...PLEKHANOV RUSSIAN UNIVERSITY OF ECONOMICS INTERNATIONAL BUSINESS SCHOOL COURSE WORK « Business Valuation on the basis of Damodaran model » Corporate Finance Student: Pavel Terefera Supervisor: Irina Sokolnikova Moscow 2015 Contents Introduction _____________________________________________ 3 Chapter 1. Valuation______________________________________ 4 1.1 Valuation in portfolio management_________________________ 7 1.2 Valuation in acquisition__________________________________ 10 1.3 Valuation in corporate finance_____________________________ 10 Chapter 2. Approaches to Valuation___________________________ 11 2.1 Profitable Approach_____________________________________ 12 2.1.2 Income capitalization approach __________________________ 12 2.1.3Method of discounted cash flows__________________________ 14 2.1.4 Discounted Cash Flow Valuation on example of JSC NLMK____ 20 2.2 Relative Valuation Approach______________________________ 23 Conclusion _______________________________________________ 28 Bibliography ______________________________________________ 29 Introduction. Knowing the value of an asset may not be a guarantee for success for investor, but it does help us make more informed judgments. A postulate of sound investing is that an investor does not pay more for an asset than its worth. In conditions of market economy when all transactions are made "on fear and risk" their participants, both seller...
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...Debt and Value: Beyond MillerModigliani Aswath Damodaran Stern School of Business Aswath Damodaran 1 The fundamental question: Does the mix of debt and equity affect the value of a business? Assets Existing Investments Generate cashflows today Includes long lived (fixed) and short-lived(working capital) assets Expected Value that will be created by future investments Assets in Place Debt Liabilities Fixed Claim on cash flows Little or No role in management Fixed Maturity Tax Deductible Growth Assets Equity Residual Claim on cash flows Significant Role in management Perpetual Lives Different Value? Different Financing Mix? Aswath Damodaran 2 Approaches to Valuation Discounted cashflow valuation, relates the value of an asset to the present value of expected future cashflows on that asset. Relative valuation, estimates the value of an asset by looking at the pricing of 'comparable' assets relative to a common variable like earnings, cashflows, book value or sales. Contingent claim valuation, uses option pricing models to measure the value of assets that share option characteristics. Aswath Damodaran 3 Valuation Models Asset Based Valuation Discounted Cashflow Models Relative Valuation Contingent Claim Models Liquidation Value Stable Replacement Cost Two-stage Three-stage or n-stage Current Equity Firm Sector Option to delay Option to expand Young firms Option to liquidate Equity in...
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...Valuation Fundamentals Table of Contents www.finaticsonline.com Table of Contents > > > > > Introduction – Concept of Fair Value – Who uses Valuation? Valuation & Wealth Maximization Valuation Approaches Valuation Methods Is there a ‘Best’ method? > > Which method is best suited ? – Public vs Private Company – By Scenario – By Sector Valuation FAQs – General – DCF – Comparables Press Alt, W, F for maximizing viewing area Equity Valuation Fundamentals Introduction – Concept of Fair Value www.finaticsonline.com At Finatics, we define Equity Valuation as “A process that involves determining „Fair Value‟ of a company‟s equity in order to assist buy/sell decisions for the purpose of Financial or Strategic Investment ” So what is Fair Value of an investment? How should the worth of an Investment be determined ? …(Contd) Put Simply, Fair Value is the price at which, one will get the desired rate of return when the investment is sold to a willing & able buyer. The worth of an investment is determined by whether it is meant for long term use to generate returns (i.e. Strategic Investment) or for resale when the „right price‟ or „fair value‟ is achieved (Financial Investment). The purpose of Valuation is to determine a fair value range of an investment (or capital asset) using one or more of several available techniques As discussed, investment related demand will be driven by expected return resulting...
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...Moniruzzaman bhuiyan ID: Co265MHMH0813 Submitted to S.A. Palan Financial Markets and Investment Analysis PD Limited Financial Markets and Investment Analysis Task 1 question answer Introduction For any economy stock market is the heart, the entire economy depends on this market. Normally what do we understand by market? Market is a place where some people buy and some people sell their goods, same thing happen in stock market. In any country or economy there is few people who have innovative idea and passion to take risk but no money, on the other hand there is few people who have money but don’t have the passion to do something. Stock market is the place where this two type people meet and utilize each other. Tens of millions of people look in to stock market to get a comfortable retirement and central bankers watch it closely as they set monetary policy. (Smith, 2004) Now we will try to answer and explain these 3 question bellow….. The ownership of shares is increasingly in the hands of institutions rather than individuals. Does this matter? Shares around the world are increasingly owned by institutions rather than individual. In the UK, over 80% of all shares are estimated to be owned by institution such as pension funds, unit trusts...
