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Unit 6 Anaysis

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Submitted By bigrican
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The difference in the cost of RAM and ROM in today’s market as well as where is where it came from and where it is going is pretty amazing. It’s easy to find information on this subject as the demand for faster computers with huge memory seems to grow and profit from this demand. Ten years ago you would have spent over $2,000 to get just 1GB of RAM. As computer manufacturers recoup cost of R&D, the prices start to drop. Today it would cost around $20 to purchase the same 1GB of DDR3 providing considerable savings over a decade ago. The best deal for the money is 2GB of RAM which costs around $40 and is enough memory to run most applications. There are other types of memory available to all of us if you’re willing to pay the price of admission. For example, some of the more exotic types of RAM can still run hundreds, even thousands of dollars. For instance, I found Super Talent 1TB STT RAID DRIVE GS RAID0 for $4,815.00 on Memory Suppliers.com. They also offer iRam 2GB (2 x 1GB) DDR2 SDRAM PC2-5300 667MHz for $119.00. I find this is a very nice web site that is easy to navigate through and find and compare the memory you’re looking for. The following table is from Archive Builders web site. It shows the growth to cost difference for 32 years. This was determined by the increase of the density of disks by 60% a year with an average decrease in price of 37.5%. The 60% increase is based on the growth predictions for MR head technology by IBM, which had increased its area bit density at a rate of 60% per year since 1989 and projects the same rate to continue into the future.
Projected Magnetic Disk Prices
Year | Cost for 1 GigaByte =
1,000 MBytes
(Storage for 2 Scanned File Cabinets) | Cost for 1 TeraByte =1,000 GBytes
(Storage for 2,000 Scanned file Cabinets)
1992 | 1,000.00 | 1,000,000.00 |
1993 | 625.00 | 625,000.00 |
1994 | 390.63 | 390,625.00 |
1995 | 244.14 | 244,140.63 |
1996 | 152.59 | 152,587.89 |
1997 | 95.37 | 95,367.43 |
1998 | 59.60 | 59,604.64 |
1999 | 37.25 | 37,252.90 |
2000 | 23.28 | 23,283.06 |
2001 | 14.55 | 14,551.92 |
2002 | 9.09 | 9,094.95 |
2003 | 5.68 | 5,684.34 |
2004 | 3.55 | 3,552.71 |
2005 | 2.22 | 2,220.45 |
2006 | 1.39 | 1,387.78 |
2007 | 0.87 | 867.36 |
2008 | 0.54 | 542.10 |
2009 | 0.34 | 338.81 |
2010 | 0.21 | 211.76 |
2011 | 0.13 | 132.35 |
2012 | 0.08 | 82.72 |
2013 | 0.05 | 51.70 |
2014 | 0.03 | 32.31 |
2015 | 0.02 | 20.19 |
2016 | 0.01 | 12.62 |
2017 | 0.01 | 7.89 |
2018 | 0.00 | 4.93 |
2019 | 0.00 | 3.08 |
2020 | 0.00 | 1.93 |
2021 | 0.00 | 1.20 |
2022 | 0.00 | 0.75 |
2023 | 0.00 | 0.47 |
2024 | 0.00 | 0.29 | Many sources are available to choose from to see the projected growth of computer memory. These are just two of them that I find easy to read and understand and are credible. Further review brings out that the cost of a MegaByte of RAM is now nearing the one dollar mark where twenty-five years ago it was one dollar for each Byte. At around 8 million bytes in a MegaByte and only 8 bits in a Byte, the cost per bit of RAM has dropped by a rate of one-million-to-one over the past 25 years. According to Crucial.com, I found that there are 3TB hard drives available. If we apply Moore’s law, we can estimate that we will have 100TB drives available in about ten to eleven years. When totaled, I came up with 96TB in 10 years. An article that came out in 2010 stated that Seagate, that produced the Cheetah 15K.5, 75 GB hard drive, stated that the potential of HAMR (heat-assisted magnetic recording) could allow 50x the amount of data that PMR technology allows. PMR allows for a top capacity of about 5-6TB per drive. Looking at this, it is easy to see the HAMR would allow for as much as 300TB per drive if the 50x increase holds true. And this is believed possible by Seagate SVP Mark Re to be in the 2020-2025 time frame, making it possible in the next ten years.
When you compare this using Moore’s Law, it is easy to see that it is completely possible to have the 100TB capacity or more in the next decade.

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