...Abstract This paper would discuss the effect of external debt on economic growth with four areas, the effect on private local investment, foreign direct investment, government expenditure and export growth. Three theoretical models are adopted, namely Debt Overhang Theory, Liquidity Constraint Hypothesis and Crowding-out Effect respectively. Two policy implications on debt relief and debt restructuring are analyzed. And finally, the paper will include the discussion on the necessary tradeoff with inflation and contractionary fiscal budgeting after debt servicing. KEY Words: Heavily In-debt Poor Countries (HIPC), External Debt/Foreign Debt) Sustainability, Debt-GNI Ratio, Debt-Export Ratio, Debt Service Ratio Word count (excluding table of content, tables and reference): 2974 Topic: The Effect of External Public Debt in Developing Countries on Economic Growth - An Empirical Study on Argentina Abstract P.1 1. Introduction P.3 1.1 Literature Review P.4 1.2 Structure and Magnitude of External Debt of Argentina P.4 1.3 Theoretical Relationship between External Debt and Economic Growth P.6 1.4 Research Question(s) and Framework P.7 2. Data Collection and Empirical Analysis P.7 2.1 The effect of external public debt on: ...
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...present the Capital Asset Pricing Model (hence, CAPM), incorpo1 rating not only my own contributions but also the outstanding work of Lintner (1965, 1969) and the contributions of Mossin (1966) and others. My goal is to do so succinctly yet in a manner designed to emphasize the economic content of the theory. Following this, I modify the model to reflect an extreme case of an institutional arrangement that can preclude investors from choosing fully optimal portfolios. In particular, I assume that investors are unable to take negative positions in assets. For this version of the model I draw heavily from papers by Glenn (1976), Levy (1978), Merton (1987) and Markowitz (1987, 1990). Finally, I discuss the stock index futures contract - a major financial innovation of worldwide importance that postdates the development of the CAPM. Such contracts can increase the efficiency of capital markets in many ways. In particular, they can bring actual markets closer to the idealized world assumed by the Capital Asset Pricing Model. THE CAPITAL ASSET PRICING MODEL The initial version of the CAPM, developed over 25 years ago, was extremely parsimonious. It dealt with the central aspects of equilibrium in capital markets and assumed away many important aspects of such markets as they * I am particularly grateful for the detailed comments and suggestions on the contents of this lecture provided...
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...com/locate/jimf Living with the trilemma constraint: Relative trilemma policy divergence, crises, and output losses for developing countries Joshua Aizenman a, 1, Hiro Ito b, * a b University of Southern California and the NBER, University Park, Los Angeles, CA 90089-0043, USA Department of Economics, Portland State University, 1721 SW Broadway, Portland, OR 97201, USA a b s t r a c t JEL classification: F31 F36 F41 O24 Keywords: Impossible trinity International reserves Financial liberalization Financial crisis Exchange rate regime This paper investigates the potential impacts of the degree of divergence in open macroeconomic policies in the context of the trilemma hypothesis. Using an index that measures the relative policy divergence among the three trilemma policy choices, namely monetary independence, exchange rate stability, and financial openness, we find that emerging market countries have adopted trilemma policy combinations with the least degree of relative policy divergence in the last 15 years. We find that a developing or emerging market country with a higher degree of relative policy divergence is more likely to experience a currency or debt crisis. However, a developing or emerging market country with a higher degree of relative policy divergence tends to experience smaller output losses when it experiences a currency or banking crisis. Latin American crisis countries tended to reduce their financial integration in the aftermath of a crisis...
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...influences I’m basing my work on include, financial problems, peer pressure and social setting. The “change 4 life” campaign focuses on improving the health of both young children and adults. It promotes healthy eating through starter packs and online diet plans as well as encouraging participants to take part in excising. The change 4 life campaign is accessible online where those who visit can access a full range of information include 10 minute exercise suggestions, tips on how to cut down sugary food and alcohol intake and also gives advice on local activities happening within their area. The change 4 life campaign is advertised through the web, TV adverts, and leaflets and also through the National Health Service. Financial constraints can affect the health of individuals positively and negatively. Financial strain can affect the ability to shop for food that is more healthier as access to such shops is hard to come by, instead individuals may find it easier to access their local fast food restaurant as its cheaper but also for some people it’s just more convenient. The good thing about change for life is that its aimed at families who live on a budget the change 4 life campaign helps support those struggling financially but wishing to pursue a healthier lifestyle by offering vouchers which they can use to get discounts off fruit and vegetables which allows them to maintain the 5 a day rule. The positive effect of financial constraints means individuals are able to improve...
