...FINS5522 - Emerging Financial Markets Essay Assignment| Week 4 (11th August 2010) Essay Question: Why did the Asian Financial Crisis (AFC) take many by surprise? Explain the major contributing factors that caused the crisis (and their effects), and discuss the lessons that can be learned in relation to preventing and/or responding to future crises. The Asian Financial Crisis (AFC) of 1997 was a period of financial turmoil and volatility that spread across Asia. Prior to July 1997, most of the South East Asian currencies were tied to the US dollar. The crisis began primarily in Thailand when the Thai baht came under pressure that its value would not hold. The pressure on the Thai baht caused a widening of the Thailand’s Current Account Balance (CAD) and the using up of Thailand’s foreign reserves. This forced the Thai government to float its currency and lead to its devaluation. Real estate and real asset value began to fall and foreign investors began pulling out of South East Asia, triggering the financial crisis that would spread across Asia. The next section of this paper will attempt to answer questions of why the AFC was unanticipated by so many economists and experts. It will also attempt to address the major contributing factors that lead to the AFC and in turn its effects. Lastly this paper will conclude with the lessons that could be learnt from one of the most shocking currency crises of recent times. Upon careful reflection, many experts (Krugman 1998; Radelet...
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...What are the causes of the global financial crisis? Name: Course: Tutor: Date: What are the causes of the global financial crisis? Introduction Achieving stability has always been the number one priority in any county or organization. Financial stability is probably one of the most sort after achievement everywhere in the world. When a country or company fails to attaining financial stability then things are deemed to go wrong. The global financial crisis brought about the worst kind of financial instability in the global economy. It started in the United States and spread all over the world like wild fire. Even the top performing economies in Asia like China were not left out. This economic turbulence brought about both economic and social hardships (Helleiner,1994) . This was partly blamed on the already established Capitalist ideologies that prevailed especially in the United States. This crisis exposed most economies to financial difficulties as it proved the dependence of most nations on dollar denominated financial transactions. The only way to salvage these economies was through fiscal and monetary interventions by the Governments of the day. Bail-out packages were presented to major economy drivers and industries to help ease the financial crisis that had affected their operation. The collapsing of large financial institutions like the Lehman Brothers bank brought about a lot of chaos in the industry. Large bailout packages were used to help revive...
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...few more years. The rupee as a currency should be more frequently traded internationally,” said Dwijendra Srivastava, chief investment officer (debt) at Sundaram Mutual Fund. India’s external sector was vulnerable till recently, with the current account deficit above the comfort level of 2.5 per cent of the gross domestic product. It was 4.2 per cent of gross domestic product (GDP) in 2011-12 and rose to 4.7 per cent in 2012-13. After severe curbs, including restrictions on import of precious metals, the deficit fell to 1.7 per cent in 2013-14. In 2014-15, it continued to stay low, with the third quarter showing a deficit of 1.6 per cent. The fiscal situation remains fragile. The turning point was in 2007, the year of the global financial crisis. The fiscal deficit of the central government has been 4.6-6.5 per cent in the past six years, before falling to 4.1 per cent in 2013-14. The government is committed to keeping the fiscal deficit low and the target of 3.9 per cent has been retained for this year. The deficit target will be progressively reduced to 3.5 and three per cent in 2016-17 and 2017-18, respectively. Experts believe utmost care should be taken along the path of convertibility. Ajit Ranade, chief economist at the Aditya Birla Group, who was part of an RBI committee on...
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...Malaysian ringgit plunged to its lowest level in over three years on Thursday amid the brutal sell-off across emerging market assets, and strategists say the pain may not be over for the currency. The ringgit has declined 10 percent against the U.S. dollar since late-May on concerns over a potential capital flight from the country's government bond market in favour of rising U.S. Treasury yields. Before closing on Wednesday 3 December, the ringgit dropped to as far as 3.4455 to the US dollar – the weakest it has been since February 2010. The ringgit had its largest two-day depreciation since the 1997-98 Asian financial crisis, falling 2.4% to 3.4300 to the US dollar on Monday 1 December at closing, from 3.3465 per US dollar on Thursday 27 November at closing. What has caused the ringgit Malaysia to drop? Its reported that the depreciation is a ripple effect and “reflection of the absolute collapse in oil.” As oil is one of Malaysia’s main exports, the...
