...She Walks In Beauty By: Lord Byron (George Gordon) She walks in beauty, like the night Of cloudless climes and starry skies; And all that’s best of dark and bright Meet in her aspect and her eyes; Thus mellowed to that tender light Which heaven to gaudy day denies. One shade the more, one ray the less, Had half impaired the nameless grace Which waves in every raven tress, Or softly lightens o’er her face; Where thoughts serenely sweet express, How pure, how dear their dwelling-place. And on that cheek, and o’er that brow, So soft, so calm, yet eloquent, The smiles that win, the tints that glow, But tell of days in goodness spent, A mind at peace with all below, A heart whose love is innocent! "She Walks in Beauty" is a poem written in 1814 by Lord Byron. One of Lord Byron’s most famous, it is a lyric poem that describes a woman of much beauty and elegance. TITLE: What’s Up With the Title? We usually refer to this poem simply by its first line, "She Walks in Beauty." But the first line does more than introduce the subject of the poem – a beautiful woman. The first line of the poem (and therefore the title) is an apparently conscious echo of the famous sonnet by William Shakespeare, "Shall I compare thee to a summer's day" (Sonnet 18). Except, of course, instead of comparing the beautiful woman to a "summer's day," Byron compares her to "night." So he's not just setting up a contrast between night and day, he's also setting up a contrast between himself...
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...Econometrics of Random Walk Hypothesis ABSTRACT The random walk hypothesis is a key instrument used in the analysis of forecasting in the economic and financial market. It is used primarily in the forecasting of the prices of stocks. This is useful to determine and forecast the prices of stocks given previous stock prices. This paper discusses the basis of the hypothesis, the two types of random walk hypothesis, its framework, methodologies and the analysis of its repercussions. INTRODUCTION The random walk hypothesis states that stock price changes have the same distribution and are independent of one another, so the past movement or trend of a stock price or of the market as a whole cannot be used to predict its future price or any possible future trends. The concept originated in the late 1800s from Jules Regnault, a French broker, and Louis Bachelier, a French mathematician, whose Ph.D. dissertation titled "The Theory of Speculation". The same ideas were later developed and studied further by Paul Cootner, an MIT Sloan School of Management professor, in his 1964 book The Random Character of Stock Market Prices. The term was popularized by the 1973 book, A Random Walk Down Wall Street, by Burton Malkiel, a professor of economics at Princeton University, and was used earlier in Eugene Fama's 1965 article "Random Walks In Stock Market Prices”. The theory that stock prices move randomly was earlier proposed by Maurice Kendall in his 1953 paper, “The Analytics of Economic Time...
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...Seminar Financial Risk Management 20011-2012 Erasmus University Testing the validity of Purchasing Power Parity: In time series and panel analysis using CPI, TPI and PPI. Supervisor: Everaert Gerdie Leonora Jean-Timothy Marsoufandis-Balomenos Nikolaos Venieris Michael February 10th, 2012 319006 356941 354890 Abstract The examination of the Purchasing power parity theory with reference to 22 (invluding the U.S) countries is the prime objective of the paper. Consumer price index (CPI), whole sale price/producer price index (PPI), traded price index (TPI) and nominal exchange rate are the variables which were investigated in this study for the period 1957Q1-1998Q4, on the basis of the mean reversion hypothesis. Engle-Granger co-integration and Unit root tests have been employed to both of variables and estimated residuals of the sample in order to test the purchasing power parity. Keywords: Purchasing Power Parity, unit-root and co-integration. Content 1. Introduction……………………………………………………………….….3 2. Literature review………………………………………………………….….4 3. Data……………………………………………………………………………7 4. Methodology………………………………………………………………….8 5. Empirical results………………………………………………………..…....11 5.1. 5.2. 5.3. 5.4. 5.5. Unit-root and cointegration results(CPI)……………………………....11 Unit-root and co-integration results(TPI)……………………………..15 Unit-root and co-integration results(PPI)……………………………..16 Half-life deviations from PPP…………………………………………..17 Forecast performance…………………………………………………...20 6....