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...integrated, each member country focuses on the financial developments and economic growth, so that they can occupy one position in the modern competitive economic environment. Financial development involve lots of factors, including producing information about possible investments and allocating capital; monitoring the firm performance and corporate governance; trading, diversification, and management of risk; mobilization and pooling of savings; and easing the exchange of goods and service. Usually the financial development level is primarily determined by the local institutional quality, the extent of government police, geographic elements, native income level and cultural tradition. These factors formed the economic environment in which the banks and other financial firms to make decision for investment project and exogenous financing, furthermore, the customers decide whether consumption or saving, moreover, the financial intermediaries finance the fund in which approach from savers to borrowers. The well financial system can perfect the effect of information, enforcement and transaction cost on the saving rate, investment decision and technological innovation, and steady state growth rate. Financial market channel the fund to investment opportunities to get the profit, so if the financial system cannot work well, the economic growth also more or less affected. The essay mainly gives a brief introduction on the points of financial development and economic growth based on the...
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...(Thirlwall 1979) judged the classical approaches by using productivities and factor supplies to explain the different growth rate between countries that was not satisfactory. As the result, the differences could be explained by the constraints on demand; indeed, the balance of payment is the central constraint for an open economy. Then, the paper predicts that the growth rate can be examined by the relation between foreign countries’ rate of income expansion, which are the income elasticity of demand for export and the income elasticity of demand for imports (Grullon 2011). Moreover, the paper used developed countries as evidence to approximate the growth rate by using the balance of payment constraint growth model. The first argument of Thirlwall’s law lies on the constraint on demand instead of supply side, by explaining the differences in growth rate between countries. The paper (Thirlwall 1979) stated that under certain assumptions, a country’s growth rate is near to the rate of growth of export divided by the income elasticity of demand of import. More specifically, if a country has trading deficit, as it expands its demand. Yet, demand will reduce and supply will never in satisfactory. Then, the economy will suffer from the negative effect such as...
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...Marts, 2011 Line-item budgeting and film production – Exploring some benefits of constraints on creativity and aesthetic value creation Thomas Frandsen, Ivar Friis, and Allan Hansen*) Solbjerg Plads 3 2000 Frederiksberg Copenhagen Business School Denmark *) Corresponding author: ah.om@cbs.dk Early work – Please do not quote without the permission from the authors Paper to be presented at the workshop on Creativity and Control Sponsored by Accounting Organizations and Society 4–5 April 2011, Barcelona, Spain Abstract: This paper explores the role of budgeting in the Danish film industry and seeks to illustrate the positive effects a line-budget might have on the creativity and innovativeness in film production. In our analysis we provide illustrative examples of the enabling and facilitating role of budget constraints on film production from the Danish film industry in general as well as from a case study of the process of making the Danish film “The Island of Lost Souls” in particular. We draw on Elster (2000)’s constraint theory and suggest that the constraints imposed on agents by line-item budgeting under some circumstances lead to situations where ‘less is more’ as line-item budgeting might be used to focus creative behavior as well as pre-commit the agent against passion and time inconsistency. 1 I. Introduction The dysfunctional consequences of constraints imposed by budgets on agents dealing with uncertain, complex or dynamic organizational...
