...MARKET STRUCTURE INDICATORS It’s a type of Technical Analysis. Technical Analysis is a method of chart analysis, usually of price, using various formulae designed to highlight specific characteristics and provide signals to help forecast market movements. Indicators can also be derived from the use of trendlines and price patterns, which are not based on formulae and are more subjective. The idea is to predict the future price levels, or simply the general price direction, of a security by looking at past patterns. How is it different form Fundamental Analysis? Market Structure Indicators (Technical Indicators or Technicals) are distinguished by the fact that they do not analyze any part of the fundamental business, like earnings, revenue and profit margins. They are used most extensively by active traders in the market, as they are designed primarily for analyzing short-term price movements. To a long-term investor, most technical indicators are of little value, as they do nothing to shed light on the underlying business. The most effective uses of technicals for a long-term investor are to help identify good entry and exit points for the stock by analyzing the long-term trend. Technical analysts believe that the historical performance of stocks and markets are indications of future performance. Eg: In a shopping mall, a fundamental analyst would go to each store, study the product that was being sold, and then decide whether to buy it or not. By contrast, a technical...
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...Introduction: An economic indicator is simply any economic statistic, such as the unemployment rate, GDP, or the inflation rate, which indicate how well the economy is doing and how well the economy is going to do in the future. If a set of economic indicators suggest that the economy is going to do better or worse in the future than they had previously expected, they may decide to change their investing strategy. Economic indicators include various indices, earnings reports, and economic summaries. Examples: unemployment rate, quits rate, housing starts, Consumer Price Index (a measure for inflation), Consumer Leverage Ratio, industrial production, bankruptcies, Gross Domestic Product, broadband internet penetration, retail sales, stock market prices, money supply changes. Three Attributes of Economic Indicators 1. Relation to the Business Cycle / Economy Economic Indicators can have one of three different relationships to the economy: 1. Procyclic: A procyclic (or procyclical) economic indicator is one that moves in the same direction as the economy. So if the economy is doing well, this number is usually increasing, whereas if we're in a recession this indicator is decreasing. The Gross Domestic Product (GDP) is an example of a procyclic economic indicator. 2. Countercyclic: A countercyclic (or countercyclical) economic indicator is one that moves in the opposite direction as the economy. The unemployment rate gets larger as the economy gets worse so...
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... Ajeeth Pingle 4/05/2011 Wal-Mart Economic Indicators Wal-Mart has become the world's number one retailer. Diversification into grocery (Wal-Mart Supercenters and Neighborhood Markets), international operations and membership warehouse clubs (SAM'S Clubs), has created greater opportunities for growth. But unlike some corporations, whose financial growth does not translate into more jobs, Wal-Mart's phenomenal growth has been an engine for making jobs. Wal-Mart has a history of having become a strong investment for Shareholders. The Company made its initial public offering in October of 1970, when selling 200,000 shares for $16.50 per share. If an investor had purchased 100 shares in the initial offering, those shares would have been worth more than $13 million as of January 31, 2011 and the number of shares owned by that investor would have grown to 204,800 thanks to 11 stock splits. From the beginning, Wal-Mart has created tremendous Shareholder value. The Company raised $3.3 million in its initial public-equity offering. As of April 2, 2010, the Company had grown to a market capitalization of nearly $211 billion. According to About.com (2010), economic indicators are economic statistics that indicate how well the economy is doing and how well the economy will do in the future. Economic indicators can range from unemployment to the inflation rate. Economic indicators are not the same across the board, and will vary from industry to...
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...Introduction: Technical Analysis & Data Mining 1 How Data Mining Is Related to Technical Analysis Technical analysis (TA) is concerned with discovery of recurring patterns in financial market time series for the purpose of predicting and profiting from trends and trend reversals the prices of freely traded assets such as stocks, market indexes, exchange traded funds (ETF), commodities, currencies and financial futures and options . Objective TA is restricted to patterns that can be represented numerically and trading systems that produce clear cut buy and sell signals that can be evaluated on historical data. Thus objective TA is concerned with the development of trading systems. Other forms of technical analysis rely upon the visual inspection and subjective interpretation of graphs to detect patterns and predict trends. Objective TA employs indicators, which are new time series derived by applying one or more mathematical transformations to raw market data such as price, volume, open-interest and other data series produced by trading activity. For example, technical analysts apply moving averages to identify price trends. Data mining (DM) is also concerned with patterns and prediction and thus the natural fit between DM and objective TA. Data miners use specialized algorithms to analyze large data multivariate data bases containing thousands or even million of cases with the intent of discovering unobvious patterns that can be used to predict various kinds...
