...GAS IN 2020 Phillip Lang BUS 308 Nicholas Bergan 02/13/12 Part 1: Data Analysis The data that will be analyzed in this report is the consumer price index for fuel prices from the year 1982 to 2011. In this report we will be analyzing trend of gasoline prices and were they will take us in the future. Also this report will be help companies dealing with the oil industry and the expected price increases from a statistical perspective. Scatterplot: This chart shows us over time (x-axis) and the average price of fuel (y-axis) per year and explains the rate at which fuel prices are increasing. Without outside variables we can easily see the correlation of fuel prices now and what they will be in the future. The graph shows there is a positive correlation between price and time. The regression line and the positive slope explains that positive correlation. The slope: The slope as indicated by that diagram is .065, the value represents that the fuel price will increase over time, if the all assosiated variables are constant, by .065 units. So all of this information explains the increase in fuel prices as time elaspses. The y intercept: The y intercept from the results is -127.643. Regression model: y = 0.065x - 127.643 Estimating Fuel prices for 2020: When estimating fuel for 2020 within the model we are using we simply have x equal the year to come to the conclusion of where fuel prices will be. If the fuel price rises on average .065 units per year then...
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...A Nuclear Iran and Proliferation It has been argued that the Israeli fear of a nuclear Iran is more due to the resultant threat of nuclear proliferation in the Middle East than an Iranian NW per se.23 The revolutions that have swept across the region over the year or so will conceivably lead to greater control of Arab foreign policy by the Arab street, thus animosity towards Israel will appear in future decision-making. Israeli apprehension is born out of the theory that an Iranian NW will, by way of the security concept mentioned previously, lead to proliferation in the region. Combine greater regional acrimony toward the Jewish state with an Arab nuclear capability and Israeli fears are comprehensible. As Kenneth Waltz has argued, history demonstrates that the cascade concept (a state will rapidly construct NWs to counter strategic imbalance created by a hostile neighbour’s nuclear arming) is flawed. His argument is further consolidated by virtue of the fact that the fear of rapid nuclear proliferation has been vociferously audible in Western media almost every year since the 1960s, yet the world possesses only nine nuclear powers.24 Leaving this convincing argument to one side, would a nuclear Iran provoke proliferation in the Middle East? Sagan’s aforementioned three theories assume that a state has the ability and the opportunity to develop a weapon.25 By inserting such a caveat we can eliminate numerous states from this predictive analysis of proliferation in the...
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...Recession A significant decline in activity across the economy, lasting longer than a few months. It is visible in industrial production, employment, real income and wholesale-retail trade. The technical indicator of a recession is two consecutive quarters of negative economic growth as measured by a country's gross domestic product (GDP); although the National Bureau of Economic Research (NBER) does not necessarily need to see this occur to call a recession. Recession is a normal (albeit unpleasant) part of the business cycle; however, one-time crisis events can often trigger the onset of a recession. The global recession of 2008-2009 brought a great amount of attention to the risky investment strategies used by many large financial institutions, along with the truly global nature of the financial system. As a result of such a wide-spread global recession, the economies of virtually all the world's developed and developing nations suffered extreme set-backs and numerous government policies were implemented to help prevent a similar future financial crisis. A recession generally lasts from six to 18 months, and interest rates usually fall in during these months to stimulate the economy by offering cheap rates at which to borrow money. The sharp decline in economic activity during the late 2000s, which is generally considered the largest downturn since the Great Depression. The term “Great Recession” applies to both the U.S. recession – officially lasting from December 2007...
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...Efforts During James L. Carter’s Presidential Time in Office In 1976 Americans chose James L. Carter versus Gerald Ford as their new president. The former governor of Georgia was appointed in hopes of defending American interests in the midst of the Cold War. Of President Carters’ administration, one of its most resilient adversities was faced Iran. Former President Dwight D. Eisenhower overthrew the leader of Iran in the 1953 Iranian coup d'etat, and used nuclear threats to conclude the Korean War with China. The New Look policy, the national security policy of the United States during his administration, called the New Look policy gave priority to inexpensive nuclear weapons while reducing the funding for the other military forces; the goal was to keep pressure on the Soviet Union and reduce federal deficits. Carter collaborated in this conquest. In response, Iran installed oppression of fanatical Moslem ayatollahs. This new government seized the American embassy in violation of the diplomatic law, withholding 66 hostages for the rest of the Carter administration. On November 14, 1979 President Carter immobilized the sale of weapons to Iran, banned all oil imports from them, and froze Iranian assets in the United States. The following year conditions for the release of the hostages were announced by the Shah but only in January 20th, 1981 when Ronald Reagan becomes President were they set free. The hostages were released a few hours before his installation in the White...
