypsum โดยลงทุนในสัดส่วน 4% จึงทำให้การลงทุนในตลาดเป็น 96% เนื่องจากเป็นสัดส่วนที่ทำให้ Sharpe Ratio มีค่าสูงที่สุด คือ 0.4702 ซึ่งถือได้ว่าเป็นการกระจายการลงทุนที่ทำให้ความเสี่ยงลดลง ซึ่งสอดคล้องกับทฤษฎี Modern Portfolio Theory ของ Harry M. Markowitz (1952) ที่กล่าวไว้ว่า “Don’t put all your eggs in one basket” สรุปรายละเอียดของ Mini-Case : John & Marsha on Portfolio Selection John ทำหน้าที่บริหาร Portfolio ซึ่งมีมูลค่า 125 ล้านดอลลาร์ของนักลงทุนอยู่ เขาปรึกษากับ Marsha เกี่ยวกับปัญหาของการบริหารจัดการหุ้นใน Portfolio ของเขา โดย John คิดว่าที่ผ่านมาผลตอบแทนจาก portfolio ที่เขาดูแลอยู่นั้นมักจะใกล้เคียงกับอัตราผลตอบแทนของตลาดและอิงจากกราฟ S&P 500 market index ที่จัดทำขึ้น เขาจึงรู้สึกว่าการบริหารของเขาอ้างอิงแต่กับตัวเลขของตลาดมากเกินไป เขาอยากจะบริหารจัดการ portfolio เสียใหม่ให้มีความเป็นตัวของตัวเองมากขึ้น และได้รับผลตอบแทนที่สูงขึ้นกว่าอัตราผลตอบแทนของตลาด เพื่อทำให้การทำงานของเขามีประโยชน์ต่อลูกค้ามากขึ้น โดยเขาเลือกบริษัทที่ราคาตลาดของหุ้นต่ำกว่ามูลค่าที่ประเมินได้ (Undervalued) และที่ราคาตลาดของหุ้นสูงกว่ามูลค่าหุ้นที่ประเมินได้ (Overvalued) ามาส่วนหนึ่ง โดยบริษัทที่เขาคาดว่าน่าจะมีมูลค่า Undervalued และสมควรซื้อมากคือบริษัท Pioneer Gypsum และหุ้นของ Global mining นั้น Overvalued จึงไม่สมควรซื้อโดยข้อมูลต่างๆของทั้ง2บริษัทที่เขาหามาได้มีค่าตามตารางนี้ ...
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...Tradeoff,” “Diversification,” “Dollar Cost Averaging,” “Asset Allocation,” “Random Walk Theory,” “Efficient Market Hypothesis,” “The Optimal Portfolio,” and “Capital Asset Pricing Model” (Investopedia, 2010, p. 1-8). The Risk/Return Tradeoff concept is also known by another name. This name is “the ability-to-sleep-at-night-test.” Although some individuals can deal with the ups and downs of the financial market, some fear that they may fall off the ladder. With this, the investment’s risk will come into play. The company needs to decide how much risk will be necessary for them to be comfortable with their investments. The definition of risk in the investing world is the chance that in point of fact the return on the investment will be different from expected. Standard Deviation in statistics is the measurement used in this instant. In other words, risk means that there is a possibility of losing part or all of the original investment. So if this is the meaning of risk, then risk/return tradeoff means that there must be a balance between the lowest of risk and the highest of return (Investopedia, 2010). Diversification is another concept that the business uses. This is a technique that is used to mix a wide variety of investments that can be found in a portfolio to minimize the impact that any of the securities that can be found in a portfolio will have on the performance of that same investment....
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...if you buy stock for x amount of money, at a later time all the money that you have received is your return realized and is the real cash flow of the stock realized return ,also in a different view on the realized return components , Problem ,Plan Execute ,Evaluate . Question 2 Contrast systematic and unsystematic risk. On this is a very simple meaning a stock is purchase some of this are well plan in the monetary gain to have during a period of time and is systematically selected and planed of, what is expected and the risk that will balance a common risk that is acceptable, on the other hand the unsystematic risk it fluctuate more and its return as well too and can not be accurately calculated only to a point that the risk could be mayor then the systematically. UNDERSTANDING CONCEPTS STOCKS RISK 4 Question 3 Explain why the total risk of a portfolio is not simply equal to the weighted average of the risks of securities in the portfolio. On this I will explain with an example you have two groups of stock that 40% is firm A and 60% is B both have different return to a complete total of 100% in a relation to wish one is 60 % or 40 %, it will carry a weight and the combination of both and the average of risk that is in the two different firm create a risk to that portfolio just like and individual and unique portfolio be.just because...
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...price- $36.29 52 week range - $30.82-36.90 Expenses – 0.5% Management fees 0.38% Other expenses – 0.12% Type of Fund: open-ended fund. Class R shares are generally available only to retirement plans. Class R-5 are generally available only to fee-based programs or through retirement plan intermediaries. No dealer compensation is paid from fund assets on sales of Class R-5 or R-6 shares. I like that the expenses are low. It is a lower risk fund. Although it is a growth fund, it doesn’t seem to fluctuate that much. American Funds Capital World G/I R5 (RWIFX) 36.29 0.08(0.22%) Nov 27 Add to Portfolio Risk as of Oct 30, 2012 Get Risk for: Risk Overview Morningstar Risk Rating: 3 Number of Years Up 7 Number of Years Down 2 Best 1 Yr Total Return(Dec 30, 2003): 39.47% Worst 1 Yr Total Return(Dec 30, 2008): -38.21% Risk (Modern Portfolio Theory) Statistics 3 Years Statistic RWIFX Category Alpha (against Standard Index) 4.13 5.19 Beta (against Standard Index) 0.87 0.85 Mean Annual Return 0.68 0.76 R-squared (against Standard Index) 95.16 86.55 Standard Deviation 17.40 17.88 Sharpe Ratio 0.47 0.53 Treynor Ratio 7.89 10.04 5 Years Statistic RWIFX Category Alpha (against Standard Index) 2.91 2.36 Beta (against Standard Index) 0.87 0.89 Mean Annual Return 0.02 -0.03 R-squared (against Standard Index) 96.30 89.30 Standard Deviation 20.80 22.04...
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...Modern Portfolio Theory in the Modern Economy: MPT During the Credit Crisis 0f 2008 Abstract There are various theories of risk and return as it pertains to measuring and predicting investment return in a portfolio- one of the oldest and most prominent being Modern Portfolio Theory .An example of a hypothetical portfolio utilizing the principles of MPT invested during the credit crisis of late 2008/early 2009 will be utilized in part. In direct application, does Modern Portfolio theory hold strong during a major financial crisis? Past research will be compared to present the mechanics and applications of MPT order to answer the questions poised and to create hypothetical portfolios based on past fund performance during the time period of 2007 -2010. It is expected that a portfolio using MPT would not have performed significantly better than any other less diversified investment. Contents Introduction……………………………………..........................................................................4-7 Credit Crisis Thesis Statement Modern Portfolio Defined Prior Research Prediction Method…………………………………………………….........................................................8-9 Parameters/ Source of Portfolios Results……………………………………………………......................................................10-19 A. Application/ graphs Conclusion…………………………………………...............………………………............19-20 Restatement of Thesis Discussion of Results Limitations Recommendation References……………………………………………………………………...
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