...Development of a qualitative reasoning model for financial forecasting Paper type Research paper Introduction Qualitative reasoning systems employ model-based reasoning using qualitative values. Model-based reasoning systems are specific types of knowledge-based systems in which the underlying causal model of the system is represented. This makes the systems less brittle than heuristic systems, which fail to provide solutions outside their narrow domain of expertise (Jackson, 1990; Iwasaki and Simon, 1990). Furthermore, qualitative reasoning systems provide a mechanism for handling uncertainty by using qualitative values. Until now, qualitative reasoning has been used mostly for physical systems (AIME, 2003; Williams et al., 2003). This has provided us with insights into the modeling principles and techniques of qualitative reasoning. However, there have been very limited applications of qualitative reasoning in business and finance (Brajnik and Lines, 1998; Apte and Hong, 1986, Hart et al., 1986). Yet, with its ability to deal with qualitative information, handling uncertainty and backtracking, qualitative reasoning can be extremely useful in business and finance domains. The purpose of this paper is to illustrate how qualitative reasoning models can be developed in a financial domain, the applicability of these models and the problems and issues related to the development of qualitative reasoning models in finance. Characteristics of qualitative reasoning models ...
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...overview of the organisation of the human body before looking at how body systems work together to provide energy for the body. Learners will have the opportunity to investigate how homeostatic mechanisms operate in the body. Unit introduction This unit introduces core knowledge of cellular structure and function, and the organisation of the body as a whole, and then builds on this to develop a more detailed knowledge of the fine anatomy and physiology of the systems involved in energy metabolism. Learners will examine the homeostatic mechanisms involved in regulating these systems to maintain health. Learners will be given the opportunity to undertake practical activities which will require them to take measurements of the cardio-vascular system, the respiratory system and of body temperature, using noninvasive techniques to investigate normal responses to routine variations in body functioning. This unit provides the core understanding of human physiology that underpins the study of the specialist physiology units within this programme. The unit also provides an overview of body functioning that is valuable for anyone working or intending to work in a field relating to health and social care. Learning outcomes On completion of this unit a learner should: 1. Know the organisation of the human body 1. Understand the functioning of the body systems associated with energy metabolism 1. Understand how homeostatic mechanisms operate in the maintenance of an internal...
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...Rule-based Expert Systems Artificial Intelligence Department of Industrial Engineering and Management Cheng Shiu University Outline * Problem solving * Knowledge based problem solving * Expert Systems * Expert System Development team * Structures of Rule-based ES * Reasoning * Examples of Rule-based ES * Advantages/Disadvantages of Rule-based ES Problem Solving Procedures * Defining and Representing the Problem * Descriptions of Problem Solving * Selecting Some Suitable Solving Methods * Finding Several Possible Solutions * Choosing One Feasible Solution to Make a Decision Defining and Representing the Problem * State space: The combination of the initial state and the set of operators make up the state space of the problem. * Initiate state: The original state of the problem. * Operators: used to modify the current state, thereby creating a new state. * Path: The sequence of states produced by the valid application of operators from an old state to a new state is called the path. * Goal state: A state fit to the searching objective is called the goal state. Knowledge representation * Represent and manipulate the domain knowledge * Knowledge Definition * Knowledge Storing * Knowledge Representation Knowledge Definition * “The fact or condition of knowing something with familiarity gained through experience or association.” (Webster’s Dictionary, 1988)(Knowing something via seeing...
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...http://www-ksl.stanford.edu/kst/what-is-an-ontology.html [KST : Knowledge Sharing Technology] What is an Ontology? By Tom Gruber ontology Page 1 Short answer: An ontology is a specification of a conceptualization. The word "ontology" seems to generate a lot of controversy in discussions about AI. It has a long history in philosophy, in which it refers to the subject of existence. It is also often confused with epistemology, which is about knowledge and knowing. In the context of knowledge sharing, I use the term ontology to mean a specification of a conceptualization. That is, an ontology is a description (like a formal specification of a program) of the concepts and relationships that can exist for an agent or a community of agents. This definition is consistent with the usage of ontology as setof-concept-definitions, but more general. And it is certainly a different sense of the word than its use in philosophy. What is important is what an ontology is for. My colleagues and I have been designing ontologies for the purpose of enabling knowledge sharing and reuse. In that context, an ontology is a specification used for making ontological commitments. The formal definition of ontological commitment is given below. For pragmetic reasons, we choose to write an ontology as a set of definitions of formal vocabulary. Although this isn't the only way to specify a conceptualization, it has some nice properties for knowledge sharing among AI software (e.g., semantics independent...
