...A Decision of Uncertainty A Decision of Uncertainty Paper There are decisions that people make where the outcome is presumably known and, there are the decisions that people make where the results are unknown. The latter part of the aforementioned statement is also known as decisions of uncertainty. To make these choices with more confidence, we will explore concepts that will formulate these judgments. We also have to include appropriate probability concepts that will help limit uncertainty in certain decisions. This paper will disclose the decision to reside in the tri-state area with the probability of destructive hurricanes occurring. Next this paper will reveal concepts and the outcome from the statistical analysis that was used to determine the final decision and, the tradeoffs between accuracy and precision required by various probability concepts. As a final point, this paper will demonstrate the effects the decision had on the data provided and the decision that was ultimately made. Probability Concepts and Application Hurricane Sandy hit Atlantic City, New Jersey on October 29, 2012. A 900-mile wide storm, Sandy affected the entire northeastern United States with devastating winds, rain and floods. New Jersey and New York suffered the worst from the super storm leaving thousands of people without power for days. People living in this area were not prepared or expected the storm to devastate the area as it did leaving homes and personal...
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...Hurricane Sandy Research Paper Super storm Hurricane Sandy occurred from October 22, 2012 – October 31st, 2012. It was a storm that many people have never seen before and may never see again. Hurricane sandy destroyed homes, businesses, and took lives all in the process. When it comes to business continuity, what did the government, businesses/utilities, financial organizations and individuals do prior to the storm, during the storm, and after the storm. Hurricane sandy had an overall impact that will never be forgotten and taught us what we know today. The government played a role through FEMA in order to take actions prior to Hurricane Sandy. Government data forecasts were provided to the public. According to “Hurricane Sandy highlights role of government information in our everyday lives” by www.foreeffective.org, states that government satellites and airplanes collect the data on the storms strength and condition. The, the government scientists develop and apply the models that predict where the storm will go. Finally, a government agency, the national Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) National Weather Service, provides that information to the public. New York, Maryland, Washington, Pennsylvania, and North Carolina declare state of emergency and people are told to evacuate. During the super storm FEMA provided an effective and efficient response to the damages caused by Hurricane Sandy. During the storm, housing for the thousands of people the hurricane displaced...
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...Preparedness and Resilience Planning during Hurricane Sandy: Hurricane Sandy Lessons Learned from Hurricane Katrina University of Maryland University College Homeland Security Management: Resilience Planning and Preparedness for Disaster Response and Recovery (2152), Spring 2015 Written By: Brittany Wiley Introduction: Major Hurricane disasters along the coastlines have affected many cities and communities which have forced them to take into action and adopt the conception of emergency management, such as resilience planning, disaster preparedness, response and recovery planning. Mitigation preparedness plays an effective part in the emergency management plan. Many cities and communities must explore strategies to reduce the major impact these disasters have and implement resilience planning that will allow communities to rebuild. According to the National Disaster Recovery Framework (2011), “a successful recovery process promotes practices that minimize the community’s risk to all hazards and strengthens it’s ability to withstand and recover from future disasters, which constitute a community’s resiliency” (p. 11). Furthermore, Hurricane disaster’s not only expose community’s vulnerabilities but it gives them the opportunity to rebuild with more resiliency. When comparing two devastating Hurricane disasters that have impacted many cities, communities and lives; it’s important to consider Hurricane Katrina, New Orleans and Hurricane Sandy, New Jersey and New York. Both disasters...
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...Great Eight nations, including U.S., have convened various global summits where heads of states come to debate how to counter the increased climate change. Various recommendations have been proposed to counter the effects of climate change and devise ways in which the change are accommodated. This paper will discuss the rhetorical questions asked by the author of the journal article. ‘Adaptation’ is authored by Eric Klinenberg and is published in a journal called The New Yorker. The targeted audience is the people of New York, who have suffered the effects of climate change in the city. The article is written by the department of urban planning. This gives the author authority to address his audience since the department is concerned with enlightening the urban population about things that affect their everyday life. The date of publication is January 2013 making it relevant even to date. The city of New York is still subject to heat waves, hurricanes, and floods. The journal article is titled Adaptation: How can cities be “climate proofed”. The title articulates the content since it is taking about adapting to climate change in New York and other cities. This is after Hurricane Sandy that occurred in New York. The author focuses on how cities can take measures to adapt to weather changes. By climate proofing, the author means taking measures to prevent adverse weather condition. He uses a Geophysicist, who narrates about various cities that have become climate proofed after incidences...
