...| US & the pertaining issue of Current Account Deficit: As mentioned in the given case, “A country with good investment prospects, a large budget deficit, or a low propensity to save tends to have a net capital inflow and a current account deficit”. The onus is on: a) Encouraging consumer spending by giving tax cuts and low interest rates. b) Providing good investment prospects to foreign customers as most of the big-shot investors find American securities less risky as compared to EU or other emerging markets. c) Consistent decline in competitiveness as the country is vastly dependent on importing goods rather than developing providing a boom to economies like India and China. * Ever since early 90s, the US has always imported more than they export. Thus which on the other hand has led to a need for cheaper imports from other countries to sustain an average American household. Since cheap labor is available in foreign countries most of the work is outsourced and hence their production is not up to their full potential. * The government on the other hand focuses on imports rather than improve the supply leading to a poor manufacturing sector.This is an advantage to countries like China which have cheap labor and is a major exporter to the U.S. Also as the government focuses on imports rather than supply to meet the demand major exporters like China get benefited. * The...
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...Buffett is betting that American trade deficit will not be restored and the country’s practice of borrowing from abroad to pay for the current goods and services will not stop. The USA borrows from abroad to finance its trade deficit, on top of that the USA government spends more money than it takes from taxes. The budget deficit increases the gap between country’s national savings and national income and and also widens the deficit in the current account by necessitating the country to borrow more money from other foreign countries. This widened current deficit puts strain on the USA currency in the financial markets. If Americans are going to buy inexpensive imported goods and the USA government has a budget shortage, I think Warren Buffett is making a fantastic move by betting against the dollar. Between 2002 and 2007 the dollar has fallen by 40 percent. 2. Why has the United States developed such large current account deficits? I and a lot of people believe the United States has developed such a large current account deficit is the trade deficit. The USA is importing more goods and services more than it exports so it has held trade deficit since the late 1960s and this trade deficit has been mushrooming at an unbelievable rate since 1997. The increasing oil prices in the last few years has helped increased the current account deficit too. Another reason for the current account deficit could be attributed to the budget deficit. In almost every year the government cuts...
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...nondefense spending, increased defense spending and balanced budget. His policies brought success in stimulating the economy. He was able to improve the lives of the people and certain concerns during those times such as recession, unemployment and inflation. In 1985, while efforts have been made by President Reagan to uplift the economy, the US government was still beset by unbalanced budget due to deficits. Thus in his second term, he focused more in addressing this problem. However, the economic policies he implemented appeared to have created a setback in the country’s budget. In addition to the existing deficits prior to his term, deficits continued to increase. Objectives This paper aims to give an analysis on the cause and effect of the deficit problem Reagan faced in his second term and an analysis of the strategies he implemented in solving it. This paper also offers alternative strategies that would allow Reagan to reduce the deficits and balanced the budget. Analysis The Causes of the Budget Deficits This paper discusses three major cause of the budget deficit during Reagan’s term – tax cut, military spending and recession. The administration’s policy for tax cut was implemented to break the postwar trends to help the people and make an economic turnaround. Tax is the major source of...
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...below. Definitions: GDP 2010: GDP 2009: Budget surplus/deficit: GovtDebt: Unemployment Debt Gross Domestic Product in 2010 (millions constant 2000 US$) Gross Domestic Product in 2009 (millions constant 2000 US$) Budget surplus/deficit as % of GDP in 2010 Total central government debt as % of GDP in 2010 Total unemployment in USA (% of total labor force) Real government debt in USA (billion constant 2000 US $) First, according to the GDP in 2009 and 2010, GDP growth can be calculated by this way: using the difference between GDP in 2010 mines GDP in 2009 over GDP in 2009. Then, calculate the mean, median standard deviation maximum and minimum by Excel, we can get the results, the mean of GDP in 2010 is 288366.5 million U.S. dollars. The mean id GDP in 2009 is 277225.5 million U.S. dollars, so the average GDP in 2010 is increased. Also, the median of GDP in 2010 is 14141.0 million U.S. dollars, greater than the median of GDP in 2009. However, the standard deviation and difference between maximum and minimum in 2010 is greater than which in 2009, which means in 2010, inequality rose, and gap between poor countries and rich countries got wider. The speed of development are also different between countries, maximum and minimum are not approximate, but average GDP growth is 4.2%, which is close to the median of GDP growth. In 2010, most countries have budget deficit . The average and median of budget surplus or deficit are almost same in 2010. For...