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...Group 7 Presents : | Tayto in Japan | Executive Summary For the analysis of bringing Tayto into Japan we used three different tools to analyze and conclude on three different levels. The PEST analysis analysed the country from more of a macro level. From this analysis we learned that the political system is similar to Irelands, but has experienced some recent turmoil. The economic situation is still very strong, but has been in a slow and pretty steady decline caused by the Asian financial crisis and the recession. We learned they are a typical high context culture with strict rules, and long decision times. As well they are a technologically advanced culture with good infrastructure. To look at the relation of our product in the market we used the diamond analysis. This showed that Japan has a great work force, and good access to relating and supporting industries. There is also an established demand for potato chips, but seems to be a gap in the market that Tayto could exploit. The SWOT took a much closer look at Tayto and determined that even though it has a strong presence in Ireland and the UK it is still not a huge global player. It also pointed out some cost cutting opportunities, via FDI and further emphasised the large population as an opportunity for Tayto it also made clear that competition in the snack industry is everywhere, and the costs of setting up a business via FDI could be very high. Finally we drew the conclusion that given all the positive and...
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...authorities, usually in different reserve currencies, mostly the United States dollar, and to a lesser extent the euro, the United Kingdom pound sterling, and the Japanese yen, and used to back its liabilities, e.g., the local currency issued, and the various bank reserves deposited with the central bank, by the government or financial institutions. Deposits of a foreign currency held by a central bank. Holding the currencies of other countries as assets allow governments to keep their currencies stable and reduce the effect of economic shocks. The use of foreign exchange reserves became popular after the decline of the gold standard. Definition In a strict sense, foreign-exchange reserves should only include foreign currency deposits and bonds. However, the term in popular usage commonly also adds gold reserves, special drawing rights (SDRs), and International Monetary Fund (IMF) reserve positions. This broader figure is more readily available, but it is more accurately termed official international reserves or international reserves. Foreign Exchange reserves are called Reserve Assets in the Balance of Payments and are located in under the financial account. Hence, they are usually an important part of the International Investment Position of a country. The reserves are labelled as reserve assets under assets by functional...
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...Introduction The projection of the state is provided by the concepts relevant to sovereignty and this is effectively established through a link relevant to both domestic and international realignments. Basing on various strands, nation-state, the composition that is reminiscent to the nation state is evolved within the spectrum of power and greatly advocated to help meet the significant compositions of the specific nation. The functions that help to define the law is based on exclusively new coordinations and the level of approach is objectively classified basing on the amount of political and social forces applied. For instance, the derivative involves The components which are supported by significant modern-state decisions are comparatively based on the growth potential of the modern-state. Political risk is a procedural occurrence that significantly affects to flow of modern-state process resulting into significant development processes. Brown, (2008) explained the political decisions that are deliberately made would lead to uncoordinated migration from a projected state to a more politically motivated system that is capable of being obstructed by political forces. The focus on important causative agents exemplifies the sharpened political forces as well as heightened security concerns. The established goals are distinctly created through the effectiveness of the risks related to economic turnovers and generated landscapes. Lind, (1995) critically reasoned that a nationalistic...
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...neighborhoods, villages, cities, and nations around the world. This course explores the varied and often contradictory processes and consequences of global capitalist development in a diverse set of localities. l.weinstein@neu.edu 617-373-4274 The course will not attempt to cover all aspects of globalization, but will examine five particular topics and sets of questions: 1) Global finance and investment, looking at the social consequences of market exuberance, including investments in so-called “emerging markets.” 2) Structural adjustment programs, particularly the increased marketization and privatization brought about by loan contingencies and IMF-imposed reforms. 3) The new international division of labor, emphasizing transnational financial linkages and the changing division of household labor. 4) Global cultural flows, particularly the new cultural forms that are created through the global circulation of technology and media. 5) Transnational activism and the links between local organizations and transnational movements. Under these broad topics and questions, the course readings and in-class films will focus on such diverse places as Egypt, Bolivia, Mexico, Japan, Europe, China, Argentina, and the United States. Coursework and...