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...Reflections Of Love Table of Contents Prologue Storge (Affection in families)-Definition The Little Black Boy- William Blake Winter Trees- Sylvia Plath Mother to Son- Langston Hughes Philia (Friendship)- Definition Love and Friendship- Emily Bronte Time to Talk- Robert Frost Eros (Romance)- Definition Somewhere Never Traveled- E.E. Cummings Wind and Window- Robert Frost She Walks in Beauty- Lord George Byron Agape (Unconditional Love)- Definition How Do I Love Thee- Elizabeth Barrett Browning Love is More Thicker than Forget- E.E. Cummings Biographies Epilogue Storge Affection Affection- is the love through familiarity, especially between family members or people who have otherwise found themselves together by chance. It is described as the most natural, emotional feeling because it is outcome of love due to family ties. Fatefully, it is the strong point what makes it the most defenseless. The affection is “built-in” and as a consequence people expect it. Prologue This poetry anthology is a collection of poems, which shows the people's view of love. As I am a hopeless romantic, I chose this topic. I think the journey that life takes us all on is one filled with many adventures. I believe to truly live life to the fullest would be to love. If a person can say that he or she has never truly been loved or loved someone then he or she has never really lived. The feeling of love is so euphoric. The...
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...present in the passage through a conversational analysis that includes aspects such as turn-taking, cooperative principles, implicature, and politeness strategies. You should provide quotations from the passage to substantiate your essay’s argument. Individual personalities {Julie and Louis are sisters who sound and look alike. We are told Louis is a year older and more conservative. The play opens with Julie in the bathtub. There is a window above the tub and Louis’ date Mr. Calkins comes to it and begins talking with Julie. He believes he is talking to Louis as they sound alike. (He can not see in the tub to know it is Julie as this is not a perverted play) The bulk of the dialogue is between Julie and Mr. Calkins. Eventually, however, he realizes he is talking to Julie because Louis walks out the front door. The last line is Julie preparing to emerge naked from the tub and the curtain falls.} Fitzgerald uses Julie and Louis to portray the distinction between the old generation and the youth of the 20’s. Louis, who is older, exemplifies the traditional women who were used to the strict moral code of the early 1900’s. Louis is flabbergasted when Julie tells her that she often walks to the tub naked instead of wearing a towel, “ Why, You little wretch. Haven’t you any pride or self-respect?”(273) Julie comically responds, “ Lots of both. I think it proves it. I looked very well. I really am rather cute in my natural state.” This line portrays the younger generation’s confidence...
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...Dana Coe Table of Contents Introduction 3 Product Description and Classification 3 Product Support of Mission Statement……………………………………………………………………………………………….….3 Consumer Product Classification 3 Target Market 3 Competitive Situation Analysis 3 Analysis of Competition using Porter’s Five Forces Model 3 SWOT Analysis 4 Strengths and Core Competencies 5 Weaknesses 5 Opportunities 5 Threats 5 Market Objectives 6 Product Objective 6 Price Objective 6 Place Objective 6 Promotion Objective 6 Marketing Strategies and Implementation 7 Product Strategies 7 Price Strategies 7 Place Strategies 7 Promotion Strategies 7 Explanation of Strategies………………………..……………………………………………………………………………………………….7 Implementation Plan 7 Product Tactics 8 Price Tactics 8 Place Tactics 8 Promotion Tactics 8 Monitoring Procedures 8 Introduction Company G is introducing a new product within the XY line of products. This new product will revolutionize the way active adults and families exercise their high-energy dog. It is the XY Dog Walker. It is a completely new way to both walk while simultaneously exercise your dog. Product Description and Classification Product Description and Support of the Mission Company G Mission Statement “We enable consumers to improve the quality and convenience of their lives by providing high-quality, innovative electronics solutions.” Company G’s XY Dog Walker will be the first of its kind in the world of dog walking and exercise. It is made...
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...Analysis of political rhetoric in “The American Promise” 2. Divide the speech into sections. Give each section a headline. American workers have kept the promise alive for more than 200 years. Page 109, Line 1-15. Hard work, Individuals, American Family, Sacrifice, Dreams, Belief. The American Promise. Page 109, Line 16-Page 110, Line 2. “Our own lives”, Freedom, Drive, Innovation, Growth, Education, Opportunity, “I am my brother’s keeper; I am my sister’s keeper”. The American Spirit Page 110, Line 4-Page 110, Line 17. Wealth, Rich, Strong, Powerful, Envy, Binds us together, differences, promise. Martin Luther King, an inspiration. Page 110, Line 19-Page 110, Line 31. Destiny, Lincoln’s Memorial, A young preacher, “people of every creed and color”. Be a man of your word. Page 110, Line 33-Page 110, Line 42. No turning back, much to be done, fix, rebuild, save, protect, mend, Walk together. 3. The American Promise according to Barack Obama. The American Promise is about being helpful, responsible, industrious, believing and not giving up. You have to look out for your fellow Americans, and the government has to make sure everyone has the same opportunities. You are not only responsible for yourself, and you rise and fall as a nation. And when you get these opportunities, you are responsible of using the opportunities. You have to be hard working even in hard times. 4. Rhetorical Techniques used in the text. Alliteration: “.. who weren’t well-off or well-known” ...