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...Stops, Financial Crises, and Leverage Author(s): Enrique G. Mendoza Reviewed work(s): Source: The American Economic Review, Vol. 100, No. 5 (DECEMBER 2010), pp. 1941-1966 Published by: American Economic Association Stable URL: http://www.jstor.org/stable/41038751 . Accessed: 04/03/2013 15:09 Your use of the JSTOR archive indicates your acceptance of the Terms & Conditions of Use, available at . http://www.jstor.org/page/info/about/policies/terms.jsp . JSTOR is a not-for-profit service that helps scholars, researchers, and students discover, use, and build upon a wide range of content in a trusted digital archive. We use information technology and tools to increase productivity and facilitate new forms of scholarship. For more information about JSTOR, please contact support@jstor.org. . American Economic Association is collaborating with JSTOR to digitize, preserve and extend access to The American Economic Review. http://www.jstor.org This content downloaded on Mon, 4 Mar 2013 15:09:41 PM All use subject to JSTOR Terms and Conditions American Economic Review (December 100 2010): 1941-1966 http://www.aeaweb.org/articles.php?doi=10.1257/aerJ00.5.1941 Sudden Stops, FinancialCrises, and Leverage ByEnrique G. Mendoza* Financial crasheswerefollowedby deep recessions theSudden Stops of in economies. equilibrium An businesscyclemodelwitha collateral emerging constraint this as and of explains phenomenon a result theamplification asymthatthe constraint inducesin...
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...Leverage and Firm Investment: Chinese Evidence Master of Science Thesis Huijie Bao Program Economics of Innovation and Growth Royal Institute of Technology (KTH) June 2010 Supervisor: Börje Johansson ABSTRACT This thesis focuses on the relationship between financial leverage and investment in Chinese listed firms. There are two novel aspects embraced here. One is choosing a marginal version of Tobin’s q instead of average q with Chinese data. Another one is taking the financial sector in to consideration. The research covers all sectors in the Chinese stock market. Main outcomes are listed below. Leverage imposes negative effects on investment, especially on non-state owned firms. Like Financials, Manufacturing and other highly regulated sectors, the inverse impacts of debt are week as well. However, marginal q fails in proof under the specific environment of the Chinese capital market which is still immature. High-leveraged firms experienced reverse influences of marginal q on investment. To sum up, over-debt financing indeed blocks the sustained investment. Relatively speaking, state owned firms in China suffer less since they are supported by the government and have fewer restrictions. Key words: financial leverage, marginal q, gross investment and state owned firms 2 ACKNOWLEDGMENTS Firstly, I would like to express my strong gratitude to my supervisor, Prof. Börje Johansson, whose profound knowledge, guidance and patience, greatly enhanced my graduate experience...
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...information exchange and monitoring of areas in which central banks have expertise, including the financial markets, payment and settlement, and banking supervision, to promote greater regional monetary and financial stability. If the connections between the various regional forums increase, regional financial cooperation can be promoted more effectively through synergy effects. Therefore, the forums need to engage more actively in official information exchanges. In addition, they would be able to expand the basis for cooperation in the long run by utilising regional central bank training organisations such as the SEACEN Centre, and thus increasing countries’ understanding of and interest in the overall financial cooperation projects being carried out currently. Just as Germany and France played leading roles during the European Union’s long economic integration process, major countries in the Asian region need to show their strong leadership and gather the political willpower to make regional financial cooperation successful in the future. The leading countries in terms of economic size and level of economic and financial development should show their leadership. At the same time, they need to be careful not to undermine regional financial cooperation by harmonising all the cooperation processes. Asian countries can be expected to develop their relationships for regional financial cooperation further in the near future. However, there has...
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...ASSIGNMENT 2 by (Name) Course Tutor University City and State Date Executive Summary HSBC bank is a financial institution, whose conceptualization age dates back to 1865 in Hong Kong. Commonly known as the HSBC Holdings plc, the multinational bank expanded and it opened other branches in several countries while offering financial and banking services. With its headquarters located in London, the bank is ranked as the fourth largest in the world. In Oman, however, the experienced problems within the bank are not what one would expect from a financial institution with such a reputation. Since its establishment in 1948, the bank has always offered top-notch services with fewer mistakes in Oman. Currently, there have been reports that the country is experiencing problems with their ATM machines. Customers are unable to use their ATM cards to access their accounts. The administrative sector is also having problems involving registration of clients to their newly introduced Advance Credit cards. The process has become strenuous for its customers. This study aims at identifying the problems and resolving it through operations management theories in gaining global competitiveness. According to the theories of operations management, organizations can solve their problems in three distinct ways. The six-sigma approach suggests identifying the defects and solving them afterwards. The lean approach, similarly advocates for the identification of defects...