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...researcher will try to analyze about the past, current, and future financial condition and make a valuation about firm’s value of two companies that dominate the mining sector of industry in Indonesia which are PT Aneka Tambang (Persero) Tbk (ANTAM) and PT Vale Indonesia Tbk, formerly PT International Nickel Indonesia Tbk (VALE). To assess the financial performance of PT Aneka Tambang (Persero) Tbk, researcher will use several methods which are time-series analysis (Compound Annual Growth Rate), cross-section analysis, common-size analysis, and DuPont Analysis (ROA and ROE). Then make a valuation of the firm’s value using three valuation approach which are asset based method, market approach, and income approach better known as discounted cash flow approach. Based on the results, ANTAM has better performance in their net working capital through total current assets, current liabilities, retained earnings, and share capital. Nevertheless, VALE has good capability in attract the investors and controlling their non-current assets, non-current liabilities, and additional paid in capital. In overall, ANTAM has better financial performance than VALE in terms of CAGR comparison, cross-section analysis, and DuPont system of analysis. Whereas, both of ANTAM and VALE had been experienced a not significant difference in terms of financial ratios and common-size financial statements. The valuation both of PT Aneka Tambang (Persero) Tbk and PT Vale Indonesia Tbk used three approaches. The asset...
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...Valuation of Metals and Mining Companies Author: Svetlana Baurens E-Mail: baurens@basinvest.ch Date: 7.11.2010 In collaboration with the University of Zürich, Swiss Banking Institute and Prof. Dr. T. Hens Contents 1. Introduction ...............................................................................................................7 1.1. Motivation .......................................................................................................7 1.2. Structure ..........................................................................................................7 1.3. Definition of terms .........................................................................................8 2. Valuation models in mining and metals industry ................................................12 2.1. Special features of metals and mining companies ........................................12 2.2. Classification of valuation models ................................................................15 2.3. Resource & Reserve .....................................................................................17 3. Valuation of Explorations properties ...................................................................20 3.1. Appraised Value Method (Cost Approach) ...................................................23 3.2. Comparable Transactions (Market Approach) ..............................................24 4. Cycle importance in valuation of metals and mining companies...
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...in DCF Models Do You Use Economically Sound and Transparent Models? Discounted cash flow analysis is the most accurate and flexible method for valuing projects, divisions, and companies. Any analysis, however, is only as accurate as the forecasts it relies on. Errors in estimating the key ingredients of corporate value . . . can lead to mistakes in valuation. Tim Koller, Marc Goedhart, and David Wessels Valuation: Measuring and Managing the Value of Companies 1 A Return to First Principles mmauboussin@lmfunds.com Say you had to come up with a fair offer to buy your local dry cleaner and the seller limited the extent of your financial information to the answers to five questions. Which questions would you ask? Chances are you wouldn’t ask how the quarter is progressing or about last year’s earnings, but you would focus on the prospects for cash coming in versus cash going out over time. Sole proprietors understand intimately that the value of their business hinges on the cash flow the business generates. No distributable cash, no value. Cash puts food on the table and pays the mortgage; earnings do not. Equity investors are business buyers. While most shareholders own only a small fraction of a company, they are owners nonetheless. The source of shareholder value, and value changes, is no different than the sole proprietor’s: it’s all about the cash. Most investors don’t think this way. In part, this is because market exchanges readily allow investors to trade cash today...
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...(million VND) EPS (VND) ROE (%) 2011 64,224,500 11,858,894 64,224,500 2,285 28% 2012 68,301,359 15,940,112 68,301,359 5,167 40% 2013 65,399,686 18,434,982 65,399,686 6,478 42% 2014F 72,593,651 20,914,231 13,140,492 6,934 32.20% 117,209,709 142,995,845 33,768,117 21,347,273 11,265 27.37% 41,197,103 26,090,435 13,768 26.51% Key Market Data Listed on HOSE Ticker GAS Industry Oil and Gas 52 Week high 122,300 (VND) 52 Week low 61,300 (VND) Previous close 68,000 (VND) Market Cap. 128,860,000 (million VND) Outstanding 1,895,000,000 shares (units) Source: Student estimates Highlights We estimate PV Gas (GAS) as “HOLD” with target price of VND 79,512, expected higher than its current price 16.9%, VND 68,000. Three-stage discounted cash flows model is employed and the result is confirmed again with P/E analysis. Operation under control of government as a monopoly in gas industry: PV Gas is the only trader in dry gas market and accounted for 70% national LPG market. Restructuring period 2011-2015 strategies: PV Gas has focused more on the core businesses: gathering, importing, transporting, storing, processing, distributing and trading of gas and its products. The decrease in sales since 2011 due to the decline in demand of monopoly EVN: Sales of dry gas depends on the weather. In the rainy reason, EVN prefers hydroelectric rather than gas....