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...Izetta Clay 11/24/12 Prof: Jeff Ambrose ENG 100 Research Paper Hurricane Sandy's in KINGSTON, Jamaica KINGSTON, Jamaica Hurricane Sandy's howling winds and pelting rains lashed precarious shantytowns, stranded travelers and downed power lines Wednesday as it roared across Jamaica on a course that would take it on to Cuba and then possibly threaten Florida and the Bahamas. Sandy's death toll was at least two. An elderly man was killed in Jamaica when he was crushed by a boulder that rolled onto his clapboard house, police reported. Earlier Wednesday, a woman in Haiti was swept away by a rushing river she was trying to cross, in some southern towns of Jamaica, a few crocodiles were caught in rushing flood waters carried them out of their homes in mangrove thickets, showing up districts where electricity was knocked out, local residents reported. One big croc took up temporary residence in a family's front yard in the city of Portmore. Wednesday evening the hurricane's eye had crossed Jamaica and emerged off its northern coast near the town of Port Antonio, meteorologists said, but rain and winds continued to pound the Caribbean island, and hurricane conditions were predicted to last well in the night. It was the first direct hit by the eye of a hurricane in Jamaica since Hurricane Gilbert 24 years ago, and fearful authorities closed the island's international airports and police ordered 48-hour curfews in major towns to...
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...Dwayne Ryder Jr. Environmental Science Mr. Washington Hurricane Katrina was the eleventh named storm and fifth hurricane of the 2005 Atlantic hurricane season. It was the costliest natural disaster, as well as one of the five deadliest hurricanes, in the history of the United States. The storm is currently ranked as the third most intense United States land falling tropical cyclone, behind only the 1935 Labor Day hurricane and Hurricane Camille in 1969 (Shah, 2005). In this paper I will tell you about some majors things hurricane Katrina effected such as communication failures and levee failures. It also caused major border lost to certain states all the way up to Mississippi (Tihansky, 2005) . Last but not least hurricane Katrina also caused...
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...For many people the insurance industry may seem boring, I felt like that myself when I first entered into this career field. Over time I have come to realize that this is not true, that in fact my ideal career is in the insurance industry. In the insurance industry there are numerous companies and careers to choose from, there are small companies that no one has heard of and larger companies such Allstate and Nationwide. There are a few things to take into consideration other than just the compensation package being offered when choosing which company to work for. How well do they manage their financial issues such as tax issues, hedge funds, and natural disasters risks? My ideal career in the insurance industry would be in the Special Investigation Unit (SIU). In order to achieve this goal I need to start in essence at the bottom and work my way up and gain knowledge to help ensure that I do the best I can. There are a few adjuster positions that can assist me in gaining the knowledge that will help me later be a SIU adjuster. Three types of adjuster positions that will help to obtain my goal are: • Liability – The majority of claims are handled in the liability determination unit (LDU), in Texas the average adjuster handles approximately three to five claims a day. These are claims that the liability is unclear and no injuries are present. • Soft-tissue Unrepresented – Claims handled by this unit involve soft-tissue injuries usually caused by low impact accidents,...