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...[pic] The Bra Boys are a gang of young blokes who enjoy their surf amongst the beaches of Maroubra on New South Wales who occasionally get made out to be something they are not by the media. Main gang members Sunny and Koby Abberton have made a documentary to tell their side of the story and prove their innocence. Today I will be discussing and reviewing whether or not it is true that the "Bra Boys" are depicted by the media as being maligned. Within the Bra Boys documentary they are stating themselves not to be a gang, but a brotherhood. What kind of brotherhood walks around the streets late night getting into lights supposedly "protecting" their place in town and the beach? I personally think that the gang have done immature things in the past which media have taken too far to make them look bad but in saying that 1 also believe that they are a great bunch of blokes who deep down just want to enjoy the surf Media obligations such as a murder within the bra boys got fully blown out of proportion and the media made false accusations to the public. I am supporting the case that the bra boys are not as bad as made out to be. December 24th 2002 On this night in December an alleged brawl between the notorious surf gang the bra boys and many of the local off duty police. It started out as a normal night with a few of he boys together all having fun, having a few drinks celebrating a fellow bra boy and close friends birthday. The bra boys party consisting of approximately...
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...Producers statement My script between an atom and a human (of age unknown), carries several messages and similarities to Our Friend The Atom. It carries a few references and techniques all used in Our Friend The Atom. First of all, the purpose. Our Friend The Atom was there to educate and to influence. Both of which are carried in this script. I educate about the dangers of coal and the powers of nuclear energy. I educate about how the atom was discovered and how energy works and its uses. It also highlights the scale of atoms by referring to relatives and words like “exponential.” The audience of Our Friend The Atom was unclear. It used a lot of technical language and then reverted back to simple conversation. The audience intended for Our...
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...and Industrial Research Organisation (CSIRO), Hobart, Australia 7001 Abstract— In this paper a novel data integration approach based on three environmental Sensors – Model Networks (including the Bureau of Meteorology-SILO database, Australian Cosmic Ray Sensor Network database (CosmOz), and Australian Water Availability Project (AWAP) database) has been proposed to estimate ground water balance and average water availability. An unsupervised machine learning based clustering technique (Dynamic Linear Discriminant Analysis (D-LDA)) has been applied for extracting knowledge from the large integrated database. The Commonwealth Scientific and Industrial Research Organisation (CSIRO) Sensor CLOUD computing infrastructure has been used extensively to process big data integration and the machine learning based decision support system. An analytical outcome from the Sensor CLOUD is presented as dynamic web based knowledge recommendation service using JSON file format. An intelligent ANDROID based mobile application has been developed, capable of automatically communicating with the Sensor CLOUD to get the most recent daily irrigation, water requirement for a chosen location and display the status in a user friendly traffic light system. This recommendation could be used directly by the farmers to make the final decision whether to buy extra water for irrigation or not on a particular day. University of Tasmania Hobart, Australia 7001 the water wastage is minimized. In Australia...
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...Knowledge is not something that we are born with or that we can just create for ourselves. It is something that we must learn through life events, which enable us to better our own knowledge. True opinion is a strong belief that people make in order to represent knowledge that they do not have. According to dictionary.com knowledge is facts, information and skills acquired by a person through experience or education. In the Meno, Plato says true opinion and “knowledge” are two separate ways of knowledge. In Frank A. Lewis’ book, “Knowledge and the Eyewitness: Plato "Theaetetus” he shows in detail how different true opinion and knowledge are. Lewis states, “He has been correctly persuaded, assuming that he has judged well. But if Knowledge...
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...Available online at www.sciencedirect.com Pattern Recognition Letters 29 (2008) 1024–1032 www.elsevier.com/locate/patrec Learning to learn: From smart machines to intelligent machines B. Raducanu b a,* ` , J. Vitria a,b a Computer Vision Center, Edifici ‘‘O’’ – Campus UAB, 08193 Bellaterra, Barcelona, Spain Computer Science Department, Autonomous University of Barcelona, 08193 Bellaterra, Barcelona, Spain Available online 14 September 2007 Abstract Since its birth, more than five decades ago, one of the biggest challenges of artificial intelligence remained the building of intelligent machines. Despite amazing advancements, we are still far from having machines that reach human intelligence level. The current paper tries to offer a possible explanation of this situation. For this purpose, we make a review of different learning strategies and context types that are involved in the learning process. We also present the results of a study on cognitive development applied to the problem of face recognition for social robotics. Ó 2007 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved. Keywords: Intelligent systems; Cognitive development; Context; Social robotics; Face recognition 1. Introduction The golden dream of artificial intelligence (AI) remains to design and build systems showing human-like intelligence. Nowadays, the machines can perform remarkable things: there are chess algorithms able to play at international masters complexity levels, applications to coordinate...
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...since the 1930s and an inspiration for generations all over the world ever since. For many, including myself, the Princes, Princesses and fantastical creatures of Disney’s animated fairy tales have become symbols of their youth. Seeing the films gives rise to a feeling of nostalgia, they become a memento of one’s childhood world. But what kind of world is this? What kind of realities do Disney’s fantastical representations construct? In my thesis, I will analyze a specific element of Disney films: gender roles constructed through the representation of femininity in their animated features. I will study how this representation changes over time: has Disney’s highly criticized construction of gender roles changed over time, and if so, what realities do contemporary Disney discourses construct? I propose to research how femininity is represented in Walt Disney‘s animated features, how this representation changes over time and what kind of effects this has on the...
