...West-Siberian Pipeline, or Trans-Siberian Pipeline) is one of Russia's main natural gas export pipelines, partially owned and operated by Ukraine. The pipeline was constructed in 1982-1984. It created the transcontinental gas transportation system Western Siberia-Western Europe. Controversies surrounding the pipeline The erstwhile Soviet’s plans to build the pipeline were considered a threat to the balance of energy trade in Europe, and were strongly opposed by the Reagan administration. The United States prevented U.S. companies from selling supplies to the Soviets for the pipeline, as part of what was also retribution against the Soviets for their policies towards Poland. America's Western European allies, however, refused to bow to U.S. pressure to boycott the pipeline, insisting that contracts already signed between the Soviets and European companies needed to be honoured. This led to several European companies being sanctioned by the U.S. Government. Reagan reportedly said "Well, they can have their damned pipeline, but not with American equipment and not with American technology." The efforts by the U.S. pressure to prevent the construction of the pipeline, and its export embargo of supplies for the pipeline (1980–1984) constituted one of the most severe transatlantic crises of the Cold War. Russia-Ukraine gas dispute The Russia–Ukraine gas disputes refer to a number of disputes between Ukrainian oil and gas company Naftogaz Ukrainy and Russian gas supplier Gazprom over...
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...Energy & Geostrategy 1. Europe's dependence on Russian gas - 30% of Europe's gas comes from Russia and some nations are 70-100% dependent - dependence gives Putin political leverage - why is this an issue? - Lets look back to 2006 - Gazprom (SOE of RUS) raised NG prices from 50 - 230/1000 cubic meters unilaterally for the Ukraine (to exercise their influence) -> Ukraine denied the price hike and the pipes were turned off. As Ukraine is comprised of many Soviet-era pipelines and these pipelines supplied 80% of the 25% of gas that Europe depends on RUS for Austria, France, Germany, Hungary, Italy and Poland all reported gas pressure in their pipelines down 30%. - Yes, Europe has made progress since then to decrease dependence but is still relies on Russian gas via Ukrainian pipelines for 15% of its gas - with decreasing production of Norwegian and Britain gas (increasing offshore drilling prices) - this number only looks to increase - Europe is on a steady, but fragile recovery after the credit crisis. One thing is for certain - to continue this growth energy is needed - next point 2. Americas role in coming decades - between the period of 2008 - 2013 US has increased crude oil production by 50%. They have surpassed Russia's production and are set to pass Saudi Arabia as yearly as next year. The US is set to not only become an energy exporter but a energy superpower. - what implications does this have? - as US production...
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...Conceptualising the Russia-Ukraine Conflict in Realist and Materialist Terms Kofi Adu Frimpong Kholmati Kholik Global Political Economy Global Political Economy 33423968 33420343 kadfrimpong@yahoo.com kkholik@gmail.com 15/03/2016 Abstract The so called Euromaidan revolution – Ukraine’s struggle to move one step further to closer ties with Europe by liberating itself from the Russian orbit, have created the Russia-Ukraine Crisis. It has re-established and heightened the tensions between Russia and West. Realism has been on the fore front of the academic discussion in explaining the crisis as the power competition between Russia and the West. Alternatively, Materialism has provided a different yet deeper analytical perspective on the conflict by attributing it to the broadening of the transnational class capitalism. This paper will seek to explain and scrutinize the analytical differences in conceptualizing this crisis in Realist and Materialist terms. Keywords: Ukraine crisis, Realism, Security, Materialism, Lockean heartland, Contender states Table of Contents 1 Introduction 4 2 Theoretical framework 5 2.1 Theoretical underpinnings of the Realist school of thought 5 2.2 Theoretical underpinnings of Materialism: Amsterdam School Approach 7 2.2.1 The Lockean Heartland 8 2.2.2 Contender States 9 2.2.3 Ex-contender states, aspirant states, and capitalist class fraction 10 3 The Russia-Ukraine conflict 12 3.1 Russia-Ukraine conflict in Realist...
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...Assignment #4: Russia Annexation of Crimea International Negotiation by Therron Allen Reginald Bruno Monekka Munroe Lillia Stroud Norman Thompson ------------------------------------------------- EDD 7812 OL1 32446 ------------------------------------------------- Strategies and Models of Mediation and Negotiation Nova Southeastern University April 13th, 2014 ------------------------------------------------- Russia Annexation of Crimea ------------------------------------------------- This paper will address the Russia annexation of Crimea and an International Negotiation related To the UN resolution for the West to increase the level of sanctions against Russia. Russia finalized its annexation of Crimea in March 2014. Although sudden, this annexation is not a new and instantaneous interest for the Russian government. There is a long history connecting these two countries dating back to many years ago. ------------------------------------------------- Parties involved in the conflict ------------------------------------------------- This international conflict involves the entire world as each country was interested in a peaceful resolution. Countries sharing a border with Russia are extremely anxious and fearful their security may be threatened as a result of this conflict. Therefore, the primary parties in this conflict is represented by the United Nations (UN) representing international law and security; Ukraine, the injured party; Russia, the supposedly...
