...“We are one of the world’s oldest civilizations and one of the youngest nations. Our country’s demographic profile has undergone a major evolution. Now, there is a preponderance of youth. This is a decisive factor in determining our nation’s destiny. .The magic wand is India's people power. The world’s most populous nation, which has built its economic strength on seemingly endless supplies of cheap labor, . The demographic dividend, projects the median age of India’s population as a whole to be 27.5, significantly lower than that of regional peers China and Japan, at 37.6 and 44.4, respectively. For our nation, this opens up as an opportunity for consumer as well as investment boom. China's 1.3 billion populations comprises of just 19% of people below 15. It's regional peer Japan working population accounts for 63% and just 13% to fill the gap in the following couple of decades. France with 65% and US with 67% in the workforce, are soon going to face manpower shortages. And as we all have read in Geography the last year, India is bucking the trend with a growing youth population. Currently 60 percent of India's 1.2 billion people are under age 30. Its working-age population, between 15 and 64, will grow nearly 18 percent by 2020, compared with only 0.3 percent growth for China. With world's graying population, India's huge youth demographics have an edge. Economic prosperity depends crucially on the size and quality of the workforce. The combination of possible...
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...WORKING P A P E R Demographic Trends, Policy Influences, and Economic Effects in China and India Through 2025 JULIE DAVANZO, HARUN DOGO, AND CLIFFORD A. GRAMMICH WR-849 April 2011 This product is part of the RAND National Security Research Division working paper series. RAND working papers are intended to share researchers’ latest findings and to solicit informal peer review. They have been approved for circulation by RAND National Security Research Division but have not been formally edited or peer reviewed. Unless otherwise indicated, working papers can be quoted and cited without permission of the author, provided the source is clearly referred to as a working paper. RAND’s publications do not necessarily reflect the opinions of its research clients and sponsors. is a registered trademark. Preface In this paper we compare the recent and likely future demographic situations in China and India and their implications. This is a background paper for the chapter, “Population Trends in China and India: Demographic Dividend or Demographic Drag?. in the RAND report, China And India, 2025: A Comparative Assessment, MG-1009OSD, by Charles Wolf, Jr., Siddhartha Dalal, Julie DaVanzo, Eric V. Larson, Alisher R. Akhmedjonov, Harun Dogo, Meilinda Huang, and Silvia Montoya, and contains some of material referenced therein. The RAND report was done under the sponsorship of the Office of Net Assessment with the objective of understanding how China and India will compare to one...
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...Aging receives funding from the National Institute on Aging, Grant No. 1 P30 AG024409-06. 1 Population Dynamics in India and Implications for Economic Growth1 David E. Bloom Harvard School of Public Health January 2011 Keywords: Age structure China-India comparison Conditional convergence Demographic dividend Demographic transition Economic growth Economic growth in India Policy reform Population health Population of India Abstract Demographic change in India is opening up new economic opportunities. As in many countries, declining infant and child mortality helped to spark lower fertility, effectively resulting in a temporary baby boom. As this cohort moves into working ages, India finds itself with a potentially higher share of workers as compared with dependents. If working-age people can be productively employed, India’s economic growth stands to accelerate. Theoretical and empirical literature on the effect of demographics on labor supply, savings, and economic growth underpins this effort to understand and forecast economic growth in India. Policy choices can potentiate India’s realization of economic benefits stemming from demographic change. Failure to take advantage of the opportunities inherent in demographic change can lead to economic stagnation. 1 This chapter has been prepared for The Handbook of the Indian Economy (Chetan Ghate, Ed., Oxford University Press, forthcoming 2011). An earlier version of this chapter was presented at...