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...Indicators * Buy and sell indicators * Chaikin Oscillator * Calculated as the difference between a 3 period exponential moving average of Accumulation/Distribution and a 10 period EMA of AD * Buy when the oscillator moves above the zero line * Sell when it moves below zero * If the security makes a new high or low that is not confirmed by the chaikin oscillator, a potential reversal is pending * Ease of Movement * Reduces each period’s Rice and Volume to a single value that represents the ease at which prices are moving upward or downward * Buy when EMV crosses above the zero line, indicating ease of upward price movement * Sell when EMV crosses below the zero line, Indication ease of downward price movement * Force Index * Combines price changes and Volume into a single value that attempts to represent the magnitude of the force driving a rally or decline * When the smoothed Force index crosses the zero line, it indicates a change in trend and can be used as a buy/sell signal * Linear regression forecast * Calculates a “line of best fit” at each date, then plots the price value of that line at the specified point in time * Similar in display and interpretation to a moving average * MACD * Moving Average Convergence/Divergence is a price oscillator based on the difference between two moving averages * Sell when...
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...EITF ABSTRACTS Title: Reporting Revenue Gross as a Principal versus Net as an Agent Dates Discussed: March 16, 2000; May 17–18, 2000; July 19–20, 2000 Issue No. 99-19 References: FASB Statement No. 60, Accounting and Reporting by Insurance Enterprises ISSUE FASB Statement No. 97, Accounting and Reporting by Insurance Enterprises for Certain Long-Duration Contracts and for Realized Gains and Losses from the Sale of Investments FASB Statement No. 113, Accounting and Reporting for Reinsurance of Short-Duration and Long-Duration Contracts FASB Statement No. 115, Accounting for Certain Investments in Debt and Equity Securities FASB Statement No. 125, Accounting for Transfers and Servicing of Financial Assets and Extinguishments of Liabilities FASB Statement No. 136, Transfers of Assets to a Not-for-Profit Organization or Charitable Trust That Raises or Holds Contributions for Others FASB Concepts Statement No. 2, Qualitative Characteristics of Accounting Information FASB Concepts Statement No. 6, Elements of Financial Statements AICPA Statement of Position 81-1, Accounting for Performance of Construction-Type and Certain Production-Type Contracts SEC Staff Accounting Bulletin No. 101, Revenue Recognition in Financial Statements SEC Staff Accounting Bulletin No. 101B, Second Amendment: Revenue Recognition in Financial Statements SEC Regulation S-X, Rule 5-03, Income Statements 1. Diversity exists regarding whether a company should report revenue based on (a) the gross...
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...Economies are based on three main economic indicators, the gross domestic product, consumer and producer price indexes, and the unemployment rate. These indicators are the best indicators into the state of an economy. They let you know how well businesses are performing overall. The gross domestic product (GDP) measures the overall market value of final goods and services produced in a country in a year. Only goods produced in the country are counted in a countries gross domestic product. The gross domestic product is the most used economic indicator. Most countries use it worldwide. If the gross domestic product is high it usually indicates that the economy is doing well because businesses are doing well. A low gross domestic product means that fewer good are being produced. The two price indexes, consumer price index and the product price index are also used as economic indicators. An increase in either of these price indexes is a strong indicator of inflation. The consumer price index is used to keep tabs of changes in prices over time. There are eight major groups included in the consumer price index, food and beverages, housing, apparel, transportation, medical care, recreation, education and communication, and other goods and services. The producer price index tracks the average change in prices at the wholesale level. Changes in prices are important because they indicate purchasing power. The unemployment rate measures workers over 16 years old who are not working...