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...spends 40% more than the revenue it collects per year. This continues to be a highly debated topic within our legislative and executive branches of government. One reason the Federal Government’s major entitlement programs are difficult to control is the way they are designed. A second is that current budgeting process ignores long-term impacts of short-term expansions. A third is that these programs are not subject to regular review, like the other annual discretionary programs are. The means that Congress rarely evaluates the costs and effectiveness of entitlements except when it is proposing to expand them. Costs of healthcare continuing to rise, funding numerous war campaigns, and a broken tax system are all contributing to the widening deficit in the budget. It is quite clear that sacrifices must be made. The question remains: where do we begin? Background: Alexander Hamilton, the first Treasury Secretary, set up federal debt to pay off debt incurred by the Revolutionary War. Until the Great Depression in 1933, federal debt was used only to fund wars. In 1933, President Roosevelt began spending and raised the federal debt to around 40% of the GDP. From that point on, the federal debt has ranged from 122% of the GPD following WWII, to 50% of the GDP during the Cold War to the current value of 99.4% as presidential policies and goals changed (see Figure 1). During the end of the Clinton administration and through parts of the Bush administration the United States retained a...
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... G REECE White Paper - Impact of Greece Crisis Global Research Limited Introduction Historically, financial crisis tend to lead to sharp economic downturns, low government revenues, widening government deficits, high levels of debt, pushing many governments into defaults. This is called SOVEREGIN DEBT CRISIS. GREECE is currently facing this, it accumulated high levels of debt during the decade before the crisis, when capital markets were highly liquid. As the crisis has unfolded and there was liquidity crunch in world economy, Greece may no longer be able to rol over its maturing debt obligations. Build – Up To The Current Crisis Between 2001-2008, Greece reported budget deficits averaged 5% per year, compared to Eurozone average of 2%. Also, its current account deficits averaged to 9% per year compared to Eurozone average of 1% Greece funded these twin deficits by borrowing in international capital markets, leaving it with chronically high external debt (115% of GDP in 2009) Some of the facts which can be depicted from following charts : www.capitalvia.com 2 White Paper - Impact of Greece Crisis G lobal Research Limited How Country Debts And Budget Deficits Compare? Projected budget deficit for 2009 Budget deficit figs as % of GDP Debt as % of GDP 68.6% UK 13% 112.6% Greece 12.5% 54.3% Spain 11.25% 65.8% Ireland 10.75% 114.6% Italy 5.3% 74.3% Germany 3.5% Source: European Commission /...
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...the United State’s deficit, surplus and debt have an effect on today’s current events. This paper, will discuss the effects from taxpayer’s, future social security and Medicare users. Also, the unemployed individuals, even our fellow University of Phoenix peers have part in today’s politics. This essay will address the United State’s financial reputation on an international level, a domestic automotive manufacturing, and an Italian clothing company, and the importance behind the Gross Domestic Product (GDP). Fiscal Policy Economics is a daily issue that concerns personal and business financial activity. The United States is known as one of the strongest financial countries. It is complicated to understand how the United States deficit, surplus, and debt can affect the population economy. The economy can affect different areas and individuals, such as taxpayers, unemployment individuals, GDP, importer and exporter companies, college students, social security and Medicare users. The economic is not affecting only the present but will influence in the future financial activity. Unemployed individuals A deficit is a loss under payments and surplus is the excess over payments. Debt is equal to deficit minus surpluses. If the government has a surplus on the budge, it means there is money saved that can be used to generate employment. When a deficit is negative, it means that the economic has a very low opportunity to growth. The U.S.’s deficit affects unemployed...
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...Effects of The European Debt Crisis on the German Real Estate Market Hiermit versichere ich die vorliegende Arbeit allein und nur mit den angegebenen Hilfsmitteln angefertigt zu haben. Der Veröffentlichung der Bachelorarbeit in der Bibliothek der Hochschule Aschaffenburg wird zugestimmt. Aschaffenburg, den 28.02.2013 Effects of the European Debt Crisis on the German Real Estate Market Bachelorarbeit von Sebastian Stollhof 28.02.2013 Effects of The European Debt Crisis on the German Real Estate Market Autor: Sebastian Stollhof An der Bergleite 3 67806 Rockenhausen Erstprüfer: Prof. Dr. Paschedag HOCHSCHULE ASCHAFFENBURG FAKULTÄT WIRTSCHAFT UND RECHT WÜRZBURGER STRASSE 45 D-63743 ASCHAFFENBURG Table of Content TABLE OF EXHIBITS LIST OF ABBREVIATIONS 1 EMERGENCE OF THE DEBT CRISIS 1.1 Macroeconomic problems 1.1.1 The imbalance of public authorities 1.1.2 Strongly diverging current account balances 1.1.3 Strongly diverging price- and wage developments 1.2 Specific problems within the monetary union VIII IX 1 1 1 5 10 12 1.2.1 Interest rate policy of the European Central Bank (ECB) 12 1.2.2 Membership within the EMU increases insolvency risk for states 1.2.3 National fiscal policy versus central monetary policy 2 GERMAN HOUSING MARKET – PRICE BUBBLE OR SAFE HAVEN? 2.1 Definition of price bubbles 2.2 Explanatory approaches for real estate bubbles 2.2.1 Macroeconomic factors 2.2.2 Institutional explanatory approaches 2.2.3 Behaviour-based explanatory...