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...The Secession of Crimea The crisis in Ukraine has been long cooking since 2004 and the Orange Revolution (1). Since then, there has been a strong opposition to pro-Russian supporters. The situation in the country was relatively calm until 2010, when President Yanukovich won elections and his rival candidate, Yulia Timoshenko, was arrested. In November 2013 the protests started gaining velocity, violent conflicts erupted and opposition blew up in Kiev, responding to Yanukovich’s new agreement on working closer with Russia, whilst stopping negotiations with the European Union. The conflicts did not reach the Crimean peninsula, nevertheless the Crimean Parliament, which is granted limited autonomy, asked Russia to protect them. Crimea has been part of the Ukrainian state –or formerly the Ukrainian Soviet Socialist Republic- since 1954 and provides great strategic value, since the Black Sea ports of Crimea offer unproblematic access to the Eastern Mediterranean Sea. Crimea has been the base of the Russian Black Sea Fleet for several decades and is therefore of great importance to Russian military strategy. For the Russian Federation, the base in Sevastopol is the only access into international waters, since the northern ports in e.g. Siberia are subject to freezing. According to the State Statistics Committee of Ukraine, the population is composed of 58.5% ethic Russians, 24.4% Ukrainians and 12.1% Crimean Tartars among others, amounting to a total population of approximately...
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...Indicate the conflict. The annexation of the Crimean Autonomous Republic and the city of Sevastopol. Describe the conflict. This problem is ostensibly ethnic. But the main reason is to establish the political power of Russia in the region. Is there any theory (conflict resolution, peace making regarding this conflict?(Theoretical background). We have solution ,but it is difficult to perform. The accusation against Russia in this case is appropriate. Because she breached an agreements . Let’s consider the Treaty of Friendship, Cooperation and Partnership (effective 1/4/1999), the Treaty on the Ukrainian-Russian state border (in force since 23.04.2004), the agreement on the division of the Black Sea Fleet, its status, and others. According to them, the two sides pledged to respect the independence of the "inviolability of borders" and each other's sovereignty. Russia should respond according to international law. In addition, Ukraine and Russia are parties to a number of multilateral treaties under which undertook similar commitments. First of all, we are talking about the famous 1994 Budapest Memorandum, pursuant to which the US, Britain and Russia (later joined by France and China) have given guarantees regarding Ukraine's independence, sovereignty and territorial integrity. Give detailed information regarding the historical background of the conflict. Two countries have built entire set of international legal instruments to hope for the continuation of building equitable...
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...in late November, the Ukraine crisis has become a worldwide headline that has encompassed a complex number of both intranational and international issues. The catalyzing event that led to the crisis was the decision by former Ukrainian President, Viktor Yanukovych, to negate trade talks with the European Union and instead pursue closer ties with Russia. This spurred protests from thousands of people, and as the conflict escalated it forced Yanukovych to escape the Ukraine and secede from his position as the Ukrainian President. In a move that can be seen as blatantly opportunistic, Russia effectively used the civil calamity in the Ukraine to annex the Republic of Crimea, a move regarded as highly illegal by the majority of the international community. On the surface, Russia has claimed that the move itself has been carried out to ensure the continued safety of ethnic Russians living within the Republic. However, after careful analyzation of the economic ties that bind Russia and the Ukraine, one can conclude that the annexation of Crimea is part of a larger plan to ensure that the Ukraine continues to comply with Russia economically. When applying this theory through the context of a realist perspective, it becomes obvious that Russia is acting in their own self-interest as a power maximizer in order to ward off the influence of western globalization. In response to increasing Russian aggression several countries have placed economic sanctions on Russia and its diplomats in a...
