...4194 APRIL 19, 2010 TIMOTHY A. LUEHRMAN JAMES QUINN Groupe Ariel S.A.: Parity Conditions and Cross-Border Valuation On June 23, 2008, a Monday morning, Arnaud Martin arrived at his office in Groupe Ariel’s corporate headquarters in Mulhouse, France. The previous week, Martin had requested additional financial information about an investment proposal from Ariel-Mexico, a wholly owned subsidiary that operated a manufacturing facility and a regional sales office in Monterrey, Mexico. The information had arrived late Friday—too late for Martin to analyze—and was waiting for him Monday morning. As a financial analyst for a global manufacturer of printing and imaging equipment, Martin examined many cross-border projects, particularly since Ariel had accelerated its move into emerging markets several years earlier. The Mexican investment proposal called for the purchase and installation of new automated machinery to recycle and remanufacture toner- and printer cartridges. Cartridge recycling had become an important part of Ariel’s business in many markets and promised continued growth. Many office product retailers operated formal toner cartridge recycling programs, for both the environmental benefits of keeping materials out of landfills and demonstrated cost savings for their customers. Writing in a leading trade journal, one analyst predicted, “We are going to see more and more refined approaches to recycling and remanufacturing [cartridges] in the coming months...
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...Федеральное государственное бюджетное образовательное учреждение высшего профессионального образования РОССИЙСКАЯ АКАДЕМИЯ НАРОДНОГО ХОЗЯЙСТВА И ГОСУДАРСТВЕННОЙ СЛУЖБЫ ПРИ ПРЕЗИДЕНТЕ РФ ИНСТИТУТ БИЗНЕСА И ДЕЛОВОГО АДМИНИСТРИРОВАНИЯ | ФАКУЛЬТЕТ МЕЖДУНАРОДНОГО БИЗНЕСА И ДЕЛОВОГО АДМИНИСТРИРОВАНИЯ Groupe Ariel S.A. Case Artyom Kirillov Polina Dzyuba Moscow 2011 Groupe Ariel S.A. : Parity Conditions and Cross-Border Valuation Question 1 There are two ways to compute the projects NPV. The first approach is to calculate it in Mexican Pesos and then change the resulting figure into Euros at the spot rate of MXN15.99/EUR. Note that the discount rate that we have used was the yield on the long-term peso-denominated corporate bonds. Below is the screenshot showing how we have done this. Computing NPV in Mexican Pesos (resulting NPV in Euros is 138,902) Question 2 The second approach is to transfer each cash flow from Mexican Pesos into Euros using the future rates (e.g. in year 5 we use the rate for this particular year rather...
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...Groupe Ariel S.A: Parity Conditions and Cross-Border Valuation Abstract This case discusses Cross-Border valuation of projects. This kind of analysis is common for companies that are operating in many countries. Groupe Ariel is one such company that is considering investing in a project in its own subsidiary in Mexico. The company manufactures and sells printers, copiers and other document production equipment in many countries. As far as, expansion into new markets is concerned, company is very slow in taking initiatives as compared to its competitors owing to the recent recession. But the management of the company believes that better durability and lower after-sales service costs of their products enable the company to build customer loyalty. The company is now considering replacing the manual equipment used for recycling in Mexico by new equipment that requires less material and labour costs. But, the uncertainty linked with certain macroeconomic factors like exchange rate, inflation and interest rate has made the valuation of the project very complex. Compute the NPV of Ariel-Mexico’s recycling equipment by counting incremental peso cash flows at a peso interest rate. How should this NPV be translated into Euros? Assume expected future inflation for France is 3% per year. For the purpose of calculating NPV in Pesos, incremental cash flows of the project for the next 10 years should be calculated first. The initial outflow of cash flow at time “0” is the cost of new...
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...Caso: Groupe Ariel S.A.: Parity Conditions and Cross-Border Valuation Algunos datos importantes que nos da el caso y que utilizaremos en este análisis: • Valor de la inversión = $ 3,500,000 Pesos • Valor de la inversión = 220,000 Euros • Depreciación del equipo nuevo a 10 años. • Valor en libros de equipo manual actual $ 250,000 pesos faltando 3 años para depreciarlo. • Valor de mercado de este equipo usado $ 175,000 pesos • Ventas proyectadas en 2008 (proyectadas) = 3.35 Billones de Euros • Actividades de consultoría = 18% de las ventas totales • Utilidad Neta en 2008 = 61.2 Millones de Euros • Ariel México corrió en 2008 al 80% de su capacidad • Inflación proyectada en México del 7%. • Tasa de descuento de Ariel 8% • Tasa de Interés en Francia es del Corto Plazo 4.99%, largo plazo 4.75% • Tasa de Interés en México es del 8%, largo plazo 9.21% • Tipo de cambio de Pesos/Euros $ 20 pesos en 2011 • Tipo de cambio de Pesos/Euros $ 25 pesos en 2013-2018 Pregunta 1: Calculen el valor presente neto (VPN) en pesos de los flujos incrementales del equipo de reciclaje de Ariel México. Supongan que la inflación esperada en Francia es del 3% anual. Buscamos la fórmula del valor presente en nuestro libro de textocapitulo uno y consultamos también el capítulo 14 del libro “Economía” de Samuelson Nordhaus. Para calcula el VPN primero es necesario que calculemos los flujos incrementales de la máquina automática y la manual en moneda nacional...
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...a good way to communicate. If I do not respond to your email message, that means I did not receive it. Please send it again. Email: butcher@ups.edu Required Course Materials Text: Madura, International Financial Management, Abridged 10th Edition, South-Western, 2011 Book: Lewis Michael, Boomerang: Travels in the New Third World, Norton, 2011 Calculator: A calculator is required. A financial calculator would be preferable, as it would have functions for bond valuation, net present valuation (NPV), internal rate of return (IRR), present value (PV), and future value (FV). A suitable calculator, the HP10-B, is available in the bookstore for about $30. Harvard Business School Cases https://cb.hbsp.harvard.edu/cbmp/access/17920074 The above is the URL for Harvard Business School so that you can obtain discounted student pricing for the cases: Group Ariel S.S.: Parity Conditions and Cross-Border Valuation (Note that there is no need to purchase the audio version of this case.) Pixonix Inc. Addressing Currency Exposure Recommended: 1. Subscription to the Wall Street Journal. Several class sessions will utilize information from the Wall Street Journal. See syllabus for the dates. 2. Subscription to or regular reading of the Financial Times....
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