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...1. Introduction The most important factor in the fate of societies and nations is command of energy. Energy is defined as the ability or capacity to do work. Energy policy in the European Union represents one of the core policies since the beginning of the European Integration. The treaty of Paris to establish a European Coal and Steel Community (ECSC) and the European Atomic Energy Community (EURATOM or EAEC) were the first attempts to an energy cooperation within the European Community. As the size of the European Union grows (reached twenty eight member states as of March 2013), it needed more energy sources as energy plays an important role for economic development. Now the European Union is the largest importer of energy (oil and gas) in the world, and the second largest energy consumer. Therefore, member states of the EU need more secure access to energy resources. Beside the North-South and East-West energy corridors, Europe ingests the South-North corridor, connecting it with North Africa and the Middle East. In 2007 Oil and Gas Journal estimated stocks and supplies of oil at 114 billion barrel and natural gas at 13, 9 billion cubic meter. Almost one third of European imported oil comes either from the Middle East or from North-West Africa. Europe pipeline interests in the south are focused exclusively on natural gas. In 2006 Algeria delivered 16, 7% of Europe gas, and it’s considered to be the biggest third land delivers natural gas, including LNG (Liquefied Natural...
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...Pakistan-China Trade and Economic Corridor Economic Analysis Submitted to: Dr. Mehmood Karim Qureshi Business Economics for Mathematics MBA – 2 years (Evening) Submitted by: Asad Akram Roll No. 14I – 1216 Introduction: Pakistan and Chinese governments are planning to execute a trade and economic corridor through the length of Pakistan, from Gwadar in Baluchistan to Kashgar in Xingjiang. It will be a land based transport route alternate to the conventional sea route spanning Persian Gulf to China’s coastal regions. This corridor development can prove vital to bringing Pakistan’s economy back on its feet and also helping China in increasing trade with Middle East and African Countries. More than half of the world's proven oil reserves are located in the Middle East, the top region-based supplier of crude oil to China. In 2012, China imported 5.4 million bbl/d or 56% of its daily consumption in crude oil, of which 48.1% originated from the Persian Gulf. Up till now, all of this volume has been moved by seaborne oil tankers hauling over some 10,000 nautical miles to terminals along the east and southeast coast of China. Each journey is beset with one of the world's most perilous chokepoints - the Strait of Malacca. This leaves Beijing with tough choices in guaranteeing security in energy supply, practically because nearly 60% of annual oil consumption of this emerging economic powerhouse has to be imported and is still growing. Moreover, superior naval advantage...
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...Israeli Test on Worm Called Crucial in Iran Nuclear Delay By WILLIAM J. BROAD, JOHN MARKOFF and DAVID E. SANGER Ralph Langner, an independent computer security expert, solved Stuxnet. The Dimona complex in the Negev desert is famous as the heavily guarded heart of Israel’s never-acknowledged nuclear arms program, where neat rows of factories make atomic fuel for the arsenal. Over the past two years, according to intelligence and military experts familiar with its operations, Dimona has taken on a new, equally secret role — as a critical testing ground in a joint American and Israeli effort to undermine Iran’s efforts to make a bomb of its own. Behind Dimona’s barbed wire, the experts say, Israel has spun nuclear centrifuges virtually identical to Iran’s at Natanz, where Iranian scientists are struggling to enrich uranium. They say Dimona tested the effectiveness of the Stuxnet computer worm, a destructive program that appears to have wiped out roughly a fifth of Iran’s nuclear centrifuges and helped delay, though not destroy, Tehran’s ability to make its first nuclear arms. “To check out the worm, you have to know the machines,” said an American expert on nuclear intelligence. “The reason the worm has been effective is that the Israelis tried it out.” Though American and Israeli officials refuse to talk publicly about what goes on at Dimona, the operations there, as well as related efforts in the United States, are among the newest and strongest clues suggesting...
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...[Type the company name] | Personal Marketing Plan | [Type the document subtitle] | | | 7/29/2012 | I. Executive Summery The purpose of this marketing plan is to help determine what direction and actions I should take in pursuing a business career. I am offering my services to a large multinational corporation in need of a Logistician. My main long term goals are to achieve a Senior Level Logistician Manager for a earning a salary of over 100,000 dollars a year plus benefits. To achieve this goal I must analyze the internal and external marketing environment, competition, SWOT, and set goals and objectives to measure my progress. II. Situation Analysis A. The Internal Environment I am a studying in Supply Chain Management. I’m about to enter in the professional workforce focusing on companies that are in need of a professional in the Supply Chain field. Corporations are now competing in the global market for customers, suppliers, retailers, and manufacturers and are now having to get their raw materials into finished product and then to market using a vast supply chain that stretches across the globe. Review of the marketing goals and objectives My main marketing goal is to coordinate an organization’s supply chain. I will manage the entire life cycle of a product, which includes how a product is acquired, distributed, allocated, and delivered. To achieve this goal I must first, within 2 years, is to achieve an internship...
