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Chi Square

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Abstract: The purpose of my project is to find out two things about students at my school: 1. Is hair related to eye color? 2. Is favorite color related to favorite ice cream flavor? I took a survey of students, and used the chi square (χ2) statistic to see if the data is related. The χ2 statistic showed that hair color and eye color are related, but favorite color and favorite ice cream flavor are not related.

Purpose: To use statistics to find out two things about students at my school: 1. Is hair related to eye color? 2. Is favorite color related to favorite ice cream flavor?

Research: I chose this project because I wanted to learn more about probability and statistics. I can use statistics to answer a question about students at my school. χ2 is used to compare sets of descriptive data. Descriptive data are things like colors, flavors, names, and other things that cannot be described by just a number, like height or weight. I picked hair color and eye color because I thought they would be related. I wanted to test this. I picked favorite color and favorite ice cream flavor because I didn’t think they would be related. I wanted to test this also.

Hypotheses: First Hypothesis: Eye color and hair color will be related. In statistical terms: Null Hypothesis (H0): There is no relationship between eye color and hair color. Alternative Hypothesis (HA): There is a relationship between eye color and hair color. I expect that we will reject H0, and show a relationship.

Second Hypothesis: Favorite color and favorite ice cream flavor will be related. In statistical terms: Null Hypothesis (H0): There is no relationship between favorite color and favorite ice cream flavor. Alternative Hypothesis HA: There is a relationship between favorite color and favorite ice cream flavor. I expect that we will not reject H0, and not show a relationship.

Experiment: To do this experiment, I made a survey. The survey asked for eye color (Blue Brown, or Green), hair color (Blond, Brown, Red or Black), favorite color (Red, Yellow, Blue, or Green), and favorite ice cream flavor (Chocolate, Vanilla, or Strawberry). Students had to pick from the choices they were offered. They could not choose something not on the list. The surveys were handed out by teachers. Not all the classes got them. This makes my data a sample out of the population students. Sixty-eight students answered the survey. I summarized the data and entered it into Excel. I made what is called a “contingency table” for each of my two hypotheses. I calculated the χ2 statistic using the data in the table, and compared it to my decision rule. The decision rule tells you that two things are related if the calculated χ2 statistic is greater than a certain number.

Results: My χ2 calculations are shown in the Tables 1 and 2 attached at the end of the report. Look at Table 1. • Actual - The data under “Actual” (the black data) comes from the survey. For example, there are 27 students with brown eyes and brown hair. In total, there are 68 students in the survey. • Predicted - The next step in calculating the χ2 statistic is to find the “Predicted” values. These are shown in red. Here’s how you calculate the predicted. The 1.3 shown for blue eyes and blond hair is calculated by multiplying the 11 (from the row) by the 8 (from the column) and dividing by the grand total of 68. • Actual minus Predicted – Do this calculation to get the 2.7 shown for blue eyes and blond hair. These are shown in blue. • (Actual minus Predicted) Squared – Multiply “Actual minus Predicted” by “Actual minus Predicted” to get the purple numbers. This gives us the 7.3 shown for blue eyes and blond hair. • ((Actual minus Predicted) Squared) Divided by Predicted – Do this calculation to get the 5.7 shown for blue eyes and blond hair. These are the green numbers. • Add all 12 of the results to get the χ2 statistic of 13.9. • Compare 13.9 to the critical value of 12.5916. – Because 13.9 > 12.5916, there is a relationship between eye color and hair color.

The second hypothesis about favorite color and favorite ice cream flavor is tested the same way. But in this case, I show that there is not a relationship. (See Table 2). 1.5 < 12.5916 shows that there is not a relationship.

The 12.5916 is called a critical value.

The decision rule is to not reject the null hypothesis (H0) if the calculated χ2 statistic is less than 12.5916. If I do not reject (H0), that means there is no relationship.

The decision rule is to reject the null hypothesis (H0) if the calculated χ2 statistic is greater than 12.5916. If I reject (H0), that means there is a relationship.

The results in this experiment were what I expected.