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...For the exclusive use of L. Wang, 2016. W12453 FACEBOOK, INC: THE INITIAL PUBLIC OFFERING (A) 1 Ken Mark wrote this case under the supervision of Professors Deborah Compeau, Craig Dunbar and Michael R. King solely to provide material for class discussion. The authors do not intend to illustrate either effective or ineffective handling of a managerial situation. The authors may have disguised certain names and other identifying information to protect confidentiality. This publication may not be transmitted, photocopied, digitized or otherwise reproduced in any form or by any means without the permission of the copyright holder. Reproduction of this material is not covered under authorization by any reproduction rights organization. To order copies or request permission to reproduce materials, contact Ivey Publishing, Ivey Business School, Western University, London, Ontario, Canada, N6G 0N1; (t) 519.661.3208; (e) cases@ivey.ca; www.iveycases.com. Copyright © 2012, Richard Ivey School of Business Foundation Version: 2014-03-13 INTRODUCTION “The entire market is waiting for the emergence of Facebook as a publicly traded company,” said Jonathan McNeil, lead analyst at CXTechnology Fund (CXT), as he spoke to the fund’s investment committee on May 16, 2012. The highly anticipated pricing of the Facebook initial public offering (IPO) was underway, and in three hours, McNeil was scheduled to provide the lead underwriter, Morgan Stanley, with CXT’s final indication...
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...Investment Banking Valuation, Leveraged Buyouts, and Mergers & Acquisitions JOSHUA ROSENBAUM JOSHUA PEARL FOREWORD BY JOSEPH R. PERELLA Investment Banking Founded in 1807, John Wiley & Sons is the oldest independent publishing company in the United States. With offices in North America, Europe, Australia, and Asia, Wiley is globally committed to developing and marketing print and electronic products and services for our customers’ professional and personal knowledge and understanding. The Wiley Finance series contains books written specifically for finance and investment professionals as well as sophisticated individual investors and their financial advisors. Book topics range from portfolio management to e-commerce, risk management, financial engineering, valuation, and financial instrument analysis, as well as much more. For a list of available titles, please visit our Web site at www.WileyFinance.com. Investment Banking Valuation, Leveraged Buyouts, and Mergers & Acquisitions JOSHUA ROSENBAUM JOSHUA PEARL John Wiley & Sons, Inc. Copyright C 2009 by Joshua Rosenbaum and Joshua Pearl. All rights reserved. Published by John Wiley & Sons, Inc., Hoboken, New Jersey. Published simultaneously in Canada. No part of this publication may be reproduced, stored in a retrieval system, or transmitted in any form or by any means, electronic, mechanical, photocopying, recording, scanning, or otherwise, except as permitted under Section 107 or 108 of the 1976...
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...Venture Capital Funding Proposal Venture Capital Funding Proposal 08 Fall 08 Fall EXECUTIVE SUMMARY Mobileye N.V. is a growing competitor in the Advanced Driver Assistance Systems (ADAS) industry. Mobileye is the successful developer of the EyeQ software on a low cost, automotive standards chip that allows for real time interpretation of data on visual surroundings, assisting drivers in prevention of collisions and identification of threats. The single camera system and strong relationship that Mobileye maintains with currently 18 original equipment manufacturers (OEMs) means the product is low cost, but still maintains quality and effectiveness. Mobileye being the developer of its flagship product, the EyeQ, with primary costs to production being the purchase of microchips on which the software is reproduced, means that cost of revenues is low, output is highly scalable and so Mobileye is capable of devoting substantial portions of future earnings to further research, improving existing products and gaining further growth through introduction of other ADAS products. This suggests extremely positive growth potential for Mobileye over the medium term. The ADAS market in which Mobileye operates shows a potential compound annual growth rate of more than 50% until 2018 (vli Ltd, 2014). This expected growth is attributed to several strong factors. Firstly, rapid technological progress has substantially lowered costs to production, meaning a much broader market of vehicles...
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...Companies Aswath Damodaran Stern School of Business, New York University September 2009 Ups and Downs: Valuing Cyclical and Commodity Companies Abstract Cyclical and commodity companies share a common feature, insofar as their value is often more dependent on the movement of a macro variable (the commodity price or the growth in the underlying economy) than it is on firm specific characteristics. Thus, the value of an oil company is inextricably linked to the price of oil just as the value of a cyclical company is tied to how well the economy is doing. Since both commodity prices and economies move in cycles, the biggest problem we face in valuing companies tied to either is that the earnings and cash flows reported in the most recent year are a function of where we are in the cycle, and extrapolating those numbers into the future can result in serious misvaluations. In this paper, we look at the consequences of this dependence on cycles and how best to value companies that are exposed to this problem. Uncertainty and volatility are endemic to valuation, but cyclical and commodity companies have volatility thrust upon them by external factors – the ups and downs of the economy with cyclical companies, and movements in commodity prices with commodity companies. As a consequence, even mature cyclical and commodity companies have volatile earnings and cash flows. When valuing these companies, the danger of focusing on the most recent fiscal year is that the resulting valuation will...