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...Rhetorical Analysis: How to Keep Fit Nowadays the problem of obesity might be one of the hugest ones of modern society. It seems to me that a lot of people suffer from being overweight and just accept the problem when they have to solve it and resist it. It has to be mentioned that the potential audience of the chosen article under analysis might be people from school age till the age of 120, and more. It does not matter how old are you for this problem is able to touch anybody. There are several rhetorical concepts used in this article: logos, pathos and ethos. Logos is suggested to be responsible for reasoning and might be represented by a logical chain or flow of sentences. The effect of logos on the audience might sometimes be called the argument’s logical appeal. Pathos is another concept that refers to readers emotions by its appeal. However, pathos has an aim not only to evoke certain emotion, but to identify the point of view of the author. The aim of pathos is to provoke the reader to commit some actions. The last but not least concept is ethos is concerning the credibility. The aim of ethos is to convince the reader by creating the atmosphere of...
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...react. And In a way the power struggle, mob mentality, fear and violence represented in Lord of The Flies has played out many times over history. William Golding was not just comparing the two worlds they were one and the same represented by boys because really adults can be just as vulnerable and volatile they simply hide behind the idea of maturity which can quickly disintegrate when scared. This of course happened in Lord of The Flies the maturity disintegrated and they descended into savagery. It is simply human nature “I believed that the condition of man was to be morally diseased creation…trace the connection between his diseased nature and the international messes he gets himself into”. (Pg. 253) The symbolism in Lord of The Flies represents so many different aspects of society. The conch represents democracy and power it being the object that brings them together to vote, assemble and speak freely. As long as the conch exists the island is a place of order and fairness and with the conch comes Ralphs reign as chief. But when the boys begin to ignore the conch does Jack gain more power though he is still not equal to Ralph until the conch is destroyed the conch represented Ralphs authority and with it gone the boys no longer registered him as chief “Suddenly Jack bounded out from the tribe and began screaming wildly… ‘There isn’t a tribe anymore! The conch is gone… I’m chief!” (Pg. 223) This shows how a system of rules and order is needed to control the violent and impulsive...
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...audiences three groups: beautiful, victimised but fearsome killer whales; trainers are represented as vulnerable as well as compassionate and the sea world management is represented as manipulative, callous and greedy. Audiences are positioned to view whales with admiration, fear, sympathy and understanding; to view trainers with admiration and sympathy and to view the seaworld management with anger and disgust. Firstly, orcas are portrayed as majestic creatures, they are victims under the Seaworld management and they...
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...Introduction The flaw of the law is very common in Bangladesh. In fact there is no flaw of any laws, but the way you use it. Here the proper word can be used as abusing laws. People misuse the law for their own benefit. But the consequence of abusing or misusing law is very dangerous. It is not only a common practice in Bangladesh but also in other developed countries. But the scenario we have here is much more threatening as well as immoral in our society. Actually what we do by misusing law, we do not care about the consequences. If we take a closer look to our society, we will find that there are many areas where the violations of law are very common. Misinterpretation of different sections is also available and which mainly leads to the flaw of law. By doing this the rate of corruption goes up. This law loop hole creates section violations, bribery, custodial death and others. The topic talks about a vast area which simply cannot be discussed easily. There are many problems that we have in our society. Here I have narrowed down the topic and will discuss about Section 54, 167 and 61 of Code of Criminal Procedure 1898. All these sections talks about arrest without warrant and detention rules. In our country, these sections are misinterpreted randomly and as a result it violates sections and makes way for corruptions. Actually political and some muscle man of our society does these unlawful things in the name of law to eliminate their obstacles legally. There...
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...Since the 1970s,Transaction processing systems are already available and was already used by nearly all businesses. The development of transaction processing systems is pushed forward by the advent of the Internet which turned this system a booming software. We are all aware that the cost of buying and implementing the necessary software has dropped so much and is now very affordable to all. Most businesses can now apply the softwares profitably. Many transaction are now readily available and less time consuming. Anyone can now do banking from home, booking a holiday on the net, shopping and working from home are all now, and that was made possible by transaction processing. Transaction processing is actually a computer-based group of logical operations. Success of all the operations or failure of the operation as a group makes the transaction processing to work. For example if you are buying an item, the process of buying include paying the price from your account. That consists debiting your account according to the price of an item, and crediting your utility provider’s account. The system to be efficient it needs to pass the ACID test. Transactions are known as atomic, and that mean the transaction will either happen or not. If one account is debited, then another account has to be credited. For example for the transaction processing to work, both the debiting from your account and crediting to the provider’s account should be successful. Supposing your account was...
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