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...the response by government, NGOs and volunteer groups to Hurricane Katrina. The question for you to answer is whether or not the organizational structure for disaster response for the City of New Orleans, State of Louisiana, and FEMA was adequate to effectively respond to a Cat. 3 - 5 hurricane on August 26th, 2005. As you respond to this question please complete the following: o Review the various reports concerning the Katrina response and relief efforts. Identify an example of a relief effort which was successful and one which was unsuccessful. o Discuss the reasons why the examples you cited above were or were not successful. Comment specifically on whether you believe that the organizational structure at the City of New Orleans, State of Louisiana, and the Federal government was adequate, including communications and command and control. (Please refer to the Organization Structure for incident management in the National Response Plan.) Focus on how coordinating structures, processes, and protocols were employed to manage the disaster response. Discuss the importance of social networks during the Katrina Disaster. Please review the following (referenced) article and comment on the importance of social networks during a disaster response. ~ 1 of 11 ~ MHE 512- MOD 1 - Case Introduction to Disaster Relief; Organizational Structure of Relief Organizations; and, The National Response Framework Hurricane Katrina: Disaster Relief Efforts 1. What went right? Capturing...
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...Home Depot: Research and Development Improvement Recommendations This paper is submitted in partial fulfillment for Business Marketing (EMBA) - March 24, 2013 Table of Contents Executive Summary 3 SWOT Analysis 7 Strategic Alternatives 7 Recommendations 11 Marketing Strategy 11 Marketing Implementation and Control 13 References 14 Executive Summary Where do you go to buy your home improvement supplies? Have you experienced an exceptional home improvement store that meets all your needs and provides exceptional service? If the answer is no, there are several reasons to shop at your nearest Home Depot home improvement store. You can count on the variety of products to choose from while viewing the floor showcase. If you are worried about transportation, we offer truck rentals and service installations so you can sit, enjoy and relax while we do all the work. However, we are going to change the customer experience, our goals and efforts are to change your experience the minute you step into your friendly Home Depot store. You will no longer have to wait for a cashier to answer your question because an expert associate will be available immediately to help guide you and meet your needs during your shopping experience. To help fulfill the new customer service experience, we will enhance our current Mobile App that will provide navigation around the store along with a product information scanner. We hope to improve your families shopping experience by incorporating...
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...In order to make the information “readable,” views must access the file with a personal encryption key provided by human resources or the internal IT department. Anyone can easily read a paper file that accidentally gets left on a service counter or desk – this includes curious patients waiting for service. The Kearn County Mental Health Department (KCMH-CA) reported leaving a medical report containing full names, service codes and location information unprotected while their facility was undergoing renovations. Fortunately, no highly sensitive information was exposed, but this could have just as easily been a document with more valuable information. It is far easier to leave information behind when relocating or renovating your facility if you are using paper-based records than it is when your files are digitally archived in the cloud, or on your network. Reason #3: Recovering After a Natural Disaster or Other...
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...appetizers and hot wings. Tyson has become one of the biggest marketers of value added chicken, beef, pork, as well as distributors to retail grocers, food service distributors, and national fast food and restaurant chains. The company thrives to helping feed the hungry and also donates to the American Red Cross. Other distributions include sending product overseas to Russia and Japan. From the United States to overseas, from grocery stores to restaurants Tyson Foods has become a leader of marketers in the food industry. They have done this by producing the mixture of products that customers enjoy and love to eat. Tyson has a marketing department that strives to be the leading provider in food service for the customers and consumers. The research and development department work hand-in-hand with the marketing department to achieve the leading market position for the products that are being produced today. Tyson brands have specific advertising that will attract the consumer in the market as well as on line through Check Point LLC. Tyson Brand name can been seen on websites such as Facebook, Twitter, and in general just by surfing the internet. Product coupons can be found in newspaper, online, and grocery stores. All advertising is done within the guidelines of the Federal Trade Commissions. Tyson received the Mosaic and...
