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Co-Relation of Growth and Inflation in India & China

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PGEXP 2011-13Group 2 * Sanjay Kumar Mishra (Roll -107) * Dharmendra Kumar (Roll – 112) * Debashish Roy (Roll – 232) |

GROUP ASSIGNMENT

CORRELATION BETWEEN GROWTH AND INFLATION WITH SPECIAL REFERENCE TO INDIA & CHINA
One of the most fundamental and central macroeconomic policy objectives of the governments, central bankers and economists has been to sustain high growth rate with low inflation. The influences of other macroeconomic variables like aggregate demand, unemployment and investment and that of factors like human and natural capital and technology on economic growth are well-established. But when it comes to the inter-relationship between inflation and economic growth, there are divergences in opinion, more so because of lack of any linearity in the two variables.
Introduction
Theoretically, it is argued that when growth is caused by rising aggregate demand at low level of unemployment, it would lead to inflationary tendencies. This is because when demand aggregate outstrips the available supply, the disequilibrium would push the prices up. Low and declining unemployment level means wages would also rise and thus price rise caused by demand pull will also bring in the cost push factors to sustain the inflationary conditions. Inflationary tendencies can be thwarted when the aggregate demand pulls are matched by increased productivity and investment. But in the times of inflationary expectations, the investment slackens as the future prospects of earnings deteriorate and thus the inflation continues to spiral.
Short- run Philips Curve do give a fair explanation of unemployment and price-rise, and assuming decline in unemployment is associated with increase in growth rate, the short-run Philips curve also explains the short term relationship of growth rate and inflation at low level of

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