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...memo is to inform you of the basics regarding Key Performance Indicators, Key Risk Indicators, and to identify specific KRIs for five different risk events identified by the Fresh Market. Key Performance Indicators (KPI) vs. Key Risk Indicators (KRI) Key Performance Indicators (KPIs) are measures that shed insights about risk events that have already affected an organization. KPIs are typically designed to provide a high-level overview of the performance of the organization along with its major operating units. These reports often are focused almost exclusively on the historical performance of the organization and its key units and operations. Conversely, Key Risk Indicators (KRIs) are metrics or indicators that monitor...
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...Abstract Economic indicators are pieces of economic data that are usually of macroeconomic scale. The investors and economists interested in foreseeing the health of the economy can use them. The data is analyzed from many different perspectives and takes many different factors into account. Experts have experience at interpreting numbers and drafting predictions as to how the market will be affected in terms of consumer price indexes, gross domestic products, unemployment rates, and the price of raw materials. Keywords: Economic indicators, consumer price index, gross domestic product, unemployment. Indicator 1: Employment Statistics. Definition: It provides information on national employment, unemployment, wages and earnings data across all non-agriculture industries, including civilian government workers (H., 1924). Data: Data.bls.gov. (2014). Labor Force Statistics from the Current Population Survey. Retrieved from the Bureau of Labor Statistics Page: http://data.bls.gov/pdq/SurveyOutputServlet?request_action=wh&graph_name=LN_cpsbref3 Interpretation: As demonstrated in the graph above, the unemployment rate rose drastically between 2008 and 2010, and it continued to decrease consistently thereafter. Evidently, the graph also shows the effect of the great recession in terms of unemployment. The great recession started when a housing bubble burst and people were unable to pay securities. As a consequence, many financial institutions, that had given...
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...Executive summary In this empirical report, we have analyze the characteristics of several important economics indicators and how they can be use by economist to look out for period of inflation, sharp changes in GDP growth due to GST and oil shock and how to make use of this indicators to do a projection on the economy performance. We also come to understand how different types of economic indicators are used and how they correspond to the movement economy activities. Understanding the characteristic of these economic indicators, allows us to identify the cyclical nature of each individual indicator with economic growth and, thus, help us in choosing a set of economic indicators for forecasting the economic performance. To conclude, we state that by doing an economic indicator analysis through leading, coincident and lagging indexes, we can understand how well the economy performance as a whole. It also tells us the relationship between economy performance and the policy-making of a country. Introduction The measurement and analysis of business cycles has been one of the important research topics in economics and underlying theories of these economics arguments have changed as times goes by. In this empirical report, attention will be focus into the central questions on the causes of fluctuation in the economic activity by constructing a business cycle analysis and composite coincident index, a combination of several time series that one would expect to contain...
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...Holy Grail Strategy Mario Braun @ Bond University October 30th, 2015 Contents Holy Grail Strategy 3 Trading Rules & Indicators 3 Buy & Sell Rules . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 3 Room for Interpretation . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 3 Pseudocode . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 4 Buy Rules . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 5 Sell Rules . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 5 Possible Optimizations . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 5 Further Indicators . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 6 Backtest & Visual Analysis Basic R-Studio Setup 7 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 7 Load libraries . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 7 Setting up knitr . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 7 Chart Theme Settings . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 7 Define Currency, Instruments, Time zone and other simulation...
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...SYMBIOSIS SCHOOL OF BANKING MANAGEMENT Constituent of symbiosis International University Accredited by NAAC with ‘A’ Grade Established under Section 3 of the UGC Act, 1956, vide notification No: F.9.12/2001-U-3of the Government of India. IMPORTANCE OF TECHNICAL ANALYSIS IN DETERMINING MOVEMENT OF PRICE IN EQUITY STOCK MARKET Internship Report submitted to SIU in partial completion of the requirement of MBA Banking Management at Symbiosis School of Banking Management Pune-412115. NAME OF THE STUDENT: PROJECT MENTOR (SSBM) PROJECT MENTOR / PRN: REPORTING OFFICER (AT THE BANK) ABHISHEK AGRAWAL DR. BINDYA KOHLI AMOL ATHAWALE PRN: 12020941031 APRIL 08 2013 TO MAY 25 2013 ACKNOWLEDGEMENT I sincerely and religiously devote this Research Paper to all the gem of persons who have openly or silently left an ineradicable mark on this research so that they may be brought into consideration and given their share of credit, which they genuinely and outstandingly deserve. This expedition of research...
