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Current Economic and Banking Matters

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ेस काशनी PRESS RELEASE

भारतीय रज़व बक
संचार वभाग, क य कायालय, एस.बी.एस.माग, मुंबई-400001
_____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________

RESERVE BANK OF INDIA

DEPARTMENT OF COMMUNICATION, Central Office, S.B.S.Marg, Mumbai-400001 फोन/Phone: 91 22 2266 0502 फ स/Fax: 91 22 22660358 ै

: www.rbi.org.in/hindi Website : www.rbi.org.in इ-मेल email: helpdoc@rbi.org.in
वेबसाइट

May 2, 2013 Macroeconomic and Monetary Developments in 2012-13 The Reserve Bank of India today released the Macroeconomic and Monetary Developments in 2012-13. The document serves as a backdrop to the Monetary Policy Statement 2013-14 to be announced on May 3, 2013. Highlights: Overall Outlook Macro-financial risks require cautious monetary policy stance ahead • In view of macro-financial risks that stay significant, headline inflation remaining above the threshold and consumer price inflation remaining high, the space for action for 2013-14 remains very limited. If some of the risks come to fore, policy re-calibration may become necessary in either direction. • Slow-paced recovery is likely later in 2013-14, contingent on improved governance and concerted action to resolve structural bottlenecks, especially in infrastructure sector. Output gap is likely to reduce, but remain negative. • Headline inflation is likely to remain range-bound in 2013-14, with some further moderation in H1 due to subdued producers' pricing power and falling global commodity prices, before it increases somewhat in H2 largely due to base effects. • Reserve Bank's survey of outside professional forecasters shows anticipation of a modest recovery with growth in 2013-14 at 6.0 per cent from 5.0 per cent and average WPI inflation to moderate to 6.5 per cent from 7.3 per cent. Surveys show that inflation expectations have moderated slightly, while

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