Conclusions:

1. There is a relationship between eye color and hair color. 2. There is no relationship between favorite color and favorite flavor ice cream.

|Table 1 - Eye Color and Hair Color | | |
| | | | | | |
|This is based responses from 68 students. | | |
| | | | | | |
|Actual | | | | | |
| | | | | | |
| |Hair | | | | |
| |Blond |Brown |Red |Black | |
|Eyes | | | | | |
|Blue |4.0 |5.0 |1.0 |1.0 |11.0 |
|Brown |4.0 |27.0 |1.0 |5.0 |37.0 |
|Green |0.0 |19.0 |1.0 |0.0 |20.0 |
| |8.0 |51.0 |3.0 |6.0 |68.0 |
| | | | | | |
|Predicted | | | | | |
| | | | | | |
| |Hair | | | | |
| |Blond |Brown |Red |Black | |
|Eyes | | | | | |
|Blue |1.3 |8.3 |0.5 |1.0 |11.0 |
|Brown |4.4 |27.8 |1.6 |3.3 |37.0 |
|Green |2.4 |15.0 |0.9 |1.8 |20.0 |
| |8.0 |51.0 |3.0 |6.0 |68.0 |
| | | | | | |
|Actual - Predicted | | | | |
| | | | | | |
| |Hair | | | | |
| |Blond |Brown |Red |Black | |
|Eyes | | | | | |
|Blue |2.7 |-3.3 |0.5 |0.0 |0.0 |
|Brown |-0.4 |-0.8 |-0.6 |1.7 |0.0 |
|Green |-2.4 |4.0 |0.1 |-1.8 |0.0 |
| |0.0 |0.0 |0.0 |0.0 |0.0 |
| | | | | | |
|Actual - Predicted | | | | |
|Squared | | | | |
| | | | | | |
| |Hair | | | | |
| |Blond |Brown |Red |Black | |
|Eyes | | | | | |
|Blue |7.3 |10.6 |0.3 |0.0 |18.2 |
|Brown |0.1 |0.6 |0.4 |3.0 |4.1 |
|Green |5.5 |16.0 |0.0 |3.1 |24.7 |
| |13.0 |27.1 |0.7 |6.1 |46.9 |
| | | | | | |
|((Actual - Predicted) Squared) Divided by Predicted | | |
| | | | | | |
| |Hair | | | | |
| |Blond |Brown |Red |Black | |
|Eyes | | | | | |
|Blue |5.7 |1.3 |0.5 |0.0 |7.5 |
|Brown |0.0 |0.0 |0.2 |0.9 |1.2 |
|Green |2.4 |1.1 |0.0 |1.8 |5.2 |
| |8.0 |2.4 |0.8 |2.7 |13.9 |
| | | | | |CHI SQ. |
|There are 3 rows and 4 columns. | | |χ2 |
|There are (2 times 3) or 6 Degrees of Freedom | | |
|At α = 5%, the Critical Value is | | | |
|12.5916. | | | |
|13.9 > 12.5916, so there would be a relationship between eyes and hair here. |