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...Hypothesis/Research Questions LITERATURE REVIEW AND THEORETICAL CONSIDERATIONS................... METHODOLOGY/RESEARCH DESIGN * Scope and Limitations …………………………………………………………….. * Procedures * Data Sources * Budget....................................................................................................................... * Instruments * Budget ……………………………………………………………………………... Results and Discussion ……………………………………………………………………. * SWOT Audit ………………………………………………………………………. * SWOT Matrix …………………………………………………………………….. Recommendations ………………………………………………………………………… Summary and Conclusion References Appendices Abstract Extensive importation of foreign products continues to cripple the Jamaican economy. The country imports just about everything as such this limits the amount of foreign exchange that could contribute effectively to the country’s development. The importation of paper is an area of concern which we believe must receive careful attention and must be seriously addressed. Paper is a resource that is utilized daily in many operations if not all and this precious resource has to be imported from other countries while the resources available in the country which could be adequately utilized in producing this heavily used commodity are being wasted. The parish of St. Thomas is indeed a parish that possess a vast amount of coconut husks and hibiscus leaves which could be used to create paper which will...
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...the drives. Advertising is a good thing because it lets the public know when, where, and why a blood drive is being held. Advertisements are done so they can entice people to voluntarily donate blood. The blood is used in millions of cases in which a person may need a blood transfusion for many different reasons. Mostly, advertisement is used to target a certain group or demographic who are potential donors. To have regular donors and a plentiful supply of blood is the major cause of advertisement. There are natural disasters such as hurricane Katrina and super storm Sandy that came through and destroyed cities and town. Thousands of people were hurt in both that lost blood and needed a transfusion. As I found stated on www.gobag.com “Keeping an adequate supply of blood on hand is a challenge on a daily basis. There are daily occurrences that constantly draw on supplies daily such as premature births, illness, traumatic accidents and research - just to name a few. Having an adequate supply of blood immediately after a major disaster is not likely. Many people will come together AFTER a disaster to donate. It takes days to process blood before it can be used, many victims of disaster often don’t have days to wait and their lives can be lost.” (www.gobag.com, 2013). This is where good advertisement would have come in let the public know that there was a need for blood before something bad happens and not just because of the situations at hand. The most common cause for advertising...
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...Domenick Luongo Fin 635: Dr. Wong 5/4/15 The Great Recession: The Financial Crisis of 2008 Table of Contents: I. Introduction......................................3 II. Cause & Effect of the Housing Bubble..............3 III. Financial Industry................................5 IV. Global Contagion..................................6 a. European Sovereign Debt Crisis of 2007-2008.....7 V. LIBOR.............................................8 b. LIBOR & the Crisis in Lending...................8 VI. Unemployment......................................9 VII. United States Stock Market.......................10 VIII. Laws & Resolutions...............................10 c. Dodd-Frank Wall Street Reform & Consumer.......11 Protection Act Timeline d. Dodd-Frank Wall Street & Reform Consumer.......11 Protection Act e. European Laws & Resolutions....................11 IX. Conclusion.......................................12 Introduction The financial crisis of 2007-2008 is considered to be the worst financial crisis since the Great Depression in 1929. Not only were some of the largest firms in the world threatened but also, the normal lives of everyday people faced great challenges as the entire financial market and banking industry was damaged. The prevention of the folding of these firms was backed with bailouts from national governments and banks. The crisis was the cause of business declines...
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...Environmental Scan Paper Jessica Swindler MGT 498 April 7th, 2015 T. Dunning Environmental Scan Paper A strategic plan helps a company excel during good times and maneuver through tough times. However, having a plan does not always determine the direction the company will go, the strategic plan is more like a map or GPS for the company. There are tons of other variables that drive a company. For instance, having great internal and external environments play a role on how the company will progress. The internal environment entails employees, management, the work culture/mission, and ethics. These components help make or break a company’s morale. If your company’s environment is unhealthy, then it is very possible the strategic plans that would be implemented improperly. The external environment is very important in a company as well, these are variables that occur outside the companies facilities that alter the company’s plans. Companies take their environments’ very seriously, there is a process call environmental scanning which, is an analysis of a company’s internal and external environments. Two companies that were recently researched using an environmental scan were Time Warner Cable and Nike. After an environmental scan it is possible to analyze the competitive advantage of Time Warner Cable and Nike. While, analyzing the competitive advantage, it is possible to see the value and effectiveness of Time Warner Cable and Nike’s business strategies. These two companies...
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