...FINANCE MSc FINANCE Corporate Finance and Banking Arundel Partners: The Sequel Project The East Wind Amol Marathe 140843 Linglan Tan 140838 Xiangyu Zhou 140912 Date: 20/11/2014 Arundel Partners: The Sequel Project The East Wind Executive Summary: Arundel group is looking into the project of purchasing the sequel rights associated with films produced by one or more major movie studios in United States. Arundel believes that they can calculate a value for the rights to produce these sequels and take a position by investing in a portfolio conformed of these rights. Arundel Partners plans to make money by negotiating an option price below its net present value calculation and obtaining its expected returns on the option. The proposal is appealing to studios because sales of sequel rights can help them finance initial production, If particular movie becomes a sequel then the value of the option will increase and Arundel will either exercise the right to make the sequel or sell the right either to the original studio or a third party willing to take on the project. The principals at Arundel Partners are inclined to buy a portfolio of all these sequel rights rather than individual films given that Arundel wants to avoid buying the rights of movies that are not expected to perform well. Movie rights are supposed to be purchased prior to films being made. Arundel wants to come up with a decision to either purchase all the sequel rights for a studio's entire production during...
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...Arundel Partners: The Sequel Project Question 1: Arundel Partners thinks they can make money by buying the rights to sequels because of the possible arbitrage opportunity between the price they would pay for an option to sequels and the sequels’ real value. Therefore, valuing the option correctly takes great importance. The partners want to buy a portfolio of rights in advance rather than negotiating film-by-film to buy them because it is of critical importance to Arundel that a number of films and a price per film are agreed upon before either Arundel or the studio knows which films would generate the option of a sequel. If not, once production starts the studio would inevitably have more information on the likeliness that a sequel would be possible. This would put Arundel at a disadvantage, because they would then have to negotiate the price for sequel rights on each film produced while knowing much less than the production studio about the film. For example, if the studio knew that obtaining the rights for the literary work the first movie is based upon took a lot of haggling and work, and that the script has gone through fifteen revisions with six different writers, then the studio may be keen to get rid of the sequel rights. While a film’s profitability is always a gamble, there are often early signs such as these that a movie is going to be a jumbled mess that cost the studio way too much money to produce in the first place. These films tend to do...
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...Arundel Partners: The Sequel Project 1. Why do the principals of Arundel Partners think they can make profits buying movie sequel rights? They would be interested in purchasing the sequel rights for one or more studios¡¦ entire production over an extended period of not less than a year. If a particular film was a hit, and Arundel thought a sequel would be profitable, it would exercise its rights by producing the sequel. Alternatively, they can sell the rights to the highest bidder. Inevitably, the performance of the original films would not justify sequels, and for them the sequel rights would simply not be exercised. For most movies it becomes quite clear after their first few weeks in theaters whether a sequel would be economical or not, based upon each film's box office performance. 2. Why do they want to buy a portfolio of rights in advance rather than negotiating film-by-film? It is of critical importance to Arundel that a number of films and a price per film is agreed upon before either Arundel or the studio knew which films would generate the option of a sequel. In addition, once production started, the studio would inevitably form an opinion about the movie and the likeliness that a sequel would be possible. This would put Arundel at a disadvantage, because they would then have to negotiate the price for sequel rights on each film produced, while knowing much less than the production studio about the film. 3. Estimate the per-film value of a portfolio of sequel...
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...Arundel Partners – The Sequels Project After evaluation of the proposed acquisition of the movie sequel rights, we recommend to offer movie studios as a per-movie price to purchase the sequel rights for their entire portfolio of movies the studios are going to produce over the next year. Arundel should make an offer to buy sequel rights as the average NPV (on a per film basis ) is $5.51 mn (this is the value calculated using real options method). Hence, we should pay a price below $5.51mn. As per informal inquiries made by us, the studios would be tempted to accept the price of $2mn or more and would not even consider a price below $1mn. We propose that we should negotiate for the price of $2mn. This would give us a profit of $3.51 mn per film. The movie studio might (or might not) be willing to sell these rights at this price because it helps the studios mitigate the risk associated with producing the sequel. Also, the fact that there is no liquid market for rights to produce sequels will also drive the price lower on account of lack of demand. Average value of Sequel rights per film using DCF Analysis Average value of sequel rights per film across all studios 1. There are 99 films in the portfolio. Arundel Partners will only produce films for which hypothetical NPV is greater than zero. Hence, we calculate NPV of each film at Year 0. Since the exhibits state that the values are already preset values, we have not rediscounted them. NPV (At year 0)...