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...MAster’s in Global Management 2012/13 | EUROZONE CRISIS | Prof. Ricardo Lima | | Anar husseynov, Girish Medh, Shakeb Assri. | 1/2/2013 | Hochschule Bremen University of Applied Sciences | Contents 1.Introduction 3 2. History 3 2.1. The Werner Report — EMU in three stages 3 2.2. Snake in the tunnel 4 3. Purpose of single currency 5 4. Gross Domestic Product 5 5. Inflation 7 6. SWOT ANALYSIS 8 6.1. Strength 9 6.2. Weakness 9 6.3. Opportunities 9 6.4. Threats 10 7. Eurozone Crisis. 10 8. Greece’s Debt Crisis: Background 12 8.1. Build-Up to the Current Crisis 12 8.2. Financial Assistance from the Eurozone Member States and IMF 14 8.3 Why didn’t Greece leave the Euro? 15 9.Recommendations 17 10. References 18 1.Introduction The euro (symbol: €; banking code: EUR) is the currency of 17 EU member states. It was launched on 01.01.1999 virtually, but physically launched from 01.01.2002. The currency is the second most traded currency after the US dollar. The currency is used by around 332 million people daily. €915 million in circulation, highest combined value of Bank notes in circulation in world. The countries that use the euro are Finland, Austria, Belgium, Cyprus, France, Germany, Greece, Ireland, Italy, Luxembourg, Malta, the Netherlands, Portugal, Slovakia, Slovenia and Spain. If you are planning a trip to Europe then the euro is the currency you will need for most of the locations you visit. There are additional countries...
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...Council for Australian-Arab Relations (CAAR) Australia Arab Chamber of Commerce and Industry (AACCI) Business Guides to the Arab Gulf United Arab Emirates Prepared by Bayliss Associates Pty Limited Part I: A brief overview of the United Arab Emirates 4 The formation of the United Arab Emirates 4 The Government of the United Arab Emirates 5 The United Arab Emirates Economy 5 Basic demographics 5 GDP trends 5 Oil and the UAE 6 Gas – the Dolphin project 6 Oil pipelines 6 Bunkering 6 Non-oil sector 6 Jebel Ali Port 7 Jebel Ali Free Zone (JAFZA) 7 Transhipment 7 Air travel 7 Tourism 8 The property boom 8 Part II: The Market Environment 8 Characteristics of the UAE market 8 Investment environment 9 Sovereign Wealth Funds (SWFs) 9 Foreign Trade 10 Australian bilateral relations 10 Australian business 10 Taxation 10 Legal environment 10 Tenders 11 Part III: Doing Business in the United Arab Emirates 11 Practical advice on entering the market 11 Where to get advice and help 11 Developing a strategy 12 Market research 12 Visiting the UAE 13 Visas 13 Time your visit well 13 Local holidays 13 Arriving in the UAE 13 Getting around 13 Visit programs 14 Hotels 14 Tips and tricks 14 Trade missions 15 Missions to Australia 15 Trade exhibitions 15 Health and safety 15 Personal behaviour 15 Import Procedures 15 Customs and regulatory environment 15 Documentation 16 Packaging and labelling 16 Agency representation...
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...Global Marketing The Marketing Plan Of OMSA Oil Marketing Company Marketing Company Submitted By: Mohammad Ahmad Maqsood Registration # 4762-MBA/FMS/F10 Submitted to: Sir Imran Qureshi FMS, International Islamic University Islamabad. EXECUTIVE SUMMARY Oman Oil Company is completely owned by The Sultanate of Oman and it has multiple businesses such as Exploration and production of crude oil, refineries, Oil Marketing Companies, Metal, Shipping and many other investments in different countries like India, China and United Arab Emirates. Now Oman Oil have satisfied its potential customers in its own country so in search of new customers it has to move on and go global for this purpose Oman oil have decides to move its business to South Africa in the shape of oil marketing company and this investment would be in shape of Foreign direct investments type Green field investment because Oman oil does not have any operation in South Africa now the Marketing company would be a subsidiary of Oman oil and it would be known as OMSA Oil Marketing Company Marketing Company would be known as OMSA Oil Marketing Company Marketing Company would get products from Oman through Imports and the products would be given to oil marketing company OMSA Oil Marketing Company marketing and the strategy and plan would be discussed briefly. Here our target customers are all automobile owner and big forms who use it as a fuel ingredient we have all the products made or...