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...2010 India and China: A study in comparison [pic] Neetika Chakraborty Roll number-818 Economics (H) Third Year Acknowledgment I would like to thank my third year teachers- Ms. Nandini Kumar and Mrs. Meeta Kumar for their superior reaching capabilities and constant support. They have always been there to answer every query and help me out with research material whenever I required it. This project would not have been possible without them. This project would also not have been possible without the vast amount of data which was made available through the database of the reserve bank of India and the central bank of the Republic of China. Furthermore, I am indebted to the huge quantity of information available on the internet which was an important part of my initial research. INDEX 1. Introduction 2. Political Evolution ❖ China ❖ India ❖ Drawing a comparison 3. International Trade ❖ China ❖ India ❖ Bilateral trade between India and China 4. Population Trends ❖ Drawing a comparison 5. Conclusion 6. Bibliography Introduction China’s and India’s rapid growth and economic policies, as well as their role in International trade and capital markets, have generated a large amount of interest and research. Much of the attention focuses on their growth prospects and on their faculty to influence global governance. Two salient characteristics of China and India are...
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...Management March 28-30, 2011 India’s Demographic Dividend - Issues and Challenges Arun Ingle P B Suryawanshi inglearun@gmail.com pbsurya@gmail.com Pad. Dr. Vitthalrao Vikhe Patil Foundation’s Institute of Business Management and Rural Development, Ahmednagar 1. Introduction India is transforming demographically, in which the population of a nation slows down and life expectancy increases, participation of women in labor force and rate of saving increases. India has its own issues like illiteracy, income disparity, gap between haves and have-nots; etc. This study explores demographic dividend in case of India by studying issues and challenges, the policies to be implemented and lessons to be learned from countries like Japan, Ireland and Thailand. By 2025, India will have over 65% population under working class. This is a unique window of opportunity for deploying resources. This study explores the benefits to be realized and the policies to be implemented; now India is well poised for becoming a super economic power. As all developed nations will have older population by 2026, as their population is aging. It means if India can take the advantage of this situation, by proper deployment of resources, by converting the human potential in to engine of economic growth. This period of demographic dividend is an opportunity for overall growth; it’s not the guarantee for improving the standard of living. This window of opportunity demands from youth, the right skills and aptitude...
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...Shefali Sharma FY-25 MBA Final Year AUD Book Review We are like that only: Understanding the Logic of Consumer India By Shefali Sharma We are like that only is a book which is trying to analyze the buying behavior of Indian consumers. This book is written by Rama Bijapurkar who is one of India’s most respected thought leaders and has a rich and varied experience in business strategy, consulting and market research and has worked with McKinsey & Company, MARG Marketing and Research Group and as a full-time consultant with Hindustan Lever Ltd. This book is divided into several chapters and each one of them is reviewed subsequently: The first chapter is named as ‘made for India’, which talks about India’s movement towards market capitalization. It focuses on how the socialist model failed before 1991 and led to a steep decline in the GDP, and as a result India opened its doors for privatization and globalization. Before 1991, the consumer in India did not welcome the global products because of the boycott movement and Gandhi’s philosophy of self reliance. Rama says that the nature of emerging markets is fundamentally different as they are large in their total size but small in terms of per capita income. The book mentions that the emerging markets need not be virgin markets as many home grown options might already be available and which have the capacity to impose tough competition to global products, for example the local markets such as Sarojini Nagar and Lajpat Nagar...
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...export markets, there are some clear challenges accompanying the opportunities in greener vehicles and alternative mobility. The shooting upward trend of price of fuel, pollution and purchasing power of the people the Indian automobile industry look to create a segment of consumer that has demand for the “GREEN VEHICLES” that are more fuel efficient, less CO2 emission and low operating cost or can run on alternate fuel. KEYWORDS: Green vehicles, Alternate fuel, Hybrid cars, Eco-friendly, CNG/LPG vehicles, E-mobility INTRODUCTION Demographically and economically, India’s automotive industry is well-positioned for growth, servicing both domestic demand and, increasingly, export opportunities. A predicted increase in India’s working-age population is likely to help stimulate the burgeoning market for private vehicles. Rising prosperity, easier access to finance and increasing affordability is expected to see four-wheelers gaining volumes, although two wheelers will remain the primary choice for the majority of purchasers, buoyed by greater appetite from rural areas, the youth market and women. Domestically, some consolidation or alliances might be expected, driven by the need for access to better technology, manufacturing facilities, service and distribution networks. The components sector is in a strong position to cash-in on India’s...