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...housing. In a closed economy representative agent model (the special case when the birth rate is zero, of the Yaari-Blanchard OLG model used in the paper), there is no pure wealth effect on consumption from a change in house prices if this represents a change in their fundamental value. When the birth rate is positive, higher fundamental house prices driven by the housing demand of future generations will boost current consumption. There is a pure wealth effect on consumption from a change in house prices even in the representative agent model, if this reflects a change in the speculative bubble component of house prices. Two other channels through which a fall in house prices can affect aggregate consumption are (1) redistribution effects if the marginal propensity to spend out of wealth differs between those long housing (the old, say) and those short housing (the young, say) and (2) collateral or credit effects due to the collateralisability of housing wealth and the non-collateralisability of human wealth. A decline in house prices reduces the scope for mortgage equity withdrawal. For given sequences of future after-tax labour income and interest rates, a fall in house prices will then depress consumption in the short run while boosting it in the long run. JEL E2, E3, E5, E6, G1 Keywords Wealth effect; house prices; speculative bubbles Correspondence Willem H. Buiter, CBE, FBA, Chief Economist, Citigroup, Citigroup Centre, Canada...
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...representative household has preference for consumption today and tomorrow, goods are non-storable – those not used today will spoil. Nature endow household such that will receive y1 coconuts today and (is expected to yield) y2 coconuts tomorrow. Mathematically: * Choose (c1, c2) to maximize u(c1, c2) subject to: c1 ≤ y1 and c2 ≤ y2. Choose cD1 = y1 and cD2 = y2. Therefore consume entire income in one period, this is assuming it is a closed economy, therefore must live by period-to-period basis, consumption can’t exceed income at any point. * An International Bond Market: introduce international financial market - one type of financial instrument—a risk-free private debt instrument: bond In the model, only two goods: current consumption and future consumption, exchanged in one market (a market in which households exchange current consumption for future consumption—i.e., a financial market). The relevant price in...
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...Topic 2-5 The impact of accounting information on ethical behavior has been extensively documented. Many ethical issues are imbedded within and around MCSs. Some critics use ethics arguments to question the basic foundations MCSs and capitalistic economies that empower manager to make economic decisions. However, Macintosh (1994) argues that “accounting and control systems can and do play a critical role in defining the moral constitution of an organization.” Management control systems are a powerful determinant of an individual's behavior (Macintosh 1994; Dirsmith et al. 1997; Pant and Yuthas 1998). These systems are established to motivate employees to implement the strategy of the firm by aligning (使结盟) corporate and individual rewards. However, Horngren (1998) and Merchant (1998) note that many results are often counterproductive (适得其反\事与愿违) (e.g., slack, spend-it-or-lose-it). As organizations become flatter and knowledge is pushed further down into the organization, individuals will become even more responsible for decisions that significantly impact current profitability and future strategy (Johnson 1992; Lancaster 1998). Several of these will have ethical implications. The first issue regards to creating budgetary slack. Creating budget slack can be interpreted to be in contravention (矛盾) of several of the obligations listed under integrity and objectivity in the IMA’s Standards of Ethical conduct. Also, utilitarianism framework proposes that slack creation raises...
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...Science in Economics and Business Administration programme - Major in Economics. Neither the institution, nor the advisor is responsible for the theories and methods used, or the results and conclusions drawn, through the approval of this thesis. ABSTRACT This master thesis studies the impact of providing business training to microfinance clients in Tanzania. Based on data collected six months after the programme ended, we cannot confirm positive treatment effects from business training on the micro entrepreneurs’ profits. However, treated entrepreneurs have higher likelihood of operating multiple businesses; increased their engagement within commerce and reduced their engagement within manufacturing. Based on the market situation at the time, these changes all represent advancement towards business structures associated with higher profitability. Moreover, findings of low profitability in new establishments can serve as an explanation to the small effect from business training on profits, and imply that treatment effects will be manifested in higher future profits of the entrepreneurs. 2 TABLE OF CONTENTS Abstract ................................................................................................................................................................... 2 1. Introduction ......................................................................................................................................................... 4 2. Literature Review:...
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