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...Analysis of Indian Developmental Projects in Afghanistan and its impact on Pakistan THEME * Pakistan and Afghanistan are generally labeled as inseparable states due to their historical, religious, cultural, linguistic, trade and ethnic linkages. However, history of bilateral relations between Kabul and Islamabad reveals turbulence. The main reasons for this rocky relationship are the issues related to the Durand Line, the idea of a greater Pakhtunistan, the 1980’s Soviet War, the rise of the Taliban, post 9/11 war, and India’s rising influence in Afghanistan. Through multi-sectoral long-term development projects, apparently carving socio-economic space through application of soft power, India ultimately aims at enhancing its regional relevance to extract politico-economic benefits, while correspondingly constricting contemporary space for Pakistan. Indian sponsored / assisted projects in Afghanistan indicate their character to be more of anti-Pakistan than pro-Afghanistan. Development of road Zaranj-Delaram off sets Afghanistan’s over dependence on Pakistan for transit trade, through offering ground link to Iranian Port Chahbhar. Similarly, Indian offer to build water reservoirs on river Kabul can be termed as extension of her water war against Pakistan. It has implications for Pakistan on its economic, defense and foreign policy fronts. Apropos, carry out a detailed analysis of Indian sponsored / assisted projects directly or indirectly influencing Pakistan and recommend...
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...ECONOMIC AND POLITICAL CONFLICTS AS THREAT TO PROSPERITY Biyash Chakraborty MBA- International Business Email: chakraborty.biyash93@gmail.com University of Petroleum and Energy Studies, Dehradun. (Uttarakhand), INDIA __________________________________________________________________________ Abstract India’s rapid economic growth has made it the second fastest growing energy market in the world. Its domestic and international strategies has produced foreign policy differences with the United States that will require careful management on both sides. India’s basic approach to energy diplomacy has been to develop its supply potential and neutralize its potential competitors, principally China. India’s strategic interest in Iran as its energy partner and then the Iraq crisis are having a negative consequence on its economic prosperity, placing it on crossroads with the US. There is a divide between US and EU about the wisdom and desirability of imposing harsh economic sanctions on Russia. In any such confrontation, EU stands to lose much more than the US, though it can be argued that Russia will be the worst loser. In future, Russia may try to find new potential market for its gas and that could be India. So it is important for India to take its stand on Ukraine crisis carefully without tarnishing its relation with USA. India’s long-term prosperity hinges to some degree on a conflict free neighborhood; that an economically integrated region is in India’s overall...
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...nightclub bombings to name but a few of the more prominent events over the last decade. These acts have crystallized the focus of public attention to ensure that the topic of terrorism will remain high on the global political agenda for many years to come. However, terrorism is not a new phenomenon. On a global scale, terrorism has been alive and well for many decades. What has changed is the emergence of the global financial market and the modus operendi of the modern day terrorist groups. A terrorist act of sinking a crude oil carrier in the Straits of Hormuz for example, could have a direct impact on the price of crude oil and petroleum on the world market, to say nothing of shipping carrier prices and maritime insurance. Like ripples in a pond, the act would have far reaching consequences. Quantifying terrorism has now become an important tool both for the financial sectors 9who use it predominantly for insurance based risk analysis and also for government bodies who could use it for spotting emerging trends in terrorism and therefore investing in anti and counter terror procedures. So why might it be difficult to quantify terrorism? This paper attempts to answer that question. It looks at the early aspects of terrorism; it’s definitions, typologies and variables in order to establish a base unit from where terrorism can be measured and why terrorism actually needs to be quantified. It will also examine similar data, based on the same aspect of terrorism and examine the...
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...www.thevision21.org BALOCHISTAN Problems and Solutions Vision 21 is a Pakistan based Non‐Profit, Non‐Party Socio‐Political organisation. We work through research and advocacy for developing and improving Human Capital, by focusing on Poverty and Misery Alleviation, Rights Awareness, Human Dignity, Women empowerment and Justice as a right and obligation. Vision21 is a registered Non‐Profit organization under section 42 of Companies Ordinance 1982 Any part of this publication can be used or cited with clear reference to Vision21 By Vision21 Foundation Website: http://www.thevision21.org/ Blog: http://awaam.wordpress.com g p p Phone: 92‐51‐250 5030 Fax: 92‐51‐550 1288 Email: info@thevision21.org BALOCHISTAN PROBLEMS AND SOLUTIONS CONTENTS Preface • Introduction • British Era and Sandeman System • Since 1947 Since 1947 • Reasons for the conflict • Provincial Autonomy & Ethnic Culture • Resource Exploitation • Deprivation and Lack of Development lag • Government’s Neglect Government s Neglect • Role of Sardars • Religious Extremism • External Factors and Geo Politics • History of the conflicts • The Current Insurgency and Baloch Nationalism The Current Insurgency and Baloch • Insurgency and ‘Geo‐Politics of Energy Resources’ • Insurgent Groups in Balochistan • Settlers issue & current situation in Balochistan • Pakhtun Factor • Liberation and Viability: Is independent Balochistan viable? y p • Possible consequences for independent Balochistan and divided ...
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