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...1. With the help of process flow diagrams, compare the pre-triage and the post-triage systems in terms of total system time and total waiting times. Is the new system an improvement over the old? 2. Look at the patient arrival rates and compare them to the available MD and NP capacity. An hour-by-hour or day-by-day analysis will show some interesting patterns. Based on what you have learned about waiting lines and utilization, comment on the current assignment fitness between supply and demand? | | | |Patients waiting |Patients waiting | | | | | | | |67% |33% |MD |NP |Availability | |Patients per hour treated | | | |Arrival |MD |NP |Beg of HR |Serviced |End of HR |Beg of HR |Serviced |End of HR |MD |NP |MD |NP | |8am - 9am |18.2 |12.194 |6.006 | - | 6.19 | 6.01 | - | 3.66 | 2.35 |2.0 |2 |3.0927835 |1.8292683 | |9am - 10am |17.6 |11.792 |5.808 | 6.01 | 7.73 | 10.07 | 2.35 | 7.32 | 0.84 |2.5 |4 | | | |10am - 11am |16.8 |11.256 |5.544 | 10.07 | 14.85 | 6.48 | 0.84 | 7.32 | (0.93) |4.8 |4 | | | |11am - 12 noon |15.2 |10.184 |5.016 | 6.48 | 9.90 | 6.77 | (0.93) | 7.32 | (3.24) |3.2 |4 | | | |12 noon - 1pm |11.8 |7.906 |3.894 | 6.77 | 8.04 | 6.63 | (3...
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...(Web-based) H/w, S/W, people, Data, Procedures, Web-portals What is SDLC? Systems Planning, Systems analysis, systems design, systems development, implementation, maintenance IS alignment IS Success IS usage User satisfaction Information waste IS enabled Competitive advantage Orgl change Orgl learning TAM Easy to use Perceived personal usefulness Web-based Information System Banner – Assess the levels of Flexibility Stakeholders What is Systems Design? Input design Output Design Interface design Database Technology – Network architecture, Communications Technology Flexible Systems Design for Web-based IS? Examples: Banner, Amazon.com, Dell.com – Identify the systems design elements Flexible Systems Design for Web based Information Systems (Research) BOM changes affect MRP In the Banner system, what are the changes that could occur? How do we respond to these changes? Interviews them Users – Students, Registrar (Shannon), Dean, etc. Designers / Planners – Gary Administration - Explore the dimensions – Extent, Options, cost, easy, Range, etc. Gain more insight by getting more examples. • Application architecture Design • Interface design (User/ System) • Database • Network • Prototype • Systems controls Case Study: • What information systems we are talking about… • Stake holders for this system • Involvement of stakeholders in...
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...whims of the umpire and the policy changes of MLB. It shrinks and expands as the count becomes favorable or unfavorable. It grows when an experienced pitcher throws and contracts when bad pitch framers snatch pitches with exaggerated body movements. It’s not a static thing, fixed for every hitter of every height; instead, it is constantly dynamic, flowing with the previous pitches and at-bats in a game. I render here no judgment as to whether the strike zone ought to be this way. I’m only noting that according to all available evidence, it is this way. As a first pass approximation, it’s okay to think of the zone as that imaginary rectangular solid, i.e. in its unicorn form. But with the greater granularity afforded us by PITCHf/x data, we...
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...JOY’S TOYS MISSION STATEMENT Joy’s Toys produces a wide line of moderately priced educational toys for preschool and young school-aged children. We service a four-state area surrounding Missouri and sell directly to schools or school district buying centers. Our first product priority is quality. We would rather lose a sale by being overpriced than sell low-quality merchandise. We offer quick and accessible service and repair on all merchandise we sell. We care about children and view their education as the critical part of our task. Our toys are designed to enrich the child’s educational experience. All design work is done in-house to assure responsive, innovative products. In hiring sales representatives, we seek to attract former primary school teachers who are in tune with the needs and wants of children and who can identify with the concerns of parents. We exclusively promote from within. ANALYSIS OF JOY’S TOYS MISSION STATEMENT |Joy’s Toys produces a wide line of moderately priced educational toys |THE NATURE OF THE BUSINESS | |for preschool and young school-aged children. We service a four-state|Identify the industry and product line of the company | |area surrounding Missouri and sell directly to schools or school | | |district buying centers. |Identify the...