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...Lec. 4 The State: Power, Authority, and Sovereignty Concepts from the Lectures and Readings: Power Authority Sovereignty Weber’s Typology of Authority Concepts from Readings: See Lec. 3 concepts Lec. 5 Political Ideologies: Liberalism Concepts from the Lecture Ideology Left vs. Right ideologies John Locke/ Two Treatises of Government J.S. Mill/ On Liberty Tenets of Liberalism Welfare Liberalism vs. Libertarianism Concepts from Readings The Republic State of nature Tyranny of the majority Harm Principle ‘Politics as a Vocation’ Equality Rights Lec. 6 Republicanism, Conservatism and Socialism Concepts from the Lecture Republicanism Roman ‘Res publica’ Jean Jacques Rousseau Edmund Burke / Reflections on...
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...JARAF The Journal of applied research in accounTing and finance V O L U M E 3 , i s s U E 1 , 2 0 0 8 Old Wine in New Bottles: Subprime Mortgage Crisis – Causes and Consequences Michael Mah-Hui Lim Information Lost: A Descriptive Analysis of IFRS Firms’ 20-F Reconciliations Marlene Plumlee and R. David Plumlee Negative Goodwill: Issues of Financial Reporting and Analysis Under Current and Proposed Guidelines Eugene E. Comiskey and Charles W. Mulford Electronic copy available at: http://ssrn.com/abstract=1263280 JARAF The Journal of applied research in accounTing and finance Publication Information JARAF - The Journal of Applied Research in Accounting and Finance is a scholarly peerreviewed journal jointly published by The Centre for Managerial Finance at Macquarie Graduate School of Management and the Faculty of Economics and Business at The University of Sydney. All journal articles published in JARAF are subjected to double-blind peer-reviews by qualified international experts. Months of Distribution: July – December Current Edition: Volume 3, Issue 1 (2008) ISSN 1834-2582 (Print) ISSN 1834-2590 (Online) Editors Tyrone M. Carlin Professor of Financial Reporting & Regulation Faculty of Economics and Business The University of Sydney NSW 2006 Australia Nigel Finch Director, Centre for Managerial Finance Macquarie Graduate School of Management Macquarie University NSW 2109 Australia Editorial Advisory Board Edward I. Altman Max L. Heine Professor...
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...Imbalances: In Midstream? Prepared by Olivier Blanchard and Gian Maria Milesi-Ferretti1 Authorized for Distribution by Olivier Blanchard December 22, 2009 Disclaimer: The views expressed herein are those of the author(s) and should not be attributed to the IMF, its Executive Board, or its management. Before the crisis, there were strong arguments for reducing global imbalances. As a result of the crisis, there have been significant changes in saving and investment patterns across the world and imbalances have narrowed considerably. Does this mean that imbalances are a problem of the past? Hardly. The paper argues that there is an urgent need to implement policy changes to address the remaining domestic and international distortions that are a key cause of imbalances. Failure to do so could result in the world economy being stuck in “midstream,” threatening the sustainability of the recovery. JEL Classification Numbers: E21, E22, F32, F33, F36, F41 Keywords: Current account deficits, saving, investment, portfolio choice. Authors’ E-mail Addresses: oblanchard@imf.org ; gmilesiferretti@imf.org 1 One of the series of “Seoul papers” on current macro and financial issues. We are grateful to Caroline Atkinson, Nicoletta Batini, Tam Bayoumi, Christian Broda, Matthieu Bussière, Paul Cashin, Nigel Chalk, Menzie Chinn, Stijn Claessens, Charles Collyns, Carlo Cottarelli, Irineu de Carvalho Filho, Uri Dadush, Jörg Decressin, Kemal Dervis, Nicolas Eyzaguirre, Stan Fischer, Charles Kramer...