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...URBANISATION IN INDIA: A DEMOGRAPHIC REAPPRAISAL R. B. Bhagat Department of Geography Maharshi Dayanand University Rohtak-124001, India Introduction: The United Nations estimates indicate that at mid 1990s, about 43 per cent of the world population lived in urban areas. With the urban population growing two and a half times faster than its rural counterpart, the level of urbanisation is projected to cross the 50 per cent mark in 2005. United Nations projections further show that by 2025, more than three- fifth of the world population will live in urban areas (U. N. 1993). The growth rate of urban population of developing regions has been declining recently. It was estimated to be 3.9 per cent per annum during 1980-85, which declined to 3.79 per cent per annum during 1980-85, 3.62, and 3.43 during 199095 and 1995-2000 respectively. The decline in the rate of urbanisation is also continuing in developed regions of the world. As a result, some of the European countries have experienced negative urbanisation during 80s ( U. N. 1993 ). However, the continued absence, namely, adequate data on rural to urban migration in most developing countries as well as on natural increase in rural and urban areas separately precludes attribution of the slowing down of urban growth in most of the countries to any single demographic process. It reflects the effects the host of factors like the relatively week expansion of urban industries and price shifts unfavourable to manufactured goods, population...
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...HRM in India Summary ------------------------------------------------- India is being widely recognised as one of the most exciting emerging economics in the world. Besides becoming a global hub of outsourcing, Indian firms are spreading their wings globally through mergers and acquisitions. During the first four months of 1997, Indian companies have bought 34 foreign companies for about U.S. $11 billion dollars. This impressive development has been due to a growth in inputs (capital and labour) as well as factor productivity. By the year 2020, India is expected to add about 250 million to its labour pool at the rate of about 18 million a year, which is more than the entire labour force of Germany. This so called ‘demographic dividend’ has drawn a new interest in the Human Resource concepts and practices in India. This paper traces notable evidence of economic organisations and managerial ideas from ancient Indian sources with enduring traditions and considers them in the context of contemporary challenges. Intriduction Over many centuries India has absorbed managerial ideas and practices from around the world. Early records of trade, from 4500 B.C. to 300 B.C., not only indicate international economic and political links, but also the ideas of social and public administration. The world’s first management book, titled ‘Arlhãshastra’, written three millennium before Christ, codified many aspects of human resource practices in Ancient India. This treatise presented notions...
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...VODAFONE Vodafone Group is a global telecommunications company headquartered in London, United Kingdom It is the world's largest mobile telecommunications company measured by revenues and the world's second-largest measured by subscribers (behind China Mobile), with around 332 million proportionate subscribers as of 30 September 2010. It operates networks in over 30 countries and has partner networks in over 40 additional countries. It owns 45% of Verizon Wireless, the largest mobile telecommunications company in the United States measured by subscribers. The name Vodafone comes from voice data fone, chosen by the company to "reflect the provision of voice and data services over mobile phones". Its primary listing is on the London Stock Exchange and it is a constituent of the FTSE 100 Index. It had a market capitalisation of approximately £92 billion as of November 2010, making it the third largest company on the London Stock Exchange. It has a secondary listing on NASDAQ. Vodafone have come a long way since making the first ever mobile call on 1 January 1985. Today, more than 359 million customers around the world choose vodafone to look after their communications needs. In 25 years, a small mobile operator in Newbury has grown into a global business and the seventh most valuable brand in the world. Vodafone now operate in more than 30 countries and partner with networks in over 40 more. In an increasingly connected world, it’s no longer just about being able to talk...