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...Harvard Business School 9-292-140 op y June 12, 1992 Arundel Partners: The Sequel Project tC In April 1992 Mr. David A. Davis, a movie industry analyst at Paul Kagan Associates, Inc. in Los Angeles, was asked to look at and comment on an unusual business idea. The idea was to create an investment group, Arundel Partners, which would purchase the sequel rights associated with films produced by one or more major U.S. movie studios. As owner of the rights, Arundel would wait to see if a movie was successful, and then decide whether or not to produce a second film based on the story or characters of the first. The proposal was innovative in several respects. First, Arundel would purchase sequel rights before the first films were even made, let alone released. Second, the investor group would not make artistic judgments or attempt to select the rights for particular movies based on predictions of a possible sequel’s success. Instead, Arundel would contract to purchase all the sequel rights for a studio’s entire production during a specified period (one to two years), or alternatively, for a specified number of major films (15 to 30). Third, Arundel’s advance cash payments for the rights, at an agreed-upon price per film, would help finance production of the initial films. No The idea was intended to capitalize on a few specific characteristics of the movie industry. Producing and distributing motion pictures was a risky business and predicting the...
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...Case 5: Arundel Partners Prepare a memo addressing the following questions: 1. Explain why Arundel Partners is interested in purchasing the rights to make sequels of all of the studios movies, rather than just some. Why do they believe this venture is profitable? 2. Suppose that you are a movie executive. You are considering a movie version of the life of President Garfield in the months leading up to his assassination by Charles Guiteau in a Washington DC railroad station in 1881. Your analysts have determined that the expected revenues are $94,556,250. They determine that revenues will be distributed binomially as shown in Exhibit 1 (40% annual volatility). Exhibit 1 shows the possible payoffs and the probability of each state occurring (note this information is provided in an Excel file). Assume that the one-year T-Bill rate is 5% (yield with semiannual compounding). If given the green light, the movie will have the following costs: a. $36MM – Negative Costs (assume it is incurred immediately) b. $25MM – Distribution Fees (assume these are paid in one year) c. $32MM – Distribution Expenses (assume these are paid in one year). Should you accept this project? Why? Suppose that Arundel Partners will give you a $2MM check for the rights to the sequel. Do you accept the project? 3. Suppose you come upon another project with exactly the same costs and possible payoffs. However, this film is a movie version of the popular 1960s television show Gilligan’s Island...
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...Options” 4. Case: Arundel Partners: The Sequel Project Answer the following questions: a. What makes Arundel think it can make money by buying a package of sequel rights? Is the profit opportunity, if it exists, likely to be sustainable? Arundel can make money selling the rights to a higher bid. Another option to make money is by producing the sequel exercising its rights but this will depend on if the net present value of the production movies is higher than the amount of buying the rights. If the future positive cashflows are undervalued Arundel can seek an arbitrage opportunity and buy the rights at the market price. b. Why would the studios be interested in raising money in this fashion? Why not raise the money in more traditional ways? The studio can not raise money in a traditional way because they don´t know when the movie will be popular o not so they don’t have regular cashflows. They also think that the business of movies production can be profitable by selling sequel rights ( this can be perform as an option). If a movie performs with positive cashflows they can invest in the movie production and have profits. The risk here is lower because they don´t have the same risk than the traditional ways of raise money like an asset. c. Why should Arundel pay anything for the sequel rights? The average movie loses money, and a sequel is more costly and has less revenue. A naïve movie application of DCF, for example, yields a per-film sequel value of –US$2...