|Table 2- Favorite Color and Favorite Ice Cream Flavor |
| | | | | | |
|This is based responses from 68 students. | | |
| | | | | | |
|Actual | | | | | |
| | | | | | |
| |Favorite Color | | | |
| |Red |Yellow |Blue |Green | |
|Ice Cream | | | | | |
|Chocolate |5.0 |2.0 |17.0 |7.0 |31.0 |
|Vanilla |2.0 |2.0 |11.0 |5.0 |20.0 |
|Strawberry |4.0 |1.0 |8.0 |4.0 |17.0 |
| |11.0 |5.0 |36.0 |16.0 |68.0 |
| | | | | | |
|Predicted | | | | | |
| | | | | | |
| |Favorite Color | | | |
| |Red |Yellow |Blue |Green | |
|Ice Cream | | | | | |
|Chocolate |5.0 |2.3 |16.4 |7.3 |31.0 |
|Vanilla |3.2 |1.5 |10.6 |4.7 |20.0 |
|Strawberry |2.8 |1.3 |9.0 |4.0 |17.0 |
| |11.0 |5.0 |36.0 |16.0 |68.0 |
| | | | | | |
|Actual - Predicted | | | | |
| | | | | | |
| |Favorite Color | | | |
| |Red |Yellow |Blue |Green | |
|Ice Cream | | | | | |
|Chocolate |0.0 |-0.3 |0.6 |-0.3 |0.0 |
|Vanilla |-1.2 |0.5 |0.4 |0.3 |0.0 |
|Strawberry |1.3 |-0.3 |-1.0 |0.0 |0.0 |
| |0.0 |0.0 |0.0 |0.0 |0.0 |
| | | | | | |
|Actual - Predicted | | | | |
|Squared | | | | |
| | | | | | |
| |Favorite Color | | | |
| |Red |Yellow |Blue |Green | |
|Ice Cream | | | | | |
|Chocolate |0.0 |0.1 |0.3 |0.1 |0.5 |
|Vanilla |1.5 |0.3 |0.2 |0.1 |2.1 |
|Strawberry |1.6 |0.1 |1.0 |0.0 |2.6 |
| |3.1 |0.4 |1.5 |0.2 |5.2 |
| | | | | | |
|((Actual - Predicted) Squared) Divided by Predicted | | |
| | | | | | |
| |Favorite Color | | | |
| |Red |Yellow |Blue |Green | |
|Ice Cream | | | | | |
|Chocolate |0.0 |0.0 |0.0 |0.0 |0.1 |
|Vanilla |0.5 |0.2 |0.0 |0.0 |0.7 |
|Strawberry |0.6 |0.1 |0.1 |0.0 |0.7 |
| |1.0 |0.3 |0.1 |0.0 |1.5 |
| | | | | |CHI SQ. |
|There are 3 rows and 4 columns. | | |χ2 |
|There are (2 times 3) or 6 Degrees of Freedom | | |
|At α = 5%, the Critical Value is | | | |
|12.5916. | | | |
|1.5 < 12.5916, so there is no relationship between favorite color and favorite|
|ice cream. |

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...4/7/2014 Basic Statistics: An Overview Basic Statistics: Review  Descriptive Statistics  Scatter graph  Measures of central tendency  Mean  Median, quartile, deciles, percentile  Mode  Weighted mean  GM  HM  Measures of dispersion  Range,  IQR  Semi IQR  Mean deviation  Standard deviation  Variance  Coeff of variation   Inferential Statistics  Populations  Sampling  Estimation of Parameters   Point Estimation Interval Estimation Unbiased Minimum Variance Consistency Efficiency  Properties of Point Estimators      Statistical Inference: Hypothesis Testing    T test F test Chi square test   Measures of shape of the curve  Moments  Skewness  kurtosis Probability distributions  Normal Distribution  T-student Distribution  Chi-Square Distribution  F Distribution Index Number   Etc. Correlational Statistics  Covariance  Correlations  regressions 1 4/7/2014 Some Terminology  Variables are things that we measure, control, or  manipulate .They may be classified as: 1. Quantitative i.e. numerical  Continuous: takes fractional values ex. height in cm  Discrete : takes no fractional values ex. GDP  Random Variable: If the value of a variable cannot be  predicted in advance Non random : If the value of a variable cannot be  predicted in advance  Some Terminology 2. Qualitative i.e. non numerical 1. Nominal: Items are usually categorical and may have numbers...

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...a manuscript (unless the p value is less than .001). Please pay attention to issues of italics and spacing. APA style is very precise about these. Also, with the exception of some p values, most statistics should be rounded to two decimal places. 
Mean and Standard Deviation are most clearly presented in parentheses: The sample as a whole was relatively young (M = 19.22, SD = 3.45). The average age of students was 19.22 years (SD = 3.45). 
Percentages are also most clearly displayed in parentheses with no decimal places: Nearly half (49%) of the sample was married. 
Chi-Square statistics are reported with degrees of freedom and sample size in parentheses, the Pearson chi-square value (rounded to two decimal places), and the significance level: The percentage of participants that were married did not differ by gender, χ2(1, N = 90) = 0.89, p = .35. 
T Tests are reported like chi-squares, but only the degrees of freedom are in parentheses. Following that, report the t statistic (rounded to two decimal places) and the significance level. There was a significant effect for gender, t(54) = 5.43, p < .001, with men receiving higher scores than women. 
ANOVAs (both one-way and two-way) are reported like the t test, but there are two degrees-of-freedom numbers to report. First report the between-groups degrees of freedom, then report the within-groups degrees of freedom (separated by a comma). After that report the F statistic (rounded off to two decimal places)...

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