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...hills filled with people, except for the south coastal area and the vast northern lowlands of Petén department. Two mountain chains enter Guatemala from west to east, dividing the country into three major regions: the highlands, where the mountains are located; the Pacific coast, south of the mountains; and the Petén region, north of the mountains. All major cities are located in the highlands and Pacific coast regions; by comparison, Petén is sparsely populated. These three regions vary in climate, elevation, and landscape, providing dramatic contrasts between hot and humid tropical lowlands and colder and drier highland peaks. Volcán Tajumulco, at 4,220 meters, is the highest point in the Central American states. Demographics Guatemala is a country of youth; 70% of its population is less than thirty years old. The capital city, Guatemala, is located in the geographical heart of the country and is home to an average of 4.5 million inhabitants. Compared to other countries in the Central American region, Guatemala has the largest productive population percentage, by age group, and according to the projections by CELADE, by the year 2020, Guatemala will have the largest number of inhabitants in the productive...
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...economy. Then, following the East Asian crisis of the late 1990s, and from the first years of the first decade of the 21st century there was no looking back. India’s exports began to climb, its foreign exchange reserves, which for decades had hovered around 5 billion dollars, rose exponentially after the economic reforms and in little more than a decade had risen to 300 billion dollars. Indian corporations that rarely ventured out of India were suddenly investing all over the world and even in some industrialized countries. When, in 2009, the Group of 20 (G-20) was raised to the level of a forum for leaders, India was a significant member of this global policy group. 14.2 The globalization of India has given rise to new opportunities but it has also brought with it new challenges and responsibilities. It means that the global economy can no longer be viewed from a spectator’s standpoint. What happens there has large implications for India. Every time there is a major financial crisis anywhere in the world, there is need to take brace position. And, in turn, the rise and fall of India’s growth rate has an impact on global growth and there is need for India to take this responsibility seriously. This chapter, a new addition to the Economic Survey, is a recognition of this fact. It examines the state of the global economy and India’s position therein. It analyses the current global slowdown and eurozone crisis, what this means for India and the policy challenges that these international...
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...up after a rather sedate previous two years, when the 2W industry volumes had shrunk by 5% in 2007-08 and had grown by a mere 5% in 2008-09. In addition to the contribution of pent-up demand, the 2W industry growth over the last two years has been supported strongly by various underlying factors including India’s rising per capita GDP, increasing rural demand, growing urbanization, swelling replacement demand, increasing proportion of cash sales and the less measurable metric of improved consumer sentiment. Going forward, ICRA expects the 2W industry to report a volume CAGR of 10-12% over the next five years to reach a size of ~21-23 million units by 2015-16 as it views the fundamental growth drivers comprising of expected steady GDP growth, moderate 2W penetration levels, favourable demographic profile, under developed public transport system and utility quotient of a 2W - to be intact. Additionally, the entry of new players in the industry, multitude of new model/ variant launches, growing distribution reach, cheaper ownership costs on a relative basis are expected to be some of the other prime movers for industry growth over the medium term. In ICRA’s view, while the trend in rising commodity prices, hardening interest rates and increasing fuel costs may lead to some moderation in industry...
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...of the textile industry represents the mills. It could be a spinning mill or a composite mill. Composite mill is one where the spinning, weaving and processing facilities are carried out under one roof. The decentralized sector is engaged mainly in the weaving activity, which makes it heavily dependent on the organized sector for their yarn requirements. This decentralized sector is comprised of the three major segments viz., powerloom, handloom and hosiery. In addition to the above, there are readymade garments, khadi as well as carpet manufacturing units in the decentralized sector. The Indian Textile Industry has an overwhelming presence in the economic life of the country. It is the second largest textile industry in the world after China. Apart from providing one of the basic necessities of life i.e. cloth, the textile industry contributes about 14% to the country's industrial output and about 17% to export earnings. After agriculture this industry provides employment to maximum number of people in India employing 35 million people. Besides, another 50 million people are engaged in allied activities. India is the largest producer of Jute, the 2nd largest producer of Silk, the 3rd largest producer of Cotton and...
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