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...MARCH 8, 2013 Hello, If u want us to solve any case study from below list, do contact us anytime, We are here to provide the experience, expertise, and professionalism that you are looking for , Our tutors are available 24/7 to assist you what you need, Click Here to submit your Order. ======================================================================================= Acquisition of Consolidated Rail Corp. by Benjamin C. Esty Airbus A3XX: Developing the World’s Largest Commercial Jet by Benjamin C. Esty American Chemical Corp.by William E. Fruhan, John P. Goldsberry American Home Products Corp.by David W. Mullins AQR’s Momentum Funds by Daniel B. Bergstresser, Lauren H. Cohen, Randolph B. Cohen, Christopher Malloy Arundel Partners: The Sequel Project by Timothy A. Luehrman AXA MONY by Andre F. Perold, Lucy White Beta Management Co. by Michael E. Edleson Butler Lumber Co. by Thomas R. Piper Cartwright Lumber Co.by Thomas R. Piper Citigroup 2007: Financial Reporting and Regulatory Capital by Edward J. Riedl, Suraj Srinivasan Clarkson Lumber Co. by Thomas R. Piper Cooper Industries, Inc. by Thomas R. Piper Cost of Capital at Ameritrade by Erik Stafford, Mark L. Mitchell Debt Policy at UST, Inc. by Mark L. Mitchell Dell’s Working Capital by Richard S. Ruback DermaCare: Zapping Zits Directly by Richard G. Hamermesh, Lauren Barley Diageo plc by George Chacko, Peter Tufano Dimensional Fund Advisers–2002 by Lauren H. Cohen Dividend Policy at FPL Group, Inc.by Benjamin...
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...This version: 7/16/2015 College of Business Administration Loyola Marymount University MBAF 614: Financial Analysis & Strategy Fall 2015 Instructor: Dr. David Offenberg Office: Hilton 313 Phone: (310) 338-2903 E-mail: doffenberg@lmu.edu Office Hours: Tuesday, 4:00 – 6:00 p.m. (or by appointment) Class time: Tuesday, 7:15 - 10:00 p.m. (HIL 023) Course Overview: The purpose of this course is to study the impact of corporate financial strategy on shareholder wealth. In essence, this course covers the fundamentals of MBAA 608 with a lot more depth. Throughout the semester, we will examine real situations that were faced by real chief financial officers. In the end, you should have a much better appreciation for the role of the CFO in keeping the corporation afloat. Method: This course is taught via case studies supported by lectures. Class sessions begin with a studentled analysis of the assigned case. The remainder of the class period will be dedicated to further analysis of the case. Students have substantial responsibility (and incentives) for coming to class prepared to engage in active discussion. Each student is expected to work in a team to analyze the cases. Readings: The textbook for the course is: Case Problems in Finance, by Kester, Ruback and Tufano, Twelfth Edition, Publisher: McGraw Hill- Irwin. The bookstore will not carry the book so you must order it online. The MBAA 608 textbook is also a useful reference, but not required (Brigham...
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...Mergers, Acquisitions and Corporate Restructuring II MERGERS, ACQUISITIONS AND CORPORATE RESTRUCTURING Mergers, Acquisitions and Corporate Restructuring Edited by Chandrashekar Krishnamurti Vishwanath S.R. Copyright © Chandrashekar Krishnamurti and Vishwanath S.R., 2008 All rights reserved. No part of this book may be reproduced or utilized in any form or by any means, electronic or mechanical, including photocopying, recording or by any information storage or retrieval system, without permission in writing from the publisher. First published in 2008 by Response Books Business Books from SAGE B1/I-1 Mohan Cooperative Industrial Area Mathura Road, New Delhi 110 044, India SAGE Publications Inc 2455 Teller Road Thousand Oaks, California 91320, USA SAGE Publications Ltd 1 Oliver’s Yard, 55 City Road London EC1Y 1SP, United Kingdom SAGE Publications Asia-Pacific Pte Ltd 33 Pekin Street #02-01 Far East Square Singapore 048763 Published by Vivek Mehra for Response Books, typeset in 9.5/13 pt Berthold Baskerville by Star Compugraphics Private Limited, Delhi and printed at Chaman Enterprises, New Delhi. Library of Congress Cataloging-in-Publication Data Mergers, acquisitions and corporate restructuring/edited by Chandrashekar Krishnamurti, Vishwanath S.R. p. cm. Includes references and index. 1. Consolidation and merger of corporations. Corporate reorganizations. I. Vishwanath, S.R., 1971– II. Krishnamurti, Chandrashekar, 1956– HG4028.M4 .M44 658.1/6 22 2008...
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