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...Assignment 1 Economic indicators help both businesses and governments determine where the economy is headed. Some of the indicators I have noticed in the news headlines are: 1) Employment change and unemployment rate: The national unemployment rate is defined as the percentage of unemployed workers in the total labour force. It is widely recognized as a key indicator of labour market performance. A closely watched economic indicator, the unemployment rate attracts a great deal of media attention, especially during recessions and tough economic times. When workers become unemployed, their family loses wages, while the nation loses their contribution to the economy. Less money mad by individuals means less money to spend in the economy. 2) Consumer Price Index: The Consumer Price Index (CPI) is an indicator of changes in consumer prices experienced by Canadians. It is obtained by comparing, over time, the cost of a fixed basket of goods and services purchased by consumers. The CPI is widely used as an indicator of the change in the general level of consumer prices or the rate of inflation. Since the purchasing power of money is affected by changes in prices, the CPI is useful to virtually all Canadians. Consumers can compare movements in the CPI to changes in their personal income to monitor and evaluate changes in their financial situation. When inflation rises but a person's income does not rise their buying power decreases. They can no longer buy the same amount of...
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...discusses about the inflation report in Singapore which came with two indicators. The first was a breakdown of how inflation had affected the various income groups. According to the Department of Statistics (DOS), the top 20 percent of income earners face with a 5.7 per cent inflation rate due to the rising costs of private transport and property rental while the bottom 20 per cent saw prices rise by only 4.7 per cent. Another new indicator by DOS excluded the costs of housing rents. DOS reasoned that since 87.2 per cent of Singaporeans own their own housing, the new indicator was complied “as an additional indicator to track households’ actual expenditures. In this indicator, the inflation rate for the lowest 20 per cent was just 2.2 per cent less than half the rate that the top 20 per cent experienced. The writer mentioned that inflation is just half of the equation calculating the impact of rising prices on the welfare of people and how fast incomes have raised equally matters. The writer argues that the lower income groups may have been hit with lower inflation but their incomes also rise by less than what the top percent enjoys. The writer mentioned that another reason not to worry too much about a rise in the consumer price index is that a large part of the price rise results from higher housing costs and higher costs of owning a car. The writer also highlighted what is more worrying is that prices are rising across the board. The Monetary Authority of Singapore’s core...
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...Table of Contents 1 Overview Of Singapore 3 1.1 Highlight Of Singapore Economy 3 2 Economic Indicator Analysis Of Singapore Economy 4 2.1 GDP 4 2.1.1 GDP(Gross Domestic Product) 5 2.1.2 GDP Growth Rate: 6 2.1.3 GDP Per Capita 7 2.2 Labour 8 2.2.1 Unemployment Rate: 9 2.2.2 Employed Person 10 10 2.3 Price 10 2.3.1 CPI(Consumer Price Index): 11 2.3.2 Inflation Rate: 12 2.3.3 GDP Deflator 13 3 References 14 * OVERVIEW OF SINGAPORE Singapore is a highly developed trade-oriented market economy. It has been ranked as the most open in the world, least corrupt, most pro-business, with low tax rates. Singapore is a wealthy country with a medium-sized economy, located in East Asia. Singapore has the world’s 35th largest economy by nominal GDP. It is a high-income economy with a gross national income of $47,210 per capita (statistics of 2013). It provides the world’s most business-friendly regulatory environment for local entrepreneurs and is ranked among the world’s most competitive economies. In the decades after independence, Singapore rapidly developed from a low income country to a high income country. GDP grew with an average of 7.7% since independence; in the first 25 years growth topped 9.2%. Per capita GDP over the same periods grew by 5.4% and 7.2%. Rapid industrialization took momentum in the 1960s and, by the end of the decade; manufacturing had become the lead sector of the country’s economic growth. By the early 1970s...
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