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...the main reasons of disagreements and conflicts in the intercultural communications. In one cultures the purpose of interaction is more important than a dialogue in others – the situation is contrary. When we say ideology we mean the concept of reality that is shared by special concerning culture or an ethnic accessory group of people. Even the countries that have the same history or the same roots may have poor intercultural communication because of some stereotypes or bias. The best example is the relations between Russia and Ukraine. If to consider the last years, a special trim can be observed in the relations of Russia and Ukraine in all of the questions connected with the Russian-Ukrainian relations. Geographically it divides the country into east and western part and with time the situation only gets worse. This is mostly the problem. Not only language and geography split the country but also the world outlook principle as well. The main problem of the Ukrainian authority today is how to connect these differently looking at the world and destiny parts of the country through a prism of the Russian-Ukrainian relations. The actions of the Ukrainian authority at the process of solving this problem are quite contradictory. On the one hand, there is an understanding of necessity to move toward Russia, but on the other hand, the movement seems to be in an opposite direction. First, it concerns the gas conflict between Russia and Ukraine. The intense relations between these...
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...Delving into the history of the East Ukrainian conflict and recent annexation of the Crimean Peninsula by Putin-led Russia brings one to the scene of Ukraine’s former president, Viktor Yanukovych, facing a difficult choice while his country plowed toward economic cataclysm. He could either opt to form deeper ties with Europe in the form of a long-term, initially challenging deal with the EU to bolster trade, or join the Eurasian Union, for which Putin offered an appealing reward package instantaneously. The pro-Russian president of Ukraine at the time decided not to sign the agreement with the EU in the fall of 2013. This EU agreement wasn’t merely a trade agreement, but also a political agreement through which Ukraine would commit to adhering to certain European values and principles. Following this, widespread demonstrations broke out across Kiev, the city’s capital, in what is considered the Ukrainian Revolution. It is important to note, without overemphasizing, that Ukraine has a history of political and cultural divide, with the West (including the capital of Kiev), leaning more towards Europe, while the East having stronger ties with Russia. In the public’s eye, failure to sign the agreement from EU marked a move away from European principles and values. In the wake of the Ukrainian Revolution, then President Viktor Yanukovych fled the capital, which resulted in the Ukrainian parliament deposing him and appointing an interim President, Oleksandr Turchynov, followed by...
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...History of Ukraine and Russian Conflict To better understand the origins of this conflict, one must realize that this divide is not natural but rather stems from murderous work by Joseph Stalin and one of the largest Western media cover-ups in history. East Ukraine was once as nationalistic and Ukrainian-speaking as Western Ukraine is today. The dramatic transformation of the area was a result of ethnic cleansing. In 1932 a famine engineered by Stalin killed up to an estimated 10 million people, mostly in East Ukraine. Beginning in 1933, the Soviets replaced them with millions of deported Russians. Western Ukraine was then part of Poland and spared Stalin engineered the famine to rid himself of a stubborn enemy. Ukrainians had fought for their independence during the Russian Revolution, and for a short time, they had beaten back the Reds. Beginning in 1932, Stalin sent in soldiers from Russia to seize the agriculture industry in Ukraine. Impossible production quotas were set, and the overzealous soldiers made sure every single ounce of grain went to meeting those quotas. Soviet soldiers destroyed cooking utensils, ovens and killed pets — anything that could provide nourishment. With the borders of Ukraine sealed by the military, starving Ukrainians, wandering blind and delirious from hunger, were trapped to die a slow, excruciating death. To understand better what Stalin did in simple words he slowly killed de natives Ukrainians of Crimea by starving them to death and...
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...Clash of Civilizations In 1993 Samuel Huntington wrote an article titled “Is there a clash of civilizations”. The thesis was very much born in the context of the end of the cold war. The idea of “clash of civilizations” suggests that twenty-first century global order will be characterized by growing tension and conflict between rival cultures or civilizations, as opposed to the political, ideological or economic conflict of old. Huntington furthermore argued that the world was split into 9 different civilizational orders, and the West would clash with all of them, but in particular it would clash with the Islamic world, Japan and Russia. The realists have given little attention to the issue of identity or cultural politics. They focus on the behavior of states. However the liberals have recognized this thesis to some extent. Huntington’s view that the West would clash with the Islamic world was vindicated after the September 11th terrorist attacks, neoconservatives looking for a response distanced themselves from Huntington’s rhetoric. Neoconservative George W Bush was keen to emphasize that not all Muslims were to blame for 9/11, and indeed it was just a tiny minority of extremists holding the Islamic world back. Whereas Huntington had argued that the Islamic world was hostile to western ideas of liberal democracy, George W Bush ignored this insight and fought two wars to try and bring democracy to the Middle East, ignoring Huntington’s claim that there would be a backlash...