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...Financial Institutions, Instruments and Markets—7th edition Instructor’s Resource Manual Christopher Viney and Peter Phillips Chapter 1 A modern financial system Learning objective 1.1: explain the functions of a modern financial system • The introduction of money and the development of local markets to trade goods were the genesis of the financial system of today. • Money is a medium of exchange that facilitates transactions for goods and services. • With wealth being accumulated in the form of money, specialised markets developed to enable the efficient transfer of funds from savers (surplus entities) to users of funds (deficit entities). • A modern financial system comprises financial institutions, instruments and markets that provide a wide range of financial products and services. • A financial system encourages accumulated savings which are then available for investment within an economy. • Financial instruments incorporate attributes of risk, return (yield), liquidity and time–pattern of cash flows. Savers are able to satisfy their own personal preferences by choosing various combinations of these attributes. • By encouraging savings, and allocating savings to the most efficient users, the financial system has an important role to play in the economic development and growth of a country. Learning objective 1.2: categorise the main types of financial institutions, being depository financial institutions, investment banks and merchant banks,...
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...policy. 3. Thailand—Economic policy. 4. International Monetary Fund—Indonesia. 5. International Monetary Fund—Korea. 6. International Monetary Fund—Thailand. I. Lane, Timothy D. (Timothy David), 1955- II. Occasional paper (International Monetary Fund); no. 178. HC447.I44 1999 Price: US$18.00 (US$15.00 to full-time faculty members and students at universities and colleges) Please send orders to: International Monetary Fund, Publication Services 700 19th Street, N.W., Washington, D.C. 20431, U.S.A. Tel.: (202) 623-7430 Telefax: (202) 623-7201 E-mail: publications@imf.org Internet: http://www.imf.org recycled paper Contents Preface I Overview Timothy Lane and Marianne Schulze-Ghattas References II Background to the Crisis Javier Hamann Financial Vulnerabilities Macroeconomic Considerations Asset Price Deflation and Bank Failures References III Program Design Timothy Lane Basic Strategy Exchange Rates References IV Program Financing and Market Reactions Timothy Lane and Marianne Schulze-Ghattas Official Financing and Program Projections Market Reactions V Macroeconomic Environment Timothy Lane and Steven Phillips Output...
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...Japan in Asia: A Hard Case for Soft Power by Thomas U. Berger Thomas Berger is an associate professor of International Relations at Boston University. he concept of ‘‘soft power’’—defined by Joe Nye as ‘‘the ability to get what you want through attraction rather than through coercion’’1— has proven a seductive one for Japan. Since the concept was popularized in the 1990s, Japanese scholars and policymakers have enthusiastically taken it up, eagerly exploring how Japan’s soft power resources could be exploited to burnish Japan’s image in the world and help reshape its environment in subtle but important ways. Some—perhaps encouraged by the new attention given to the popularity of Japanese anime and manga, and by the general buzz about ‘‘Cool Japan’’—have even described Japan as a ‘‘Soft Power Superpower.’’2 It sometimes seemed, in more overheated moments, that Pokemon and Sailor Moon would conquer the world, succeeding where the Imperial Army and Navy had failed.3 That soft power would prove attractive is unsurprising. Although Japan has considerable hard power resources, it has shown great reluctance to actually use them in the way that students of international relations would T 1 The idea was originally advanced by in Joseph Nye, Bound to Lead: The Changing Nature of American Power (New York: Basic Books, 1990). He has since expanded on the concept in Soft Power: The Means to Success in World Politics (New York: Public Affairs, 2004). 2 See the very useful volume by...
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...ISLAMIC FINANCE: CAN IT BE A REMEDY FOR FINANCIAL CRISES? I. INTRODUCTION The financial system is at the heart of the modern economy. When this system works well, it enables to allocate resources that maximize the productivity of the economy. On the contrary when it does not work properly, the whole economy starts to decline. Because financial system must be considered as an in-built part of real economy in terms of credit mechanism. The recent global financial crisis began in August 2007 and after this time it spread gradually to the financial markets in the world. Although it is not severe as in its beginning phase but recovery is not but its aftershock is still going on. There has been numerous research conducted by many economists and analysts. According to the many of these studies, risky transactions, lack of surveillance, and greed that underlie this financial crisis. The relationship between Islamic finance and the financial crises has been discussed by many authors in some of these research. All those works has been done after the beginning of the global financial crisis. Thanks to its strength aspects include risk sharing mechanism, strict Sharia governance rules, tighter supervision and transparency policy, almost all of these works have been concluded that Islamic finance may make significant contributions to prevent financial crises like the current one. Also the reality of the limited impact of the current global financial crisis on Islamic Finance-based institutions...
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