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...and spending and monetary policies, through which it manages the supply of money. In this paper, I will discuss the why high deficits of today will reduce growth rate of the economy in the future, look at the history of our nation’s debt and deficits, different elements that causes of deficit and why the cause actually matters, what role the fiscal and monetary policies have to lead to higher or lower budget deficits and how deficits affect the overall long-term economic growth and debt of the U.S. Let us first begin by learning the difference between the terms debt and deficit. In economics, the term deficit means a shortfall in revenue of a fiscal year. It is when the government’s revenue called receipts, which are collected taxes (payroll, corporate, excise, income and social insurance), fee revenues and tariffs that are called receipts are lower that what is spent called outlays. In other words, the federal budget deficit is the yearly amount by which spending exceeds revenue. The term debt is described as an accumulation of deficits so the national debt is the total amount of money owed by the government. It is calculated by adding all of the deficits minus the surpluses since the nation’s inception and you get the current national debt. According to Econintersect, “the estimated 2011 budget deficit is at almost $1.5 trillion, following deficits of $1.4 trillion in 2009 and $1.3 trillion in 2010.” ¶ 1. This is disturbing when measured as a percentage...
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...THE FACULTY OF ECONOMICS LJUBLJANA THE CRISIS IN GREECE subject: TAXES MAY 2013 TAXES THE CRISIS IN GREECE author: P.Fux Contents INTRODUCTION ...................................................................................................................... 3 GENESIS OF THE FINANCIAL CRISIS (USA) ................................................................. 3 THE TIPPING POINT ........................................................................................................... 3 IMPACT OF BANKING CRISIS ON EU - DEVELOPMENT OF FISCAL CRISIS .............. 4 WHAT HAPPENED IN GREECE............................................................................................. 4 DEBT IS HER OLDEST COMPANION ............................................................................... 5 CRISIS HAS SHOWN FIRST EFFECTS.............................................................................. 5 HOW MARKETS SAW GREECE ........................................................................................ 6 GREECE'S PROBLEMS SINCE THE CRISIS HAS ARISEN and BAILOUTS ..................... 7 The huge numbers of Greece's debt in pictures (2012) ...................................................... 9 A FEW WORDS ABOUT GREECE'S RATIOS ..................................................................... 10 THE GOVERNMENT SPENDINGS ..............................................................
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...Macroeconomic Theory and Applications Deloris Evans Jones International University January 15, 2013 Abstract I wanted to focus more on fiscal policy which is the use of government spending and taxation that is used to influence the economy. How it causes tax cuts, inflation, unemployment and even a issues about the debt ceiling that is an undergoing debate in the white house today. Fiscal Policy Fiscal policy is a very important tool which is used for managing the economy because of its ability to affect the total amount of output produced or known as GDP. When the government purchases goods and services, collects taxes, distributes payments, it is engaging in fiscal policy. It is said that “the primary economic impact of any change in government budget is felt by particular groups.” (Weil) For example, this group could be a family that would receive a tax cut which would help to raise their disposable income and may affect the aggregate level of output. However, the focus of fiscal policy is mainly on the effect of change in the government budget on the overall economy and it is usually used to describe the effect on the aggregate economy regarding the overall levels of spending and taxation, and predominantly, the gap between. The first impact of a fiscal expansion is to raise the demand for goods and services. We know that a greater demand causes an increase in both output and prices. The higher demand increases the output and prices will deepen, which in...