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...on love. Like any young person, he promptly ignores the advice. Did we mention that he's 21? Keep that in mind. It'll be important later. Flash forward: now he's 22. And as it turns out, the advice he got was pretty good. Love hurts. And we're not just quoting that '80s song. Line 1-2 When I was one-and-twenty I heard a wise man say, • Uh-oh. Any time a literary work starts out with a wise man's sayings, you just know that they're probably going to be ignored. If we listened to wise advisors, we wouldn't have any stories to tell. And poems are stories, after all. • So, we've got a young whippersnapper and his older mentor. Stay tuned, folks…. Lines 3-6 "Give crowns and pounds and guineas But not your heart away; Give pearls away and rubies But keep your fancy free." • Well, it turns out that love is worth more than gold. Or, er…the lack of love is worth more than gold. • Don't let the happy tone and snappy rhymes confuse you: this poem is about control. It turns love into an economic calculation, one which allows the "wise man" to balance feelings against more conventional forms of currency (crowns and pounds and guineas are, after all, the big guns of the U.K.'s monetary system). As it turns out, the heart is more valuable than money – which is precisely why the speaker's buddy thinks that it should remain soundly within his control. • Of course, this is also about the lack of control – since we have a feeling that not too many people take this wise man's sayings...
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...Rate: A Random Walk with a Variable Drift Peter Rowland Banco de la República* Abstract This study develops three exchange rate models as well as a simple statistical model defined as a random walk with a variable drift. The exchange rate models all use the purchasing power parity hypothesis to account for the long-term relationships between prices and the exchange rate, together with error correction models to represent any shortterm dynamics. The models are estimated for the USD/COP rate of exchange, and their forecast performance is compared to that of a simple random walk as well as to that of the random walk with a variable drift term. Two of the models are shown to outperform the simple random walk on the 12 and 24-months forecasting horizon. However, all the models are outperformed by the random walk with a variable drift, where the drift term is estimated using a Kalman filter. The results suggest that fundamental models might only be a useful tool for forecasting of the exchange rate in the very long run. The opinions expressed here are those of the author and not necessarily of the Banco de la República, the Colombian Central Bank, nor of its Board of Directors. I express my thanks to Luis Eduardo Arango, Javier Gómez, and Luis Fernando Melo for helpful comments and suggestions. Any remaining errors are my own. * Contents 1 2 2.1 2.2 2.3 2.4 2.5 2.6 3 3.1 3.2 3.3 3.4 3.5 3.6 4 4.1 4.2 4.3 5 Introduction Exchange Rate Models A Random Walk with a Variable...
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...archiving and manuscript policies are encouraged to visit: http://www.elsevier.com/copyright Author's personal copy Pattern Recognition 45 (2012) 3414–3426 Contents lists available at SciVerse ScienceDirect Pattern Recognition journal homepage: www.elsevier.com/locate/pr Silhouette-based gait recognition using Procrustes shape analysis and elliptic Fourier descriptors Sruti Das Choudhury, Tardi Tjahjadi n School of Engineering, University of Warwick, Gibbet Hill Road, Coventry CV4 7AL, United Kingdom a r t i c l e i n f o Article history: Received 6 September 2011 Received in revised form 15 December 2011 Accepted 21 February 2012 Available online 5 March 2012 Keywords: Gait recognition Human identification Procrustes shape analysis Elliptic Fourier descriptor Silhouette Nearest neighbour classifier Classifier combination Hu moments a b s t r a c t This paper presents a gait recognition method which combines spatio-temporal motion characteristics, statistical and physical parameters (referred to as STM–SPP) of a human subject for its classification by analysing shape of the subject’s silhouette contours using Procrustes shape analysis (PSA) and elliptic Fourier descriptors (EFDs). STM–SPP uses spatio-temporal gait characteristics and...
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...delight Than in the breath that from my mistress reeks. I love to hear her speak, yet well I know That music hath a far more pleasing sound; I grant I never saw a goddess go; My mistress, when she walks, treads on the ground: And yet, by heaven, I think my love as rare As any she belied with false compare. ANALYSIS The renaissance poet worries about finding new ways for expressing the beauty, but also to renew the themes of his works. In this period the poet wants to create a new world of beauty throughout a simple world. An important style of Renaissance Poetry was epic style, and sonnets (Shakespeare). Characteristics include: Rhyme, intensity in feelings, repetition, meter, iambic pentameter. The Renaissance poems came in many languages, commonly Latin, Italian and Greek. Some are translated and being used today as a historical and religious sources. The topics of the poems varied from religion to heroes. Most of the Christian poems talk about how they survived the fall of the Holy Roman Empire. Poems about heroes-heroines were very popular, the most successful is Beowulf. The 11th and 12th centuries were periods where satires, fables, tales, ballads and poetry became exceptionally popular. POEM In the first quatrain, the speaker spends one line on each comparison between his mistress and something else (the sun, coral, snow, and wires--the one positive thing in the whole poem some part of his mistress is like. In...
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