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...Aswath Damodaran INVESTMENT VALUATION: SECOND EDITION Chapter 1: Introduction to Valuation Chapter 2: Approaches to Valuation Chapter 3: Understanding Financial Statements Chapter 4: The Basics of Risk Chapter 5: Option Pricing Theory and Models Chapter 6: Market Efficiency: Theory and Models Chapter 7: Riskless Rates and Risk Premiums Chapter 8: Estimating Risk Parameters and Costs of Financing Chapter 9: Measuring Earnings Chapter 10: From Earnings to Cash Flows Chapter 11: Estimating Growth Chapter 12: Closure in Valuation: Estimating Terminal Value Chapter 13: Dividend Discount Models Chapter 14: Free Cashflow to Equity Models Chapter 15: Firm Valuation: Cost of Capital and APV Approaches Chapter 16: Estimating Equity Value Per Share Chapter 17: Fundamental Principles of Relative Valuation Chapter 18: Earnings Multiples Chapter 19: Book Value Multiples Chapter 20: Revenue and Sector-Specific Multiples 3 16 37 81 121 152 211 246 311 341 373 425 450 487 533 593 637 659 718 760 Chapter 21: Valuing Financial Service Firms Chapter 22: Valuing Firms with Negative Earnings Chapter 23: Valuing Young and Start-up Firms Chapter 24: Valuing Private Firms Chapter 25: Acquisitions and Takeovers Chapter 26: Valuing Real Estate Chapter 27: Valuing Other Assets Chapter 28: The Option to Delay and Valuation Implications Chapter 29: The Option to Expand and Abandon: Valuation Implications Chapter 30: Valuing Equity in Distressed Firms Chapter 31: Value Enhancement: A Discounted Cashflow...
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...shareholders in the form of dividends, and whether it makes sense to merge with or acquire another firm. Balance Sheet Approach to Valuation If the role of management is to increase the shareholder value, then managers can make better decisions if they can predict the impact of those decisions on the firm's value. By observing the difference in the firm's equity value at different points in time, one can better evaluate the effectiveness of financial decisions. A rudimentary way of valuing the equity of a company is simply to take its balance sheet and subtract liabilities from assets to arrive at the equity value. However, this book value has little resemblance to the real value of the company. First, the assets are recorded at historical costs, which may be much greater than or much less their present market values. Second, assets such as patents, trademarks, loyal customers, and talented managers do not appear on the balance sheet but may have a significant impact on the firm's ability to generate future profits. So while the balance sheet method is simple, it is not accurate; there are better ways of accomplishing the task of valuation. Cash vs. Profits Another way to value the firm is to consider the future flow of cash. Since cash today is worth more than the same amount of cash tomorrow, a valuation model based on cash flow can discount the value of cash received in future years, thus providing a more accurate picture of the true impact of...
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...Powered by TCPDF (www.tcpdf.org) OLIN BUSINESS SCHOOL Summer 2015 Advanced Corporate Finance IIIFrontiers of Valuation B62 FIN 534C Professor Todd Milbourn B62 MGT 534C Advanced Corporate Finance III – Frontiers of Valuation Summer 2015 Professor Todd Milbourn The Olin Business School Table of Contents 1. Valmont Industries HBP Case # UVA-F-1191 ............................................................................... 1 2. Super Project HBP Case # 9-112-034 ........................................................................................... 21 3. Calaveras Vineyards HBP Case # UVA-F-1094 ........................................................................... 37 4. Paginas Amarelas HBP Case # UVA-F-1210 ............................................................................... 63 5. Using Crystal Ball HBP Case # UVA-QA-0561 .......................................................................... 89 6. Valuation in Emerging Markets HBP Case # UVA-F-1455 ......................................................... 95 7. Project Valuation in Emerging Markets HBP Case # 9-702-077 ............................................... 113 8. Valuing Companies in Corporate Restructurings HBP Case # 9-201-073 ................................. 131 UVA-F-1191 Rev. Feb. 1, 2011 VALMONT INDUSTRI V IES, INC. Forty years ago, we made our fi F m irst center p pivot irriga ation system It was m. es ssentially a long steel pipe...
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