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...TAKE HOME ASSIGNMENT Ukraine Module: Please add Faculty Name Faculty: Please add Faculty Name Due Date: January 5, 2015 Macro Economics: Ukraine 1. Executive summary Geo-political tensions have pushed Ukraine into a deep crisis. Real GDP is in sharp decline, expected to contract by 8% in 2014 with a continued retrenchment in 2015. The conflict in the East has disrupted economic activity, which in its turn made the collection of taxes difficult. The exports have declined and the overall consumer and investor confidence fell significantly. At the same time weak national revenue performance, rising expenditure to tackle the crisis along with a growing Naftogaz deficit make fiscal adjustment more challenging. Ukraine government has allowed a free floating exchange rate resulting in a 50% devaluation of the currency (figure 4). Import gas prices are high and energy efficiency of the national industries is poor. The balance of payments pressure remains high due to large external debt refinancing needs, low FDI and limited access to external financing. This means that challenges are ahead of Ukraine with deteriorating relations with Russia, a weak banking sector, low FX reserves, large debt repayments needs (for the next 2 years) together with constrained domestic consumption altogether pose risks and affect prospects for recovery. Positive factors for Ukraine are as follows: (i) the strong external support for Ukraine ($27bn in the next 2 years), (ii) authorities...
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...a taken firmer response to Russia’s intervention in Ukraine? The conflict in Ukraine has exposed the dark side of interdependence as the international community struggles to ratchet up sanctions against Russian aggression in Crimea Peninsula. Although a firm action on part of the US might be justifiable, it will not serve American interests. This paper will first discuss why strict action might lead to undesirable consequences, followed by three final set of recommendations presenting future course of action. 1. Why serious sanctions might backfire: Collective sanctions announced have already put enough pressure on the Russian’s to de-escalate the situation, but further penalties might just end up doing the opposite (Lorber, 2014). Eastern European and Central Asian states poses valuable natural resources and firm sanctions might lead to further Russian adventurism. Moreover, Germany gets more than 30% of oil and gas from Russia, and other European countries including former Soviet blocks with already fragile economies are 100 percent dependent on Russian energy (BBC, 2014). With European reluctance, any unilateral firm action may divide us leading to further instability. In other words, US should carefully design safer sanctions so that European states are less affected than the Oligarchs close to Putin. 2. Further, sanctions have brought China- an emerging power- much closer to Russia. With $400 billion gas deal Russia will have alternate markets for its exports. In that...
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...Ibus 430 Summary Report The Key to Kiev In this article the authors discusses the problems and tensions between Russia and Ukraine, over natural gas prices and distribution, that started to rise in winter of 2009 and affected the most part of Europe, that has not been completely solved until present day. On January 7th 2009 after disagreement over natural gas prices, Russia completely shut off gas supplies to Ukraine. Therefore, Ukraine shuts off the natural gas supplies to Europe, which created another conflict involving other countries. With intense European pressure after a week of debating and arguing, Russia and Ukraine were forced to reach an agreement for its gas prices. This crisis showed that foreign policymakers should not forget that Ukraine is one of the largest state in Europe and they should count in, besides the week economic growth, it still holds a lot of power of natural gas pipelines that runs through it. After the agreement was reached it was set that the prices for gas in the first quarter of 2009 will be $360 per 1000cubic meters, and when Ukraine will purchase over 60% of its annual gas from Russia it will be $200 per 1000 cubic meter. Furthermore, Russian policymakers were pushing Ukrainian government to give up some pipelines towards Russian advantage, due to Ukraine being unreliable source of distribution of natural gas (economically and technologically). With the inside of the both countries political wars for the presidential elections, it...
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...28 February 201 In the recent months, the country of Ukraine has been experiencing an intense state of political unrest, the first in many years. The decision of the Ukrainian president to deny political ties to the European Union stirred a lot of controversy within Ukraine. The controversy inevitably divided the country into two groups, those who are pro democratic and support ties to the European Union, and those who support the already deep-rooted political ties with Russia, which is the government and its forces. The conflict intensified as months passed, and violence between the two groups became an issue. By analyzing this current event, the psychological elements of situational attribution, conflict, and deinviduation, can be applied to both sides of the situation in Ukraine to justify their actions and behavior. The conflict in Ukraine arose when the president of Ukraine, Viktor Yanukovych, denied a trade pact offered by the European Union. As a result of the action taken by the president, pro democrats who urged the ties to the EU protested in Independence Square of Kiev, while authorities attempted to suppress them. As the conflict intensified with no solution being brought to the table, aggressive pro democrat protests resulted in a clash with authorities in independence square on February 19th . Surrounding buildings were set on fire, rocks were thrown at riot police, and activists were being shot dead. The fighting between the mostly masked activists and...
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