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Amoco Case Summary

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In the wake of economic and political crisis that jolted oil industry round the globe in 80s & 90s, Amoco Corp. opted for cost cutting and divesting relatively less strategically sound assets. Despite many efforts said strategies could pay off well, Amoco then established fully independent oil & gas company, MW petroleum Corp. aimed at selling it high. Apache Corp. appeared to be best in line, although it did had indigenous reasons to be pushed to buy MW. Apache was suffering from revenues variability, driven by low gas prices, as it very low oil-gas ratio. However, making an offer to MW had certain limitations to Apache, like, MW’s operational and geographical structure, methods to finance its acquisition, and already squeezing lending …show more content…
MTR of 30% is assumed, and Coupon rate of 12.41% taken from BB rating industrial bonds yields for December 90. Since most of the reserves last more than 10 years, 30 years T bond rate, 8.24% is taken as Risk free rate, ERP of 4% is implied risk premium in 1990 . Standard Deviation
To estimate SD of individual reserves, we have opted for underlying commodity SD i.e. oil & gas. Exhibit 8 explains historical pattern of oil & gas prices SD ranging from low to high. Since proven reserves are known with more certainty, they are assigned low variance while probable and possible were at high end. Accordingly, oil & gas revenues contribution in total revenues of each reserve option is calculated and then value weighted with assigned SD to arrive at individual SD estimate for each option.
DCF …show more content…
It also needs to expand geographically to make it stronger to coup up with domestic political & economic crisis. Since it has an edge of operating efficiently, it is aimed at lowering its costs to recover from falling margins amid extensive gas reserve exposure while extreme volatile in gas prices. By this acquisition, Apache do also have plans to optimize production to enhance it profitability and improve is debt rating. Amoco’s corporate strategy seems more focused on divesting and getting rid of all high overhead fields that has crippled its ability to increase gross margin any further.
Capital Budgeting Decision
Main challenge for Apache is to get this deal financed anyway. Given maximum 50% LTV ratio, ultra conservative bankers has to do a little to favor Apache despite favorable interest rate environment. So it will have to look other options like issuance of common stock via MW face, since its own financials are not so much promising to investors. MW’s positive financial stats along with cheap interest rates, investors will be attracted to invest in equity rather debt of Apache.
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