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...IMPACT of GREECE White Paper - Impact of Greece Crisis Global Research Limited Introduction Historically, financial crisis tend to lead to sharp economic downturns, low government revenues, widening government deficits, high levels of debt, pushing many governments into defaults. This is called SOVEREGIN DEBT CRISIS. GREECE is currently facing this, it accumulated high levels of debt during the decade before the crisis, when capital markets were highly liquid. As the crisis has unfolded and there was liquidity crunch in world economy, Greece may no longer be able to rol over its maturing debt obligations. Build – Up To The Current Crisis Between 2001-2008, Greece reported budget deficits averaged 5% per year, compared to Eurozone average of 2%. Also, its current account deficits averaged to 9% per year compared to Eurozone average of 1% Greece funded these twin deficits by borrowing in international capital markets, leaving it with chronically high external debt (115% of GDP in 2009) Some of the facts which can be depicted from following charts : www.capitalvia.com 2 White Paper - Impact of Greece Crisis Global Research Limited How Country Debts And Budget Deficits Compare? Projected budget deficit for 2009 Budget deficit figs as % of GDP Debt as % of GDP UK 13% Greece 12.5% Spain 11.25% Ireland 54.3% 68.6% 112.6% 65.8% 10.75% 114.6% 5.3% Italy Germany 3.5% 74.3% Source: European Commission / Economic forecast autumn...
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...united states and japan and other 25% is borrowed from the international organisation like world bank, asian development organisation and etc. The forecasts done about indonesia’s GDP again moderate sliding in governments debt due to appreciation in rupiah, reduction in interest rates, and robust economic growth. Debt of Indonesian to GDP Ratio from 2008 to 2015: There is only little impact in Indonesia’s debt ratio in macroeconomics. depreciation of currency in Indonesia is 30% and it would increase the public debt ratio about 25 % of GDP. The hike in real interests rates may have a little change with the public debt ratio achieving about 23 % of GDP in 2015. THE INDONESIAN GOVERNMENt’ s fiscal DEFICIT If the deficits trend continues in Indonesia that is budget deficit below two percent of GDP and the government still spending less money in infrastructure and secondary education it is very important for the nation. It is also caused by successful anti corruption act KPK done to...
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...are not necessarily shared by any of the institutions with which they are affiliated. We thank Al Davis, Peter Diamond, Edward Gramlich, Peter Orszag, Gene Sperling, and Lawrence Summers for comments on an earlier draft. Elmendorf was formerly Deputy Assistant Secretary of the Treasury in the Office of Economic Policy, and prior to that Senior Economist at the Council of Economic Advisers; Liebman was formerly Special Assistant to the President for Economic Policy at the National Economic Council; and Wilcox was formerly Assistant Secretary of the Treasury for Economic Policy. Table of Contents Page 1. Introduction 2. Budget Outcomes and Projections Improved Budget Picture Sources of Improvement 3. Budget Deficit Reduction: 1990 through 1997 OBRA90 OBRA93 What Did Deficit Reduction Ultimately Accomplish? The Republican-Controlled Congress BBA97 4. Entitlement Reform and Saving Social Security First Entitlement Commissions Social Security Saving Social Security First 5. Social Security Reform Options Using Projected Budget Surpluses as Part of Social Security Reform Investments in Private Financial Assets Potential Compromise Reform Proposals The 1999 State of the Union Social Security Proposal 6. Budget Surpluses: 1998 through 2000 The 1999 State of the Union Budget Framework Balancing the Budget Excluding Social Security Fiscal Policy in 2000 A National Asset 7. Conclusion References Tables Figures 1 3 9 24 40 63 78 80 84...
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...MACROECONOMICS Greek debt crisis: causes Instructor: Mou Hui Student: Galina Bogdanova JX1208903 Contents Introduction 3 Timeline of the Greek Debt Crisis 4 Causes 8 Internal 8 1. GDP growth rates 8 2. Unrestrained spending 11 3. Greek public debt 12 4. Statistical credibility 14 External Causes of the Greek Crisis 14 Influence on the evaluation of the crisis 15 Impact of the crisis on the country's macroeconomic indicators 18 Conclusion 22 References 24 Introduction International crisis 2008 has not only exacerbated the Greek economic situation, but has also intensely brought forward the economy’s deeply rooted and chronic weaknesses. The main argument of the paper is that the main cause of the Greek economic crisis is not the recent global economic instability, neither the outcome of political management practices of the latest Center Right government (2004-2009). Rather, the situation in Greece is the obvious outcome of a series of incorrect government choices and omissions during the last three decades and not a recent phenomenon at all. Greek economy fulfills the main criteria of a “weak economy”. Economic and fiscal measures undertaken by the Socialist government under the guidance of the IMF will fail to succeed unless they are followed by clear, transparent development initiatives, which is not the case until now. The purpose of this paper is to approve that the current Greek crisis is the consequence of inappropriate domestic...
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